Minnesota TwinsvsPhiladelphia Phillies
AI predictions
5 markets · 7 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
32 models × 5 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
|
First five innings ml
?
First five innings ml
Market explanation coming soon.
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
Minnesota Twins 12/14 models |
over 10/14 models |
Minnesota Twins -1.5 8/14 models |
Minnesota Twins 8/12 models |
Minnesota Twins F5 ML 2/2 models |
|
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 5 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
|||||
|
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 5 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
|||||
|
Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 5 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
|||||
|
Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 5 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
|||||
|
Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 5 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
|||||
|
Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 5 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
|||||
|
Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 5 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
|||||
|
Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 5 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
|||||
|
Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
62%
Minnesota Twins |
58%
Over 8.5 |
55%
Minnesota Twins -1.5 |
54%
Over 4.5 |
— | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
62%
Minnesota Twins Minnesota enters with strong recent form (4W-1L over last 5) and a +12 run differential, while Philadelphia has struggled at 2W-3L with a -1...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
58%
Over 8.5 Minnesota's offense is hot (28 runs in 5 games, 5.6 per game) and Philadelphia's bullpen has been porous (33 runs conceded in 5 games). Targ...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
Minnesota Twins -1.5 The Twins' recent dominance and run-scoring advantage make them slight favorites to win by 2+ runs at home. Philadelphia's defensive struggl...
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
54%
Over 4.5 The first five innings isolate starting-pitcher matchup and early-inning offensive momentum. Minnesota's red-hot lineup (5.6 runs/game avera...
First five innings ml
?
First five innings ml
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market. |
||||||
|
Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
62%
Minnesota Twins |
58%
Over 8.5 |
55%
Minnesota Twins -1.5 |
54%
Over 4.5 |
— | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
62%
Minnesota Twins Minnesota enters with strong recent form (4W-1L over last 5) and a +12 run differential, while Philadelphia has struggled at 2W-3L with a -1...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
58%
Over 8.5 Minnesota's offense is hot (28 runs in 5 games, 5.6 per game) and Philadelphia's bullpen has been porous (33 runs conceded in 5 games). Targ...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
Minnesota Twins -1.5 The Twins' recent dominance and run-scoring advantage make them slight favorites to win by 2+ runs at home. Philadelphia's defensive struggl...
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
54%
Over 4.5 The first five innings isolate starting-pitcher matchup and early-inning offensive momentum. Minnesota's red-hot lineup (5.6 runs/game avera...
First five innings ml
?
First five innings ml
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market. |
||||||
GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 5 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
|||||
|
GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 5 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
|||||
|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
62%
Minnesota Twins |
57%
over |
52%
Minnesota Twins -1.5 |
55%
Minnesota Twins |
— | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
62%
Minnesota Twins Minnesota has better recent form (four wins in last five) and is playing at Target Field where they have been more comfortable; Philadelphia...
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
57%
over Combined recent scoring points to a higher run environment (Twins scored 28 and Phillies allowed 33 across their last five per the provided...
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
52%
Minnesota Twins -1.5 Given Minnesota's stronger recent form at home and Philadelphia's shaky recent run prevention, I lean to the Twins covering a -1.5 runline b...
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
55%
Minnesota Twins First-five outcomes hinge on starters; because the aggregated probable-pitcher feeds still showed TBA for Aug 15 I default to team-level ind...
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
First five innings ml
?
First five innings ml
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market. |
||||||
|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
62%
Minnesota Twins |
57%
over |
52%
Minnesota Twins -1.5 |
55%
Minnesota Twins |
— | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
62%
Minnesota Twins Minnesota has better recent form (four wins in last five) and is playing at Target Field where they have been more comfortable; Philadelphia...
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
57%
over Combined recent scoring points to a higher run environment (Twins scored 28 and Phillies allowed 33 across their last five per the provided...
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
52%
Minnesota Twins -1.5 Given Minnesota's stronger recent form at home and Philadelphia's shaky recent run prevention, I lean to the Twins covering a -1.5 runline b...
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
55%
Minnesota Twins First-five outcomes hinge on starters; because the aggregated probable-pitcher feeds still showed TBA for Aug 15 I default to team-level ind...
