Manchester CityvsParis Saint Germain
Your call
Who wins? One tap, no signup.
AI predictions
8 markets · 2 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
32 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
Manchester City -0.25 2/2 models |
over 1/2 models |
yes 1/2 models |
Manchester City -1 1/2 models |
Manchester City 2/2 models |
Manchester City 2/2 models |
Manchester City / Manchester City 2/2 models |
2-1 2/2 models |
|
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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|
Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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|
GPT-4o Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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|
GPT-4o Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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|
o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
55%
Manchester City -0.25 |
58%
over |
53%
yes |
49%
Manchester City -1 |
52%
Manchester City |
62%
Manchester City |
38%
Manchester City / Manchester City |
18%
2-1 |
|
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Manchester City -0.25 The quarter-goal Asian line captures City's home edge while accounting for PSG's resilience. Short rest for City is offset by venue advantag...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
58%
over Both teams average over 3 goals per match in recent form and tend to play open games in Champions League. Etihad surface and limited rest da...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
53%
yes PSG concede regularly on the road while City rarely keep clean sheets against elite attacks. Both sides' high pressing styles create transit...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
49%
Manchester City -1 City's home margin is usually narrow against PSG quality, making the -1 line close to even. PSG's recent clean defensive record away support...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
52%
Manchester City Both sides arrive in peak form with five straight wins, but Manchester City's home scoring rate of 3.8 per game edges the balance at Etihad....
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
62%
Manchester City City's superior home attacking output and shorter rest disadvantage for PSG tilt the no-draw line toward the hosts. PSG have not lost recent...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
38%
Manchester City / Manchester City City typically establish control early at home and maintain leads against continental opponents. PSG's fast starts are possible but usually...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
2-1 Expected pattern is a narrow City win with both teams scoring, aligning with recent scoring rates. PSG's counter threat keeps the scoreline... |
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
55%
Manchester City -0.25 |
58%
over |
53%
yes |
49%
Manchester City -1 |
52%
Manchester City |
62%
Manchester City |
38%
Manchester City / Manchester City |
18%
2-1 |
|
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Manchester City -0.25 The quarter-goal Asian line captures City's home edge while accounting for PSG's resilience. Short rest for City is offset by venue advantag...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
58%
over Both teams average over 3 goals per match in recent form and tend to play open games in Champions League. Etihad surface and limited rest da...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
53%
yes PSG concede regularly on the road while City rarely keep clean sheets against elite attacks. Both sides' high pressing styles create transit...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
49%
Manchester City -1 City's home margin is usually narrow against PSG quality, making the -1 line close to even. PSG's recent clean defensive record away support...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
52%
Manchester City Both sides arrive in peak form with five straight wins, but Manchester City's home scoring rate of 3.8 per game edges the balance at Etihad....
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
62%
Manchester City City's superior home attacking output and shorter rest disadvantage for PSG tilt the no-draw line toward the hosts. PSG have not lost recent...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
38%
Manchester City / Manchester City City typically establish control early at home and maintain leads against continental opponents. PSG's fast starts are possible but usually...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
2-1 Expected pattern is a narrow City win with both teams scoring, aligning with recent scoring rates. PSG's counter threat keeps the scoreline... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
||||||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
|||||||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
|||||||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
|||||||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
|||||||||
DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
55%
Manchester City -0.25 |
62%
Over 2.5 |
58%
Yes |
60%
Paris Saint Germain +1 |
52%
Manchester City |
67%
Manchester City |
31%
Manchester City / Manchester City |
13%
2-1 |
|
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Manchester City -0.25 City are slight favourites at home, and a -0.25 line means a win profits fully and a draw loses half. Given the home advantage and stronger...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
62%
Over 2.5 Both sides average well over two goals combined across recent form (City 19 in 5, PSG 13 in 5). Champions League ties between elite attackin...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
58%
Yes Both teams have scored in recent matches and possess elite attacking talent. PSG have conceded just 3 in 5 but faced weaker opposition; City...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
60%
Paris Saint Germain +1 A -1 handicap on City in a tight elite Champions League tie is a high bar; even if City win, a one-goal margin is likely. PSG's quality mean...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
