Manchester City WvsReal Madrid W
Your call
Who wins? One tap, no signup.
AI predictions
8 markets · 2 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
32 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
Manchester City W 1/2 models |
Manchester City W 2/2 models |
Manchester City W 2/2 models |
under 1/2 models |
no 1/2 models |
Manchester City W 1/2 models |
Manchester City W / Manchester City W 2/2 models |
2-1 2/2 models |
|
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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|
Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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|
GPT-4o Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
|||||||||
|
GPT-4o Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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|
o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
54%
Manchester City W |
52%
Manchester City W |
58%
Manchester City W |
53%
under |
55%
no |
51%
Manchester City W |
31%
Manchester City W / Manchester City W |
18%
2-1 |
|
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
54%
Manchester City W The Asian line favours City given their home form and European experience edge. Real Madrid W are competitive but have not overturned strong...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
52%
Manchester City W Manchester City W hold a slight home edge at their regional arena based on historical European pedigree against Spanish sides. Both sides en...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
58%
Manchester City W City's home record and set-piece threat give them the edge in a no-draw scenario. Real Madrid W have been solid away but historically strugg...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
53%
under Both teams rank among the better defensive sides in the competition with low goals-conceded trends. Five rest days each reduces fatigue-driv...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
no City's home defensive organisation limits opponents to low expected goals. Real Madrid W create but rarely breach top English backlines cons...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
51%
Manchester City W City are expected to edge a narrow win that covers a -1 spread at home. Historical results show them winning by one goal frequently against...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
31%
Manchester City W / Manchester City W City are likely to take an early lead and control the game to a home win. Their home European starts are typically positive. Training data t...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
2-1 A 2-1 scoreline aligns with City's controlled home wins and Real's ability to nick a goal. Low expected goal environment points away from hi... |
|||||||||
|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
54%
Manchester City W |
52%
Manchester City W |
58%
Manchester City W |
53%
under |
55%
no |
51%
Manchester City W |
31%
Manchester City W / Manchester City W |
18%
2-1 |
|
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
54%
Manchester City W The Asian line favours City given their home form and European experience edge. Real Madrid W are competitive but have not overturned strong...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
52%
Manchester City W Manchester City W hold a slight home edge at their regional arena based on historical European pedigree against Spanish sides. Both sides en...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
58%
Manchester City W City's home record and set-piece threat give them the edge in a no-draw scenario. Real Madrid W have been solid away but historically strugg...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
53%
under Both teams rank among the better defensive sides in the competition with low goals-conceded trends. Five rest days each reduces fatigue-driv...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
no City's home defensive organisation limits opponents to low expected goals. Real Madrid W create but rarely breach top English backlines cons...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
51%
Manchester City W City are expected to edge a narrow win that covers a -1 spread at home. Historical results show them winning by one goal frequently against...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
31%
Manchester City W / Manchester City W City are likely to take an early lead and control the game to a home win. Their home European starts are typically positive. Training data t...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
2-1 A 2-1 scoreline aligns with City's controlled home wins and Real's ability to nick a goal. Low expected goal environment points away from hi... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
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|
Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
||||||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
|||||||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
|||||||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
|||||||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
|||||||||
DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
48%
Real Madrid W +0.5 |
52%
Manchester City W |
67%
Manchester City W |
62%
over |
62%
yes |
54%
Real Madrid W |
28%
Manchester City W / Manchester City W |
13%
2-1 |
|
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
48%
Real Madrid W +0.5 The half-goal line mirrors the h2h market, with City slightly favoured to win outright. Real Madrid W +0.5 covers both a draw and an away wi...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
52%
Manchester City W No live access; predicting from training data through 2025-09 plus the brief's form snapshot. Manchester City W and Real Madrid W are both e...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
67%
Manchester City W Removing the draw lifts the home pick's probability meaningfully. City's home form profile (15 scored in 5) supports them avoiding defeat mo...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
62%
