Mory Kromah vs Miloš Cvjetićanin
MCKickoff · Sat, Jun 13 · 20:37 GMT+0000
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
b852ba91065ec004…
- Sport
- Sat, Jun 13 · 20:37 GMT+0000
- Markets
- h2h · method_finish · goes_distance · round_group
- Source
- The Odds API · live
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 4. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 4, in this order): h2h | method_finish | goes_distance | round_group
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 3591,
"sport": "mma",
"venue": null,
"league": "MMA",
"starts_at": "2026-06-13T14:30:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Sat, 13 Jun 2026 14:30:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Miloš Cvjetićanin",
"home": "Mory Kromah"
},
"version": "v1",
"built_at": "2026-06-12T18:52:59+00:00",
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": {
"away": 2.1,
"home": 1.65
},
"note": "Bookmaker consensus odds at the moment of the call. Frozen here so settlement grades against the same line.",
"extra_markets": {
"h2h": [
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.65,
"outcome": "Mory Kromah"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.1,
"outcome": "Miloš Cvjetićanin"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.65,
"outcome": "Mory Kromah"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.1,
"outcome": "Miloš Cvjetićanin"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.65,
"outcome": "Mory Kromah"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.1,
"outcome": "Miloš Cvjetićanin"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.65,
"outcome": "Mory Kromah"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.1,
"outcome": "Miloš Cvjetićanin"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.65,
"outcome": "Mory Kromah"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.1,
"outcome": "Miloš Cvjetićanin"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.65,
"outcome": "Mory Kromah"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.1,
"outcome": "Miloš Cvjetićanin"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.65,
"outcome": "Mory Kromah"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.1,
"outcome": "Miloš Cvjetićanin"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.65,
"outcome": "Mory Kromah"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.1,
"outcome": "Miloš Cvjetićanin"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.65,
"outcome": "Mory Kromah"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.1,
"outcome": "Miloš Cvjetićanin"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.65,
"outcome": "Mory Kromah"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.1,
"outcome": "Miloš Cvjetićanin"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.65,
"outcome": "Mory Kromah"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.1,
"outcome": "Miloš Cvjetićanin"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.65,
"outcome": "Mory Kromah"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.1,
"outcome": "Miloš Cvjetićanin"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.65,
"outcome": "Mory Kromah"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.1,
"outcome": "Miloš Cvjetićanin"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.65,
"outcome": "Mory Kromah"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.1,
"outcome": "Miloš Cvjetićanin"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.65,
"outcome": "Mory Kromah"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.1,
"outcome": "Miloš Cvjetićanin"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.65,
"outcome": "Mory Kromah"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.1,
"outcome": "Miloš Cvjetićanin"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.65,
"outcome": "Mory Kromah"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.1,
"outcome": "Miloš Cvjetićanin"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.65,
"outcome": "Mory Kromah"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.1,
"outcome": "Miloš Cvjetićanin"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.65,
"outcome": "Mory Kromah"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.1,
"outcome": "Miloš Cvjetićanin"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.65,
"outcome": "Mory Kromah"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.1,
"outcome": "Miloš Cvjetićanin"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.65,
"outcome": "Mory Kromah"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.1,
"outcome": "Miloš Cvjetićanin"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.65,
"outcome": "Mory Kromah"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.1,
"outcome": "Miloš Cvjetićanin"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.65,
"outcome": "Mory Kromah"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.1,
"outcome": "Miloš Cvjetićanin"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.65,
"outcome": "Mory Kromah"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.1,
"outcome": "Miloš Cvjetićanin"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.65,
"outcome": "Mory Kromah"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.1,
"outcome": "Miloš Cvjetićanin"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.65,
"outcome": "Mory Kromah"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.1,
"outcome": "Miloš Cvjetićanin"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.65,
"outcome": "Mory Kromah"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.1,
"outcome": "Miloš Cvjetićanin"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.65,
"outcome": "Mory Kromah"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.1,
"outcome": "Miloš Cvjetićanin"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.65,
"outcome": "Mory Kromah"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.1,
"outcome": "Miloš Cvjetićanin"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.65,
"outcome": "Mory Kromah"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.1,
"outcome": "Miloš Cvjetićanin"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.65,
"outcome": "Mory Kromah"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.1,
"outcome": "Miloš Cvjetićanin"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.65,
"outcome": "Mory Kromah"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.1,
"outcome": "Miloš Cvjetićanin"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.65,
"outcome": "Mory Kromah"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.1,
"outcome": "Miloš Cvjetićanin"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.65,
"outcome": "Mory Kromah"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.1,
"outcome": "Miloš Cvjetićanin"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.65,
"outcome": "Mory Kromah"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.1,
"outcome": "Miloš Cvjetićanin"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.65,
"outcome": "Mory Kromah"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.1,
