MLB

Upcoming · in 81h 45m

Los Angeles Angels vs Athletics

Kickoff · Sun, Jun 28 · 19:15 GMT+0000

Picks locked at Jun 25 · 05:49 GMT+0000 24 picks recorded

Chat with the AIs about this match Pick the frontier models — Claude, GPT-5, Gemini, Grok & more — and watch them answer side by side, live, on the same brief. Open chat →

Verifiable brief

Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified


                    hash:
                    0b8974eb9b53a223…

Kickoff: Sun, Jun 28 · 19:15 GMT+0000
Markets: Match winner · Over / Under · Spread · First 5 innings
Odds: 15+ live books
Research: AIs self-source

System instruction

You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.

You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.

Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
  `predictions` array length MUST equal 4. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
  "0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
  plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
  actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
  explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.

Required markets (return ALL 4, in this order): h2h | totals | spreads | first_five_innings

Output schema:
{
  "used_research_tools": true | false,
  "sources_cited": [
    { "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
  ],
  "predictions": [
    {
      "market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
      "pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
      "confidence": 0.0,
      "probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
      "reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
      "signals": [
        { "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
          "label": "Short fact in plain text.",
          "lean":  "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
      ],
      "tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
    }
  ]
}

User brief (JSON)

{
    "event": {
        "id": 7574,
        "sport": "baseball",
        "venue": null,
        "league": "MLB",
        "starts_at": "2026-06-28T19:15:00+00:00",
        "starts_at_human": "Sun, 28 Jun 2026 19:15:00 GMT"
    },
    "teams": {
        "away": "Athletics",
        "home": "Los Angeles Angels"
    },
    "version": "v1",
    "market_consensus": {
        "h2h": [],
        "note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
        "extra_markets": []
    },
    "markets_requested": [
        "h2h",
        "totals",
        "spreads",
        "first_five_innings"
    ],
    "research_directive": [
        "Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
        "recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
        "Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
        "If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
    ]
}

The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.

Your call

Who wins? One tap, no signup.

