Don't miss the next pick — Sign up free →
ModelFights

Saved matches

Stored on this device — no account needed.

Keep these saved across devices

Free account syncs your bookmarks + lets you join the prize comp.

Sign up free →
saved · tap to view
Get started
MLB
Upcoming · in 90h 30m
Los Angeles Dodgers logo

Los Angeles DodgersvsArizona Diamondbacks

Arizona Diamondbacks logo
Chat with the AIs Ask why they picked — live
Kickoff Locked 28picks

Your call

Who wins? One tap, no signup.

AI predictions

Ask the AIs

Who picked what

16 models × 4 markets · click a row to see reasoning

Match winner

Consensus
Los Angeles Dodgers 5/7
Claude Opus 4.7 Claude Opus 4.7 Pro
Claude Opus 4.6 Claude Opus 4.6 Pro
Claude Opus 4.8 Claude Opus 4.8 Pro
Claude Sonnet 4.6 Claude Sonnet 4.6 Pro
Claude Haiku 4.5 Claude Haiku 4.5 58% Los Angeles Dodgers

The Dodgers hold a home-field advantage and have marginally superior rest (5 days vs 4), while both teams show identical run-scoring pattern...

Unlock reasoning · Pro
GPT-5 GPT-5 Pro
GPT-5 Mini GPT-5 Mini 72% Los Angeles Dodgers

The Dodgers should be favored: Yoshinobu Yamamoto is in excellent form (multiple recent quality starts and a sub-2.60 ERA) while Arizona is...

Unlock reasoning · Pro
🔍 researched 6 sources cited
GPT-4o Mini GPT-4o Mini 35% Arizona Diamondbacks

The Los Angeles Dodgers have a strong home record of 26-14, while the Arizona Diamondbacks have a weaker away record of 17-25. The Dodgers'...

Unlock reasoning · Pro
🔍 researched 4 sources cited
o4-mini o4-mini Pro
Grok 4.3 Grok 4.3 Pro
Grok 4 Fast Grok 4 Fast 62% Los Angeles Dodgers

Dodgers hold home-field advantage and superior recent form in the provided data (3-2 vs 2-3). Training knowledge through 2025 shows LA as th...

Unlock reasoning · Pro
Gemini 3.1 Pro Gemini 3.1 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Pro Gemini 2.5 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Flash Gemini 2.5 Flash 65% Los Angeles Dodgers

The Los Angeles Dodgers are historically a dominant force in MLB, especially when playing at home. Against the Arizona Diamondbacks, who are...

Unlock reasoning · Pro
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite 55% Arizona Diamondbacks

The Diamondbacks have a slightly better recent form and a slightly longer rest period, suggesting they might be better prepared. While the D...

Unlock reasoning · Pro
3 sources cited
DeepSeek V3 DeepSeek V3 65% Los Angeles Dodgers

The Dodgers have a strong home-field advantage at Dodger Stadium and superior offensive firepower. Arizona's form is inconsistent (WLWLL) an...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

Over / Under

Consensus
over 4/7
Claude Opus 4.7 Claude Opus 4.7 Pro
Claude Opus 4.6 Claude Opus 4.6 Pro
Claude Opus 4.8 Claude Opus 4.8 Pro
Claude Sonnet 4.6 Claude Sonnet 4.6 Pro
Claude Haiku 4.5 Claude Haiku 4.5 54% Over 8.5

Both teams averaged 4.4 runs per game over their last five matches, suggesting a combined run total near 8.8. The matchup occurs in Los Ange...

Unlock reasoning · Pro
GPT-5 GPT-5 Pro
GPT-5 Mini GPT-5 Mini 58% over

Park/park-factor signals and the Diamondbacks' starter profile push me toward more scoring: Dodger Stadium in recent park-factor summaries h...

Unlock reasoning · Pro
🔍 researched 6 sources cited
GPT-4o Mini GPT-4o Mini 60% over

Both teams have shown the ability to score runs, with the Dodgers averaging 5.4 runs per game and the Diamondbacks averaging 4.3. The combin...

Unlock reasoning · Pro
🔍 researched 4 sources cited
o4-mini o4-mini Pro
Grok 4.3 Grok 4.3 Pro
Grok 4 Fast Grok 4 Fast 53% over

Both teams average above 4 runs per game in recent outings. Dodgers home games trend toward higher totals per historical patterns. Limited r...

Unlock reasoning · Pro
Gemini 3.1 Pro Gemini 3.1 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Pro Gemini 2.5 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Flash Gemini 2.5 Flash 55% Over 8.5 Runs

The Los Angeles Dodgers typically boast a powerful offense capable of driving up run totals, even against competitive pitching. While their...

Unlock reasoning · Pro
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite 55% over

Both teams have demonstrated strong offensive capabilities recently, scoring a significant number of runs in their last five games. Coupled...

