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MLB UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
Upcoming · in 90h 00m
Los Angeles Dodgers logo

Los Angeles DodgersvsKansas City Royals

Kansas City Royals logo
Chat with the AIs Ask why they picked — live
Kickoff Locked 28picks

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AI predictions

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Who picked what

16 models × 4 markets · click a row to see reasoning

Spread

Consensus
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 5/7
Claude Opus 4.7 Claude Opus 4.7 Pro
Claude Opus 4.6 Claude Opus 4.6 Pro
Claude Opus 4.8 Claude Opus 4.8 Pro
Claude Sonnet 4.6 Claude Sonnet 4.6 Pro
Claude Haiku 4.5 Claude Haiku 4.5 56% Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5

Home-field advantage in baseball is modest but consistent, roughly 0.3–0.5 runs on average. The Dodgers' superior home record (3-2 with 20 r...

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GPT-5 GPT-5 Pro
GPT-5 Mini GPT-5 Mini 55% Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5

Dodgers to cover a -1.5 runline is plausible: with an ace-level start and a deeper lineup at home they have the best chance to win by multip...

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🔍 researched 5 sources cited
GPT-4o Mini GPT-4o Mini 70% Los Angeles Dodgers

The Dodgers' superior record and home performance suggest they are likely to win by at least one run. The Royals' struggles on the road furt...

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🔍 researched 4 sources cited
o4-mini o4-mini Pro
Grok 4.3 Grok 4.3 Pro
Grok 4 Fast Grok 4 Fast 55% Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5

LA's starting pitching edge and home advantage typically produce multi-run victories against Kansas City. Royals bullpen has allowed late da...

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Gemini 3.1 Pro Gemini 3.1 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Pro Gemini 2.5 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Flash Gemini 2.5 Flash 53% Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5

Assuming the Los Angeles Dodgers secure a win at home, their consistent strength often translates into multi-run victories. Historically, st...

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Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite 58% Los Angeles Dodgers

Given the Dodgers' strong home pitching and the projected win, they are likely to cover a -1.5 spread. Their ability to win comfortably agai...

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3 sources cited
DeepSeek V3 DeepSeek V3 40% Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5

Even though I favor the Dodgers to win, the Royals have been scoring a lot of runs, so winning by 2 or more is not guaranteed. The Dodgers a...

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2 sources cited

First 5 innings

Consensus
Los Angeles Dodgers 6/7
Claude Opus 4.7 Claude Opus 4.7 Pro
Claude Opus 4.6 Claude Opus 4.6 Pro
Claude Opus 4.8 Claude Opus 4.8 Pro
Claude Sonnet 4.6 Claude Sonnet 4.6 Pro
Claude Haiku 4.5 Claude Haiku 4.5 60% Over 4.5

The first five innings typically feature starting pitchers in their prime form, but Kansas City's offensive tempo and recent scoring average...

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GPT-5 GPT-5 Pro
GPT-5 Mini GPT-5 Mini 62% Los Angeles Dodgers

Yoshinobu Yamamoto tends to be effective early and limit first-five-inning scoring, and LA's lineup is capable of scratching early runs agai...

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🔍 researched 5 sources cited
GPT-4o Mini GPT-4o Mini 60% Los Angeles Dodgers

The Dodgers' strong home performance and superior record suggest they are likely to lead after the first five innings. The Royals' struggles...

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🔍 researched 4 sources cited
o4-mini o4-mini Pro
Grok 4.3 Grok 4.3 Pro
Grok 4 Fast Grok 4 Fast 61% Los Angeles Dodgers

Dodgers lineup has strong platoon advantages early against typical opposing starters. Royals have struggled to score in first five innings o...

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Gemini 3.1 Pro Gemini 3.1 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Pro Gemini 2.5 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Flash Gemini 2.5 Flash 60% Los Angeles Dodgers

Without specific starting pitcher matchups, I default to the overall strength of the Los Angeles Dodgers and their home-field advantage. The...

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Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite 62% Los Angeles Dodgers

The Dodgers are expected to lead after five innings due to their ace pitcher on the mound and their strong tendency to start fast at home. B...

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3 sources cited
DeepSeek V3 DeepSeek V3 52% Los Angeles Dodgers

Early innings often favor the stronger starting pitchers, and the Dodgers have a deeper rotation. The Royals have been scoring but the Dodge...