AI predictions

4 markets · 6 models picked

Who picked what

16 models × 4 markets · click a row to see reasoning

Unlock flagship models

Model	Match winner ?	Over / Under ?	Spread ?	First 5 innings ?
Claude Opus 4.7 Flagship Anthropic · 65-91 -45.1u	Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro Get Pro
Claude Opus 4.6 Flagship Anthropic · 67-82 -31.4u	Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro Get Pro
Claude Opus 4.8 Flagship Anthropic · 36-31 -13.2u	Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro Get Pro
Claude Sonnet 4.6 Flagship Anthropic · 299-338 -243.9u	Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro Get Pro
Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic · 439-524 -428.8u	55% Los Angeles Angels	52% Under	50% Los Angeles Angels	53% Under 4.5
Match winner ? 55% Los Angeles Angels The Angels are playing at home with a modest edge in recent competitive balance, though both teams have been inconsistent through mid-2026.... Unlock reasoning · Pro Over / Under ? 52% Under Mid-season MLB games in late June often feature slightly depressed run totals due to pitcher fatigue and hitter adjustment cycles. Neither t... Unlock reasoning · Pro Spread ? 50% Los Angeles Angels The Angels' home-field advantage and roster depth provide minimal edge for a -1.5 spread. This is essentially a toss-up market; the spread i... Unlock reasoning · Pro First 5 innings ? 53% Under 4.5 Early-inning baseball tends to feature tighter pitching and fewer aggressive swings as hitters feel out opposing starters. A -4.5 first-five... Unlock reasoning · Pro
GPT-5 Flagship Openai · 30-18 -3.0u	Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro Get Pro
GPT-5 Mini Openai · 230-206 -66.0u	—	—	—	—
Match winner ? No pick on this market. Over / Under ? No pick on this market. Spread ? No pick on this market. First 5 innings ? No pick on this market.
GPT-4o Mini Openai · 372-373 -262.6u	65% Los Angeles Angels	60% over	70% Los Angeles Angels	55% Los Angeles Angels
Match winner ? 65% Los Angeles Angels The Los Angeles Angels have demonstrated superior performance metrics in recent games compared to the Athletics. Additionally, the Angels ha... Unlock reasoning · Pro 🔍 researched 3 sources cited Over / Under ? 60% over Both teams have shown a tendency to score high in recent matchups, and the favorable weather conditions are expected to contribute to a high... Unlock reasoning · Pro 🔍 researched 3 sources cited Spread ? 70% Los Angeles Angels The Angels' recent form and home-field advantage suggest they are likely to win by at least one run, covering the spread comfortably. Unlock reasoning · Pro 🔍 researched 3 sources cited First 5 innings ? 55% Los Angeles Angels The Angels have been strong starters in recent games, often leading after the first five innings, which gives them a slight edge in this mar... Unlock reasoning · Pro 🔍 researched 3 sources cited
o4-mini Flagship Openai · 17-11 -4.7u	Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro Get Pro
Grok 4.3 Flagship Xai · 48-36 -1.1u	Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro Get Pro
Grok 4 Fast Xai · 414-424 -241.1u	53% Los Angeles Angels	51% over	52% Los Angeles Angels	50% Los Angeles Angels
Match winner ? 53% Los Angeles Angels Athletics have been a below-average road team in recent seasons while the Angels hold a slight home edge in divisional play. Training data t... Unlock reasoning · Pro Over / Under ? 51% over Both lineups feature power hitters who elevate run totals in warm-weather evening games. Training data through late 2025 shows Athletics-Ang... Unlock reasoning · Pro Spread ? 52% Los Angeles Angels Home run-line value appears on the Angels given Oakland's poor road performance against right-handed starters. Historical data favors the An... Unlock reasoning · Pro First 5 innings ? 50% Los Angeles Angels Early-game bullpen usage and home-field advantage give the Angels a slight edge in the first five. Training data through 2025 indicates home... Unlock reasoning · Pro
Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship Google · 37-42 -10.7u	Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro Get Pro
Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship Google · 63-97 -57.1u	Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro Get Pro
Gemini 2.5 Flash Google · 406-450 -359.0u	60% Los Angeles Angels	52% Over 8.5	55% Los Angeles Angels -1.5	55% Los Angeles Angels F5
Match winner ? 60% Los Angeles Angels Based on historical team performance and roster strength from my training data through 2025-09, the Los Angeles Angels are generally a more... Unlock reasoning · Pro Over / Under ? 52% Over 8.5 Assuming a standard MLB total line of 8.5 runs, and given the Angels' potential for offensive firepower combined with the typical variabilit... Unlock reasoning · Pro Spread ? 55% Los Angeles Angels -1.5 If the Los Angeles Angels are favored to win outright, they are also more likely to cover a standard -1.5 run line against the Athletics. Th... Unlock reasoning · Pro First 5 innings ? 55% Los Angeles Angels F5 The outcome of the first five innings heavily depends on the starting pitchers. Based on general team strength from my training data, the An... Unlock reasoning · Pro
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Google · 380-484 -345.4u	55% Athletics	52% over	54% Athletics	53% Athletics
Match winner ? 55% Athletics Based on training data through 2025-09, the Los Angeles Angels have historically held a strong advantage over the Athletics. However, recent... Unlock reasoning · Pro Over / Under ? 52% over Training data indicates that games involving the Athletics often feature a moderate to high number of runs, while Angels games can be more v... Unlock reasoning · Pro Spread ? 54% Athletics The Angels are generally favored, but the Athletics have shown resilience. A spread of +/- 1.5 runs for the Athletics is a reasonable pick a... Unlock reasoning · Pro First 5 innings ? 53% Athletics Historically, both teams have had periods of strong offensive starts and weaker starts. The Athletics have demonstrated a slightly better te... Unlock reasoning · Pro
DeepSeek V3 Deepseek · 456-512 -300.1u	58% Los Angeles Angels	52% Over 8.5	30% Los Angeles Angels -1.5	55% Los Angeles Angels
Match winner ? 58% Los Angeles Angels Based on training data through 2025 season, the Angels had a slight home-field advantage and typically out-hit the Athletics. The A's have b... Unlock reasoning · Pro Over / Under ? 52% Over 8.5 Both teams had middle-of-the-pack offenses and below-average pitching staffs in 2025, leading to high-scoring games. The Angels' ballpark (A... Unlock reasoning · Pro Spread ? 30% Los Angeles Angels -1.5 The Angels are not consistently dominant enough to cover a 1.5-run spread, especially given their inconsistent pitching. The Athletics often... Unlock reasoning · Pro First 5 innings ? 55% Los Angeles Angels The Angels often start strong with their top-of-the-order hitters and have a decent bullpen, but their starters are average. The Athletics'... Unlock reasoning · Pro
Consensus	Los Angeles Angels 5/6	over 3/6	Los Angeles Angels 3/6	Los Angeles Angels 3/6

Match winner

Consensus
Los Angeles Angels 5/6

Claude Opus 4.7 Pro

Claude Opus 4.6 Pro

Claude Opus 4.8 Pro

Claude Sonnet 4.6 Pro

Claude Haiku 4.5 55% Los Angeles Angels

The Angels are playing at home with a modest edge in recent competitive balance, though both teams have been inconsistent through mid-2026....

Unlock reasoning · Pro

GPT-5 Pro

GPT-5 Mini —

GPT-4o Mini 65% Los Angeles Angels

The Los Angeles Angels have demonstrated superior performance metrics in recent games compared to the Athletics. Additionally, the Angels ha...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

🔍 researched 3 sources cited

o4-mini Pro

Grok 4.3 Pro

Grok 4 Fast 53% Los Angeles Angels

Athletics have been a below-average road team in recent seasons while the Angels hold a slight home edge in divisional play. Training data t...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

Gemini 3.1 Pro Pro

Gemini 2.5 Pro Pro

Gemini 2.5 Flash 60% Los Angeles Angels

Based on historical team performance and roster strength from my training data through 2025-09, the Los Angeles Angels are generally a more...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite 55% Athletics

Based on training data through 2025-09, the Los Angeles Angels have historically held a strong advantage over the Athletics. However, recent...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

