Mohamed Touchassie vs Bahram Rajabzadeh
BRKickoff · Sat, Jun 13 · 16:53 GMT+0000
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
1b8c28640986bb78…
- Sport
- Sat, Jun 13 · 16:53 GMT+0000
- Markets
- h2h · method_finish · goes_distance · round_group
- Source
- The Odds API · live
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 4. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 4, in this order): h2h | method_finish | goes_distance | round_group
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 3588,
"sport": "mma",
"venue": null,
"league": "MMA",
"starts_at": "2026-06-13T14:30:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Sat, 13 Jun 2026 14:30:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Bahram Rajabzadeh",
"home": "Mohamed Touchassie"
},
"version": "v1",
"built_at": "2026-06-12T18:51:17+00:00",
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": {
"away": 1.62,
"home": 2.15
},
"note": "Bookmaker consensus odds at the moment of the call. Frozen here so settlement grades against the same line.",
"extra_markets": {
"h2h": [
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.15,
"outcome": "Mohamed Touchassie"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.62,
"outcome": "Bahram Rajabzadeh"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.15,
"outcome": "Mohamed Touchassie"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.62,
"outcome": "Bahram Rajabzadeh"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.15,
"outcome": "Mohamed Touchassie"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.62,
"outcome": "Bahram Rajabzadeh"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.15,
"outcome": "Mohamed Touchassie"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.62,
"outcome": "Bahram Rajabzadeh"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.15,
"outcome": "Mohamed Touchassie"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.62,
"outcome": "Bahram Rajabzadeh"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.15,
"outcome": "Mohamed Touchassie"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.62,
"outcome": "Bahram Rajabzadeh"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.15,
"outcome": "Mohamed Touchassie"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.62,
"outcome": "Bahram Rajabzadeh"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.15,
"outcome": "Mohamed Touchassie"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.62,
"outcome": "Bahram Rajabzadeh"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.15,
"outcome": "Mohamed Touchassie"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.62,
"outcome": "Bahram Rajabzadeh"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.15,
"outcome": "Mohamed Touchassie"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.62,
"outcome": "Bahram Rajabzadeh"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.15,
"outcome": "Mohamed Touchassie"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.62,
"outcome": "Bahram Rajabzadeh"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.15,
"outcome": "Mohamed Touchassie"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.62,
"outcome": "Bahram Rajabzadeh"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.15,
"outcome": "Mohamed Touchassie"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.62,
"outcome": "Bahram Rajabzadeh"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.15,
"outcome": "Mohamed Touchassie"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.62,
"outcome": "Bahram Rajabzadeh"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.15,
"outcome": "Mohamed Touchassie"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.62,
"outcome": "Bahram Rajabzadeh"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.15,
"outcome": "Mohamed Touchassie"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.62,
"outcome": "Bahram Rajabzadeh"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.15,
"outcome": "Mohamed Touchassie"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.62,
"outcome": "Bahram Rajabzadeh"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.15,
"outcome": "Mohamed Touchassie"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.62,
"outcome": "Bahram Rajabzadeh"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.15,
"outcome": "Mohamed Touchassie"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.62,
"outcome": "Bahram Rajabzadeh"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.15,
"outcome": "Mohamed Touchassie"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.62,
"outcome": "Bahram Rajabzadeh"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.15,
"outcome": "Mohamed Touchassie"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.62,
"outcome": "Bahram Rajabzadeh"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.15,
"outcome": "Mohamed Touchassie"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.62,
"outcome": "Bahram Rajabzadeh"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.15,
"outcome": "Mohamed Touchassie"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.62,
"outcome": "Bahram Rajabzadeh"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.15,
"outcome": "Mohamed Touchassie"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.62,
"outcome": "Bahram Rajabzadeh"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.15,
"outcome": "Mohamed Touchassie"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.62,
"outcome": "Bahram Rajabzadeh"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.15,
"outcome": "Mohamed Touchassie"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.62,
"outcome": "Bahram Rajabzadeh"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.15,
"outcome": "Mohamed Touchassie"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.62,
"outcome": "Bahram Rajabzadeh"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.15,
"outcome": "Mohamed Touchassie"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.62,
"outcome": "Bahram Rajabzadeh"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.15,
"outcome": "Mohamed Touchassie"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.62,
"outcome": "Bahram Rajabzadeh"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.15,
"outcome": "Mohamed Touchassie"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.62,
"outcome": "Bahram Rajabzadeh"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.15,
"outcome": "Mohamed Touchassie"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.62,
"outcome": "Bahram Rajabzadeh"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.15,
"outcome": "Mohamed Touchassie"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.62,
"outcome": "Bahram Rajabzadeh"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.94,