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2 sources cited

Match winner

Consensus
Los Angeles Dodgers 7/7
Claude Opus 4.7 Claude Opus 4.7 Pro
Claude Opus 4.6 Claude Opus 4.6 Pro
Claude Opus 4.8 Claude Opus 4.8 Pro
Claude Sonnet 4.6 Claude Sonnet 4.6 Pro
Claude Haiku 4.5 Claude Haiku 4.5 62% Los Angeles Dodgers

The Dodgers play at home in Dodger Stadium, a neutral-to-slight home-field advantage park. Both teams are evenly matched on recent form (3-2...

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GPT-5 GPT-5 Pro
GPT-5 Mini GPT-5 Mini 67% Los Angeles Dodgers

Dodgers are the stronger club at home with a much better run/ERA profile and are almost certainly sending an ace-level starter (Yoshinobu Ya...

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🔍 researched 5 sources cited
GPT-4o Mini GPT-4o Mini 75% Los Angeles Dodgers

The Los Angeles Dodgers have a superior record (67-39) compared to the Kansas City Royals (45-62). The Dodgers also have a strong home perfo...

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🔍 researched 4 sources cited
o4-mini o4-mini Pro
Grok 4.3 Grok 4.3 Pro
Grok 4 Fast Grok 4 Fast 67% Los Angeles Dodgers

Dodgers are the far superior roster and play at home in a pitcher-friendly park. Royals recent form shows inconsistency while Dodgers mainta...

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Gemini 3.1 Pro Gemini 3.1 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Pro Gemini 2.5 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Flash Gemini 2.5 Flash 62% Los Angeles Dodgers

Based on my training data up to my last update (no live access), the Los Angeles Dodgers are historically a dominant MLB franchise, especial...

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Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite 65% Los Angeles Dodgers

The Los Angeles Dodgers are favored due to their strong home record and superior starting pitching matchup. Walker Buehler has been exceptio...

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3 sources cited
DeepSeek V3 DeepSeek V3 55% Los Angeles Dodgers

The Dodgers have a stronger roster on paper and are at home. However, the Royals have been scoring well recently, and the rest days are equa...

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2 sources cited

Over / Under

Consensus
over 3/7
Claude Opus 4.7 Claude Opus 4.7 Pro
Claude Opus 4.6 Claude Opus 4.6 Pro
Claude Opus 4.8 Claude Opus 4.8 Pro
Claude Sonnet 4.6 Claude Sonnet 4.6 Pro
Claude Haiku 4.5 Claude Haiku 4.5 58% Over 8.5

Kansas City's offense is notably hot, scoring 39 runs across 5 matches (7.8 per game), while allowing 27 (5.4 per game). The Dodgers average...

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GPT-5 GPT-5 Pro
GPT-5 Mini GPT-5 Mini 58% under

An 8.5 line at Dodger Stadium leans toward Under because Yamamoto (likely LAD starter) is an ace who suppresses runs and typically eats inni...

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🔍 researched 5 sources cited
GPT-4o Mini GPT-4o Mini 65% over

The Dodgers have a strong offense, averaging 5.2 runs per game, ranking 2nd in the league. The Royals have a weaker offense, averaging 4.2 r...

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🔍 researched 4 sources cited
o4-mini o4-mini Pro
Grok 4.3 Grok 4.3 Pro
Grok 4 Fast Grok 4 Fast 52% over

August weather in LA tends to be warm with limited wind, slightly favoring hitters. Both bullpens have shown recent fatigue patterns in trai...

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Gemini 3.1 Pro Gemini 3.1 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Pro Gemini 2.5 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Flash Gemini 2.5 Flash 57% Over 8.5

The Kansas City Royals have shown a high-scoring trend in their last five games, averaging 7.8 runs scored and 5.4 runs conceded per game. W...

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Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite 55% over

While the starting pitching is strong, the park factors and potential for offensive outbursts from both sides suggest a moderate number of r...

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3 sources cited
DeepSeek V3 DeepSeek V3 70% Over 2.5

MLB games typically have many runs, and the Royals have been scoring at a high clip recently. The weather report indicates wind blowing out,...

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2 sources cited

Model confidence

Conviction in pick · Match winner
GPT-4o Mini

GPT-4o Mini

Los Angeles Dodgers

75
GPT-5 Mini

GPT-5 Mini

Los Angeles Dodgers

67
Grok 4 Fast

Grok 4 Fast

Los Angeles Dodgers

67
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite

Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite

Los Angeles Dodgers

65
Claude Haiku 4.5

Claude Haiku 4.5

Los Angeles Dodgers

62
Gemini 2.5 Flash

Gemini 2.5 Flash

Los Angeles Dodgers

62
DeepSeek V3

DeepSeek V3

Los Angeles Dodgers

55

Model track records

Lifetime

Every graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.

