Minnesota Twins vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Kickoff · Wed, Jun 24 · 23:40 GMT+0000
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
da8efe9ba32c845d…
- Kickoff
- Wed, Jun 24 · 23:40 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Over / Under · Spread · First 5 innings
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 4. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 4, in this order): h2h | totals | spreads | first_five_innings
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 5933,
"sport": "baseball",
"venue": null,
"league": "MLB",
"starts_at": "2026-06-24T23:40:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Wed, 24 Jun 2026 23:40:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Los Angeles Dodgers",
"home": "Minnesota Twins"
},
"version": "v1",
"built_at": "2026-06-21T05:54:54+00:00",
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"totals",
"spreads",
"first_five_innings"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Your call
Who wins? One tap, no signup.
AI predictions
4 markets · 7 models picked
Who picked what
16 models × 4 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||
|
Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||
|
Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||
|
Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||
|
Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
58%
Los Angeles Dodgers |
55%
Over 8.5 |
52%
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 |
54%
Los Angeles Dodgers |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
58%
Los Angeles Dodgers The Dodgers have historically been a stronger franchise with deeper resources and more consistent playoff performance. As of my training dat...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
Over 8.5 MLB in June typically sees elevated run scoring compared to early season as hitters adjust and weather warms. Both Minnesota and LA field co...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
52%
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 The Dodgers' talent edge justifies a modest moneyline edge, but a -1.5 run spread requires more conviction. Given no live data on pitching m...
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
54%
Los Angeles Dodgers Early-inning performance often correlates with starting pitcher quality and offensive lineup depth. The Dodgers' consistent roster quality s... |
|||||
GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||
|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
70%
Los Angeles Dodgers |
60%
Over 8.5 |
55%
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 |
62%
Los Angeles Dodgers |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
70%
Los Angeles Dodgers The Dodgers enter this series as one of MLB's best run-producing teams in 2026 while the Twins have been middling offensively and inconsiste...
🔍 researched
8 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
Over 8.5 Dodgers' league-leading offense combined with Minnesota's middling pitching and an available Buxton-driven lineup suggest a higher run envir...
🔍 researched
8 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 While the Dodgers are the stronger team and likely favorites, the run-line (win by 2+ runs) is tougher than the straight moneyline; Dodgers'...
🔍 researched
8 sources cited
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
62%
Los Angeles Dodgers Dodgers' consistent offense and likely normal-rest starter pattern give them the edge through five innings; Minnesota's starters and bullpen...
🔍 researched
8 sources cited
|
|||||
|
GPT-4o Mini Openai |
60%
Los Angeles Dodgers |
55%
over |
50%
Los Angeles Dodgers |
55%
Los Angeles Dodgers |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
60%
Los Angeles Dodgers The Los Angeles Dodgers have a strong away record and have been performing well recently, while the Minnesota Twins have struggled against t...
🔍 researched
3 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Both teams have potent offenses, and recent games have seen high-scoring outcomes.
🔍 researched
3 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
50%
Los Angeles Dodgers The Dodgers have been winning by multiple runs recently, suggesting they can cover the -1.5 spread.
🔍 researched
3 sources cited
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
55%
Los Angeles Dodgers The Dodgers have been strong early in games, often taking the lead in the first five innings.
🔍 researched
3 sources cited
|
|||||
|
o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||
Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||
|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
62%
Los Angeles Dodgers |
55%
over |
58%
Los Angeles Dodgers |
54%
Los Angeles Dodgers |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
62%
Los Angeles Dodgers Dodgers have been the stronger franchise historically with better pitching depth and offense. Twins struggle against elite teams on the road...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Interleague games between AL and NL teams often produce moderate run totals. Dodgers offense tends to push games over the total. Prediction...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
58%
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles typically covers the run line against weaker opponents due to bullpen depth. Home field advantage for Twins is modest in June. P...
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
54%
Los Angeles Dodgers Starting pitching edge favors Dodgers in early innings where their ace typically dominates. Twins lineup needs time to adjust. Prediction ba... |
|||||
Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
70%
Los Angeles Dodgers |
55%
Over 8.5 |
65%
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 |
68%
Los Angeles Dodgers |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
70%
Los Angeles Dodgers The Los Angeles Dodgers consistently field a top-tier roster with strong pitching and deep offense, often making them favorites against most...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
Over 8.5 Both the Dodgers and Twins typically feature offenses capable of putting up runs, especially against good but not always elite pitching. Whi...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
65%
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 The Dodgers' historical strength, marked by deep lineups and often dominant pitching, frequently leads to victories by more than one run. Ag...
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
68%
Los Angeles Dodgers The Dodgers consistently boast elite starting pitching and often get off to strong offensive starts, giving them an early advantage. This co... |
|||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
58%
Los Angeles Dodgers |
55%
over |
53%
Los Angeles Dodgers |
56%
Los Angeles Dodgers |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
58%
Los Angeles Dodgers Based on training data, the Los Angeles Dodgers generally have a stronger historical performance and roster depth compared to the Minnesota...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over MLB games, especially between competitive teams, tend to have a moderate scoring output. Without specific pitching matchups or offensive tre...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
53%
Los Angeles Dodgers Given the slight edge projected for the Dodgers in head-to-head, they are also marginally favored to cover a neutral spread. This prediction...
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
56%
Los Angeles Dodgers Teams with a stronger overall projected performance, like the Dodgers, often establish an early lead. This makes them slightly more probable... |
|||||
DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
65%
Los Angeles Dodgers |
55%
Over 8.5 |
50%
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 |
60%
Los Angeles Dodgers |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
65%
Los Angeles Dodgers The Dodgers have a much stronger lineup and rotation depth compared to the Twins, even accounting for home field advantage. Minnesota's pitc...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
Over 8.5 Both teams have potent offenses, and Twins pitchers have a high ERA against top teams. However, the Dodgers also have solid pitching, making...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
50%
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 The Dodgers are strong favorites, but winning by 2+ runs is not guaranteed. The Twins have home field advantage, which could keep the game c...
