Ivory CoastvsEcuador
Ivory Coast 1–0 Ecuador
5 of 11 AIs leaned Ecuador — reality had other ideas.
- AI lean
- Ecuador 5/11
- Correct calls
- 1/11
- Final
- 1–0
Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.
AI predictions
Featured · open arena7 markets · 11 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 7 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
book: Ivory Coast +0.5 |
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
book: Ecuador 39% |
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
book: 1.5 · Over 64% |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
Ecuador 3/11 models |
Ecuador 5/11 models |
1-1 3/6 models |
No 8/11 models |
Draw / Draw 8/11 models |
Ecuador -0.25 3/11 models |
Under 2.5 5/11 models |
|
| Bookmaker line | Ivory Coast +0.5 | Ecuador 39% | — | — | — | — | 1.5 · Over 64% | |
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
82%
Ecuador +1
~1.25
|
34%
Draw
~2.98
L
|
14%
0-1
L
|
60%
No
~2.00
W
|
22%
Draw / Draw
L
|
55%
Ivory Coast +0.25
~1.80
W
|
66%
Under
~1.40
W
|
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
82%
Ecuador +1 Ivory Coast winning by 2+ goals is highly unlikely in a tournament opener featuring Ecuador's elite defense and projected low totals. The El...
Odds: 1.25
Edge: +2.0%
🔍 researched
4 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
34%
Draw Ecuador's elite defense (only 5 goals conceded in 18 CONMEBOL qualifiers) meets Ivory Coast's improved attack that just toppled France 2-1....
Odds: 2.98
Edge: +0.4%
🔍 researched
4 sources cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
14%
0-1 Low-scoring close match is the strong consensus, with 1-1, 0-1 and 0-0 the leading candidates. Ecuador's slight edge in market price and def...
🔍 researched
4 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
No Ecuador's defense is the spine of the team and they have not conceded freely in over a year. Ivory Coast can be shut out by a Bielsa-style h...
Odds: 2.00
Edge: +10.0%
🔍 researched
4 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
22%
Draw / Draw With both defenses dominant and low total expectations, a 0-0 or 1-1 type scoreline that's level at the break is the modal outcome. Goalless...
🔍 researched
4 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Ivory Coast +0.25 On the +0.25 line, a draw wins half the stake and an Ivory Coast outright win pays full. Given the matchup is rated by previews as essential...
Odds: 1.80
Edge: -0.6%
🔍 researched
4 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
66%
Under Ecuador's CONMEBOL qualifying campaign produced one of the lowest goals-conceded records in the tournament and averaged under 1.1 goals scor...
Odds: 1.40
Edge: -5.4%
🔍 researched
4 sources cited
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
68%
Ivory Coast +1
~1.49
W
|
33%
Draw
~2.98
L
|
14%
1-1
L
|
58%
No
~2.00
W
|
28%
Draw / Draw
L
|
53%
Ivory Coast +0.25
~1.80
W
|
68%
Under 2.5
~1.84
W
|
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
68%
Ivory Coast +1 Ecuador are slight favorites but winning by 2+ goals against Ivory Coast's elite defense is a tall order. Ivory Coast's qualifying record of...
Odds: 1.49
Edge: +0.9%
🔍 researched
8 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
33%
Draw Two elite defensive sides meet for the first time in a cagey World Cup opener. Ecuador conceded just 5 goals in 18 CONMEBOL qualifiers while...
Odds: 2.98
Edge: -0.6%
🔍 researched
8 sources cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
14%
1-1 A 1-1 draw fits the profile of this match perfectly — two strong defenses with enough quality to produce a goal each. 0-1 in Ecuador's favor...
🔍 researched
8 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
58%
No Both teams have extraordinary defensive records in qualifying. Ecuador's 5 goals conceded in 18 games and Ivory Coast's zero conceded in 10...
Odds: 2.00
Edge: +8.0%
🔍 researched
8 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
28%
Draw / Draw With two defensively excellent teams in a World Cup opener, a goalless or low-scoring first half is highly likely. Both teams will be cautio...
