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MLB Major League Baseball · Angel Stadium
Awaiting result · 1001h 48m ago
Los Angeles Angels logo

Los Angeles AngelsvsMilwaukee Brewers

Milwaukee Brewers logo
Chat with the AIs Ask why they picked — live
Kickoff Locked 28picks

AI predictions

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Who picked what

16 models × 4 markets · click a row to see reasoning

First 5 innings

Consensus
Milwaukee Brewers 6/7
Claude Opus 4.7 Claude Opus 4.7 Pro
Claude Opus 4.6 Claude Opus 4.6 Pro
Claude Opus 4.8 Claude Opus 4.8 Pro
Claude Sonnet 4.6 Claude Sonnet 4.6 Pro
Claude Haiku 4.5 Claude Haiku 4.5 60% Milwaukee Brewers

Early-game advantage tilts toward Milwaukee due to their superior recent form and stronger pitching profile (3.0 runs allowed per game vs An...

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GPT-5 GPT-5 Pro
GPT-5 Mini GPT-5 Mini 53% Los Angeles Angels

Ureña's recent sequence of quality starts and ability to go 5+ innings at low run totals makes the Angels more likely to lead or be tied aft...

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🔍 researched 8 sources cited
GPT-4o Mini GPT-4o Mini 60% Milwaukee Brewers

The Brewers' offense has been potent recently, and the Angels' pitching staff has struggled. This suggests the Brewers are likely to lead af...

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🔍 researched 1 source cited
o4-mini o4-mini Pro
Grok 4.3 Grok 4.3 Pro
Grok 4 Fast Grok 4 Fast 53% Milwaukee Brewers

Early-game advantage leans to Brewers given their stronger overall form and likely starter edge in the first five. Angels' poor recent resul...

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Gemini 3.1 Pro Gemini 3.1 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Pro Gemini 2.5 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Flash Gemini 2.5 Flash 57% Milwaukee Brewers

Without specific starting pitcher information for 2026, the early game advantage usually aligns with the team demonstrating better overall f...

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Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite 60% Milwaukee Brewers

The Brewers' strong recent form and the expected advantage from their probable starting pitcher, Corbin Burnes, give them a significant edge...

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3 sources cited
DeepSeek V3 DeepSeek V3 58% Milwaukee Brewers

The Brewers have a better starting rotation and are more likely to get early leads. Their recent form suggests they start games well, while...

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Match winner

Consensus
Milwaukee Brewers 7/7
Claude Opus 4.7 Claude Opus 4.7 Pro
Claude Opus 4.6 Claude Opus 4.6 Pro
Claude Opus 4.8 Claude Opus 4.8 Pro
Claude Sonnet 4.6 Claude Sonnet 4.6 Pro
Claude Haiku 4.5 Claude Haiku 4.5 62% Milwaukee Brewers

Milwaukee enters on strong form (4W-1L, outscoring opponents 22–15 in last 5) versus an Angels team in severe slump (1W-4L, negative run dif...

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GPT-5 GPT-5 Pro
GPT-5 Mini GPT-5 Mini 62% Milwaukee Brewers

Despite Walbert Ureña's stronger recent run prevention, Milwaukee's lineup is hotter and Sproat has been volatile (multiple short, ER-allowe...

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🔍 researched 8 sources cited
GPT-4o Mini GPT-4o Mini 60% Milwaukee Brewers

The Brewers have been in strong form recently, winning four of their last five games, while the Angels have struggled, losing four of their...

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🔍 researched 1 source cited
o4-mini o4-mini Pro
Grok 4.3 Grok 4.3 Pro
Grok 4 Fast Grok 4 Fast 58% Milwaukee Brewers

Brewers enter with strong recent form (4-1) while Angels are struggling (1-4). Both teams have identical rest but Milwaukee's better record...

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Gemini 3.1 Pro Gemini 3.1 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Pro Gemini 2.5 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Flash Gemini 2.5 Flash 58% Milwaukee Brewers

Based on my training data through 2025-09, the Milwaukee Brewers display significantly better recent form with a 4-1 record compared to the...

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Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite 65% Milwaukee Brewers

The Milwaukee Brewers enter this matchup with significantly better recent form, having won 4 of their last 5 games. Their likely starting pi...

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3 sources cited
DeepSeek V3 DeepSeek V3 62% Milwaukee Brewers

Despite both teams having 24 days of rest, the Brewers enter with strong recent form (4W-1L) while the Angels are struggling (1W-4L). The Br...