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
60%
Los Angeles Dodgers The Dodgers have a strong starting rotation, while the Twins' top pitcher is average. Early innings often favor the team with a better start... |
|||||
|
Consensus |
Los Angeles Dodgers 7/7 |
Over 8.5 4/7 |
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 4/7 |
Los Angeles Dodgers 7/7 |
|
Match winner
ConsensusLos Angeles Dodgers 7/7
Claude Haiku 4.5
58%
Los Angeles Dodgers
The Dodgers have historically been a stronger franchise with deeper resources and more consistent playoff performance. As of my training dat...
GPT-5 Mini
70%
Los Angeles Dodgers
The Dodgers enter this series as one of MLB's best run-producing teams in 2026 while the Twins have been middling offensively and inconsiste...
GPT-4o Mini
60%
Los Angeles Dodgers
The Los Angeles Dodgers have a strong away record and have been performing well recently, while the Minnesota Twins have struggled against t...
Grok 4 Fast
62%
Los Angeles Dodgers
Dodgers have been the stronger franchise historically with better pitching depth and offense. Twins struggle against elite teams on the road...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
70%
Los Angeles Dodgers
The Los Angeles Dodgers consistently field a top-tier roster with strong pitching and deep offense, often making them favorites against most...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
58%
Los Angeles Dodgers
Based on training data, the Los Angeles Dodgers generally have a stronger historical performance and roster depth compared to the Minnesota...
DeepSeek V3
65%
Los Angeles Dodgers
The Dodgers have a much stronger lineup and rotation depth compared to the Twins, even accounting for home field advantage. Minnesota's pitc...
Over / Under
ConsensusOver 8.5 4/7
Claude Haiku 4.5
55%
Over 8.5
MLB in June typically sees elevated run scoring compared to early season as hitters adjust and weather warms. Both Minnesota and LA field co...
GPT-5 Mini
60%
Over 8.5
Dodgers' league-leading offense combined with Minnesota's middling pitching and an available Buxton-driven lineup suggest a higher run envir...
GPT-4o Mini
55%
over
Both teams have potent offenses, and recent games have seen high-scoring outcomes.
Grok 4 Fast
55%
over
Interleague games between AL and NL teams often produce moderate run totals. Dodgers offense tends to push games over the total. Prediction...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
Over 8.5
Both the Dodgers and Twins typically feature offenses capable of putting up runs, especially against good but not always elite pitching. Whi...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
over
MLB games, especially between competitive teams, tend to have a moderate scoring output. Without specific pitching matchups or offensive tre...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Over 8.5
Both teams have potent offenses, and Twins pitchers have a high ERA against top teams. However, the Dodgers also have solid pitching, making...
Spread
ConsensusLos Angeles Dodgers -1.5 4/7
Claude Haiku 4.5
52%
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5
The Dodgers' talent edge justifies a modest moneyline edge, but a -1.5 run spread requires more conviction. Given no live data on pitching m...
GPT-5 Mini
55%
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5
While the Dodgers are the stronger team and likely favorites, the run-line (win by 2+ runs) is tougher than the straight moneyline; Dodgers'...
GPT-4o Mini
50%
Los Angeles Dodgers
The Dodgers have been winning by multiple runs recently, suggesting they can cover the -1.5 spread.
Grok 4 Fast
58%
Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles typically covers the run line against weaker opponents due to bullpen depth. Home field advantage for Twins is modest in June. P...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
65%
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5
The Dodgers' historical strength, marked by deep lineups and often dominant pitching, frequently leads to victories by more than one run. Ag...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
53%
Los Angeles Dodgers
Given the slight edge projected for the Dodgers in head-to-head, they are also marginally favored to cover a neutral spread. This prediction...
DeepSeek V3
50%
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5
The Dodgers are strong favorites, but winning by 2+ runs is not guaranteed. The Twins have home field advantage, which could keep the game c...
First 5 innings
ConsensusLos Angeles Dodgers 7/7
Claude Haiku 4.5
54%
Los Angeles Dodgers
Early-inning performance often correlates with starting pitcher quality and offensive lineup depth. The Dodgers' consistent roster quality s...
GPT-5 Mini
62%
Los Angeles Dodgers
Dodgers' consistent offense and likely normal-rest starter pattern give them the edge through five innings; Minnesota's starters and bullpen...
GPT-4o Mini
55%
Los Angeles Dodgers
The Dodgers have been strong early in games, often taking the lead in the first five innings.
Grok 4 Fast
54%
Los Angeles Dodgers
Starting pitching edge favors Dodgers in early innings where their ace typically dominates. Twins lineup needs time to adjust. Prediction ba...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
68%
Los Angeles Dodgers
The Dodgers consistently boast elite starting pitching and often get off to strong offensive starts, giving them an early advantage. This co...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
56%
Los Angeles Dodgers
Teams with a stronger overall projected performance, like the Dodgers, often establish an early lead. This makes them slightly more probable...
DeepSeek V3
60%
Los Angeles Dodgers
The Dodgers have a strong starting rotation, while the Twins' top pitcher is average. Early innings often favor the team with a better start...
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Research trail
What each AI looked up before picking
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
4 tool calls · 3 sources
3 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
48 tool calls · 8 sources
8 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
Results settle automatically once the final score lands. Picks are permanent — no hindsight edits.
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
Get the AI consensus before kickoff
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