52%
Manchester City No live access; predicting from training data through mid-2025. Manchester City at the Etihad in the Champions League have historically been...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
67%
Manchester City Removing the draw shifts probability toward the home side. City's superior home scoring rate and Etihad record make them the clear pick in t...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
31%
Manchester City / Manchester City The most likely HT/FT pattern is City leading at half-time and full-time, given home advantage, though elite games are often level at the br...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
13%
2-1 A 2-1 City win is the modal outcome for a tight but open elite Champions League tie at the Etihad. 1-1 and 2-0 are close alternatives, refle... |
|||||||||
|
DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
55%
Manchester City -0.25 |
62%
Over 2.5 |
58%
Yes |
60%
Paris Saint Germain +1 |
52%
Manchester City |
67%
Manchester City |
31%
Manchester City / Manchester City |
13%
2-1 |
|
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Manchester City -0.25 City are slight favourites at home, and a -0.25 line means a win profits fully and a draw loses half. Given the home advantage and stronger...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
62%
Over 2.5 Both sides average well over two goals combined across recent form (City 19 in 5, PSG 13 in 5). Champions League ties between elite attackin...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
58%
Yes Both teams have scored in recent matches and possess elite attacking talent. PSG have conceded just 3 in 5 but faced weaker opposition; City...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
60%
Paris Saint Germain +1 A -1 handicap on City in a tight elite Champions League tie is a high bar; even if City win, a one-goal margin is likely. PSG's quality mean...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
52%
Manchester City No live access; predicting from training data through mid-2025. Manchester City at the Etihad in the Champions League have historically been...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
67%
Manchester City Removing the draw shifts probability toward the home side. City's superior home scoring rate and Etihad record make them the clear pick in t...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
31%
Manchester City / Manchester City The most likely HT/FT pattern is City leading at half-time and full-time, given home advantage, though elite games are often level at the br...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
13%
2-1 A 2-1 City win is the modal outcome for a tight but open elite Champions League tie at the Etihad. 1-1 and 2-0 are close alternatives, refle... |
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Asian handicap
ConsensusManchester City -0.25 2/2
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
55%
Manchester City -0.25
The quarter-goal Asian line captures City's home edge while accounting for PSG's resilience. Short rest for City is offset by venue advantag...
Grok 4 Fast
55%
Manchester City -0.25
The quarter-goal Asian line captures City's home edge while accounting for PSG's resilience. Short rest for City is offset by venue advantag...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
DeepSeek V3
55%
Manchester City -0.25
City are slight favourites at home, and a -0.25 line means a win profits fully and a draw loses half. Given the home advantage and stronger...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Manchester City -0.25
City are slight favourites at home, and a -0.25 line means a win profits fully and a draw loses half. Given the home advantage and stronger...
Over / Under
Consensusover 1/2
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
58%
over
Both teams average over 3 goals per match in recent form and tend to play open games in Champions League. Etihad surface and limited rest da...
Grok 4 Fast
58%
over
Both teams average over 3 goals per match in recent form and tend to play open games in Champions League. Etihad surface and limited rest da...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
DeepSeek V3
62%
Over 2.5
Both sides average well over two goals combined across recent form (City 19 in 5, PSG 13 in 5). Champions League ties between elite attackin...
DeepSeek V3
62%
Over 2.5
Both sides average well over two goals combined across recent form (City 19 in 5, PSG 13 in 5). Champions League ties between elite attackin...
Both teams to score
Consensusyes 1/2
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
53%
yes
PSG concede regularly on the road while City rarely keep clean sheets against elite attacks. Both sides' high pressing styles create transit...
Grok 4 Fast
53%
yes
PSG concede regularly on the road while City rarely keep clean sheets against elite attacks. Both sides' high pressing styles create transit...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
DeepSeek V3
58%
Yes
Both teams have scored in recent matches and possess elite attacking talent. PSG have conceded just 3 in 5 but faced weaker opposition; City...
DeepSeek V3
58%
Yes
Both teams have scored in recent matches and possess elite attacking talent. PSG have conceded just 3 in 5 but faced weaker opposition; City...
Spread
ConsensusManchester City -1 1/2
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
49%
Manchester City -1
City's home margin is usually narrow against PSG quality, making the -1 line close to even. PSG's recent clean defensive record away support...
Grok 4 Fast
49%
Manchester City -1
City's home margin is usually narrow against PSG quality, making the -1 line close to even. PSG's recent clean defensive record away support...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
DeepSeek V3
60%
Paris Saint Germain +1
A -1 handicap on City in a tight elite Champions League tie is a high bar; even if City win, a one-goal margin is likely. PSG's quality mean...
