JagielloniavsFC Iberia 1999
Jagiellonia 4–0 FC Iberia 1999
All 5 AIs backed Jagiellonia — and reality agreed.
- AI lean
- Jagiellonia 5/5
- Correct calls
- 5/5
- Final
- 4–0
Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.
AI predictions
8 markets · 5 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
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Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
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Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
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Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
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Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
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Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
yes 3/5 models |
Jagiellonia -1 2/5 models |
2-1 3/5 models |
over 3/5 models |
Jagiellonia / Jagiellonia 4/5 models |
Jagiellonia -0.25 2/5 models |
Jagiellonia 5/5 models |
Jagiellonia 5/5 models |
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Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
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Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-4o Mini Openai |
60%
no
W
|
55%
Jagiellonia
W
|
20%
2-0
L
|
58%
under
L
|
50%
Jagiellonia / Jagiellonia |
55%
Jagiellonia |
56%
Jagiellonia
W
|
56%
Jagiellonia
W
|
|
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
no Both teams have demonstrated defensive solidity, with Jagiellonia keeping 3 clean sheets in their last 7 home games and Saburtalo maintainin...
🔍 researched
3 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
Jagiellonia Jagiellonia's strong home form and Saburtalo's recent winless streak suggest a home victory by at least one goal. ([forebet.com](https://www...
🔍 researched
3 sources cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
20%
2-0 Considering Jagiellonia's strong home form and Saburtalo's recent winless streak, a 2-0 home victory is a plausible outcome. ([forebet.com](...
🔍 researched
3 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
58%
under Both teams have shown a tendency towards low-scoring matches, with Jagiellonia averaging 1.17 goals scored and 0.83 conceded in their last 6...
🔍 researched
3 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
50%
Jagiellonia / Jagiellonia Jagiellonia's strong home form and Saburtalo's recent winless streak suggest a home victory, with a possibility of leading at both halftime...
🔍 researched
3 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Jagiellonia Jagiellonia's strong home form and Saburtalo's recent winless streak suggest a home victory. ([forebet.com](https://www.forebet.com/en/footb...
🔍 researched
3 sources cited
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
56%
Jagiellonia With Jagiellonia's strong home form and Saburtalo's recent winless streak, Jagiellonia is favored to win, making the draw no bet market lean...
🔍 researched
3 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
56%
Jagiellonia Jagiellonia has a strong home record, winning 2 of their last 3 home matches and remaining unbeaten in 83% of their last 12 matches across a...
🔍 researched
3 sources cited
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o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4 Fast Xai |
51%
yes
L
|
58%
Jagiellonia
W
|
22%
2-1
L
|
53%
over
W
|
38%
Jagiellonia / Jagiellonia |
55%
Jagiellonia -1
W
|
72%
Jagiellonia
W
|
62%
Jagiellonia
W
|
|
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
51%
yes Saburtalo score regularly away while Jagiellonia concede at home. Set-piece threat from both sides increases likelihood of goals at each end...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
58%
Jagiellonia Jagiellonia expected to win by one goal or more given squad depth and venue. Away side struggles to keep clean sheets on road.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
22%
2-1 Most probable outcome follows home dominance pattern with late away reply. Training data shows 2-1 frequent in Jagiellonia European home gam...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
53%
over Both sides average over 2 goals per game in recent form. European matches often open up after first leg caution. Chorten Arena surface typic...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
38%
Jagiellonia / Jagiellonia Jagiellonia control first half at home and build on lead. Early goals common for the Polish side in European ties.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Jagiellonia -1 Line reflects Jagiellonia superiority; home side covers the handicap in majority of similar fixtures. Fatigue edge favors the rested hosts.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
72%
Jagiellonia Jagiellonia quality edge and home venue make a draw unlikely to be the final result. Rest advantage of 6 days vs 4 supports fresher performa...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
62%
Jagiellonia Jagiellonia hold home advantage in a UEFA tie against lower-ranked Saburtalo. Home form DLWWW shows resilience while away side LWDDW is mixe... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
60%
Yes
L
|
35%
Jagiellonia -1
W
|
15%
2-1
L
|
55%
Over 2.5
W
|
45%
Jagiellonia / Jagiellonia |
55%
Jagiellonia -1.0
W
|
80%
Jagiellonia
W
|
65%
Jagiellonia
W
|
|
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
Yes Saburtalo has consistently found the net in away games, scoring in their last three, and has also conceded in all of their last five away ma...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
35%
Jagiellonia -1 Given Jagiellonia's strong home advantage and the expected difference in quality, they are well-positioned to win convincingly. A win by at...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
2-1 A 2-1 scoreline aligns with Jagiellonia winning at home while acknowledging Saburtalo's capacity to score away. This outcome reflects both t...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
Over 2.5 Saburtalo's recent away form indicates high-scoring games, with 9 goals scored and 7 conceded in their last five matches. While Jagiellonia'...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
45%
Jagiellonia / Jagiellonia As the favored home team, Jagiellonia is expected to start strong and establish control early in the match. Their superior quality should al...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Jagiellonia -1.0 Jagiellonia is expected to be the superior side at home, making a win by a significant margin a real possibility. This pick accounts for bot...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
80%
Jagiellonia Considering Jagiellonia's overall strength, home advantage, and superior league background, they are highly favored to secure at least a dra...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
65%
Jagiellonia Based on training data up to 2025-09, Jagiellonia, from the stronger Polish league, has a significant home advantage. Their recent form is r... |
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Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
53%
yes
L
|
42%
FC Iberia 1999
L
|
15%
1-1
L
|
55%
over
W
|
28%
Draw / Draw
L
|
46%
Jagiellonia -0.25
W
|
47%
Jagiellonia
W
|
45%
Jagiellonia
W
|
|
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
53%
yes Both teams have scored in a good proportion of their recent matches, and neither defense has been particularly dominant. This points towards...