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
First five innings ml
?
First five innings ml
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market. |
||||||
|
GPT-4o Mini Openai |
65%
Minnesota Twins |
60%
over |
55%
Minnesota Twins |
60%
Minnesota Twins |
— | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
65%
Minnesota Twins The Minnesota Twins have been in strong form recently, winning four of their last five games, while the Philadelphia Phillies have struggled...
🔍 researched
1 source cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
over Both teams have shown inconsistent pitching performances recently, leading to higher-scoring games. The Twins' offense has been potent, aver...
🔍 researched
1 source cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
Minnesota Twins The Twins' recent form and home advantage suggest they are likely to win by at least two runs. However, the Phillies' offense could keep the...
🔍 researched
1 source cited
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
60%
Minnesota Twins The Twins' strong recent form and home advantage suggest they will lead after the first five innings. The Phillies' recent struggles make it...
🔍 researched
1 source cited
First five innings ml
?
First five innings ml
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market. |
||||||
|
GPT-4o Mini Openai |
65%
Minnesota Twins |
60%
over |
55%
Minnesota Twins |
60%
Minnesota Twins |
— | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
65%
Minnesota Twins The Minnesota Twins have been in strong form recently, winning four of their last five games, while the Philadelphia Phillies have struggled...
🔍 researched
1 source cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
over Both teams have shown inconsistent pitching performances recently, leading to higher-scoring games. The Twins' offense has been potent, aver...
🔍 researched
1 source cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
Minnesota Twins The Twins' recent form and home advantage suggest they are likely to win by at least two runs. However, the Phillies' offense could keep the...
🔍 researched
1 source cited
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
60%
Minnesota Twins The Twins' strong recent form and home advantage suggest they will lead after the first five innings. The Phillies' recent struggles make it...
🔍 researched
1 source cited
First five innings ml
?
First five innings ml
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market. |
||||||
|
o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 5 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
|||||
|
o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 5 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
|||||
Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 5 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
|||||
|
Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 5 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
|||||
|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
56%
Minnesota Twins |
53%
over |
52%
Minnesota Twins |
51%
Minnesota Twins |
— | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
56%
Minnesota Twins Twins enter with strong recent form (WWWWL) and superior scoring/conceding numbers at home compared to Phillies' LWLLW. Target Field favors...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
53%
over Twins offense hot at home while Phillies bullpen has allowed heavy scoring recently. Outdoor venue and August conditions typically boost run...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
52%
Minnesota Twins Home team has won 4 of last 5 and Twins pitching should keep games close or in their favor on the run line. Phillies road form is shaky. Tra...
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
51%
Minnesota Twins Starting pitcher matchup and Twins recent early-game success at home give slight edge to home side in first five. Limited rest data noted. T...
First five innings ml
?
First five innings ml
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market. |
||||||
|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
56%
Minnesota Twins |
53%
over |
52%
Minnesota Twins |
51%
Minnesota Twins |
— | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
56%
Minnesota Twins Twins enter with strong recent form (WWWWL) and superior scoring/conceding numbers at home compared to Phillies' LWLLW. Target Field favors...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
53%
over Twins offense hot at home while Phillies bullpen has allowed heavy scoring recently. Outdoor venue and August conditions typically boost run...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
52%
Minnesota Twins Home team has won 4 of last 5 and Twins pitching should keep games close or in their favor on the run line. Phillies road form is shaky. Tra...
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
51%
Minnesota Twins Starting pitcher matchup and Twins recent early-game success at home give slight edge to home side in first five. Limited rest data noted. T...
First five innings ml
?
First five innings ml
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market. |
||||||
Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 5 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
|||||
|
Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 5 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
|||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 5 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
|||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 5 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
|||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
65%
Minnesota Twins |
58%
Over 8.5 |
57%
Minnesota Twins -1.5 |
— |
62%
Minnesota Twins F5 ML |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
65%
Minnesota Twins Based on provided team context and general baseball knowledge from my training data (through my last update), the Minnesota Twins exhibit si...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
58%
Over 8.5 Drawing from the provided team context and my training knowledge (through my last update), the Philadelphia Phillies have shown poor defensi...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
57%
Minnesota Twins -1.5 Considering the provided team context and my training data (through my last update), the Minnesota Twins' dominant recent form (4W-1L with a...