DeepSeek V3
60%
Paris Saint Germain +1
A -1 handicap on City in a tight elite Champions League tie is a high bar; even if City win, a one-goal margin is likely. PSG's quality mean...
Match winner
ConsensusManchester City 2/2
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
52%
Manchester City
Both sides arrive in peak form with five straight wins, but Manchester City's home scoring rate of 3.8 per game edges the balance at Etihad....
Grok 4 Fast
52%
Manchester City
Both sides arrive in peak form with five straight wins, but Manchester City's home scoring rate of 3.8 per game edges the balance at Etihad....
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
DeepSeek V3
52%
Manchester City
No live access; predicting from training data through mid-2025. Manchester City at the Etihad in the Champions League have historically been...
DeepSeek V3
52%
Manchester City
No live access; predicting from training data through mid-2025. Manchester City at the Etihad in the Champions League have historically been...
Draw no bet
ConsensusManchester City 2/2
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
62%
Manchester City
City's superior home attacking output and shorter rest disadvantage for PSG tilt the no-draw line toward the hosts. PSG have not lost recent...
Grok 4 Fast
62%
Manchester City
City's superior home attacking output and shorter rest disadvantage for PSG tilt the no-draw line toward the hosts. PSG have not lost recent...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
DeepSeek V3
67%
Manchester City
Removing the draw shifts probability toward the home side. City's superior home scoring rate and Etihad record make them the clear pick in t...
DeepSeek V3
67%
Manchester City
Removing the draw shifts probability toward the home side. City's superior home scoring rate and Etihad record make them the clear pick in t...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusManchester City / Manchester City 2/2
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
38%
Manchester City / Manchester City
City typically establish control early at home and maintain leads against continental opponents. PSG's fast starts are possible but usually...
Grok 4 Fast
38%
Manchester City / Manchester City
City typically establish control early at home and maintain leads against continental opponents. PSG's fast starts are possible but usually...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
DeepSeek V3
31%
Manchester City / Manchester City
The most likely HT/FT pattern is City leading at half-time and full-time, given home advantage, though elite games are often level at the br...
DeepSeek V3
31%
Manchester City / Manchester City
The most likely HT/FT pattern is City leading at half-time and full-time, given home advantage, though elite games are often level at the br...
Correct score
Consensus2-1 2/2
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
18%
2-1
Expected pattern is a narrow City win with both teams scoring, aligning with recent scoring rates. PSG's counter threat keeps the scoreline...
Grok 4 Fast
18%
2-1
Expected pattern is a narrow City win with both teams scoring, aligning with recent scoring rates. PSG's counter threat keeps the scoreline...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
DeepSeek V3
13%
2-1
A 2-1 City win is the modal outcome for a tight but open elite Champions League tie at the Etihad. 1-1 and 2-0 are close alternatives, refle...
DeepSeek V3
13%
2-1
A 2-1 City win is the modal outcome for a tight but open elite Champions League tie at the Etihad. 1-1 and 2-0 are close alternatives, refle...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Grok 4 Fast
Manchester City
Grok 4 Fast
Manchester City
DeepSeek V3
Manchester City
DeepSeek V3
Manchester City
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Refresh the read
Team newsRe-run the AIs closer to kickoff and watch the read evolve. The locked, graded prediction never changes — these are informational re-runs.
Lineups change everything — Pro re-runs the AIs after they drop.
Confirmed XIs, late injuries and line moves land in the final hour. Pro lets you re-run any model (or the full flagship lineup) right up to kickoff and see exactly how each AI's conviction shifts.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
Call the exact final score
Free account. Pick the exact final score, lock it before kickoff, beat the AI consensus across the WC and win a lifetime free plan.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
8d0b5e0d4e88527b…
- Kickoff
- Wed, Oct 14 · 19:00 GMT+0200
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 58924,
"sport": "football",
"venue": "Etihad Stadium",
"league": "UEFA Champions League",
"starts_at": "2026-10-14T19:00:00+02:00",
"starts_at_human": "Wed, 14 Oct 2026 17:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Paris Saint Germain",
"home": "Manchester City"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "WWWWW",
"record": "5W-0D-0L",
"scored": 13,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 3
},
"home_form": {
"last": "WWWWW",
"record": "5W-0D-0L",
"scored": 19,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 3
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 4,
"home": 3
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Results settle automatically once the final score lands. Picks are permanent — no hindsight edits.
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
Get the AI consensus before kickoff
Free. Pre-match alert per AI + see your picks graded as results land.