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MLB UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
Upcoming · in 90h 36m
Los Angeles Dodgers logo

Los Angeles DodgersvsKansas City Royals

Kansas City Royals logo
Chat with the AIs Ask why they picked — live
Kickoff Locked 28picks

Your call

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AI predictions

Ask the AIs

Who picked what

16 models × 5 markets · click a row to see reasoning

Spread

Consensus
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 4/7
Claude Opus 4.7 Claude Opus 4.7 Pro
Claude Opus 4.6 Claude Opus 4.6 Pro
Claude Opus 4.8 Claude Opus 4.8 Pro
Claude Sonnet 4.6 Claude Sonnet 4.6 Pro
Claude Haiku 4.5 Claude Haiku 4.5 55% Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5

The Dodgers' home-field advantage, slight organizational superiority, and marginally better form (20 runs scored vs 19 conceded in home cont...

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GPT-5 GPT-5 Pro
GPT-5 Mini GPT-5 Mini 58% home_ -1.5

A -1.5 spread for the Dodgers is a reasonable target: a strong starter who eats 5–7 innings increases the chance the home team wins by multi...

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🔍 researched 6 sources cited
GPT-4o Mini GPT-4o Mini 70% Los Angeles Dodgers

Given the Dodgers' superior record and home performance, they are likely to win by at least one run. The Royals have struggled on the road,...

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🔍 researched 4 sources cited
o4-mini o4-mini Pro
Grok 4.3 Grok 4.3 Pro
Grok 4 Fast Grok 4 Fast 58% Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5

Dodgers starting pitching depth and home advantage support covering a modest run line against Royals lineup. Historical head-to-head at Dodg...

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Gemini 3.1 Pro Gemini 3.1 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Pro Gemini 2.5 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Flash Gemini 2.5 Flash 55% Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5

Drawing on training data through 2025-09, the Los Angeles Dodgers frequently win by more than one run, especially at home against less domin...

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Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite 55% Kansas City Royals

While the Dodgers are favored to win outright, the Royals have shown offensive capability and could keep the game close. A -1.5 spread sugge...

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3 sources cited
DeepSeek V3 DeepSeek V3 60% Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5

Training data through 2025-09, no live access. The Dodgers are expected to win, and their superior roster often leads to multi-run victories...

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First 5 innings

Consensus
Los Angeles Dodgers 6/6
Claude Opus 4.7 Claude Opus 4.7 Pro
Claude Opus 4.6 Claude Opus 4.6 Pro
Claude Opus 4.8 Claude Opus 4.8 Pro
Claude Sonnet 4.6 Claude Sonnet 4.6 Pro
Claude Haiku 4.5 Claude Haiku 4.5 60% Los Angeles Dodgers

First-five-innings outcomes typically depend heavily on starting pitcher form and early lineup matchups. Without access to tonight's startin...

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GPT-5 GPT-5 Pro
GPT-5 Mini GPT-5 Mini —
GPT-4o Mini GPT-4o Mini 60% Los Angeles Dodgers

The Dodgers' strong home performance and superior overall statistics suggest they will lead after the first five innings. The Royals have be...

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🔍 researched 4 sources cited
o4-mini o4-mini Pro
Grok 4.3 Grok 4.3 Pro
Grok 4 Fast Grok 4 Fast 65% Los Angeles Dodgers

Early innings favor the Dodgers with stronger top-of-order production and home starter advantage. Royals have struggled to score in first fi...

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Gemini 3.1 Pro Gemini 3.1 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Pro Gemini 2.5 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Flash Gemini 2.5 Flash 60% Los Angeles Dodgers

Based on general training data through 2025-09, the Dodgers typically feature strong starting pitching and possess a potent offense that can...

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Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite 60% Los Angeles Dodgers

The Dodgers' home-field advantage and potentially stronger starting pitcher are key factors in the first five innings. They are more likely...

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3 sources cited
DeepSeek V3 DeepSeek V3 55% Los Angeles Dodgers

Training data through 2025-09, no live access. The Dodgers' starting pitching and bullpen are typically better than the Royals', giving them...

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Match winner

Consensus
Los Angeles Dodgers 7/7
Claude Opus 4.7 Claude Opus 4.7 Pro
Claude Opus 4.6 Claude Opus 4.6 Pro
Claude Opus 4.8 Claude Opus 4.8 Pro
Claude Sonnet 4.6 Claude Sonnet 4.6 Pro
Claude Haiku 4.5 Claude Haiku 4.5 62% Los Angeles Dodgers

The Dodgers are playing at home in Dodger Stadium, a significant advantage in baseball. Both teams have identical 3-2 records over their las...