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
No pick on this market.
First five innings ml
?
First five innings ml
Market explanation coming soon.
62%
Minnesota Twins F5 ML Based on the provided team context and general baseball knowledge from my training data (through my last update), the Minnesota Twins' overa... |
||||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
65%
Minnesota Twins |
58%
Over 8.5 |
57%
Minnesota Twins -1.5 |
— |
62%
Minnesota Twins F5 ML |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
65%
Minnesota Twins Based on provided team context and general baseball knowledge from my training data (through my last update), the Minnesota Twins exhibit si...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
58%
Over 8.5 Drawing from the provided team context and my training knowledge (through my last update), the Philadelphia Phillies have shown poor defensi...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
57%
Minnesota Twins -1.5 Considering the provided team context and my training data (through my last update), the Minnesota Twins' dominant recent form (4W-1L with a...
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
No pick on this market.
First five innings ml
?
First five innings ml
Market explanation coming soon.
62%
Minnesota Twins F5 ML Based on the provided team context and general baseball knowledge from my training data (through my last update), the Minnesota Twins' overa... |
||||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
60%
Philadelphia Phillies |
55%
over |
52%
away_spread |
58%
Philadelphia Phillies |
— | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
60%
Philadelphia Phillies The Philadelphia Phillies have been in slightly better recent form, winning 2 of their last 5 games compared to the Minnesota Twins' 4 wins...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Both teams have shown strong offensive capabilities in their recent games, with the Twins scoring 28 runs and the Phillies scoring 18 runs i...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
52%
away_spread The Minnesota Twins have a stronger recent record (4-1) and have been more defensively sound than the Philadelphia Phillies (2-3). While the...
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
58%
Philadelphia Phillies The Philadelphia Phillies, despite a weaker overall recent record, have shown they can score runs. Their ability to put up runs early in gam...
First five innings ml
?
First five innings ml
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market. |
||||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
60%
Philadelphia Phillies |
55%
over |
52%
away_spread |
58%
Philadelphia Phillies |
— | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
60%
Philadelphia Phillies The Philadelphia Phillies have been in slightly better recent form, winning 2 of their last 5 games compared to the Minnesota Twins' 4 wins...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Both teams have shown strong offensive capabilities in their recent games, with the Twins scoring 28 runs and the Phillies scoring 18 runs i...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
52%
away_spread The Minnesota Twins have a stronger recent record (4-1) and have been more defensively sound than the Philadelphia Phillies (2-3). While the...
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
58%
Philadelphia Phillies The Philadelphia Phillies, despite a weaker overall recent record, have shown they can score runs. Their ability to put up runs early in gam...
First five innings ml
?
First five innings ml
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market. |
||||||
DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
55%
Minnesota Twins |
60%
over |
50%
Minnesota Twins -1.5 |
55%
Minnesota Twins |
— | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Minnesota Twins The Twins have won four of their last five and are at home, while the Phillies have lost three of five. Minnesota's home advantage and momen...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
over Both teams have shown recent high-scoring outputs (Phillies scored 18 and conceded 33 in last five; Twins scored 28 and conceded 16). Target...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
50%
Minnesota Twins -1.5 The Twins are favored at home and have good form, but a two-run margin is not assured. This is a 50-50 split, with a slight lean to the Twin...
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
55%
Minnesota Twins Minnesota's strong recent starting pitching and home advantage should give them the edge in the first five innings. The Phillies have been i...
First five innings ml
?
First five innings ml
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market. |
||||||
|
DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
55%
Minnesota Twins |
60%
over |
50%
Minnesota Twins -1.5 |
55%
Minnesota Twins |
— | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Minnesota Twins The Twins have won four of their last five and are at home, while the Phillies have lost three of five. Minnesota's home advantage and momen...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
over Both teams have shown recent high-scoring outputs (Phillies scored 18 and conceded 33 in last five; Twins scored 28 and conceded 16). Target...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
50%
Minnesota Twins -1.5 The Twins are favored at home and have good form, but a two-run margin is not assured. This is a 50-50 split, with a slight lean to the Twin...