"outcome": "Mohamed Touchassie"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.74,
"outcome": "Bahram Rajabzadeh"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.94,
"outcome": "Mohamed Touchassie"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.74,
"outcome": "Bahram Rajabzadeh"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.94,
"outcome": "Mohamed Touchassie"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.74,
"outcome": "Bahram Rajabzadeh"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.94,
"outcome": "Mohamed Touchassie"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.74,
"outcome": "Bahram Rajabzadeh"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.94,
"outcome": "Mohamed Touchassie"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.74,
"outcome": "Bahram Rajabzadeh"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.94,
"outcome": "Mohamed Touchassie"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.74,
"outcome": "Bahram Rajabzadeh"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.94,
"outcome": "Mohamed Touchassie"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.74,
"outcome": "Bahram Rajabzadeh"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.94,
"outcome": "Mohamed Touchassie"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.74,
"outcome": "Bahram Rajabzadeh"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.94,
"outcome": "Mohamed Touchassie"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.74,
"outcome": "Bahram Rajabzadeh"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.94,
"outcome": "Mohamed Touchassie"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.74,
"outcome": "Bahram Rajabzadeh"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.94,
"outcome": "Mohamed Touchassie"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.74,
"outcome": "Bahram Rajabzadeh"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.94,
"outcome": "Mohamed Touchassie"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.74,
"outcome": "Bahram Rajabzadeh"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.94,
"outcome": "Mohamed Touchassie"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.74,
"outcome": "Bahram Rajabzadeh"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.94,
"outcome": "Mohamed Touchassie"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.74,
"outcome": "Bahram Rajabzadeh"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.94,
"outcome": "Mohamed Touchassie"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.74,
"outcome": "Bahram Rajabzadeh"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.94,
"outcome": "Mohamed Touchassie"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.74,
"outcome": "Bahram Rajabzadeh"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.94,
"outcome": "Mohamed Touchassie"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.74,
"outcome": "Bahram Rajabzadeh"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.94,
"outcome": "Mohamed Touchassie"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.74,
"outcome": "Bahram Rajabzadeh"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.94,
"outcome": "Mohamed Touchassie"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.74,
"outcome": "Bahram Rajabzadeh"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.94,
"outcome": "Mohamed Touchassie"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.74,
"outcome": "Bahram Rajabzadeh"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.94,
"outcome": "Mohamed Touchassie"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.74,
"outcome": "Bahram Rajabzadeh"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.94,
"outcome": "Mohamed Touchassie"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.74,
"outcome": "Bahram Rajabzadeh"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.94,
"outcome": "Mohamed Touchassie"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.74,
"outcome": "Bahram Rajabzadeh"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.94,
"outcome": "Mohamed Touchassie"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.74,
"outcome": "Bahram Rajabzadeh"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.94,
"outcome": "Mohamed Touchassie"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.74,
"outcome": "Bahram Rajabzadeh"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.94,
"outcome": "Mohamed Touchassie"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.74,
"outcome": "Bahram Rajabzadeh"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.94,
"outcome": "Mohamed Touchassie"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.74,
"outcome": "Bahram Rajabzadeh"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.94,
"outcome": "Mohamed Touchassie"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.74,
"outcome": "Bahram Rajabzadeh"
}
]
}
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"method_finish",
"goes_distance",
"round_group"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
AI predictions
4 markets · 4 models picked
Who picked what
15 models × 4 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
book: Bahram Rajabzadeh 63% |
Goes the distance
?
Goes the distance
Goes the distance. Does the fight reach the final scheduled round.
|
Method of victory
?
Method of victory
How the fight ends. KO/TKO, submission, decision, etc.
|
Round group
?
Round group
Market explanation coming soon.
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic · 4-5 -1.2u |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||
|
Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic · 5-5 -0.3u |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||
|
Claude Opus 4 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||
|
Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic · 125-128 -87.1u |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||
|
Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic · 168-149 -107.9u |
58%
Mohamed Touchassie
~2.15
|
54%
No |
35%
Submission |
36%
Round 2 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
58%
Mohamed Touchassie Bookmaker odds favour Touchassie at 2.15 vs 1.62, implying the market assesses him as the underdog but with genuine winning chances. Without...
Odds: 2.15
Edge: +11.5%
Goes the distance
?
Goes the distance
Goes the distance. Does the fight reach the final scheduled round.
54%
No Modern MMA sees a slight lean toward early finishes due to improved conditioning and aggressive gameplan execution, though many bouts still...
Method of victory
?
Method of victory
How the fight ends. KO/TKO, submission, decision, etc.
35%
Submission MMA fights distribute across knockout, submission, and decision finishes with rough parity in modern mixed rules. Without fighter-specific g...