over Both clubs average roughly 3 goals scored per match in the brief's 5-game samples, and both also concede, which points to an open game. Elit...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
62%
yes Both sides have been conceding regularly (7 and 6 in 5 matches) while scoring plenty, a classic BTTS profile. Even in a tighter Champions Le...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
54%
Real Madrid W Against a -1 spread, City must win by two goals to cover, which is a stiff ask against a strong Real Madrid side. Real Madrid W plus the goa...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
28%
Manchester City W / Manchester City W City at home are the most likely half-time leaders and full-time winners, so home/home anchors the distribution. Real Madrid W's quality and...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
13%
2-1 A 2-1 City win fits the expected profile of a close but open game between two attacking sides. Alternative scorelines cluster around 1-1, 2-... |
|||||||||
|
DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
48%
Real Madrid W +0.5 |
52%
Manchester City W |
67%
Manchester City W |
62%
over |
62%
yes |
54%
Real Madrid W |
28%
Manchester City W / Manchester City W |
13%
2-1 |
|
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
48%
Real Madrid W +0.5 The half-goal line mirrors the h2h market, with City slightly favoured to win outright. Real Madrid W +0.5 covers both a draw and an away wi...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
52%
Manchester City W No live access; predicting from training data through 2025-09 plus the brief's form snapshot. Manchester City W and Real Madrid W are both e...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
67%
Manchester City W Removing the draw lifts the home pick's probability meaningfully. City's home form profile (15 scored in 5) supports them avoiding defeat mo...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
62%
over Both clubs average roughly 3 goals scored per match in the brief's 5-game samples, and both also concede, which points to an open game. Elit...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
62%
yes Both sides have been conceding regularly (7 and 6 in 5 matches) while scoring plenty, a classic BTTS profile. Even in a tighter Champions Le...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
54%
Real Madrid W Against a -1 spread, City must win by two goals to cover, which is a stiff ask against a strong Real Madrid side. Real Madrid W plus the goa...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
28%
Manchester City W / Manchester City W City at home are the most likely half-time leaders and full-time winners, so home/home anchors the distribution. Real Madrid W's quality and...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
13%
2-1 A 2-1 City win fits the expected profile of a close but open game between two attacking sides. Alternative scorelines cluster around 1-1, 2-... |
|||||||||
Asian handicap
ConsensusManchester City W 1/2
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
54%
Manchester City W
The Asian line favours City given their home form and European experience edge. Real Madrid W are competitive but have not overturned strong...
Grok 4 Fast
54%
Manchester City W
The Asian line favours City given their home form and European experience edge. Real Madrid W are competitive but have not overturned strong...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
DeepSeek V3
48%
Real Madrid W +0.5
The half-goal line mirrors the h2h market, with City slightly favoured to win outright. Real Madrid W +0.5 covers both a draw and an away wi...
DeepSeek V3
48%
Real Madrid W +0.5
The half-goal line mirrors the h2h market, with City slightly favoured to win outright. Real Madrid W +0.5 covers both a draw and an away wi...
Match winner
ConsensusManchester City W 2/2
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
52%
Manchester City W
Manchester City W hold a slight home edge at their regional arena based on historical European pedigree against Spanish sides. Both sides en...
Grok 4 Fast
52%
Manchester City W
Manchester City W hold a slight home edge at their regional arena based on historical European pedigree against Spanish sides. Both sides en...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
DeepSeek V3
52%
Manchester City W
No live access; predicting from training data through 2025-09 plus the brief's form snapshot. Manchester City W and Real Madrid W are both e...
DeepSeek V3
52%
Manchester City W
No live access; predicting from training data through 2025-09 plus the brief's form snapshot. Manchester City W and Real Madrid W are both e...
Draw no bet
ConsensusManchester City W 2/2
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
58%
Manchester City W
City's home record and set-piece threat give them the edge in a no-draw scenario. Real Madrid W have been solid away but historically strugg...
Grok 4 Fast
58%
Manchester City W
City's home record and set-piece threat give them the edge in a no-draw scenario. Real Madrid W have been solid away but historically strugg...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
DeepSeek V3
67%
Manchester City W
Removing the draw lifts the home pick's probability meaningfully. City's home form profile (15 scored in 5) supports them avoiding defeat mo...
DeepSeek V3
67%
Manchester City W
Removing the draw lifts the home pick's probability meaningfully. City's home form profile (15 scored in 5) supports them avoiding defeat mo...
Over / Under
Consensusunder 1/2
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
53%
under
Both teams rank among the better defensive sides in the competition with low goals-conceded trends. Five rest days each reduces fatigue-driv...
Grok 4 Fast
53%
under
Both teams rank among the better defensive sides in the competition with low goals-conceded trends. Five rest days each reduces fatigue-driv...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
DeepSeek V3
62%
over
Both clubs average roughly 3 goals scored per match in the brief's 5-game samples, and both also concede, which points to an open game. Elit...