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
55%
Minnesota Twins Minnesota's strong recent starting pitching and home advantage should give them the edge in the first five innings. The Phillies have been i...
First five innings ml
?
First five innings ml
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market. |
||||||
Match winner
ConsensusMinnesota Twins 12/14
Claude Haiku 4.5
62%
Minnesota Twins
Minnesota enters with strong recent form (4W-1L over last 5) and a +12 run differential, while Philadelphia has struggled at 2W-3L with a -1...
Claude Haiku 4.5
62%
Minnesota Twins
Minnesota enters with strong recent form (4W-1L over last 5) and a +12 run differential, while Philadelphia has struggled at 2W-3L with a -1...
GPT-5 Mini
62%
Minnesota Twins
Minnesota has better recent form (four wins in last five) and is playing at Target Field where they have been more comfortable; Philadelphia...
GPT-5 Mini
62%
Minnesota Twins
Minnesota has better recent form (four wins in last five) and is playing at Target Field where they have been more comfortable; Philadelphia...
GPT-4o Mini
65%
Minnesota Twins
The Minnesota Twins have been in strong form recently, winning four of their last five games, while the Philadelphia Phillies have struggled...
GPT-4o Mini
65%
Minnesota Twins
The Minnesota Twins have been in strong form recently, winning four of their last five games, while the Philadelphia Phillies have struggled...
Grok 4 Fast
56%
Minnesota Twins
Twins enter with strong recent form (WWWWL) and superior scoring/conceding numbers at home compared to Phillies' LWLLW. Target Field favors...
Grok 4 Fast
56%
Minnesota Twins
Twins enter with strong recent form (WWWWL) and superior scoring/conceding numbers at home compared to Phillies' LWLLW. Target Field favors...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
65%
Minnesota Twins
Based on provided team context and general baseball knowledge from my training data (through my last update), the Minnesota Twins exhibit si...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
65%
Minnesota Twins
Based on provided team context and general baseball knowledge from my training data (through my last update), the Minnesota Twins exhibit si...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
60%
Philadelphia Phillies
The Philadelphia Phillies have been in slightly better recent form, winning 2 of their last 5 games compared to the Minnesota Twins' 4 wins...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
60%
Philadelphia Phillies
The Philadelphia Phillies have been in slightly better recent form, winning 2 of their last 5 games compared to the Minnesota Twins' 4 wins...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Minnesota Twins
The Twins have won four of their last five and are at home, while the Phillies have lost three of five. Minnesota's home advantage and momen...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Minnesota Twins
The Twins have won four of their last five and are at home, while the Phillies have lost three of five. Minnesota's home advantage and momen...
Over / Under
Consensusover 10/14
Claude Haiku 4.5
58%
Over 8.5
Minnesota's offense is hot (28 runs in 5 games, 5.6 per game) and Philadelphia's bullpen has been porous (33 runs conceded in 5 games). Targ...
Claude Haiku 4.5
58%
Over 8.5
Minnesota's offense is hot (28 runs in 5 games, 5.6 per game) and Philadelphia's bullpen has been porous (33 runs conceded in 5 games). Targ...
GPT-5 Mini
57%
over
Combined recent scoring points to a higher run environment (Twins scored 28 and Phillies allowed 33 across their last five per the provided...
GPT-5 Mini
57%
over
Combined recent scoring points to a higher run environment (Twins scored 28 and Phillies allowed 33 across their last five per the provided...
GPT-4o Mini
60%
over
Both teams have shown inconsistent pitching performances recently, leading to higher-scoring games. The Twins' offense has been potent, aver...
GPT-4o Mini
60%
over
Both teams have shown inconsistent pitching performances recently, leading to higher-scoring games. The Twins' offense has been potent, aver...
Grok 4 Fast
53%
over
Twins offense hot at home while Phillies bullpen has allowed heavy scoring recently. Outdoor venue and August conditions typically boost run...