🔍 researched
8 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
53%
Ivory Coast +0.25 The Asian handicap line of -0.25 for Ecuador means a draw returns half the stake on Ivory Coast +0.25. Given my expectation that a draw is t...
Odds: 1.80
Edge: -2.6%
🔍 researched
8 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
68%
Under 2.5 This is a clash of two of the tournament's best defenses. Ecuador conceded just 5 goals in 18 CONMEBOL qualifiers while Ivory Coast didn't c...
Odds: 1.84
Edge: +13.7%
🔍 researched
8 sources cited
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Claude Opus 4.8 hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
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|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market. |
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|
Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
30%
Ecuador -1
~3.02
L
|
44%
Ecuador
~2.55
L
|
— |
57%
No
~2.00
W
|
22%
Draw / Ecuador
L
|
50%
Ecuador -0.5
~2.24
L
|
65%
Under 2.5
~1.84
W
|
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
30%
Ecuador -1 The -1 spread for Ecuador (winning by 2+ goals) is a high bar in a competitive World Cup group match. While Ecuador are favored, a 2+ goal m...
Odds: 3.02
Edge: -3.1%
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
44%
Ecuador Market consensus places Ecuador as clear favorites at ~2.38 average, implying roughly 42-44% win probability. Ecuador historically performs...
Odds: 2.55
Edge: +4.8%
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
57%
No Given the under-2.5 lean and the relatively tight, tactical nature expected in this match, it is slightly more likely that at least one team...
Odds: 2.00
Edge: +7.0%
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
22%
Draw / Ecuador The two most probable HT/FT outcomes are Ecuador/Ecuador (dominant from start) and Draw/Ecuador (level at half, Ecuador win late). World Cup...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
50%
Ecuador -0.5 The Asian Handicap at -0.5 for Ecuador (priced around 2.33-2.45) essentially mirrors the straight win market but with the draw removed, maki...
Odds: 2.24
Edge: +5.4%
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
65%
Under 2.5 Bookmaker lines at 2.5 heavily favor Under at ~1.41-1.42, implying roughly 66-67% probability for Under 2.5. World Cup group stage matches b...
Odds: 1.84
Edge: +10.7%
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
39%
Ivory Coast -1
~5.02
|
42%
Ivory Coast
~3.85
W
|
— |
53%
No
~2.00
W
|
36%
Draw / Ivory Coast |
48%
Ivory Coast 0
~2.38
W
|
58%
Under 2.5
~1.84
W
|
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
39%
Ivory Coast -1 The requested spread is Ivory Coast -1 (i.e., Ivory Coast by 1+ goal). Bookmaker spreads show Ivory Coast at +0.5 (1.58-1.62) and -0.5 for E...
Odds: 5.02
Edge: +19.1%
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
42%
Ivory Coast Ivory Coast are home favorites in a World Cup opener with stronger continental pedigree and recent qualifiers' momentum. However, Ecuador qu...
Odds: 3.85
Edge: +16.0%
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
53%
No Both teams to score is a volatile market in group-stage openers where tactical caution dominates. Ecuador's defensive organization in CONMEB...
Odds: 2.00
Edge: +3.0%
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
36%
Draw / Ivory Coast Half-Time / Full-Time markets reward late momentum. Draw at HT with Ivory Coast winning FT (36% confidence) reflects the likelihood of a cau...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
48%
Ivory Coast 0 Asian Handicap at 0 (level) is not explicitly priced, but spreads show Ivory Coast -0.25 around 1.89-2.1, implying near-even odds at scratch...
Odds: 2.38
Edge: +6.0%
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
58%
Under 2.5 Totals odds show Under 2.5 at ~1.41-1.42 (70% implied probability) and Over at 2.90-2.95 (34-35% implied). This sharp split suggests bookmak...