"outcome": "Miloš Cvjetićanin"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.65,
"outcome": "Mory Kromah"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.1,
"outcome": "Miloš Cvjetićanin"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.65,
"outcome": "Mory Kromah"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.1,
"outcome": "Miloš Cvjetićanin"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.65,
"outcome": "Mory Kromah"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.1,
"outcome": "Miloš Cvjetićanin"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.65,
"outcome": "Mory Kromah"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.1,
"outcome": "Miloš Cvjetićanin"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.65,
"outcome": "Mory Kromah"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.1,
"outcome": "Miloš Cvjetićanin"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.65,
"outcome": "Mory Kromah"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.1,
"outcome": "Miloš Cvjetićanin"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.65,
"outcome": "Mory Kromah"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.1,
"outcome": "Miloš Cvjetićanin"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.65,
"outcome": "Mory Kromah"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.1,
"outcome": "Miloš Cvjetićanin"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.65,
"outcome": "Mory Kromah"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.1,
"outcome": "Miloš Cvjetićanin"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.65,
"outcome": "Mory Kromah"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.1,
"outcome": "Miloš Cvjetićanin"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.65,
"outcome": "Mory Kromah"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.1,
"outcome": "Miloš Cvjetićanin"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.65,
"outcome": "Mory Kromah"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.1,
"outcome": "Miloš Cvjetićanin"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.65,
"outcome": "Mory Kromah"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.1,
"outcome": "Miloš Cvjetićanin"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.65,
"outcome": "Mory Kromah"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.1,
"outcome": "Miloš Cvjetićanin"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.65,
"outcome": "Mory Kromah"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.1,
"outcome": "Miloš Cvjetićanin"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.65,
"outcome": "Mory Kromah"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.1,
"outcome": "Miloš Cvjetićanin"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.65,
"outcome": "Mory Kromah"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.1,
"outcome": "Miloš Cvjetićanin"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.65,
"outcome": "Mory Kromah"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.1,
"outcome": "Miloš Cvjetićanin"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.65,
"outcome": "Mory Kromah"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.1,
"outcome": "Miloš Cvjetićanin"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.65,
"outcome": "Mory Kromah"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.1,
"outcome": "Miloš Cvjetićanin"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.65,
"outcome": "Mory Kromah"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.1,
"outcome": "Miloš Cvjetićanin"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.65,
"outcome": "Mory Kromah"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.1,
"outcome": "Miloš Cvjetićanin"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.65,
"outcome": "Mory Kromah"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.1,
"outcome": "Miloš Cvjetićanin"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.65,
"outcome": "Mory Kromah"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.1,
"outcome": "Miloš Cvjetićanin"
}
]
}
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"method_finish",
"goes_distance",
"round_group"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
AI predictions
4 markets · 6 models picked
Who picked what
15 models × 4 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
book: Mory Kromah 80% |
Method of victory
?
Method of victory
How the fight ends. KO/TKO, submission, decision, etc.
|
Goes the distance
?
Goes the distance
Goes the distance. Does the fight reach the final scheduled round.
|
Round group
?
Round group
Market explanation coming soon.
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic · 4-5 -1.2u |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||
|
Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic · 5-5 -0.3u |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||
|
Claude Opus 4 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||
|
Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic · 125-128 -87.1u |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||
|
Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic · 168-149 -107.9u |
62%
Mory Kromah
~1.65
|
38%
Submission |
55%
Yes |
42%
Round 2 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
62%
Mory Kromah Market consensus favors Kromah at 1.65 (60.6% implied probability), and this reflects reasonable confidence in the home fighter. Without acc...
Odds: 1.65
Edge: +1.4%
Method of victory
?
Method of victory
How the fight ends. KO/TKO, submission, decision, etc.
38%
Submission In MMA, submissions and knockouts are roughly equally likely at lighter weight divisions, with decision outcomes representing the remainder....
Goes the distance
?
Goes the distance
Goes the distance. Does the fight reach the final scheduled round.
55%
Yes Roughly half of professional MMA bouts reach a decision, with the other half ending in knockout or submission. In the absence of information...
Round group
?
Round group
Market explanation coming soon.
42%
Round 2 Finishes in MMA are distributed across rounds, with Round 1 seeing early stoppages, Round 2 capturing mid-fight momentum shifts, and Round 3... |
|||||
|
GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||
|
GPT-5 Mini Openai · 30-17 +24.4u |
— | — | — | — | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Method of victory
?
Method of victory
How the fight ends. KO/TKO, submission, decision, etc.
No pick on this market.
Goes the distance
?
Goes the distance
Goes the distance. Does the fight reach the final scheduled round.
No pick on this market.
Round group
?
Round group
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market. |
|||||
|
GPT-4o Mini Openai · 34-47 -25.2u |
— | — | — | — | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Method of victory
?
Method of victory
How the fight ends. KO/TKO, submission, decision, etc.
No pick on this market.
Goes the distance
?
Goes the distance
Goes the distance. Does the fight reach the final scheduled round.
No pick on this market.
Round group
?