Grok 4 Fast
53%
over
Twins offense hot at home while Phillies bullpen has allowed heavy scoring recently. Outdoor venue and August conditions typically boost run...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
58%
Over 8.5
Drawing from the provided team context and my training knowledge (through my last update), the Philadelphia Phillies have shown poor defensi...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
58%
Over 8.5
Drawing from the provided team context and my training knowledge (through my last update), the Philadelphia Phillies have shown poor defensi...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
over
Both teams have shown strong offensive capabilities in their recent games, with the Twins scoring 28 runs and the Phillies scoring 18 runs i...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
over
Both teams have shown strong offensive capabilities in their recent games, with the Twins scoring 28 runs and the Phillies scoring 18 runs i...
DeepSeek V3
60%
over
Both teams have shown recent high-scoring outputs (Phillies scored 18 and conceded 33 in last five; Twins scored 28 and conceded 16). Target...
DeepSeek V3
60%
over
Both teams have shown recent high-scoring outputs (Phillies scored 18 and conceded 33 in last five; Twins scored 28 and conceded 16). Target...
Spread
ConsensusMinnesota Twins -1.5 8/14
Claude Haiku 4.5
55%
Minnesota Twins -1.5
The Twins' recent dominance and run-scoring advantage make them slight favorites to win by 2+ runs at home. Philadelphia's defensive struggl...
Claude Haiku 4.5
55%
Minnesota Twins -1.5
The Twins' recent dominance and run-scoring advantage make them slight favorites to win by 2+ runs at home. Philadelphia's defensive struggl...
GPT-5 Mini
52%
Minnesota Twins -1.5
Given Minnesota's stronger recent form at home and Philadelphia's shaky recent run prevention, I lean to the Twins covering a -1.5 runline b...
GPT-5 Mini
52%
Minnesota Twins -1.5
Given Minnesota's stronger recent form at home and Philadelphia's shaky recent run prevention, I lean to the Twins covering a -1.5 runline b...
GPT-4o Mini
55%
Minnesota Twins
The Twins' recent form and home advantage suggest they are likely to win by at least two runs. However, the Phillies' offense could keep the...
GPT-4o Mini
55%
Minnesota Twins
The Twins' recent form and home advantage suggest they are likely to win by at least two runs. However, the Phillies' offense could keep the...
Grok 4 Fast
52%
Minnesota Twins
Home team has won 4 of last 5 and Twins pitching should keep games close or in their favor on the run line. Phillies road form is shaky. Tra...
Grok 4 Fast
52%
Minnesota Twins
Home team has won 4 of last 5 and Twins pitching should keep games close or in their favor on the run line. Phillies road form is shaky. Tra...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
57%
Minnesota Twins -1.5
Considering the provided team context and my training data (through my last update), the Minnesota Twins' dominant recent form (4W-1L with a...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
57%
Minnesota Twins -1.5
Considering the provided team context and my training data (through my last update), the Minnesota Twins' dominant recent form (4W-1L with a...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
52%
away_spread
The Minnesota Twins have a stronger recent record (4-1) and have been more defensively sound than the Philadelphia Phillies (2-3). While the...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
52%
away_spread
The Minnesota Twins have a stronger recent record (4-1) and have been more defensively sound than the Philadelphia Phillies (2-3). While the...
DeepSeek V3
50%
Minnesota Twins -1.5
The Twins are favored at home and have good form, but a two-run margin is not assured. This is a 50-50 split, with a slight lean to the Twin...
DeepSeek V3
50%
Minnesota Twins -1.5
The Twins are favored at home and have good form, but a two-run margin is not assured. This is a 50-50 split, with a slight lean to the Twin...
First 5 innings
ConsensusMinnesota Twins 8/12
Claude Haiku 4.5
54%
Over 4.5
The first five innings isolate starting-pitcher matchup and early-inning offensive momentum. Minnesota's red-hot lineup (5.6 runs/game avera...
Claude Haiku 4.5
54%
Over 4.5
The first five innings isolate starting-pitcher matchup and early-inning offensive momentum. Minnesota's red-hot lineup (5.6 runs/game avera...
GPT-5 Mini
55%
Minnesota Twins
First-five outcomes hinge on starters; because the aggregated probable-pitcher feeds still showed TBA for Aug 15 I default to team-level ind...
