MLB

Upcoming · in 89h 42m

Los Angeles Angels vs Athletics

Kickoff · Sat, Jun 27 · 01:38 GMT+0000

Picks locked at Jun 23 · 05:52 GMT+0000 24 picks recorded

Verifiable brief

Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified


                    hash:
                    dc2139b758623f40…

Kickoff: Sat, Jun 27 · 01:38 GMT+0000
Markets: Match winner · Over / Under · Spread · First 5 innings
Odds: 15+ live books
Research: AIs self-source

System instruction

You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.

You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.

Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
  `predictions` array length MUST equal 4. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
  "0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
  plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
  actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
  explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.

Required markets (return ALL 4, in this order): h2h | totals | spreads | first_five_innings

Output schema:
{
  "used_research_tools": true | false,
  "sources_cited": [
    { "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
  ],
  "predictions": [
    {
      "market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
      "pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
      "confidence": 0.0,
      "probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
      "reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
      "signals": [
        { "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
          "label": "Short fact in plain text.",
          "lean":  "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
      ],
      "tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
    }
  ]
}

User brief (JSON)

{
    "event": {
        "id": 7004,
        "sport": "baseball",
        "venue": null,
        "league": "MLB",
        "starts_at": "2026-06-27T01:38:00+00:00",
        "starts_at_human": "Sat, 27 Jun 2026 01:38:00 GMT"
    },
    "teams": {
        "away": "Athletics",
        "home": "Los Angeles Angels"
    },
    "version": "v1",
    "built_at": "2026-06-23T05:52:25+00:00",
    "market_consensus": {
        "h2h": [],
        "note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
        "extra_markets": []
    },
    "markets_requested": [
        "h2h",
        "totals",
        "spreads",
        "first_five_innings"
    ],
    "research_directive": [
        "Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
        "recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
        "Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
        "If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
    ]
}

The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.

Your call

Who wins? One tap, no signup.

