MLB

Upcoming · in 87h 31m

Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds

Kickoff · Mon, Jun 29 · 23:40 GMT+0000

Picks locked at Jun 26 · 05:51 GMT+0000 24 picks recorded

Chat with the AIs about this match Pick the frontier models — Claude, GPT-5, Gemini, Grok & more — and watch them answer side by side, live, on the same brief. Open chat →

Verifiable brief

Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified


                    hash:
                    485cdd052212523c…

Kickoff: Mon, Jun 29 · 23:40 GMT+0000
Markets: Match winner · Over / Under · Spread · First 5 innings
Odds: 15+ live books
Research: AIs self-source

System instruction

You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.

You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.

Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
  `predictions` array length MUST equal 4. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
  "0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
  plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
  actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
  explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.

Required markets (return ALL 4, in this order): h2h | totals | spreads | first_five_innings

Output schema:
{
  "used_research_tools": true | false,
  "sources_cited": [
    { "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
  ],
  "predictions": [
    {
      "market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
      "pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
      "confidence": 0.0,
      "probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
      "reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
      "signals": [
        { "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
          "label": "Short fact in plain text.",
          "lean":  "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
      ],
      "tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
    }
  ]
}

User brief (JSON)

{
    "event": {
        "id": 7658,
        "sport": "baseball",
        "venue": null,
        "league": "MLB",
        "starts_at": "2026-06-29T23:40:00+00:00",
        "starts_at_human": "Mon, 29 Jun 2026 23:40:00 GMT"
    },
    "teams": {
        "away": "Cincinnati Reds",
        "home": "Milwaukee Brewers"
    },
    "version": "v1",
    "market_consensus": {
        "h2h": [],
        "note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
        "extra_markets": []
    },
    "markets_requested": [
        "h2h",
        "totals",
        "spreads",
        "first_five_innings"
    ],
    "research_directive": [
        "Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
        "recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
        "Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
        "If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
    ]
}

The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.

Your call

Who wins? One tap, no signup.