Odds: 1.84
Edge: +3.6%
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
GPT-5 hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
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|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-5 Mini Openai |
70%
Away +1 (no cover)
~1.25
|
44%
Ecuador
~2.56
L
|
28%
0-1
L
|
52%
No
~2.00
W
|
34%
Draw / Ecuador
L
|
50%
Ecuador -0.25
~2.24
L
|
65%
Under 2.5
~1.84
W
|
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
70%
Away +1 (no cover) For Ivory Coast to cover a -1 spread they would need a two-goal winning margin which is unlikely against Ecuador's organised backline; a nar...
Odds: 1.25
Edge: -10.0%
🔍 researched
7 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
44%
Ecuador Bookmakers and previews show Ecuador as the narrow favorite and they possess a more settled defensive spine (Hincapié/Pacho/Caicedo) while I...
Odds: 2.56
Edge: +4.9%
🔍 researched
7 sources cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
28%
0-1 Given Ecuador's defensive structure and the expectation of a tight, low-scoring match in a World Cup opener, a narrow 1-0 away win is the si...
🔍 researched
7 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
52%
No Ecuador's defensive organisation makes a clean-sheet plausible and Ivory Coast may be missing or rotating centre-back options, encouraging a...
Odds: 2.00
Edge: +2.0%
🔍 researched
7 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
34%
Draw / Ecuador Opening games often start cagey (draw at half) with favorites edging the game later; Ecuador's organisation and likely in-game adjustments m...
🔍 researched
7 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
50%
Ecuador -0.25 An Asian -0.25 on Ecuador balances the small favorite status with safety against a draw; given Ecuador's defensive edge and market lean, a n...
Odds: 2.24
Edge: +5.4%
🔍 researched
7 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
65%
Under 2.5 Previews and market prices show strong support for the under (bookmakers price Under as the favorites), and both teams are expected to set u...
Odds: 1.84
Edge: +10.7%
🔍 researched
7 sources cited
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GPT-4o Mini Openai |
55%
Ecuador
~1.73
L
|
34%
Draw
~2.98
L
|
40%
0-0
L
|
75%
no
~2.00
W
|
30%
Draw / Draw
L
|
55%
Ecuador
~1.73
|
85%
under
~1.40
W
|
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
Ecuador Ecuador's strong defensive record and Ivory Coast's recent form suggest a closely contested match. The spread of -1 indicates a slight advan...
Odds: 1.73
Edge: -2.8%
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
34%
Draw Both teams have strong defensive records, with Ecuador conceding just five goals in 18 qualifiers and Ivory Coast winning eight of their ten...
Odds: 2.98
Edge: +0.4%
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
40%
0-0 Both teams have strong defensive records, suggesting a low-scoring game. A 0-0 draw is the most likely outcome, with 1-0 or 0-1 as possible...
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
75%
no Both teams have strong defensive records, with Ecuador conceding just five goals in 18 qualifiers and Ivory Coast winning eight of their ten...
Odds: 2.00
Edge: +25.0%
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
30%
Draw / Draw Both teams have strong defensive records, suggesting a low-scoring game. A draw at both halftime and fulltime is a plausible outcome.
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Ecuador Ecuador's strong defensive record and Ivory Coast's recent form suggest a closely contested match. The Asian handicap indicates a slight adv...
Odds: 1.73
Edge: -2.8%
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
85%
under Both teams have demonstrated strong defensive capabilities, with Ecuador conceding just five goals in 18 qualifiers and Ivory Coast winning...
Odds: 1.40
Edge: +13.6%
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
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o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
o4-mini hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
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|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market. |
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Grok 4.3 hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
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|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market. |
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Grok 4 Fast Xai |
40%
Ecuador
~1.73
L
|
42%
Ecuador
~2.56
L
|
— |
53%
No
~2.00
W
|
29%
Draw / Draw
L
|
44%
Ecuador -0.25
~2.24
L
|
58%
Under
~1.41
W
|
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
40%
Ecuador Ecuador favored by roughly half a goal on spreads markets. Ivory Coast home advantage is offset by Ecuador's superior squad depth. Training...
