Minnesota Twins vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Kickoff · Mon, Jun 22 · 23:40 GMT+0000
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
ce550e392d0f2abc…
- Kickoff
- Mon, Jun 22 · 23:40 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Over / Under · Spread · First 5 innings
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 4. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 4, in this order): h2h | totals | spreads | first_five_innings
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 5127,
"sport": "baseball",
"venue": null,
"league": "MLB",
"starts_at": "2026-06-22T23:40:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Mon, 22 Jun 2026 23:40:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Los Angeles Dodgers",
"home": "Minnesota Twins"
},
"version": "v1",
"built_at": "2026-06-19T05:48:41+00:00",
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"totals",
"spreads",
"first_five_innings"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Your call
Who wins? One tap, no signup.
AI predictions
4 markets · 6 models picked
Who picked what
16 models × 4 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||
|
Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||
|
Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||
|
Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||
|
Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
58%
Los Angeles Dodgers |
54%
Over 8.5 |
52%
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 |
56%
Over 4.5 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
58%
Los Angeles Dodgers The Dodgers have historically been a stronger franchise with deeper talent depth and more consistent playoff performance. However, the Twins...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
54%
Over 8.5 June baseball typically sees moderately elevated run-scoring as weather warms and hitters find form. Both the Twins and Dodgers field compet...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
52%
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 The Dodgers' organizational strength and talent depth suggest a slight edge in a single game, justifying a -1.5 line. However, home-field ad...
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
56%
Over 4.5 Early-inning totals in June tend to trend slightly toward runs as hitters are warming into the season and relief arms haven't yet fully ente... |
|||||
GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||
|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
No pick on this market. |
|||||
|
GPT-4o Mini Openai |
60%
Los Angeles Dodgers |
55%
over |
60%
Los Angeles Dodgers |
55%
Los Angeles Dodgers |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
60%
Los Angeles Dodgers The Los Angeles Dodgers have a strong away record and have been performing well recently, while the Minnesota Twins have struggled against t...
🔍 researched
3 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Both teams have potent offenses, and the Dodgers' pitching staff has shown vulnerability on the road. This suggests a higher likelihood of a...
🔍 researched
3 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
60%
Los Angeles Dodgers The Dodgers' superior lineup and recent form make them likely to cover the -1 spread against the Twins, who have struggled against top teams...
🔍 researched
3 sources cited
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
55%
Los Angeles Dodgers The Dodgers' offense tends to start strong, and with the Twins' recent pitching struggles, the Dodgers are likely to lead after the first fi...
🔍 researched
3 sources cited
|
|||||
|
o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||
Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||
|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
62%
Los Angeles Dodgers |
53%
over |
55%
away_ -1.5 |
59%
Los Angeles Dodgers |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
62%
Los Angeles Dodgers Dodgers maintain superior roster depth and starting pitching compared to Twins based on historical trends through 2025. Home team has shown...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
53%
over Interleague matchups between these clubs have trended toward higher run totals in prior years. Dodgers lineup generates consistent power whi...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
away_ -1.5 Los Angeles has covered the run line more frequently on the road against weaker AL Central sides. Twins bullpen vulnerabilities increase lat...
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
59%
Los Angeles Dodgers LA typically establishes early leads via strong top-of-order hitting. Twins early-inning starters have posted higher ERAs historically. Trai... |
|||||
Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
60%
Los Angeles Dodgers |
52%
Over 8.5 |
58%
Minnesota Twins +1.5 |
58%
Los Angeles Dodgers |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
60%
Los Angeles Dodgers Based on training data through my knowledge cutoff, the Los Angeles Dodgers are historically a dominant force in MLB, known for their strong...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
52%
Over 8.5 Based on training data through my knowledge cutoff, both the Dodgers and Twins typically feature strong offensive lineups capable of scoring...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
58%
Minnesota Twins +1.5 Based on training data through my knowledge cutoff, while the Los Angeles Dodgers are a strong team, the run line of -1.5 is challenging to...
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
58%
Los Angeles Dodgers Based on training data through my knowledge cutoff, the Los Angeles Dodgers typically boast strong starting pitching and an offense that can... |
|||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
55%
Los Angeles Dodgers |
60%
over |
52%
Los Angeles Dodgers |
53%
Los Angeles Dodgers |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Los Angeles Dodgers The Los Angeles Dodgers are a historically strong team, and while the Minnesota Twins can be competitive, the Dodgers generally hold an edge...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
over Both teams have offenses capable of scoring runs. Given the nature of baseball games, particularly interleague matchups where pitching match...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
52%
Los Angeles Dodgers While not a strong lean, the Dodgers' general superiority suggests they are more likely to cover a small spread like -1.5 than the Twins. Th...
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
53%
Los Angeles Dodgers Interleague games can sometimes see uneven performance, and historically, the Dodgers have been a more consistent performer early in games.... |
|||||
DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
65%
Los Angeles Dodgers |
55%
Over 8.5 |
50%
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 |
60%
Los Angeles Dodgers |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
65%
Los Angeles Dodgers The Dodgers have a historically stronger lineup and deeper pitching rotation compared to the Twins. Although the game is in Minnesota, LA's...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
Over 8.5 Both teams have potent offenses capable of scoring runs, and the Twins' pitching staff has struggled this season. Weather in Minneapolis in...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
50%
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 The Dodgers have the offensive firepower to win by multiple runs, but run-line predictions are inherently less certain due to variability in...