4 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
42%
FC Iberia 1999 Jagiellonia is slightly favored, but Saburtalo's recent form and ability to score suggest they can keep the deficit to one goal or less. The...
4 sources cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
1-1 Considering the analysis for BTTS and Total Goals 2.5, a 1-1 draw appears to be the most likely outcome. Both teams have shown the ability t...
4 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Both teams have shown decent scoring ability in their recent matches, and their defensive records are not particularly strong. This suggests...
4 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
28%
Draw / Draw With both teams having solid recent form but no clear dominance, a draw at halftime followed by another draw seems plausible. Neither team i...
4 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
46%
Jagiellonia -0.25 The slight edge in form and home advantage for Jagiellonia suggests they might edge the win, but Saburtalo's resilience means they are unlik...
4 sources cited
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
47%
Jagiellonia Given Jagiellonia's slightly better form and home advantage, they are the favored side. Saburtalo's resilience in their recent matches sugge...
4 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
45%
Jagiellonia Jagiellonia has a slightly better recent home form and more rest days, giving them a marginal advantage in this first-ever encounter. Saburt...
4 sources cited
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
60%
yes
L
|
30%
Jagiellonia -1
W
|
12%
2-1
L
|
55%
over
W
|
25%
Jagiellonia / Jagiellonia |
50%
Jagiellonia -0.25
W
|
55%
Jagiellonia
W
|
45%
Jagiellonia
W
|
|
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
yes Both teams have been involved in high-scoring games recently, with both scoring and conceding in 4 of their last 5 matches. The attacking st...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
30%
Jagiellonia -1 While Jagiellonia are favored, they are unlikely to win by a two-goal margin given the competitiveness of the match. Saburtalo are not expec...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
12%
2-1 A 2-1 home win aligns with the expected close contest and home advantage. The probabilities are spread across several scores due to uncertai...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Both teams have shown decent scoring rates recently, with the away side netting 9 in 5 games and the home side 6. European qualifiers often...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
25%
Jagiellonia / Jagiellonia Jagiellonia often start strongly at home, so a home lead at halftime is plausible. However, the match could easily be level at the break, wi...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
50%
Jagiellonia -0.25 A quarter-goal handicap gives a partial safety net on a draw, which is a plausible outcome. Home advantage and better form make backing the...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
55%
Jagiellonia Jagiellonia's home form and better recent results tilt the balance in their favor when the draw is removed. Saburtalo's away record is less...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
45%
Jagiellonia Based on training data through 2025-09, Jagiellonia typically performs strongly at home with a solid attack, while Saburtalo have shown inco... |
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Both teams to score
Consensusyes 3/5
Both teams have demonstrated defensive solidity, with Jagiellonia keeping 3 clean sheets in their last 7 home games and Saburtalo maintainin...
Saburtalo score regularly away while Jagiellonia concede at home. Set-piece threat from both sides increases likelihood of goals at each end...
Saburtalo has consistently found the net in away games, scoring in their last three, and has also conceded in all of their last five away ma...
Both teams have scored in a good proportion of their recent matches, and neither defense has been particularly dominant. This points towards...
Both teams have been involved in high-scoring games recently, with both scoring and conceding in 4 of their last 5 matches. The attacking st...
Spread
ConsensusJagiellonia -1 2/5
Jagiellonia's strong home form and Saburtalo's recent winless streak suggest a home victory by at least one goal. ([forebet.com](https://www...
Jagiellonia expected to win by one goal or more given squad depth and venue. Away side struggles to keep clean sheets on road.
Given Jagiellonia's strong home advantage and the expected difference in quality, they are well-positioned to win convincingly. A win by at...
Jagiellonia is slightly favored, but Saburtalo's recent form and ability to score suggest they can keep the deficit to one goal or less. The...
While Jagiellonia are favored, they are unlikely to win by a two-goal margin given the competitiveness of the match. Saburtalo are not expec...
Correct score
Consensus2-1 3/5
Considering Jagiellonia's strong home form and Saburtalo's recent winless streak, a 2-0 home victory is a plausible outcome. ([forebet.com](...