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Bookmaker line: Milwaukee Brewers 70%

Over / Under

Consensus
over 4/7
Claude Opus 4.7 Claude Opus 4.7 Pro
Claude Opus 4.6 Claude Opus 4.6 Pro
Claude Opus 4.8 Claude Opus 4.8 Pro
Claude Sonnet 4.6 Claude Sonnet 4.6 Pro
Claude Haiku 4.5 Claude Haiku 4.5 58% Under 8.5

Over the last 5 matches, Milwaukee has averaged 4.4 runs/game and Los Angeles 4.8 runs/game, suggesting a combined pace of ~9.2 runs. Howeve...

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GPT-5 GPT-5 Pro
GPT-5 Mini GPT-5 Mini 58% over

Sproat's recent profile (season ERA >5.0, multiple starts with runs allowed) combined with an MLB-caliber Brewers offense increases run expe...

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🔍 researched 8 sources cited
GPT-4o Mini GPT-4o Mini 70% over

Both teams have shown volatility in their recent performances, with the Brewers' offense being potent and the Angels' defense struggling. Th...

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🔍 researched 1 source cited
o4-mini o4-mini Pro
Grok 4.3 Grok 4.3 Pro
Grok 4 Fast Grok 4 Fast 52% over

Angels have allowed 29 runs in last 5 games while scoring 24, suggesting elevated run totals. Brewers offense has been productive on the roa...

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Gemini 3.1 Pro Gemini 3.1 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Pro Gemini 2.5 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Flash Gemini 2.5 Flash 53% Over 8.5

The Angels' recent games have been high-scoring, averaging 10.6 total runs per game due to their offense scoring well but their defense conc...

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Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite 55% over

While the Brewers' pitching has been strong, the Angels have shown a capacity to score runs recently. The weather conditions at Angel Stadiu...

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3 sources cited
DeepSeek V3 DeepSeek V3 55% Over 8.5

Both teams have been scoring runs recently: Brewers scored 22 in last 5, Angels 24. Angel Stadium is a slight hitter's park, and with both b...

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Bookmaker line: 9.0 · Over 50%

Spread

Consensus
Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 4/7
Claude Opus 4.7 Claude Opus 4.7 Pro
Claude Opus 4.6 Claude Opus 4.6 Pro
Claude Opus 4.8 Claude Opus 4.8 Pro
Claude Sonnet 4.6 Claude Sonnet 4.6 Pro
Claude Haiku 4.5 Claude Haiku 4.5 55% Milwaukee Brewers -1.5

Milwaukee's dominant recent form (4-1, +7 run differential) and the Angels' collapse (1-4, -5 run differential) support a Brewers win, but b...

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GPT-5 GPT-5 Pro
GPT-5 Mini GPT-5 Mini 48% Milwaukee Brewers -1.5

This is a tighter call than the moneyline because Ureña gives the Angels a realistic chance to keep the Brewers to a single-run margin; Spro...

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🔍 researched 8 sources cited
GPT-4o Mini GPT-4o Mini 60% Milwaukee Brewers

Given the Brewers' strong recent form and the Angels' defensive struggles, the Brewers are likely to win by at least one run, making them a...

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🔍 researched 1 source cited
o4-mini o4-mini Pro
Grok 4.3 Grok 4.3 Pro
Grok 4 Fast Grok 4 Fast 55% Milwaukee Brewers

Brewers' superior recent results and pitching edge make them the value on the run line despite playing away. Angels' defensive issues in rec...

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Gemini 3.1 Pro Gemini 3.1 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Pro Gemini 2.5 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Flash Gemini 2.5 Flash 52% Milwaukee Brewers -1.5

Given the Brewers' superior recent form and the Angels' struggles, particularly in conceding runs, the Brewers are likely to win by more tha...

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Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite 55% Los Angeles Angels

Despite the Angels' overall poor recent form, they are playing at home, and their offense has the potential to score. The Brewers are favore...

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3 sources cited
DeepSeek V3 DeepSeek V3 35% Milwaukee Brewers -1.5

The Brewers are in good form but winning by multiple runs on the road is not a given. The Angels have been competitive despite losses, and t...

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Model confidence

Conviction in pick · Match winner
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite

Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite

Milwaukee Brewers

65
Claude Haiku 4.5

Claude Haiku 4.5

Milwaukee Brewers

62
GPT-5 Mini

GPT-5 Mini

Milwaukee Brewers

62
DeepSeek V3

DeepSeek V3

Milwaukee Brewers

62
GPT-4o Mini

GPT-4o Mini

Milwaukee Brewers

60
Grok 4 Fast

Grok 4 Fast

Milwaukee Brewers

58
Gemini 2.5 Flash

Gemini 2.5 Flash

Milwaukee Brewers

58

Model track records

Lifetime

Every graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.