AI predictions

4 markets · 6 models picked

Who picked what

16 models × 4 markets · click a row to see reasoning

Unlock flagship models

Model	Match winner ?	Over / Under ?	Spread ?	First 5 innings ?
Claude Opus 4.7 Flagship Anthropic · 79-102 -47.7u	Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro Get Pro
Claude Opus 4.6 Flagship Anthropic · 79-96 -36.8u	Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro Get Pro
Claude Opus 4.8 Flagship Anthropic · 45-48 -25.4u	Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro Get Pro
Claude Sonnet 4.6 Flagship Anthropic · 310-354 -253.1u	Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro Get Pro
Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic · 453-552 -451.6u	58% Milwaukee Brewers	55% Over 8.5	54% Milwaukee Brewers -1.5	52% Under 4.5
Match winner ? 58% Milwaukee Brewers The Brewers have historically been the stronger franchise and typically maintain competitive advantage in division play. Without access to l... Unlock reasoning · Pro Over / Under ? 55% Over 8.5 MLB average run totals in late June typically cluster around 8–9 runs per game. The Brewers and Reds are mid-tier offensive teams with moder... Unlock reasoning · Pro Spread ? 54% Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 Home-field advantage in late June provides modest edge; Brewers' historical strength in division matchups supports a small negative spread.... Unlock reasoning · Pro First 5 innings ? 52% Under 4.5 First five innings typically see lower run totals than full games; early-inning scoring is suppressed by fresh pitchers and colder bats. A s... Unlock reasoning · Pro
GPT-5 Flagship Openai · 40-31 -9.7u	Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro Get Pro
GPT-5 Mini Openai · 245-235 -85.9u	—	—	—	—
Match winner ? No pick on this market. Over / Under ? No pick on this market. Spread ? No pick on this market. First 5 innings ? No pick on this market.
GPT-4o Mini Openai · 397-401 -281.7u	55% Cincinnati Reds	60% over	50% Cincinnati Reds	55% Cincinnati Reds
Match winner ? 55% Cincinnati Reds The Cincinnati Reds have shown strong performance recently, with a solid record in their last five games. The Milwaukee Brewers have been in... Unlock reasoning · Pro 🔍 researched 1 source cited Over / Under ? 60% over Both teams have potent offenses, and recent games have seen high-scoring outcomes. This suggests a likelihood of the total runs exceeding 9.... Unlock reasoning · Pro 🔍 researched 1 source cited Spread ? 50% Cincinnati Reds The Reds' recent form and the Brewers' inconsistency make a close game likely, with the Reds potentially winning by a narrow margin. Unlock reasoning · Pro 🔍 researched 1 source cited First 5 innings ? 55% Cincinnati Reds The Reds have been strong in the early innings recently, suggesting they may lead after the first five innings. Unlock reasoning · Pro 🔍 researched 1 source cited
o4-mini Flagship Openai · 25-22 -10.8u	Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro Get Pro
Grok 4.3 Flagship Xai · 60-53 -10.8u	Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro Get Pro
Grok 4 Fast Xai · 429-448 -258.1u	57% Milwaukee Brewers	52% over	54% Milwaukee Brewers -1.5	53% Milwaukee Brewers
Match winner ? 57% Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee has historically held a home edge over Cincinnati in regular season matchups per training data through 2025. Brewers pitching staf... Unlock reasoning · Pro Over / Under ? 52% over Both lineups feature contact hitters who elevate run totals in Miller Park's hitter-friendly dimensions based on historical patterns. Averag... Unlock reasoning · Pro Spread ? 54% Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 Milwaukee's home record and bullpen depth provide a consistent 1.5-run advantage against Cincinnati in training data through 2025. Reds stru... Unlock reasoning · Pro First 5 innings ? 53% Milwaukee Brewers Starting pitcher matchups and early-inning execution favor the Brewers at home according to historical splits. Cincinnati's offense tends to... Unlock reasoning · Pro
Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship Google · 49-56 -17.6u	Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro Get Pro
Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship Google · 77-110 -59.9u	Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro Get Pro
Gemini 2.5 Flash Google · 430-470 -368.5u	58% Milwaukee Brewers	55% Over 8.5	52% Milwaukee Brewers -1.5	57% Milwaukee Brewers F5
Match winner ? 58% Milwaukee Brewers This prediction is based on training data through my last update, as specific real-time information for June 2026 is unavailable. Historical... Unlock reasoning · Pro Over / Under ? 55% Over 8.5 This prediction is based on training data through my last update, as specific real-time information for June 2026 is unavailable. MLB scorin... Unlock reasoning · Pro Spread ? 52% Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 This prediction is based on training data through my last update, as specific real-time information for June 2026 is unavailable. Given the... Unlock reasoning · Pro First 5 innings ? 57% Milwaukee Brewers F5 This prediction is based on training data through my last update, as specific real-time information for June 2026 is unavailable. The Brewer... Unlock reasoning · Pro
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Google · 402-507 -358.3u	65% Milwaukee Brewers	55% over	58% Milwaukee Brewers	60% Milwaukee Brewers
Match winner ? 65% Milwaukee Brewers Based on training data, the Milwaukee Brewers are generally stronger at home than the Cincinnati Reds are on the road. The Brewers typically... Unlock reasoning · Pro Over / Under ? 55% over Training data suggests a tendency for games between these teams, particularly when the Brewers are home, to have a moderate scoring output.... Unlock reasoning · Pro Spread ? 58% Milwaukee Brewers Given the Brewers' general strength at home and the Reds' struggles on the road, the Brewers are favored to win by more than a single run. T... Unlock reasoning · Pro First 5 innings ? 60% Milwaukee Brewers The Brewers' typical strong starts at home, often driven by their home pitching and early offensive momentum, make them the favored pick for... Unlock reasoning · Pro
DeepSeek V3 Deepseek · 474-536 -314.8u	55% Milwaukee Brewers	55% Over 8.5	35% Milwaukee Brewers -1.5	55% Milwaukee Brewers
Match winner ? 55% Milwaukee Brewers The Brewers have a slightly stronger home record and a deeper pitching staff, but the Reds have improved offensively. This game is closely m... Unlock reasoning · Pro Over / Under ? 55% Over 8.5 Both bullpens have been inconsistent, and the ballpark favors hitters in warm weather. Recent meetings have seen plenty of runs, and the ove... Unlock reasoning · Pro Spread ? 35% Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 The game is expected to be close, with both teams evenly matched. While the Brewers are favored, covering a 1.5-run spread is difficult in a... Unlock reasoning · Pro First 5 innings ? 55% Milwaukee Brewers The Brewers' starting pitcher typically performs well at home in the early innings, while the Reds' early-game offense has been inconsistent... Unlock reasoning · Pro
Consensus	Milwaukee Brewers 5/6	Over 8.5 3/6	Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 4/6	Milwaukee Brewers 3/6