DeepSeek V3 58% Los Angeles Angels

Based on training data through 2025 season, the Angels had a slight home-field advantage and typically out-hit the Athletics. The A's have b...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

Over / Under

Consensus
over 3/6

Claude Opus 4.7 Pro

Claude Opus 4.6 Pro

Claude Opus 4.8 Pro

Claude Sonnet 4.6 Pro

Claude Haiku 4.5 52% Under

Mid-season MLB games in late June often feature slightly depressed run totals due to pitcher fatigue and hitter adjustment cycles. Neither t...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

GPT-5 Pro

GPT-5 Mini —

GPT-4o Mini 60% over

Both teams have shown a tendency to score high in recent matchups, and the favorable weather conditions are expected to contribute to a high...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

🔍 researched 3 sources cited

o4-mini Pro

Grok 4.3 Pro

Grok 4 Fast 51% over

Both lineups feature power hitters who elevate run totals in warm-weather evening games. Training data through late 2025 shows Athletics-Ang...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

Gemini 3.1 Pro Pro

Gemini 2.5 Pro Pro

Gemini 2.5 Flash 52% Over 8.5

Assuming a standard MLB total line of 8.5 runs, and given the Angels' potential for offensive firepower combined with the typical variabilit...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite 52% over

Training data indicates that games involving the Athletics often feature a moderate to high number of runs, while Angels games can be more v...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

DeepSeek V3 52% Over 8.5

Both teams had middle-of-the-pack offenses and below-average pitching staffs in 2025, leading to high-scoring games. The Angels' ballpark (A...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

Spread

Consensus
Los Angeles Angels 3/6

Claude Opus 4.7 Pro

Claude Opus 4.6 Pro

Claude Opus 4.8 Pro

Claude Sonnet 4.6 Pro

Claude Haiku 4.5 50% Los Angeles Angels

The Angels' home-field advantage and roster depth provide minimal edge for a -1.5 spread. This is essentially a toss-up market; the spread i...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

GPT-5 Pro

GPT-5 Mini —

GPT-4o Mini 70% Los Angeles Angels

The Angels' recent form and home-field advantage suggest they are likely to win by at least one run, covering the spread comfortably.

Unlock reasoning · Pro

🔍 researched 3 sources cited

o4-mini Pro

Grok 4.3 Pro

Grok 4 Fast 52% Los Angeles Angels

Home run-line value appears on the Angels given Oakland's poor road performance against right-handed starters. Historical data favors the An...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

Gemini 3.1 Pro Pro

Gemini 2.5 Pro Pro

Gemini 2.5 Flash 55% Los Angeles Angels -1.5

If the Los Angeles Angels are favored to win outright, they are also more likely to cover a standard -1.5 run line against the Athletics. Th...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite 54% Athletics

The Angels are generally favored, but the Athletics have shown resilience. A spread of +/- 1.5 runs for the Athletics is a reasonable pick a...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

DeepSeek V3 30% Los Angeles Angels -1.5

The Angels are not consistently dominant enough to cover a 1.5-run spread, especially given their inconsistent pitching. The Athletics often...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

First 5 innings

Consensus
Los Angeles Angels 3/6

Claude Opus 4.7 Pro

Claude Opus 4.6 Pro

Claude Opus 4.8 Pro

Claude Sonnet 4.6 Pro

Claude Haiku 4.5 53% Under 4.5

Early-inning baseball tends to feature tighter pitching and fewer aggressive swings as hitters feel out opposing starters. A -4.5 first-five...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

GPT-5 Pro

GPT-5 Mini —

GPT-4o Mini 55% Los Angeles Angels

The Angels have been strong starters in recent games, often leading after the first five innings, which gives them a slight edge in this mar...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

🔍 researched 3 sources cited

o4-mini Pro

Grok 4.3 Pro

Grok 4 Fast 50% Los Angeles Angels

Early-game bullpen usage and home-field advantage give the Angels a slight edge in the first five. Training data through 2025 indicates home...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

Gemini 3.1 Pro Pro

Gemini 2.5 Pro Pro

Gemini 2.5 Flash 55% Los Angeles Angels F5

The outcome of the first five innings heavily depends on the starting pitchers. Based on general team strength from my training data, the An...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite 53% Athletics

Historically, both teams have had periods of strong offensive starts and weaker starts. The Athletics have demonstrated a slightly better te...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

DeepSeek V3 55% Los Angeles Angels

The Angels often start strong with their top-of-the-order hitters and have a decent bullpen, but their starters are average. The Athletics'...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

Pro on-demand

Request an AI audit

Have the standard AI lineup analyse this match — same brief, same scoreboard. Predictions appear publicly once the run finishes.

Research trail

What each AI looked up before picking

Unlock sources · Pro

Claude Haiku 4.5
0 tool calls · 0 sources

No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
Grok 4 Fast
0 tool calls · 0 sources

No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
0 tool calls · 0 sources

No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
Gemini 2.5 Flash
0 tool calls · 0 sources

No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
DeepSeek V3
0 tool calls · 0 sources

No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
GPT-4o Mini
4 tool calls · 3 sources

3 citations captured — unlock with Pro

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