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GPT-5 GPT-5 Pro
GPT-5 Mini GPT-5 Mini 68% Los Angeles Dodgers

The Dodgers should be favored here: their ace-level starter (Yoshinobu Yamamoto) is the biggest single-factor advantage and typically eats i...

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🔍 researched 6 sources cited
GPT-4o Mini GPT-4o Mini 75% Los Angeles Dodgers

The Los Angeles Dodgers have a superior record (67-39) compared to the Kansas City Royals (45-62). The Dodgers have been strong at home with...

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🔍 researched 4 sources cited
o4-mini o4-mini Pro
Grok 4.3 Grok 4.3 Pro
Grok 4 Fast Grok 4 Fast 72% Los Angeles Dodgers

Dodgers hold clear talent edge at home in Dodger Stadium where their pitching and power have historically dominated. Royals recent form show...

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Gemini 3.1 Pro Gemini 3.1 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Pro Gemini 2.5 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Flash Gemini 2.5 Flash 65% Los Angeles Dodgers

Based on general training data through 2025-09, the Los Angeles Dodgers are consistently a strong team, especially when playing at home. The...

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Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite 65% Los Angeles Dodgers

The Los Angeles Dodgers are favored at home due to a stronger overall team and likely better pitching matchup. While both teams have similar...

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3 sources cited
DeepSeek V3 DeepSeek V3 70% Los Angeles Dodgers

Training data through 2025-09, no live access. The Dodgers have a consistently stronger roster and home-field advantage at Dodger Stadium. E...

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Over / Under

Consensus
over 4/7
Claude Opus 4.7 Claude Opus 4.7 Pro
Claude Opus 4.6 Claude Opus 4.6 Pro
Claude Opus 4.8 Claude Opus 4.8 Pro
Claude Sonnet 4.6 Claude Sonnet 4.6 Pro
Claude Haiku 4.5 Claude Haiku 4.5 58% Under 8.5

Both teams scored a combined 59 runs over 5 matches (average 5.9 per game each), suggesting moderate offensive output. Dodger Stadium's dime...

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GPT-5 GPT-5 Pro
GPT-5 Mini GPT-5 Mini 55% under

With a probable Dodger ace (Yamamoto) starting and his ability to limit runs and go deep, the total leans under the 8.5 line despite Dodger...

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🔍 researched 6 sources cited
GPT-4o Mini GPT-4o Mini 65% over

The Dodgers have a strong offense, averaging 5.2 runs per game, while the Royals average 4.2 runs per game. With both teams having capable l...

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🔍 researched 4 sources cited
o4-mini o4-mini Pro
Grok 4.3 Grok 4.3 Pro
Grok 4 Fast Grok 4 Fast 55% over

August night games at Dodger Stadium trend slightly higher scoring when wind is neutral or blowing out. Both teams have shown offensive outp...

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Gemini 3.1 Pro Gemini 3.1 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Pro Gemini 2.5 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Flash Gemini 2.5 Flash 52% Over 8.5

Utilizing training data through 2025-09, the Kansas City Royals have shown a relatively high recent scoring output, averaging 7.8 runs per g...

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Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite 55% over

Given the offensive output of the Royals (39 runs in 5 games) and the general tendency for runs in MLB games, particularly when considering...

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3 sources cited
DeepSeek V3 DeepSeek V3 60% over

Training data through 2025-09, no live access. Both offenses have shown scoring potential recently, with the Royals scoring 39 runs in their...

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First five innings totals 3.5

Consensus
under 1/1
Claude Opus 4.7 Claude Opus 4.7 Pro
Claude Opus 4.6 Claude Opus 4.6 Pro
Claude Opus 4.8 Claude Opus 4.8 Pro
Claude Sonnet 4.6 Claude Sonnet 4.6 Pro
Claude Haiku 4.5 Claude Haiku 4.5 —
GPT-5 GPT-5 Pro
GPT-5 Mini GPT-5 Mini 62% under

First-five innings favor the under because starting pitchers (especially an elite starter like Yamamoto for the Dodgers) suppress early scor...

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🔍 researched 6 sources cited
GPT-4o Mini GPT-4o Mini —
o4-mini o4-mini Pro
Grok 4.3 Grok 4.3 Pro
Grok 4 Fast Grok 4 Fast —
Gemini 3.1 Pro Gemini 3.1 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Pro Gemini 2.5 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Flash Gemini 2.5 Flash —
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite —
DeepSeek V3 DeepSeek V3 —

Model confidence

Conviction in pick · Match winner
GPT-4o Mini

GPT-4o Mini

Los Angeles Dodgers

75
Grok 4 Fast

Grok 4 Fast

Los Angeles Dodgers

72
DeepSeek V3

DeepSeek V3

Los Angeles Dodgers

70
GPT-5 Mini

GPT-5 Mini

Los Angeles Dodgers

68
Gemini 2.5 Flash

Gemini 2.5 Flash

Los Angeles Dodgers

65
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite

Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite

Los Angeles Dodgers

65
Claude Haiku 4.5

Claude Haiku 4.5

Los Angeles Dodgers

62

Model track records

Lifetime

Every graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.