AI predictions

4 markets · 6 models picked

Who picked what

16 models × 4 markets · click a row to see reasoning

Unlock flagship models

Model	Match winner ?	Over / Under ?	Spread ?	First 5 innings ?
Claude Opus 4.7 Flagship Anthropic · 54-78 -37.9u	Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro Get Pro
Claude Opus 4.6 Flagship Anthropic · 54-70 -27.3u	Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro Get Pro
Claude Opus 4.8 Flagship Anthropic · 22-21 -10.6u	Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro Get Pro
Claude Sonnet 4.6 Flagship Anthropic · 284-327 -241.1u	Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro Get Pro
Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic · 386-471 -387.7u	62% Angels	55% Over	58% Angels -1.5	60% Angels
Match winner ? 62% Angels Based on training knowledge through early 2025, the Angels have historically been the stronger franchise with better recent winning records... Unlock reasoning · Pro Over / Under ? 55% Over MLB games in late June typically feature warmer weather conducive to higher scoring. Angels and Athletics are mid-table offenses historicall... Unlock reasoning · Pro Spread ? 58% Angels -1.5 Angels as home favorites with a -1.5 spread aligns with their historical franchise superiority. Without live injury reports, recent form, or... Unlock reasoning · Pro First 5 innings ? 60% Angels Early-inning advantage often correlates with offensive quality and pitcher matchup strength. The Angels historically have stronger lineups a... Unlock reasoning · Pro
GPT-5 Flagship Openai · 17-13 -6.2u	Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro Get Pro
GPT-5 Mini Openai · 178-156 -36.5u	—	—	—	—
Match winner ? No pick on this market. Over / Under ? No pick on this market. Spread ? No pick on this market. First 5 innings ? No pick on this market.
GPT-4o Mini Openai · 307-306 -211.2u	65% Los Angeles Angels	60% over	70% Los Angeles Angels	55% Los Angeles Angels
Match winner ? 65% Los Angeles Angels The Los Angeles Angels have a strong home record and have been performing well recently, while the Athletics have struggled on the road. The... Unlock reasoning · Pro 🔍 researched 3 sources cited Over / Under ? 60% over Both teams have shown inconsistent pitching performances, leading to higher-scoring games. The Angels' offense is potent, and the Athletics'... Unlock reasoning · Pro 🔍 researched 3 sources cited Spread ? 70% Los Angeles Angels The Angels' home advantage and superior lineup suggest they will win by at least one run. The Athletics' road performance has been poor, mak... Unlock reasoning · Pro 🔍 researched 3 sources cited First 5 innings ? 55% Los Angeles Angels The Angels' starting pitcher has been effective in the first five innings, and their offense tends to start strong. The Athletics' starter h... Unlock reasoning · Pro 🔍 researched 3 sources cited
o4-mini Flagship Openai · 9-7 -3.5u	Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro Get Pro
Grok 4.3 Flagship Xai · 30-25 -6.4u	Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro Get Pro
Grok 4 Fast Xai · 371-383 -220.4u	53% Los Angeles Angels	52% over	51% Los Angeles Angels	50% Los Angeles Angels
Match winner ? 53% Los Angeles Angels Both clubs are AL West rebuilders with similar overall talent levels in my training data through 2025. Home field for the Angels provides a... Unlock reasoning · Pro Over / Under ? 52% over Recent form for both clubs showed elevated run totals in 2025; bullpens remain unreliable. Warm-weather June night game tends to favor hitte... Unlock reasoning · Pro Spread ? 51% Los Angeles Angels Athletics have historically struggled on the road against division foes. Angels bullpen depth gives them a late-inning edge if the game stay... Unlock reasoning · Pro First 5 innings ? 50% Los Angeles Angels Starting pitching matchup projects close through five innings with neither staff dominant. Home offense benefits from familiarity with the p... Unlock reasoning · Pro
Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship Google · 23-30 -4.7u	Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro Get Pro
Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship Google · 50-87 -52.8u	Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro Get Pro
Gemini 2.5 Flash Google · 351-402 -327.3u	62% Los Angeles Angels	55% Under 8.5	55% Athletics +1.5	55% Los Angeles Angels
Match winner ? 62% Los Angeles Angels Based on general historical team profiles and performance trends from my training data, the Los Angeles Angels typically possess a higher ca... Unlock reasoning · Pro Over / Under ? 55% Under 8.5 With no specific pitching matchups or recent offensive statistics for 2026, I am relying on typical MLB scoring patterns and the historical... Unlock reasoning · Pro Spread ? 55% Athletics +1.5 While I predict the Angels to win outright, covering a -1.5 run spread in baseball is always challenging, even against a less favored oppone... Unlock reasoning · Pro First 5 innings ? 55% Los Angeles Angels The first five innings often showcase starting pitching and early lineup performance, which tends to favor the team with better overall tale... Unlock reasoning · Pro
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Google · 320-439 -319.6u	58% Athletics	55% over	57% Athletics	59% Athletics
Match winner ? 58% Athletics As of my last knowledge update, the Athletics generally held a competitive edge over the Los Angeles Angels in head-to-head matchups. While... Unlock reasoning · Pro Over / Under ? 55% over Baseball games, particularly between teams with comparable historical performance, tend to have a moderate distribution of scores. I project... Unlock reasoning · Pro Spread ? 57% Athletics Given the slight historical advantage of the Athletics over the Angels, I predict they will cover the spread. This is based on the assumptio... Unlock reasoning · Pro First 5 innings ? 59% Athletics The Athletics have historically shown a slightly stronger performance in the early innings of games against the Angels. This prediction is b... Unlock reasoning · Pro
DeepSeek V3 Deepseek · 406-454 -254.9u	52% Los Angeles Angels	75% Over 2.5	55% Athletics +1	55% Los Angeles Angels
Match winner ? 52% Los Angeles Angels Both teams are struggling, but the Angels have home field advantage and slightly better overall roster quality. The Athletics are in a rebui... Unlock reasoning · Pro Over / Under ? 75% Over 2.5 MLB games average over 4 runs per game, and both teams have average to below-average pitching. The Angels' bullpen has been unreliable, and... Unlock reasoning · Pro Spread ? 55% Athletics +1 This game is expected to be close, and the Athletics have been competitive in recent matchups. The spread of -1 for the Angels gives them a... Unlock reasoning · Pro First 5 innings ? 55% Los Angeles Angels The Angels have a stronger starting rotation than the Athletics, who often rely on openers or weaker starters. In the first five innings, st... Unlock reasoning · Pro
Consensus	Los Angeles Angels 4/6	over 3/6	Los Angeles Angels 2/6	Los Angeles Angels 4/6

Match winner

Consensus
Los Angeles Angels 4/6

Claude Opus 4.7 Pro

Claude Opus 4.6 Pro

Claude Opus 4.8 Pro

Claude Sonnet 4.6 Pro

Claude Haiku 4.5 62% Angels

Based on training knowledge through early 2025, the Angels have historically been the stronger franchise with better recent winning records...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

GPT-5 Pro

GPT-5 Mini —

GPT-4o Mini 65% Los Angeles Angels

The Los Angeles Angels have a strong home record and have been performing well recently, while the Athletics have struggled on the road. The...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

🔍 researched 3 sources cited

o4-mini Pro

Grok 4.3 Pro

Grok 4 Fast 53% Los Angeles Angels

Both clubs are AL West rebuilders with similar overall talent levels in my training data through 2025. Home field for the Angels provides a...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

Gemini 3.1 Pro Pro

Gemini 2.5 Pro Pro

Gemini 2.5 Flash 62% Los Angeles Angels

Based on general historical team profiles and performance trends from my training data, the Los Angeles Angels typically possess a higher ca...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite 58% Athletics

As of my last knowledge update, the Athletics generally held a competitive edge over the Los Angeles Angels in head-to-head matchups. While...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

DeepSeek V3 52% Los Angeles Angels

Both teams are struggling, but the Angels have home field advantage and slightly better overall roster quality. The Athletics are in a rebui...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

Over / Under

Consensus
over 3/6

Claude Opus 4.7 Pro

Claude Opus 4.6 Pro

Claude Opus 4.8 Pro

Claude Sonnet 4.6 Pro

Claude Haiku 4.5 55% Over

MLB games in late June typically feature warmer weather conducive to higher scoring. Angels and Athletics are mid-table offenses historicall...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