Odds: 1.73
Edge: -17.8%
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
42%
Ecuador Ecuador enters as slight favorites per consensus odds around 2.4. Ivory Coast has shown inconsistency in recent African qualifiers while Ecu...
Odds: 2.56
Edge: +2.9%
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
53%
No Low expected goals from totals market and both teams' defensive setups support no BTTS. World Cup openers often finish 1-0 or 0-0. Training...
Odds: 2.00
Edge: +3.0%
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
29%
Draw / Draw Low scoring profile points to cagey first half and draw at HT. Ecuador likely to edge full time but not by large margin. Training data throu...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
44%
Ecuador -0.25 Asian lines show Ecuador -0.25 around 2.12 reflecting modest edge. Ivory Coast unlikely to dominate despite home status. Training data throu...
Odds: 2.24
Edge: -0.6%
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
58%
Under Consensus heavily favors under 2.5 at 1.41 implying low scoring. Both sides tend to be cautious in opening World Cup fixtures. Training data...
Odds: 1.41
Edge: -12.9%
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Gemini 3.1 Pro hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
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Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market. |
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
85%
Ecuador
~1.73
L
|
38%
Draw
~2.98
L
|
16%
1-1
L
|
60%
no
~2.00
W
|
45%
Draw / Draw
L
|
38%
Ecuador -0.25
~2.24
L
|
70%
under
~1.40
W
|
|
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Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
85%
Ecuador This market requires Ivory Coast (home) to win by two or more goals. My analysis points to a very close game, likely a draw or a one-goal vi...
Odds: 1.73
Edge: +27.2%
6 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
38%
Draw This is the first-ever meeting between these two nations. Ecuador is on a long unbeaten streak and boasts a formidable defense, conceding ju...
Odds: 2.98
Edge: +4.4%
6 sources cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
16%
1-1 This prediction aligns with the overall expectation of a tight, low-scoring draw. A 1-1 result seems slightly more probable than a 0-0 given...
6 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
no This prediction is heavily influenced by Ecuador's defensive strength. They are experts at keeping clean sheets and grinding out results, an...
Odds: 2.00
Edge: +10.0%
6 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
45%
Draw / Draw In a cagey World Cup opener between two well-matched teams, a tentative first half is highly probable. Neither side will want to concede ear...
6 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
38%
Ecuador -0.25 Ecuador are slight bookmaker favorites, and their incredibly disciplined style makes them difficult to beat. While a draw is the most likely...
Odds: 2.24
Edge: -6.6%
6 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
70%
under Ecuador's matches are notoriously low-scoring, with only four of their last 22 games featuring over 2.5 goals. Their game plan is built on a...
Odds: 1.40
Edge: -1.4%
6 sources cited
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Gemini 2.5 Flash |
70%
Ecuador +1
~1.25
|
38%
Draw
~2.98
L
|
— |
65%
No
~2.00
W
|
30%
Draw / Draw
L
|
60%
Ivory Coast +0.5
~1.80
W
|
70%
Under 2.5
~1.84
W
|
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
70%
Ecuador +1 Ivory Coast -1 implies they must win by two or more goals. Given Ecuador is a slight favorite and the match is expected to be very tight and...
Odds: 1.25
Edge: -10.0%
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
38%
Draw Based on my training data up to an early 2024 cutoff, both teams are often defensively solid but can struggle for goals against similarly st...
Odds: 2.98
Edge: +4.4%
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
65%
No Given the strong expectation for Under 2.5 goals and a potential draw or narrow win for either side, it is likely that at least one team wil...
Odds: 2.00
Edge: +15.0%
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
30%
Draw / Draw Considering the expectation of a tight, low-scoring opening World Cup match, a draw at half-time is highly probable as both teams feel each...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
60%
Ivory Coast +0.5 Ivory Coast +0.5 means the bet wins if Ivory Coast wins or draws. With the H2H market suggesting a very close game and a strong possibility...