GPT-5 Mini
55%
Minnesota Twins
First-five outcomes hinge on starters; because the aggregated probable-pitcher feeds still showed TBA for Aug 15 I default to team-level ind...
GPT-4o Mini
60%
Minnesota Twins
The Twins' strong recent form and home advantage suggest they will lead after the first five innings. The Phillies' recent struggles make it...
GPT-4o Mini
60%
Minnesota Twins
The Twins' strong recent form and home advantage suggest they will lead after the first five innings. The Phillies' recent struggles make it...
Grok 4 Fast
51%
Minnesota Twins
Starting pitcher matchup and Twins recent early-game success at home give slight edge to home side in first five. Limited rest data noted. T...
Grok 4 Fast
51%
Minnesota Twins
Starting pitcher matchup and Twins recent early-game success at home give slight edge to home side in first five. Limited rest data noted. T...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
58%
Philadelphia Phillies
The Philadelphia Phillies, despite a weaker overall recent record, have shown they can score runs. Their ability to put up runs early in gam...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
58%
Philadelphia Phillies
The Philadelphia Phillies, despite a weaker overall recent record, have shown they can score runs. Their ability to put up runs early in gam...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Minnesota Twins
Minnesota's strong recent starting pitching and home advantage should give them the edge in the first five innings. The Phillies have been i...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Minnesota Twins
Minnesota's strong recent starting pitching and home advantage should give them the edge in the first five innings. The Phillies have been i...
First five innings ml
ConsensusMinnesota Twins F5 ML 2/2
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
—
Grok 4 Fast
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash
62%
Minnesota Twins F5 ML
Based on the provided team context and general baseball knowledge from my training data (through my last update), the Minnesota Twins' overa...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
62%
Minnesota Twins F5 ML
Based on the provided team context and general baseball knowledge from my training data (through my last update), the Minnesota Twins' overa...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
DeepSeek V3
—
DeepSeek V3
—
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
GPT-4o Mini
Minnesota Twins
GPT-4o Mini
Minnesota Twins
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Minnesota Twins
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Minnesota Twins
Claude Haiku 4.5
Minnesota Twins
Claude Haiku 4.5
Minnesota Twins
GPT-5 Mini
Minnesota Twins
GPT-5 Mini
Minnesota Twins
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Philadelphia Phillies
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Philadelphia Phillies
Grok 4 Fast
Minnesota Twins
Grok 4 Fast
Minnesota Twins
DeepSeek V3
Minnesota Twins
DeepSeek V3
Minnesota Twins
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
0c8806cc53fa3346…
- Kickoff
- Sun, Aug 16 · 01:10 GMT+0200
- Markets
- Match winner · Over / Under · Spread · First 5 innings
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 4. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 4, in this order): h2h | totals | spreads | first_five_innings
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 24589,
"sport": "baseball",
"venue": "Target Field",
"league": "MLB",
"starts_at": "2026-08-15T23:10:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Sat, 15 Aug 2026 23:10:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Philadelphia Phillies",
"home": "Minnesota Twins"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"The starting-pitcher matchup is the single biggest factor — compare each starter's recent form, not just season ERA.",
"Bullpen rest and usage over the last few days drives late-game and total outcomes.",
"Ballpark factors matter: dimensions, altitude (e.g. Coors), and especially wind direction (out = more runs, in = fewer).",
"Lineup handedness vs the opposing starter (L/R platoon splits) shifts the run expectation.",
"Weather (wind, temperature, humidity) measurably affects carry and totals."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "LWLLW",
"record": "2W-0D-3L",
"scored": 18,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 33
},
"home_form": {
"last": "WWWWL",
"record": "4W-0D-1L",
"scored": 28,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 16
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 38,
"home": 37
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"totals",
"spreads",
"first_five_innings"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Research trail
What each AI looked up before picking
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
8 tool calls · 1 source
1 citation captured — unlock with Pro
-
56 tool calls · 6 sources
6 citations captured — unlock with Pro
Results settle automatically once the final score lands. Picks are permanent — no hindsight edits.
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
Get the AI consensus before kickoff
Free. Pre-match alert per AI + see your picks graded as results land.