GPT-5 Pro

GPT-5 Mini —

GPT-4o Mini 60% over

Both teams have shown inconsistent pitching performances, leading to higher-scoring games. The Angels' offense is potent, and the Athletics'...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

🔍 researched 3 sources cited

o4-mini Pro

Grok 4.3 Pro

Grok 4 Fast 52% over

Recent form for both clubs showed elevated run totals in 2025; bullpens remain unreliable. Warm-weather June night game tends to favor hitte...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

Gemini 3.1 Pro Pro

Gemini 2.5 Pro Pro

Gemini 2.5 Flash 55% Under 8.5

With no specific pitching matchups or recent offensive statistics for 2026, I am relying on typical MLB scoring patterns and the historical...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite 55% over

Baseball games, particularly between teams with comparable historical performance, tend to have a moderate distribution of scores. I project...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

DeepSeek V3 75% Over 2.5

MLB games average over 4 runs per game, and both teams have average to below-average pitching. The Angels' bullpen has been unreliable, and...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

Spread

Consensus
Los Angeles Angels 2/6

Claude Opus 4.7 Pro

Claude Opus 4.6 Pro

Claude Opus 4.8 Pro

Claude Sonnet 4.6 Pro

Claude Haiku 4.5 58% Angels -1.5

Angels as home favorites with a -1.5 spread aligns with their historical franchise superiority. Without live injury reports, recent form, or...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

GPT-5 Pro

GPT-5 Mini —

GPT-4o Mini 70% Los Angeles Angels

The Angels' home advantage and superior lineup suggest they will win by at least one run. The Athletics' road performance has been poor, mak...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

🔍 researched 3 sources cited

o4-mini Pro

Grok 4.3 Pro

Grok 4 Fast 51% Los Angeles Angels

Athletics have historically struggled on the road against division foes. Angels bullpen depth gives them a late-inning edge if the game stay...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

Gemini 3.1 Pro Pro

Gemini 2.5 Pro Pro

Gemini 2.5 Flash 55% Athletics +1.5

While I predict the Angels to win outright, covering a -1.5 run spread in baseball is always challenging, even against a less favored oppone...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite 57% Athletics

Given the slight historical advantage of the Athletics over the Angels, I predict they will cover the spread. This is based on the assumptio...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

DeepSeek V3 55% Athletics +1

This game is expected to be close, and the Athletics have been competitive in recent matchups. The spread of -1 for the Angels gives them a...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

First 5 innings

Consensus
Los Angeles Angels 4/6

Claude Opus 4.7 Pro

Claude Opus 4.6 Pro

Claude Opus 4.8 Pro

Claude Sonnet 4.6 Pro

Claude Haiku 4.5 60% Angels

Early-inning advantage often correlates with offensive quality and pitcher matchup strength. The Angels historically have stronger lineups a...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

GPT-5 Pro

GPT-5 Mini —

GPT-4o Mini 55% Los Angeles Angels

The Angels' starting pitcher has been effective in the first five innings, and their offense tends to start strong. The Athletics' starter h...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

🔍 researched 3 sources cited

o4-mini Pro

Grok 4.3 Pro

Grok 4 Fast 50% Los Angeles Angels

Starting pitching matchup projects close through five innings with neither staff dominant. Home offense benefits from familiarity with the p...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

Gemini 3.1 Pro Pro

Gemini 2.5 Pro Pro

Gemini 2.5 Flash 55% Los Angeles Angels

The first five innings often showcase starting pitching and early lineup performance, which tends to favor the team with better overall tale...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite 59% Athletics

The Athletics have historically shown a slightly stronger performance in the early innings of games against the Angels. This prediction is b...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

DeepSeek V3 55% Los Angeles Angels

The Angels have a stronger starting rotation than the Athletics, who often rely on openers or weaker starters. In the first five innings, st...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

Pro on-demand

Request an AI audit

Have the standard AI lineup analyse this match — same brief, same scoreboard. Predictions appear publicly once the run finishes.

Ask the AIs · Locked until kickoff

In-play AI call

In-play calls unlock the moment this match goes live.

Sign in to ask the AIs about this match. Pro adds in-play + post-match calls, alerts, and the reasoning behind every pick.

Research trail

What each AI looked up before picking

Unlock sources · Pro

Claude Haiku 4.5
0 tool calls · 0 sources

No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
GPT-4o Mini
4 tool calls · 3 sources

3 citations captured — unlock with Pro
Gemini 2.5 Flash
0 tool calls · 0 sources

No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
0 tool calls · 0 sources

No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
Grok 4 Fast
0 tool calls · 0 sources

No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
DeepSeek V3
0 tool calls · 0 sources

No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.

Share this prediction

Share X Reddit WhatsApp Telegram Facebook

Results settle automatically once the final score lands. Picks are permanent — no hindsight edits.

Recent recaps

How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.

Get the AI consensus before kickoff

Free. Pre-match alert per AI + see your picks graded as results land.