Odds: 1.80
Edge: +4.4%
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
70%
Under 2.5 The market consensus strongly favors Under 2.5 goals, reflecting the expected defensive solidity of both teams in a crucial World Cup fixtur...
Odds: 1.84
Edge: +15.7%
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Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
40%
Ivory Coast
~2.37
|
45%
Ecuador
~2.56
L
|
15%
1-1
L
|
58%
Yes
~2.00
L
|
30%
Draw / Draw
L
|
48%
Ecuador
~1.73
|
55%
Over
~2.70
L
|
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
40%
Ivory Coast While Ecuador is the slight favorite to win, Ivory Coast has shown resilience and can create chances. A -1 spread is a tough ask, but Ivory...
Odds: 2.37
Edge: -2.2%
3 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
45%
Ecuador Ecuador has shown slightly better form in recent competitive matches and appears to have a more cohesive unit. Ivory Coast can be unpredicta...
Odds: 2.56
Edge: +5.9%
3 sources cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
1-1 Given the prediction of a close match with both teams scoring, a 1-1 draw is the most likely outcome. Both teams have shown the ability to s...
3 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
58%
Yes Ivory Coast's attacking style and Ecuador's need to be assertive in attack suggest both teams are likely to find the net. Defensive solidity...
Odds: 2.00
Edge: +8.0%
3 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
30%
Draw / Draw This is predicted to be a tight contest. Both teams may start cautiously, leading to a draw at halftime. The second half could see either te...
3 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
48%
Ecuador Ecuador is favored at -0.25 or a pick'em in many markets, reflecting a slight edge. Their recent form and tactical discipline suggest they a...
Odds: 1.73
Edge: -9.8%
3 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
Over Both teams have attacking capabilities, and a World Cup match can often open up, leading to more goals. While not a high-scoring fixture on...
Odds: 2.70
Edge: +18.0%
3 sources cited
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
20%
Ecuador -1
~3.03
L
|
42%
Ecuador
~2.56
L
|
— |
60%
No
~2.00
W
|
30%
Draw / Draw
L
|
55%
Ivory Coast +0.25
~1.80
W
|
65%
Under
~1.41
W
|
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
20%
Ecuador -1 A -1 spread for Ecuador is aggressive; they rarely win by multiple goals. Ivory Coast are capable of keeping it close or getting a draw. The...
Odds: 3.03
Edge: -13.0%
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
42%
Ecuador Ecuador are slight favorites based on odds and have a strong recent record in World Cup qualifiers. Ivory Coast have been inconsistent but p...
Odds: 2.56
Edge: +2.9%
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
No With low scoring expectations, both teams scoring is less likely. Ecuador's defense is disciplined; Ivory Coast may struggle to break them d...
Odds: 2.00
Edge: +10.0%
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
30%
Draw / Draw A tight first half is expected, with both teams cautious. A draw at half-time is the most likely single outcome. The full-time draw (Draw/Dr...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Ivory Coast +0.25 The +0.25 Asian handicap gives half coverage for a draw. Ivory Coast are underdogs but can earn a draw, making this a safer option. Recent f...
Odds: 1.80
Edge: -0.6%
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
65%
Under Both teams tend to play cautiously in tournament settings; Ecuador's matches average under 2.5 goals. Ivory Coast's attack can be sporadic....
Odds: 1.41
Edge: -5.9%
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Spread
ConsensusEcuador 3/11
Claude Opus 4.7
82%
Ecuador +1
~1.25
Ivory Coast winning by 2+ goals is highly unlikely in a tournament opener featuring Ecuador's elite defense and projected low totals. The El...
Claude Opus 4.6
68%
Ivory Coast +1
~1.49
W
Ecuador are slight favorites but winning by 2+ goals against Ivory Coast's elite defense is a tall order. Ivory Coast's qualifying record of...