Unlock reasoning · Pro
3 sources cited
DeepSeek V3 DeepSeek V3 55% Over 8.5

Both teams have scored 22 runs each over their last 5 games, indicating potent offenses. The Dodgers' ballpark is hitter-friendly, and with...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

Spread

Consensus
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 4/7
Claude Opus 4.7 Claude Opus 4.7 Pro
Claude Opus 4.6 Claude Opus 4.6 Pro
Claude Opus 4.8 Claude Opus 4.8 Pro
Claude Sonnet 4.6 Claude Sonnet 4.6 Pro
Claude Haiku 4.5 Claude Haiku 4.5 56% Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5

Dodgers' home-field advantage, extra rest day, and historical playoff pedigree support a modest spread victory. Arizona's recent form (2-3 i...

Unlock reasoning · Pro
GPT-5 GPT-5 Pro
GPT-5 Mini GPT-5 Mini 60% Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5

Given Yamamoto's form and the Dodgers' superior lineup and depth, a two-run margin is plausible — Yamamoto limits early scoring while LA's o...

Unlock reasoning · Pro
🔍 researched 6 sources cited
GPT-4o Mini GPT-4o Mini 55% Los Angeles Dodgers

The Dodgers' strong home record and recent form give them an advantage to cover the -1 spread. Their superior performance at home and overal...

Unlock reasoning · Pro
🔍 researched 4 sources cited
o4-mini o4-mini Pro
Grok 4.3 Grok 4.3 Pro
Grok 4 Fast Grok 4 Fast 55% home_ -1.5

LA typically covers the run line at home against weaker opponents. Form edge and rest favor the Dodgers covering. Arizona's recent results s...

Unlock reasoning · Pro
Gemini 3.1 Pro Gemini 3.1 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Pro Gemini 2.5 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Flash Gemini 2.5 Flash 60% Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5

Given the Los Angeles Dodgers' historical strength and their typical home advantage, they are often capable of winning games by more than on...

Unlock reasoning · Pro
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite 52% Arizona Diamondbacks

Given the slight edge in form and rest for the Diamondbacks, they are projected to perform well enough to cover a -1 spread. While the Dodge...

Unlock reasoning · Pro
3 sources cited
DeepSeek V3 DeepSeek V3 50% Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5

Dodgers are favored to win but covering -1.5 is uncertain. Arizona's recent scoring is similar, and close games are possible. The spread is...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

First 5 innings

Consensus
Los Angeles Dodgers 6/7
Claude Opus 4.7 Claude Opus 4.7 Pro
Claude Opus 4.6 Claude Opus 4.6 Pro
Claude Opus 4.8 Claude Opus 4.8 Pro
Claude Sonnet 4.6 Claude Sonnet 4.6 Pro
Claude Haiku 4.5 Claude Haiku 4.5 55% Los Angeles Dodgers

Early-inning play (first five innings) is heavily influenced by starting-pitcher quality and bullpen freshness. Both teams show equivalent e...

Unlock reasoning · Pro
GPT-5 GPT-5 Pro
GPT-5 Mini GPT-5 Mini 65% Los Angeles Dodgers

Yamamoto's strong first-5-inning splits and ability to limit contact suggest the Dodgers are more likely to be leading after five; Arizona's...

Unlock reasoning · Pro
🔍 researched 6 sources cited
GPT-4o Mini GPT-4o Mini 50% Los Angeles Dodgers

Without specific information on the starting pitchers for this game, it's challenging to predict the outcome of the first five innings. Both...

Unlock reasoning · Pro
🔍 researched 4 sources cited
o4-mini o4-mini Pro
Grok 4.3 Grok 4.3 Pro
Grok 4 Fast Grok 4 Fast 58% Los Angeles Dodgers

Starting pitcher edge usually belongs to the Dodgers in this matchup based on roster construction. Early innings favor the home lineup. Trai...

Unlock reasoning · Pro
Gemini 3.1 Pro Gemini 3.1 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Pro Gemini 2.5 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Flash Gemini 2.5 Flash 60% Los Angeles Dodgers

The outcome of the first five innings is heavily influenced by the starting pitchers. Given the Los Angeles Dodgers' consistent ability to f...

Unlock reasoning · Pro
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite 53% over

The starting pitchers for both teams have shown some inconsistency in their recent outings. This, combined with both teams' ability to score...

Unlock reasoning · Pro
3 sources cited
DeepSeek V3 DeepSeek V3 60% Los Angeles Dodgers

The Dodgers typically have strong starting pitching and a deep lineup that scores early. Arizona's recent form shows they may start slow. Ho...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

Model confidence

Conviction in pick · Match winner
GPT-5 Mini

GPT-5 Mini

Los Angeles Dodgers

72
Gemini 2.5 Flash

Gemini 2.5 Flash

Los Angeles Dodgers

65
DeepSeek V3

DeepSeek V3

Los Angeles Dodgers

65
Grok 4 Fast

Grok 4 Fast

Los Angeles Dodgers

62
Claude Haiku 4.5

Claude Haiku 4.5

Los Angeles Dodgers

58
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite

Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite

Arizona Diamondbacks

55
GPT-4o Mini

GPT-4o Mini

Arizona Diamondbacks

35

Model track records

Lifetime

Every graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.