DeepSeek V3
62%
over
Both clubs average roughly 3 goals scored per match in the brief's 5-game samples, and both also concede, which points to an open game. Elit...
Both teams to score
Consensusno 1/2
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
55%
no
City's home defensive organisation limits opponents to low expected goals. Real Madrid W create but rarely breach top English backlines cons...
Grok 4 Fast
55%
no
City's home defensive organisation limits opponents to low expected goals. Real Madrid W create but rarely breach top English backlines cons...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
DeepSeek V3
62%
yes
Both sides have been conceding regularly (7 and 6 in 5 matches) while scoring plenty, a classic BTTS profile. Even in a tighter Champions Le...
DeepSeek V3
62%
yes
Both sides have been conceding regularly (7 and 6 in 5 matches) while scoring plenty, a classic BTTS profile. Even in a tighter Champions Le...
Spread
ConsensusManchester City W 1/2
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
51%
Manchester City W
City are expected to edge a narrow win that covers a -1 spread at home. Historical results show them winning by one goal frequently against...
Grok 4 Fast
51%
Manchester City W
City are expected to edge a narrow win that covers a -1 spread at home. Historical results show them winning by one goal frequently against...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
DeepSeek V3
54%
Real Madrid W
Against a -1 spread, City must win by two goals to cover, which is a stiff ask against a strong Real Madrid side. Real Madrid W plus the goa...
DeepSeek V3
54%
Real Madrid W
Against a -1 spread, City must win by two goals to cover, which is a stiff ask against a strong Real Madrid side. Real Madrid W plus the goa...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusManchester City W / Manchester City W 2/2
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
31%
Manchester City W / Manchester City W
City are likely to take an early lead and control the game to a home win. Their home European starts are typically positive. Training data t...
Grok 4 Fast
31%
Manchester City W / Manchester City W
City are likely to take an early lead and control the game to a home win. Their home European starts are typically positive. Training data t...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
DeepSeek V3
28%
Manchester City W / Manchester City W
City at home are the most likely half-time leaders and full-time winners, so home/home anchors the distribution. Real Madrid W's quality and...
DeepSeek V3
28%
Manchester City W / Manchester City W
City at home are the most likely half-time leaders and full-time winners, so home/home anchors the distribution. Real Madrid W's quality and...
Correct score
Consensus2-1 2/2
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
18%
2-1
A 2-1 scoreline aligns with City's controlled home wins and Real's ability to nick a goal. Low expected goal environment points away from hi...
Grok 4 Fast
18%
2-1
A 2-1 scoreline aligns with City's controlled home wins and Real's ability to nick a goal. Low expected goal environment points away from hi...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
DeepSeek V3
13%
2-1
A 2-1 City win fits the expected profile of a close but open game between two attacking sides. Alternative scorelines cluster around 1-1, 2-...
DeepSeek V3
13%
2-1
A 2-1 City win fits the expected profile of a close but open game between two attacking sides. Alternative scorelines cluster around 1-1, 2-...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Grok 4 Fast
Manchester City W
Grok 4 Fast
Manchester City W
DeepSeek V3
Manchester City W
DeepSeek V3
Manchester City W
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Refresh the read
Team newsRe-run the AIs closer to kickoff and watch the read evolve. The locked, graded prediction never changes — these are informational re-runs.
Lineups change everything — Pro re-runs the AIs after they drop.
Confirmed XIs, late injuries and line moves land in the final hour. Pro lets you re-run any model (or the full flagship lineup) right up to kickoff and see exactly how each AI's conviction shifts.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
Call the exact final score
Free account. Pick the exact final score, lock it before kickoff, beat the AI consensus across the WC and win a lifetime free plan.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
01a5c95abb9c507b…
- Kickoff
- Thu, Oct 1 · 19:00 GMT+0200
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 51609,
"sport": "football",
"venue": "Manchester Regional Arena",
"league": "UEFA Champions League Women",
"starts_at": "2026-10-01T19:00:00+02:00",
"starts_at_human": "Thu, 01 Oct 2026 17:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Real Madrid W",
"home": "Manchester City W"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "WDWWW",
"record": "4W-1D-0L",
"scored": 14,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 6
},
"home_form": {
"last": "WDWWW",
"record": "4W-1D-0L",
"scored": 15,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 7
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 5,
"home": 5
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Results settle automatically once the final score lands. Picks are permanent — no hindsight edits.
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
Get the AI consensus before kickoff
Free. Pre-match alert per AI + see your picks graded as results land.