Claude Sonnet 4.6
30%
Ecuador -1
~3.02
L
The -1 spread for Ecuador (winning by 2+ goals) is a high bar in a competitive World Cup group match. While Ecuador are favored, a 2+ goal m...
Claude Haiku 4.5
39%
Ivory Coast -1
~5.02
The requested spread is Ivory Coast -1 (i.e., Ivory Coast by 1+ goal). Bookmaker spreads show Ivory Coast at +0.5 (1.58-1.62) and -0.5 for E...
GPT-5 Mini
70%
Away +1 (no cover)
~1.25
For Ivory Coast to cover a -1 spread they would need a two-goal winning margin which is unlikely against Ecuador's organised backline; a nar...
GPT-4o Mini
55%
Ecuador
~1.73
L
Ecuador's strong defensive record and Ivory Coast's recent form suggest a closely contested match. The spread of -1 indicates a slight advan...
Grok 4 Fast
40%
Ecuador
~1.73
L
Ecuador favored by roughly half a goal on spreads markets. Ivory Coast home advantage is offset by Ecuador's superior squad depth. Training...
Gemini 2.5 Pro
85%
Ecuador
~1.73
L
This market requires Ivory Coast (home) to win by two or more goals. My analysis points to a very close game, likely a draw or a one-goal vi...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
70%
Ecuador +1
~1.25
Ivory Coast -1 implies they must win by two or more goals. Given Ecuador is a slight favorite and the match is expected to be very tight and...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
40%
Ivory Coast
~2.37
While Ecuador is the slight favorite to win, Ivory Coast has shown resilience and can create chances. A -1 spread is a tough ask, but Ivory...
DeepSeek V3
20%
Ecuador -1
~3.03
L
A -1 spread for Ecuador is aggressive; they rarely win by multiple goals. Ivory Coast are capable of keeping it close or getting a draw. The...
Bookmaker line: Ivory Coast +0.5
Match winner
ConsensusEcuador 5/11
Claude Opus 4.7
34%
Draw
~2.98
L
Ecuador's elite defense (only 5 goals conceded in 18 CONMEBOL qualifiers) meets Ivory Coast's improved attack that just toppled France 2-1....
Claude Opus 4.6
33%
Draw
~2.98
L
Two elite defensive sides meet for the first time in a cagey World Cup opener. Ecuador conceded just 5 goals in 18 CONMEBOL qualifiers while...
Claude Sonnet 4.6
44%
Ecuador
~2.55
L
Market consensus places Ecuador as clear favorites at ~2.38 average, implying roughly 42-44% win probability. Ecuador historically performs...
Claude Haiku 4.5
42%
Ivory Coast
~3.85
W
Ivory Coast are home favorites in a World Cup opener with stronger continental pedigree and recent qualifiers' momentum. However, Ecuador qu...
GPT-5 Mini
44%
Ecuador
~2.56
L
Bookmakers and previews show Ecuador as the narrow favorite and they possess a more settled defensive spine (Hincapié/Pacho/Caicedo) while I...
GPT-4o Mini
34%
Draw
~2.98
L
Both teams have strong defensive records, with Ecuador conceding just five goals in 18 qualifiers and Ivory Coast winning eight of their ten...
Grok 4 Fast
42%
Ecuador
~2.56
L
Ecuador enters as slight favorites per consensus odds around 2.4. Ivory Coast has shown inconsistency in recent African qualifiers while Ecu...
Gemini 2.5 Pro
38%
Draw
~2.98
L
This is the first-ever meeting between these two nations. Ecuador is on a long unbeaten streak and boasts a formidable defense, conceding ju...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
38%
Draw
~2.98
L
Based on my training data up to an early 2024 cutoff, both teams are often defensively solid but can struggle for goals against similarly st...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
45%
Ecuador
~2.56
L
Ecuador has shown slightly better form in recent competitive matches and appears to have a more cohesive unit. Ivory Coast can be unpredicta...
DeepSeek V3
42%
Ecuador
~2.56
L
Ecuador are slight favorites based on odds and have a strong recent record in World Cup qualifiers. Ivory Coast have been inconsistent but p...