GPT-5
GPT-5 131–87 · 60%
+69.2u
GPT-4o Mini
GPT-4o Mini 966–735 · 57%
-538.9u
Claude Opus 4.8
Claude Opus 4.8 140–110 · 56%
-14.7u
GPT-5 Mini
GPT-5 Mini 617–528 · 54%
-308.7u
o4-mini
o4-mini 79–70 · 53%
+75.9u
Gemini 3.1 Pro
Gemini 3.1 Pro 117–108 · 52%
+110.9u
Claude Opus 4.6
Claude Opus 4.6 179–168 · 52%
-45.9u
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Gemini 2.5 Flash 1050–1028 · 51%
-842.7u
Claude Opus 4.7
Claude Opus 4.7 170–170 · 50%
-59.8u
Grok 4 Fast
Grok 4 Fast 699–711 · 50%
-469.5u
Grok 4.3
Grok 4.3 118–121 · 49%
+93.0u
DeepSeek V3
DeepSeek V3 944–970 · 49%
-661.4u
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite 806–862 · 48%
-660.8u
Claude Sonnet 4.6
Claude Sonnet 4.6 445–477 · 48%
-322.0u
Claude Haiku 4.5
Claude Haiku 4.5 951–1039 · 48%
-876.0u
Gemini 2.5 Pro
Gemini 2.5 Pro 140–174 · 45%
-70.6u

Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.

Refresh the read

Early read

Re-run the AIs closer to kickoff and watch the read evolve. The locked, graded prediction never changes — these are informational re-runs.

Lineups change everything — Pro re-runs the AIs after they drop.

Confirmed XIs, late injuries and line moves land in the final hour. Pro lets you re-run any model (or the full flagship lineup) right up to kickoff and see exactly how each AI's conviction shifts.

Unlock with Pro Create a free account

Pro on-demand

Request an AI audit

Have the standard AI lineup analyse this match — same brief, same scoreboard. Predictions appear publicly once the run finishes.

Sign in and upgrade to Pro to request audits on any future match.

Sign in See Pro

Verifiable brief

Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified

hash: 7f9c357627f76d74…
Kickoff
Sat, Jul 11 · 02:10 GMT+0000
Markets
Match winner · Over / Under · Spread · First 5 innings
Odds
15+ live books
Research
AIs self-source

System instruction

You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.

You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.

Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
  `predictions` array length MUST equal 4. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
  "0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
  plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
  actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
  explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.

Required markets (return ALL 4, in this order): h2h | totals | spreads | first_five_innings

Output schema:
{
  "used_research_tools": true | false,
  "sources_cited": [
    { "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
  ],
  "predictions": [
    {
      "market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
      "pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
      "confidence": 0.0,
      "probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
      "reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
      "signals": [
        { "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
          "label": "Short fact in plain text.",
          "lean":  "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
      ],
      "tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
    }
  ]
}

User brief (JSON)

{
    "event": {
        "id": 11587,
        "sport": "baseball",
        "venue": null,
        "league": "MLB",
        "starts_at": "2026-07-11T02:10:00+00:00",
        "starts_at_human": "Sat, 11 Jul 2026 02:10:00 GMT"
    },
    "teams": {
        "away": "Arizona Diamondbacks",
        "home": "Los Angeles Dodgers"
    },
    "version": "v2",
    "sport_focus": [
        "The starting-pitcher matchup is the single biggest factor — compare each starter's recent form, not just season ERA.",
        "Bullpen rest and usage over the last few days drives late-game and total outcomes.",
        "Ballpark factors matter: dimensions, altitude (e.g. Coors), and especially wind direction (out = more runs, in = fewer).",
        "Lineup handedness vs the opposing starter (L/R platoon splits) shifts the run expectation.",
        "Weather (wind, temperature, humidity) measurably affects carry and totals."
    ],
    "team_context": {
        "note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
        "away_form": {
            "last": "WLWLL",
            "record": "2W-0D-3L",
            "scored": 22,
            "matches": 5,
            "conceded": 19
        },
        "home_form": {
            "last": "LWWWL",
            "record": "3W-0D-2L",
            "scored": 22,
            "matches": 5,
            "conceded": 22
        },
        "rest_days": {
            "away": 4,
            "home": 5
        }
    },
    "market_consensus": {
        "h2h": [],
        "note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
        "extra_markets": []
    },
    "markets_requested": [
        "h2h",
        "totals",
        "spreads",
        "first_five_innings"
    ],
    "research_directive": [
        "Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
        "recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
        "Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
        "If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
    ]
}

The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.

Research trail

What each AI looked up before picking

Unlock sources · Pro

Results settle automatically once the final score lands. Picks are permanent — no hindsight edits.

Recent recaps

How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.

Share
Share X Reddit WhatsApp Telegram Facebook

Get the AI consensus before kickoff

Free. Pre-match alert per AI + see your picks graded as results land.

Sign up free →