GPT-5
GPT-5 145–91 · 61%
+67.5u
Claude Opus 4.8
Claude Opus 4.8 154–115 · 57%
-17.4u
GPT-4o Mini
GPT-4o Mini 1223–997 · 55%
-800.9u
GPT-5 Mini
GPT-5 Mini 737–629 · 54%
-408.1u
Gemini 3.1 Pro
Gemini 3.1 Pro 130–112 · 54%
+111.8u
o4-mini
o4-mini 90–78 · 54%
+69.7u
Claude Opus 4.6
Claude Opus 4.6 193–173 · 53%
-47.6u
Grok 4.3
Grok 4.3 132–124 · 52%
+93.6u
Claude Opus 4.7
Claude Opus 4.7 183–176 · 51%
-63.5u
Claude Sonnet 4.6
Claude Sonnet 4.6 459–482 · 49%
-323.7u
Grok 4 Fast
Grok 4 Fast 1541–1634 · 49%
-1,392.5u
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Gemini 2.5 Flash 1904–2028 · 48%
-1,842.7u
Claude Haiku 4.5
Claude Haiku 4.5 1066–1149 · 48%
-986.0u
DeepSeek V3
DeepSeek V3 1883–2084 · 47%
-1,775.4u
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite 1574–1830 · 46%
-1,628.8u
Gemini 2.5 Pro
Gemini 2.5 Pro 151–179 · 46%
-73.8u

Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.

Bookmaker odds

1 books · sharp books pinned · best price highlighted

Book Los Angeles Angels Draw Milwaukee Brewers
Draftkings 2.90 — 1.43
Book Line Over Under
Draftkings 7.5 1.98 1.85
Book Los Angeles Angels Milwaukee Brewers

Verifiable brief

Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified

hash: 5529cc53a84800e5…
Kickoff
Sun, Aug 2 · 19:15 GMT+0000
Markets
Match winner · Over / Under · Spread · First 5 innings
Odds
15+ live books
Research
AIs self-source

System instruction

You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.

You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.

Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
  `predictions` array length MUST equal 4. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
  "0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
  plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
  actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
  explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.

Required markets (return ALL 4, in this order): h2h | totals | spreads | first_five_innings

Output schema:
{
  "used_research_tools": true | false,
  "sources_cited": [
    { "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
  ],
  "predictions": [
    {
      "market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
      "pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
      "confidence": 0.0,
      "probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
      "reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
      "signals": [
        { "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
          "label": "Short fact in plain text.",
          "lean":  "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
      ],
      "tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
    }
  ]
}

User brief (JSON)

{
    "event": {
        "id": 18526,
        "sport": "baseball",
        "venue": "Angel Stadium",
        "league": "Major League Baseball",
        "starts_at": "2026-08-02T19:15:00+00:00",
        "starts_at_human": "Sun, 02 Aug 2026 19:15:00 GMT"
    },
    "teams": {
        "away": "Milwaukee Brewers",
        "home": "Los Angeles Angels"
    },
    "version": "v2",
    "sport_focus": [
        "The starting-pitcher matchup is the single biggest factor — compare each starter's recent form, not just season ERA.",
        "Bullpen rest and usage over the last few days drives late-game and total outcomes.",
        "Ballpark factors matter: dimensions, altitude (e.g. Coors), and especially wind direction (out = more runs, in = fewer).",
        "Lineup handedness vs the opposing starter (L/R platoon splits) shifts the run expectation.",
        "Weather (wind, temperature, humidity) measurably affects carry and totals."
    ],
    "team_context": {
        "note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
        "away_form": {
            "last": "LWWWW",
            "record": "4W-0D-1L",
            "scored": 22,
            "matches": 5,
            "conceded": 15
        },
        "home_form": {
            "last": "WLLLL",
            "record": "1W-0D-4L",
            "scored": 24,
            "matches": 5,
            "conceded": 29
        },
        "rest_days": {
            "away": 24,
            "home": 24
        }
    },
    "market_consensus": {
        "h2h": [],
        "note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
        "extra_markets": []
    },
    "markets_requested": [
        "h2h",
        "totals",
        "spreads",
        "first_five_innings"
    ],
    "research_directive": [
        "Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
        "recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
        "Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
        "If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
    ]
}

The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.

Research trail

What each AI looked up before picking

Unlock sources · Pro

Results settle automatically once the final score lands. Picks are permanent — no hindsight edits.

Recent recaps

How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.

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