Match winner

Consensus
Milwaukee Brewers 5/6

Claude Opus 4.7 Pro

Claude Opus 4.6 Pro

Claude Opus 4.8 Pro

Claude Sonnet 4.6 Pro

Claude Haiku 4.5 58% Milwaukee Brewers

The Brewers have historically been the stronger franchise and typically maintain competitive advantage in division play. Without access to l...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

GPT-5 Pro

GPT-5 Mini —

GPT-4o Mini 55% Cincinnati Reds

The Cincinnati Reds have shown strong performance recently, with a solid record in their last five games. The Milwaukee Brewers have been in...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

🔍 researched 1 source cited

o4-mini Pro

Grok 4.3 Pro

Grok 4 Fast 57% Milwaukee Brewers

Milwaukee has historically held a home edge over Cincinnati in regular season matchups per training data through 2025. Brewers pitching staf...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

Gemini 3.1 Pro Pro

Gemini 2.5 Pro Pro

Gemini 2.5 Flash 58% Milwaukee Brewers

This prediction is based on training data through my last update, as specific real-time information for June 2026 is unavailable. Historical...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite 65% Milwaukee Brewers

Based on training data, the Milwaukee Brewers are generally stronger at home than the Cincinnati Reds are on the road. The Brewers typically...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

DeepSeek V3 55% Milwaukee Brewers

The Brewers have a slightly stronger home record and a deeper pitching staff, but the Reds have improved offensively. This game is closely m...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

Over / Under

Consensus
Over 8.5 3/6

Claude Opus 4.7 Pro

Claude Opus 4.6 Pro

Claude Opus 4.8 Pro

Claude Sonnet 4.6 Pro

Claude Haiku 4.5 55% Over 8.5

MLB average run totals in late June typically cluster around 8–9 runs per game. The Brewers and Reds are mid-tier offensive teams with moder...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

GPT-5 Pro

GPT-5 Mini —

GPT-4o Mini 60% over

Both teams have potent offenses, and recent games have seen high-scoring outcomes. This suggests a likelihood of the total runs exceeding 9....

Unlock reasoning · Pro

🔍 researched 1 source cited

o4-mini Pro

Grok 4.3 Pro

Grok 4 Fast 52% over

Both lineups feature contact hitters who elevate run totals in Miller Park's hitter-friendly dimensions based on historical patterns. Averag...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

Gemini 3.1 Pro Pro

Gemini 2.5 Pro Pro

Gemini 2.5 Flash 55% Over 8.5

This prediction is based on training data through my last update, as specific real-time information for June 2026 is unavailable. MLB scorin...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite 55% over

Training data suggests a tendency for games between these teams, particularly when the Brewers are home, to have a moderate scoring output....