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
60%
Los Angeles Dodgers The Dodgers' starting rotation typically starts strong, and their bullpen depth is superior. In early innings, LA's experienced hitters ofte... |
|||||
|
Consensus |
Los Angeles Dodgers 6/6 |
Over 8.5 3/6 |
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 2/6 |
Los Angeles Dodgers 5/6 |
|
Match winner
ConsensusLos Angeles Dodgers 6/6
Claude Haiku 4.5
58%
Los Angeles Dodgers
The Dodgers have historically been a stronger franchise with deeper talent depth and more consistent playoff performance. However, the Twins...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
60%
Los Angeles Dodgers
The Los Angeles Dodgers have a strong away record and have been performing well recently, while the Minnesota Twins have struggled against t...
Grok 4 Fast
62%
Los Angeles Dodgers
Dodgers maintain superior roster depth and starting pitching compared to Twins based on historical trends through 2025. Home team has shown...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
60%
Los Angeles Dodgers
Based on training data through my knowledge cutoff, the Los Angeles Dodgers are historically a dominant force in MLB, known for their strong...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
Los Angeles Dodgers
The Los Angeles Dodgers are a historically strong team, and while the Minnesota Twins can be competitive, the Dodgers generally hold an edge...
DeepSeek V3
65%
Los Angeles Dodgers
The Dodgers have a historically stronger lineup and deeper pitching rotation compared to the Twins. Although the game is in Minnesota, LA's...
Over / Under
ConsensusOver 8.5 3/6
Claude Haiku 4.5
54%
Over 8.5
June baseball typically sees moderately elevated run-scoring as weather warms and hitters find form. Both the Twins and Dodgers field compet...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
55%
over
Both teams have potent offenses, and the Dodgers' pitching staff has shown vulnerability on the road. This suggests a higher likelihood of a...
Grok 4 Fast
53%
over
Interleague matchups between these clubs have trended toward higher run totals in prior years. Dodgers lineup generates consistent power whi...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
52%
Over 8.5
Based on training data through my knowledge cutoff, both the Dodgers and Twins typically feature strong offensive lineups capable of scoring...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
60%
over
Both teams have offenses capable of scoring runs. Given the nature of baseball games, particularly interleague matchups where pitching match...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Over 8.5
Both teams have potent offenses capable of scoring runs, and the Twins' pitching staff has struggled this season. Weather in Minneapolis in...
Spread
ConsensusLos Angeles Dodgers -1.5 2/6
Claude Haiku 4.5
52%
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5
The Dodgers' organizational strength and talent depth suggest a slight edge in a single game, justifying a -1.5 line. However, home-field ad...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
60%
Los Angeles Dodgers
The Dodgers' superior lineup and recent form make them likely to cover the -1 spread against the Twins, who have struggled against top teams...
Grok 4 Fast
55%
away_ -1.5
Los Angeles has covered the run line more frequently on the road against weaker AL Central sides. Twins bullpen vulnerabilities increase lat...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
58%
Minnesota Twins +1.5
Based on training data through my knowledge cutoff, while the Los Angeles Dodgers are a strong team, the run line of -1.5 is challenging to...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
52%
Los Angeles Dodgers
While not a strong lean, the Dodgers' general superiority suggests they are more likely to cover a small spread like -1.5 than the Twins. Th...
DeepSeek V3
50%
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5
The Dodgers have the offensive firepower to win by multiple runs, but run-line predictions are inherently less certain due to variability in...
First 5 innings
ConsensusLos Angeles Dodgers 5/6
Claude Haiku 4.5
56%
Over 4.5
Early-inning totals in June tend to trend slightly toward runs as hitters are warming into the season and relief arms haven't yet fully ente...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
55%
Los Angeles Dodgers
The Dodgers' offense tends to start strong, and with the Twins' recent pitching struggles, the Dodgers are likely to lead after the first fi...
Grok 4 Fast
59%
Los Angeles Dodgers
LA typically establishes early leads via strong top-of-order hitting. Twins early-inning starters have posted higher ERAs historically. Trai...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
58%
Los Angeles Dodgers
Based on training data through my knowledge cutoff, the Los Angeles Dodgers typically boast strong starting pitching and an offense that can...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
53%
Los Angeles Dodgers
Interleague games can sometimes see uneven performance, and historically, the Dodgers have been a more consistent performer early in games....
DeepSeek V3
60%
Los Angeles Dodgers
The Dodgers' starting rotation typically starts strong, and their bullpen depth is superior. In early innings, LA's experienced hitters ofte...
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Research trail
What each AI looked up before picking
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
4 tool calls · 3 sources
3 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
Results settle automatically once the final score lands. Picks are permanent — no hindsight edits.
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
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