Bookmaker line: Ecuador 39%
Correct score
Consensus1-1 3/6
Claude Opus 4.7
14%
0-1
L
Low-scoring close match is the strong consensus, with 1-1, 0-1 and 0-0 the leading candidates. Ecuador's slight edge in market price and def...
Claude Opus 4.6
14%
1-1
L
A 1-1 draw fits the profile of this match perfectly — two strong defenses with enough quality to produce a goal each. 0-1 in Ecuador's favor...
Claude Sonnet 4.6
—
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
28%
0-1
L
Given Ecuador's defensive structure and the expectation of a tight, low-scoring match in a World Cup opener, a narrow 1-0 away win is the si...
GPT-4o Mini
40%
0-0
L
Both teams have strong defensive records, suggesting a low-scoring game. A 0-0 draw is the most likely outcome, with 1-0 or 0-1 as possible...
Grok 4 Fast
—
Gemini 2.5 Pro
16%
1-1
L
This prediction aligns with the overall expectation of a tight, low-scoring draw. A 1-1 result seems slightly more probable than a 0-0 given...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
15%
1-1
L
Given the prediction of a close match with both teams scoring, a 1-1 draw is the most likely outcome. Both teams have shown the ability to s...
DeepSeek V3
—
Both teams to score
ConsensusNo 8/11
Claude Opus 4.7
60%
No
~2.00
W
Ecuador's defense is the spine of the team and they have not conceded freely in over a year. Ivory Coast can be shut out by a Bielsa-style h...
Claude Opus 4.6
58%
No
~2.00
W
Both teams have extraordinary defensive records in qualifying. Ecuador's 5 goals conceded in 18 games and Ivory Coast's zero conceded in 10...
Claude Sonnet 4.6
57%
No
~2.00
W
Given the under-2.5 lean and the relatively tight, tactical nature expected in this match, it is slightly more likely that at least one team...
Claude Haiku 4.5
53%
No
~2.00
W
Both teams to score is a volatile market in group-stage openers where tactical caution dominates. Ecuador's defensive organization in CONMEB...
GPT-5 Mini
52%
No
~2.00
W
Ecuador's defensive organisation makes a clean-sheet plausible and Ivory Coast may be missing or rotating centre-back options, encouraging a...
GPT-4o Mini
75%
no
~2.00
W
Both teams have strong defensive records, with Ecuador conceding just five goals in 18 qualifiers and Ivory Coast winning eight of their ten...
Grok 4 Fast
53%
No
~2.00
W
Low expected goals from totals market and both teams' defensive setups support no BTTS. World Cup openers often finish 1-0 or 0-0. Training...
Gemini 2.5 Pro
60%
no
~2.00
W
This prediction is heavily influenced by Ecuador's defensive strength. They are experts at keeping clean sheets and grinding out results, an...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
65%
No
~2.00
W
Given the strong expectation for Under 2.5 goals and a potential draw or narrow win for either side, it is likely that at least one team wil...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
58%
Yes
~2.00
L
Ivory Coast's attacking style and Ecuador's need to be assertive in attack suggest both teams are likely to find the net. Defensive solidity...
DeepSeek V3
60%
No
~2.00
W
With low scoring expectations, both teams scoring is less likely. Ecuador's defense is disciplined; Ivory Coast may struggle to break them d...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusDraw / Draw 8/11
Claude Opus 4.7
22%
Draw / Draw
L
With both defenses dominant and low total expectations, a 0-0 or 1-1 type scoreline that's level at the break is the modal outcome. Goalless...
Claude Opus 4.6
28%
Draw / Draw
L
With two defensively excellent teams in a World Cup opener, a goalless or low-scoring first half is highly likely. Both teams will be cautio...
Claude Sonnet 4.6
22%
Draw / Ecuador
L
The two most probable HT/FT outcomes are Ecuador/Ecuador (dominant from start) and Draw/Ecuador (level at half, Ecuador win late). World Cup...