Unlock reasoning · Pro

DeepSeek V3 55% Over 8.5

Both bullpens have been inconsistent, and the ballpark favors hitters in warm weather. Recent meetings have seen plenty of runs, and the ove...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

Spread

Consensus
Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 4/6

Claude Opus 4.7 Pro

Claude Opus 4.6 Pro

Claude Opus 4.8 Pro

Claude Sonnet 4.6 Pro

Claude Haiku 4.5 54% Milwaukee Brewers -1.5

Home-field advantage in late June provides modest edge; Brewers' historical strength in division matchups supports a small negative spread....

Unlock reasoning · Pro

GPT-5 Pro

GPT-5 Mini —

GPT-4o Mini 50% Cincinnati Reds

The Reds' recent form and the Brewers' inconsistency make a close game likely, with the Reds potentially winning by a narrow margin.

Unlock reasoning · Pro

🔍 researched 1 source cited

o4-mini Pro

Grok 4.3 Pro

Grok 4 Fast 54% Milwaukee Brewers -1.5

Milwaukee's home record and bullpen depth provide a consistent 1.5-run advantage against Cincinnati in training data through 2025. Reds stru...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

Gemini 3.1 Pro Pro

Gemini 2.5 Pro Pro

Gemini 2.5 Flash 52% Milwaukee Brewers -1.5

This prediction is based on training data through my last update, as specific real-time information for June 2026 is unavailable. Given the...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite 58% Milwaukee Brewers

Given the Brewers' general strength at home and the Reds' struggles on the road, the Brewers are favored to win by more than a single run. T...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

DeepSeek V3 35% Milwaukee Brewers -1.5

The game is expected to be close, with both teams evenly matched. While the Brewers are favored, covering a 1.5-run spread is difficult in a...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

First 5 innings

Consensus
Milwaukee Brewers 3/6

Claude Opus 4.7 Pro

Claude Opus 4.6 Pro

Claude Opus 4.8 Pro

Claude Sonnet 4.6 Pro

Claude Haiku 4.5 52% Under 4.5

First five innings typically see lower run totals than full games; early-inning scoring is suppressed by fresh pitchers and colder bats. A s...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

GPT-5 Pro

GPT-5 Mini —

GPT-4o Mini 55% Cincinnati Reds

The Reds have been strong in the early innings recently, suggesting they may lead after the first five innings.

Unlock reasoning · Pro

🔍 researched 1 source cited

o4-mini Pro

Grok 4.3 Pro

Grok 4 Fast 53% Milwaukee Brewers

Starting pitcher matchups and early-inning execution favor the Brewers at home according to historical splits. Cincinnati's offense tends to...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

Gemini 3.1 Pro Pro

Gemini 2.5 Pro Pro

Gemini 2.5 Flash 57% Milwaukee Brewers F5

This prediction is based on training data through my last update, as specific real-time information for June 2026 is unavailable. The Brewer...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite 60% Milwaukee Brewers

The Brewers' typical strong starts at home, often driven by their home pitching and early offensive momentum, make them the favored pick for...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

DeepSeek V3 55% Milwaukee Brewers

The Brewers' starting pitcher typically performs well at home in the early innings, while the Reds' early-game offense has been inconsistent...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

Pro on-demand

Request an AI audit

Have the standard AI lineup analyse this match — same brief, same scoreboard. Predictions appear publicly once the run finishes.

Research trail

What each AI looked up before picking

Unlock sources · Pro

Claude Haiku 4.5
0 tool calls · 0 sources

No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
GPT-4o Mini
4 tool calls · 1 source

1 citation captured — unlock with Pro
Grok 4 Fast
0 tool calls · 0 sources

No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
DeepSeek V3
0 tool calls · 0 sources

No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
0 tool calls · 0 sources

No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
Gemini 2.5 Flash
0 tool calls · 0 sources

No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.

Share this prediction

Share X Reddit WhatsApp Telegram Facebook

Results settle automatically once the final score lands. Picks are permanent — no hindsight edits.

Recent recaps

How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.

Get the AI consensus before kickoff

Free. Pre-match alert per AI + see your picks graded as results land.