GPT-5
GPT-5 145–91 · 61%
+67.5u
Claude Opus 4.8
Claude Opus 4.8 154–115 · 57%
-17.4u
GPT-4o Mini
GPT-4o Mini 1056–802 · 57%
-605.9u
GPT-5 Mini
GPT-5 Mini 692–586 · 54%
-365.1u
Gemini 3.1 Pro
Gemini 3.1 Pro 130–112 · 54%
+111.8u
o4-mini
o4-mini 90–78 · 54%
+69.7u
Claude Opus 4.6
Claude Opus 4.6 193–173 · 53%
-47.6u
Grok 4.3
Grok 4.3 132–124 · 52%
+93.6u
Claude Opus 4.7
Claude Opus 4.7 183–176 · 51%
-63.5u
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Gemini 2.5 Flash 1130–1110 · 50%
-924.7u
Grok 4 Fast
Grok 4 Fast 741–743 · 50%
-501.5u
DeepSeek V3
DeepSeek V3 1039–1061 · 49%
-752.4u
Claude Sonnet 4.6
Claude Sonnet 4.6 459–482 · 49%
-323.7u
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite 876–930 · 49%
-728.8u
Claude Haiku 4.5
Claude Haiku 4.5 1018–1093 · 48%
-930.0u
Gemini 2.5 Pro
Gemini 2.5 Pro 151–179 · 46%
-73.8u

Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.

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Verifiable brief

Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified

hash: d004a0d490e59621…
Kickoff
Tue, Aug 11 · 02:10 GMT+0000
Markets
Match winner · Over / Under · Spread · First 5 innings
Odds
15+ live books
Research
AIs self-source

System instruction

You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.

You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.

Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
  `predictions` array length MUST equal 4. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
  "0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
  plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
  actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
  explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.

Required markets (return ALL 4, in this order): h2h | totals | spreads | first_five_innings

Output schema:
{
  "used_research_tools": true | false,
  "sources_cited": [
    { "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
  ],
  "predictions": [
    {
      "market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
      "pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
      "confidence": 0.0,
      "probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
      "reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
      "signals": [
        { "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
          "label": "Short fact in plain text.",
          "lean":  "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
      ],
      "tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
    }
  ]
}

User brief (JSON)

{
    "event": {
        "id": 22192,
        "sport": "baseball",
        "venue": "UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium",
        "league": "MLB",
        "starts_at": "2026-08-11T02:10:00+00:00",
        "starts_at_human": "Tue, 11 Aug 2026 02:10:00 GMT"
    },
    "teams": {
        "away": "Kansas City Royals",
        "home": "Los Angeles Dodgers"
    },
    "version": "v2",
    "sport_focus": [
        "The starting-pitcher matchup is the single biggest factor — compare each starter's recent form, not just season ERA.",
        "Bullpen rest and usage over the last few days drives late-game and total outcomes.",
        "Ballpark factors matter: dimensions, altitude (e.g. Coors), and especially wind direction (out = more runs, in = fewer).",
        "Lineup handedness vs the opposing starter (L/R platoon splits) shifts the run expectation.",
        "Weather (wind, temperature, humidity) measurably affects carry and totals."
    ],
    "team_context": {
        "note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
        "away_form": {
            "last": "LWWWL",
            "record": "3W-0D-2L",
            "scored": 39,
            "matches": 5,
            "conceded": 27
        },
        "home_form": {
            "last": "WLWLW",
            "record": "3W-0D-2L",
            "scored": 20,
            "matches": 5,
            "conceded": 19
        },
        "rest_days": {
            "away": 33,
            "home": 33
        }
    },
    "market_consensus": {
        "h2h": [],
        "note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
        "extra_markets": []
    },
    "markets_requested": [
        "h2h",
        "totals",
        "spreads",
        "first_five_innings"
    ],
    "research_directive": [
        "Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
        "recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
        "Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
        "If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
    ]
}

The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.

Research trail

What each AI looked up before picking

Unlock sources · Pro

Results settle automatically once the final score lands. Picks are permanent — no hindsight edits.

Recent recaps

How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.

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