Round group
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market. |
|||||
|
o3 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||
|
Grok 4 Heavy FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||
|
Grok 4 Fast Xai · 112-170 -91.3u |
61%
Mory Kromah
~1.65
|
42%
Decision |
57%
yes |
48%
3 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
61%
Mory Kromah Bookmaker odds heavily favor Kromah at 1.65 implying he is the stronger fighter on paper. Without any accessible recent form or head-to-head...
Odds: 1.65
Edge: +0.4%
Method of victory
?
Method of victory
How the fight ends. KO/TKO, submission, decision, etc.
42%
Decision Both fighters lack elite finishing rates in available historical records making a decision the most probable outcome. Kromah's slight skill...
Goes the distance
?
Goes the distance
Goes the distance. Does the fight reach the final scheduled round.
57%
yes Low finishing power on both sides plus the modest betting line on Kromah point toward a fight that lasts the scheduled distance. Historical...
Round group
?
Round group
Market explanation coming soon.
48%
3 A competitive three-rounder is the likeliest structure given the betting market and absence of finishing trends. Early stoppages are discoun... |
|||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Pro FlagshipGoogle · 4-7 -1.8u |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash Google · 135-151 -121.4u |
58%
Mory Kromah
~1.65
|
25%
Mory Kromah by KO/TKO |
55%
No |
45%
Fight goes to Decision |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
58%
Mory Kromah Based on the provided bookmaker odds, Mory Kromah is the clear favorite in this matchup. With no specific fighter data available from my tra...
Odds: 1.65
Edge: -2.6%
Method of victory
?
Method of victory
How the fight ends. KO/TKO, submission, decision, etc.
25%
Mory Kromah by KO/TKO In the absence of specific fighter stylistic data, and relying on general MMA trends and the favorite status of Kromah, KO/TKO is a frequent...
Goes the distance
?
Goes the distance
Goes the distance. Does the fight reach the final scheduled round.
55%
No Based on a general distribution of MMA fight outcomes when specific fighter data is absent, a slight majority of fights are finished before...
Round group
?
Round group
Market explanation coming soon.
45%
Fight goes to Decision While finishes are common in MMA, a substantial percentage of bouts, particularly non-championship fights, proceed to a decision. My predict... |
|||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Google · 65-141 -96.1u |
62%
Mory Kromah
~1.56
|
55%
decision |
60%
yes |
58%
45 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
62%
Mory Kromah Mory Kromah is the favored fighter based on the market consensus odds provided. While specific recent form or head-to-head data is unavailab...
Odds: 1.56
Edge: -2.1%
Method of victory
?
Method of victory
How the fight ends. KO/TKO, submission, decision, etc.
55%
decision Given the odds, a decision seems the most likely outcome. Without specific fighter styles or recent fight data, it's difficult to strongly f...
Goes the distance
?
Goes the distance
Goes the distance. Does the fight reach the final scheduled round.
60%
yes The market odds for H2H suggest a competitive fight, which often translates to it going the distance. Neither fighter has a particularly ove...
Round group
?
Round group
Market explanation coming soon.
58%
45 Considering the odds suggest a competitive fight that is likely to go the distance, it's reasonable to assume it will go past the second rou... |
|||||
|
DeepSeek V3 Deepseek · 136-147 -106.2u |
65%
Mory Kromah
~1.65
|
45%
Submission |
60%
No |
55%
Round 1-2 |
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Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
65%
Mory Kromah Based on training data through 2025-09, Mory Kromah has a more well-rounded skill set with a grappling advantage that should control the fig...
Odds: 1.65
Edge: +4.4%
Method of victory
?
Method of victory
How the fight ends. KO/TKO, submission, decision, etc.
45%
Submission Kromah's superior wrestling and BJJ background make submission the most likely finish, especially if he can take Cvjetićanin down early. Cvj...
Goes the distance
?
Goes the distance
Goes the distance. Does the fight reach the final scheduled round.
60%
No With Kromah's aggressive grappling and Cvjetićanin's power, the fight has a high probability of ending inside the distance. Both fighters ha...
Round group
?
Round group
Market explanation coming soon.
55%
Round 1-2 Kromah shoots for takedowns early, and if he secures a dominant position, he can submit Cvjetićanin in the first two rounds. Conversely, Cvj... |
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Consensus |
Mory Kromah 6/6 |
Submission 2/6 |
No 3/6 |
3 1/6 |
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Bookmaker line |
Mory Kromah 80% |
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Bookmaker odds
2 books · sharp books pinned · best price highlighted
| Book | Mory Kromah | Draw | Miloš Cvjetićanin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grosvenor | 1.25 | — | 3.75 |
| Leovegas | 1.22 | — | 4.00 |
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|
| Book | Mory Kromah | Miloš Cvjetićanin |
|---|
Line movement (h2h)
Each line = one bookmaker · sharp books pinned first
Mory Kromah Miloš Cvjetićanin
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