GPT-5
GPT-5 145–91 · 61%
+67.5u
Claude Opus 4.8
Claude Opus 4.8 154–115 · 57%
-17.4u
GPT-4o Mini
GPT-4o Mini 1056–802 · 57%
-605.9u
GPT-5 Mini
GPT-5 Mini 692–586 · 54%
-365.1u
Gemini 3.1 Pro
Gemini 3.1 Pro 130–112 · 54%
+111.8u
o4-mini
o4-mini 90–78 · 54%
+69.7u
Claude Opus 4.6
Claude Opus 4.6 193–173 · 53%
-47.6u
Grok 4.3
Grok 4.3 132–124 · 52%
+93.6u
Claude Opus 4.7
Claude Opus 4.7 183–176 · 51%
-63.5u
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Gemini 2.5 Flash 1130–1110 · 50%
-924.7u
Grok 4 Fast
Grok 4 Fast 741–743 · 50%
-501.5u
DeepSeek V3
DeepSeek V3 1039–1061 · 49%
-752.4u
Claude Sonnet 4.6
Claude Sonnet 4.6 459–482 · 49%
-323.7u
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite 876–930 · 49%
-728.8u
Claude Haiku 4.5
Claude Haiku 4.5 1018–1093 · 48%
-930.0u
Gemini 2.5 Pro
Gemini 2.5 Pro 151–179 · 46%
-73.8u

Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.

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Verifiable brief

Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified

hash: 41693030d263be90…
Kickoff
Thu, Aug 13 · 02:10 GMT+0000
Markets
Match winner · Over / Under · Spread · First 5 innings
Odds
15+ live books
Research
AIs self-source

System instruction

You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.

You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.

Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
  `predictions` array length MUST equal 4. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
  "0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
  plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
  actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
  explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.

Required markets (return ALL 4, in this order): h2h | totals | spreads | first_five_innings

Output schema:
{
  "used_research_tools": true | false,
  "sources_cited": [
    { "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
  ],
  "predictions": [
    {
      "market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
      "pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
      "confidence": 0.0,
      "probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
      "reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
      "signals": [
        { "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
          "label": "Short fact in plain text.",
          "lean":  "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
      ],
      "tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
    }
  ]
}

User brief (JSON)

{
    "event": {
        "id": 24005,
        "sport": "baseball",
        "venue": "UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium",
        "league": "MLB",
        "starts_at": "2026-08-13T02:10:00+00:00",
        "starts_at_human": "Thu, 13 Aug 2026 02:10:00 GMT"
    },
    "teams": {
        "away": "Kansas City Royals",
        "home": "Los Angeles Dodgers"
    },
    "version": "v2",
    "sport_focus": [
        "The starting-pitcher matchup is the single biggest factor — compare each starter's recent form, not just season ERA.",
        "Bullpen rest and usage over the last few days drives late-game and total outcomes.",
        "Ballpark factors matter: dimensions, altitude (e.g. Coors), and especially wind direction (out = more runs, in = fewer).",
        "Lineup handedness vs the opposing starter (L/R platoon splits) shifts the run expectation.",
        "Weather (wind, temperature, humidity) measurably affects carry and totals."
    ],
    "team_context": {
        "note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
        "away_form": {
            "last": "LWWWL",
            "record": "3W-0D-2L",
            "scored": 39,
            "matches": 5,
            "conceded": 27
        },
        "home_form": {
            "last": "WLWLW",
            "record": "3W-0D-2L",
            "scored": 20,
            "matches": 5,
            "conceded": 19
        },
        "rest_days": {
            "away": 35,
            "home": 35
        }
    },
    "market_consensus": {
        "h2h": [],
        "note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
        "extra_markets": []
    },
    "markets_requested": [
        "h2h",
        "totals",
        "spreads",
        "first_five_innings"
    ],
    "research_directive": [
        "Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
        "recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
        "Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
        "If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
    ]
}

The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.

Research trail

What each AI looked up before picking

Unlock sources · Pro

Results settle automatically once the final score lands. Picks are permanent — no hindsight edits.

Recent recaps

How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.

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