Most probable outcome follows home dominance pattern with late away reply. Training data shows 2-1 frequent in Jagiellonia European home gam...
A 2-1 scoreline aligns with Jagiellonia winning at home while acknowledging Saburtalo's capacity to score away. This outcome reflects both t...
Considering the analysis for BTTS and Total Goals 2.5, a 1-1 draw appears to be the most likely outcome. Both teams have shown the ability t...
A 2-1 home win aligns with the expected close contest and home advantage. The probabilities are spread across several scores due to uncertai...
Over / Under
Consensusover 3/5
Both teams have shown a tendency towards low-scoring matches, with Jagiellonia averaging 1.17 goals scored and 0.83 conceded in their last 6...
Both sides average over 2 goals per game in recent form. European matches often open up after first leg caution. Chorten Arena surface typic...
Saburtalo's recent away form indicates high-scoring games, with 9 goals scored and 7 conceded in their last five matches. While Jagiellonia'...
Both teams have shown decent scoring ability in their recent matches, and their defensive records are not particularly strong. This suggests...
Both teams have shown decent scoring rates recently, with the away side netting 9 in 5 games and the home side 6. European qualifiers often...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusJagiellonia / Jagiellonia 4/5
Jagiellonia's strong home form and Saburtalo's recent winless streak suggest a home victory, with a possibility of leading at both halftime...
Jagiellonia control first half at home and build on lead. Early goals common for the Polish side in European ties.
As the favored home team, Jagiellonia is expected to start strong and establish control early in the match. Their superior quality should al...
With both teams having solid recent form but no clear dominance, a draw at halftime followed by another draw seems plausible. Neither team i...
Jagiellonia often start strongly at home, so a home lead at halftime is plausible. However, the match could easily be level at the break, wi...
Asian handicap
ConsensusJagiellonia -0.25 2/5
Jagiellonia's strong home form and Saburtalo's recent winless streak suggest a home victory. ([forebet.com](https://www.forebet.com/en/footb...
Line reflects Jagiellonia superiority; home side covers the handicap in majority of similar fixtures. Fatigue edge favors the rested hosts.
Jagiellonia is expected to be the superior side at home, making a win by a significant margin a real possibility. This pick accounts for bot...
The slight edge in form and home advantage for Jagiellonia suggests they might edge the win, but Saburtalo's resilience means they are unlik...
A quarter-goal handicap gives a partial safety net on a draw, which is a plausible outcome. Home advantage and better form make backing the...
Draw no bet
ConsensusJagiellonia 5/5
With Jagiellonia's strong home form and Saburtalo's recent winless streak, Jagiellonia is favored to win, making the draw no bet market lean...
Jagiellonia quality edge and home venue make a draw unlikely to be the final result. Rest advantage of 6 days vs 4 supports fresher performa...
Considering Jagiellonia's overall strength, home advantage, and superior league background, they are highly favored to secure at least a dra...
Given Jagiellonia's slightly better form and home advantage, they are the favored side. Saburtalo's resilience in their recent matches sugge...
Jagiellonia's home form and better recent results tilt the balance in their favor when the draw is removed. Saburtalo's away record is less...
Match winner
ConsensusJagiellonia 5/5
Jagiellonia has a strong home record, winning 2 of their last 3 home matches and remaining unbeaten in 83% of their last 12 matches across a...
Jagiellonia hold home advantage in a UEFA tie against lower-ranked Saburtalo. Home form DLWWW shows resilience while away side LWDDW is mixe...
Based on training data up to 2025-09, Jagiellonia, from the stronger Polish league, has a significant home advantage. Their recent form is r...
Jagiellonia has a slightly better recent home form and more rest days, giving them a marginal advantage in this first-ever encounter. Saburt...
Based on training data through 2025-09, Jagiellonia typically performs strongly at home with a solid attack, while Saburtalo have shown inco...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winnerGemini 2.5 Flash
Jagiellonia
Grok 4 Fast
Jagiellonia
GPT-4o Mini
Jagiellonia
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Jagiellonia
DeepSeek V3
Jagiellonia
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
Picks closed
Match has already kicked off. Picks are permanent — no late entries.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
c00f24d064f5f934…
- Kickoff
- Thu, Aug 20 · 16:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
- Odds
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- Research
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System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 27926,
"sport": "football",
"venue": "Chorten Arena",
"league": "UEFA Europa League",
"starts_at": "2026-08-20T16:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Thu, 20 Aug 2026 16:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Saburtalo",
"home": "Jagiellonia"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "LWDDW",
"record": "2W-2D-1L",
"scored": 9,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 7
},
"home_form": {
"last": "DLWWW",
"record": "3W-1D-1L",
"scored": 6,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 5
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 4,
"home": 6
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Research trail
What each AI looked up before picking
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 4 sources
4 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
8 tool calls · 3 sources
3 citations captured — unlock with Pro
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
Get the AI consensus before kickoff
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