Round group
?
Round group
Market explanation coming soon.
36%
Round 2 Without fighter-specific pacing, cardio, or fight plan intelligence, round grouping is largely speculative. Round 2 edges slightly as many f... |
|||||
GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||
|
GPT-5 Mini Openai · 30-17 +24.4u |
— | — | — | — | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Goes the distance
?
Goes the distance
Goes the distance. Does the fight reach the final scheduled round.
No pick on this market.
Method of victory
?
Method of victory
How the fight ends. KO/TKO, submission, decision, etc.
No pick on this market.
Round group
?
Round group
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market. |
|||||
|
GPT-4o Mini Openai · 34-47 -25.2u |
— | — | — | — | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Goes the distance
?
Goes the distance
Goes the distance. Does the fight reach the final scheduled round.
No pick on this market.
Method of victory
?
Method of victory
How the fight ends. KO/TKO, submission, decision, etc.
No pick on this market.
Round group
?
Round group
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market. |
|||||
|
o3 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||
Grok 4 Heavy FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||
|
Grok 4 Fast Xai · 112-170 -91.3u |
58%
Bahram Rajabzadeh
~1.62
|
55%
no |
52%
KO/TKO |
48%
1-2 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
58%
Bahram Rajabzadeh Bookmaker consensus heavily favors Rajabzadeh at 1.62. No recent form or head-to-head data available in training knowledge through 2024. Raj...
Odds: 1.62
Edge: -3.7%
Goes the distance
?
Goes the distance
Goes the distance. Does the fight reach the final scheduled round.
55%
no Favorite Rajabzadeh historically finishes opponents inside the distance. Limited data on Touchassie durability in training cutoff. Slight ed...
Method of victory
?
Method of victory
How the fight ends. KO/TKO, submission, decision, etc.
52%
KO/TKO Training data shows Rajabzadeh's power striking style leads to frequent stoppages. No injury or lineup info available for 2026 event. Early...
Round group
?
Round group
Market explanation coming soon.
48%
1-2 Aggressive styles from both point to potential early stoppage per available historical patterns. No rest or venue details known. First-two-r... |
|||||
Gemini 2.5 Pro FlagshipGoogle · 4-7 -1.8u |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash Google · 135-151 -121.4u |
— | — | — | — | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Goes the distance
?
Goes the distance
Goes the distance. Does the fight reach the final scheduled round.
No pick on this market.
Method of victory
?
Method of victory
How the fight ends. KO/TKO, submission, decision, etc.
No pick on this market.
Round group
?
Round group
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market. |
|||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Google · 65-141 -96.1u |
— | — | — | — | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Goes the distance
?
Goes the distance
Goes the distance. Does the fight reach the final scheduled round.
No pick on this market.
Method of victory
?
Method of victory
How the fight ends. KO/TKO, submission, decision, etc.
No pick on this market.
Round group
?
Round group
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market. |
|||||
DeepSeek V3 Deepseek · 136-147 -106.2u |
65%
Bahram Rajabzadeh
~1.62
|
60%
No |
50%
KO/TKO |
50%
Round 1-2 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
65%
Bahram Rajabzadeh Rajabzadeh is the betting favorite at 1.62 and has a clear power advantage; Touchassie is tough but likely outgunned. Training data through...
Odds: 1.62
Edge: +3.3%
Goes the distance
?
Goes the distance
Goes the distance. Does the fight reach the final scheduled round.
60%
No Given both fighters' finishing ability and the relatively short fight duration expected, the bout is more likely to end before the final bel...
Method of victory
?
Method of victory
How the fight ends. KO/TKO, submission, decision, etc.
50%
KO/TKO Both fighters have high KO rates, but Rajabzadeh especially is a knockout artist. A finish is likely, and KO/TKO is the most probable method...
Round group
?
Round group
Market explanation coming soon.
50%
Round 1-2 If a finish occurs, it is most likely to happen in the early rounds when power is highest. Rajabzadeh often finishes in the first two rounds... |
|||||
|
Consensus |
Bahram Rajabzadeh 3/4 |
No 3/4 |
Submission 2/4 |
Round 2 1/4 |
|
|
Bookmaker line |
Bahram Rajabzadeh 63% |
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Bookmaker odds
2 books · sharp books pinned · best price highlighted
| Book | Mohamed Touchassie | Draw | Bahram Rajabzadeh |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grosvenor | 2.25 | — | 1.60 |
| Leovegas | 2.25 | — | 1.60 |
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|
| Book | Mohamed Touchassie | Bahram Rajabzadeh |
|---|
Line movement (h2h)
Each line = one bookmaker · sharp books pinned first
Mohamed Touchassie Bahram Rajabzadeh
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