Claude Haiku 4.5
36%
Draw / Ivory Coast
Half-Time / Full-Time markets reward late momentum. Draw at HT with Ivory Coast winning FT (36% confidence) reflects the likelihood of a cau...
GPT-5 Mini
34%
Draw / Ecuador
L
Opening games often start cagey (draw at half) with favorites edging the game later; Ecuador's organisation and likely in-game adjustments m...
GPT-4o Mini
30%
Draw / Draw
L
Both teams have strong defensive records, suggesting a low-scoring game. A draw at both halftime and fulltime is a plausible outcome.
Grok 4 Fast
29%
Draw / Draw
L
Low scoring profile points to cagey first half and draw at HT. Ecuador likely to edge full time but not by large margin. Training data throu...
Gemini 2.5 Pro
45%
Draw / Draw
L
In a cagey World Cup opener between two well-matched teams, a tentative first half is highly probable. Neither side will want to concede ear...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
30%
Draw / Draw
L
Considering the expectation of a tight, low-scoring opening World Cup match, a draw at half-time is highly probable as both teams feel each...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
30%
Draw / Draw
L
This is predicted to be a tight contest. Both teams may start cautiously, leading to a draw at halftime. The second half could see either te...
DeepSeek V3
30%
Draw / Draw
L
A tight first half is expected, with both teams cautious. A draw at half-time is the most likely single outcome. The full-time draw (Draw/Dr...
Asian handicap
ConsensusEcuador -0.25 3/11
Claude Opus 4.7
55%
Ivory Coast +0.25
~1.80
W
On the +0.25 line, a draw wins half the stake and an Ivory Coast outright win pays full. Given the matchup is rated by previews as essential...
Claude Opus 4.6
53%
Ivory Coast +0.25
~1.80
W
The Asian handicap line of -0.25 for Ecuador means a draw returns half the stake on Ivory Coast +0.25. Given my expectation that a draw is t...
Claude Sonnet 4.6
50%
Ecuador -0.5
~2.24
L
The Asian Handicap at -0.5 for Ecuador (priced around 2.33-2.45) essentially mirrors the straight win market but with the draw removed, maki...
Claude Haiku 4.5
48%
Ivory Coast 0
~2.38
W
Asian Handicap at 0 (level) is not explicitly priced, but spreads show Ivory Coast -0.25 around 1.89-2.1, implying near-even odds at scratch...
GPT-5 Mini
50%
Ecuador -0.25
~2.24
L
An Asian -0.25 on Ecuador balances the small favorite status with safety against a draw; given Ecuador's defensive edge and market lean, a n...
GPT-4o Mini
55%
Ecuador
~1.73
Ecuador's strong defensive record and Ivory Coast's recent form suggest a closely contested match. The Asian handicap indicates a slight adv...
Grok 4 Fast
44%
Ecuador -0.25
~2.24
L
Asian lines show Ecuador -0.25 around 2.12 reflecting modest edge. Ivory Coast unlikely to dominate despite home status. Training data throu...
Gemini 2.5 Pro
38%
Ecuador -0.25
~2.24
L
Ecuador are slight bookmaker favorites, and their incredibly disciplined style makes them difficult to beat. While a draw is the most likely...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
60%
Ivory Coast +0.5
~1.80
W
Ivory Coast +0.5 means the bet wins if Ivory Coast wins or draws. With the H2H market suggesting a very close game and a strong possibility...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
48%
Ecuador
~1.73
Ecuador is favored at -0.25 or a pick'em in many markets, reflecting a slight edge. Their recent form and tactical discipline suggest they a...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Ivory Coast +0.25
~1.80
W
The +0.25 Asian handicap gives half coverage for a draw. Ivory Coast are underdogs but can earn a draw, making this a safer option. Recent f...
Over / Under
ConsensusUnder 2.5 5/11
Claude Opus 4.7
66%
Under
~1.40
W
Ecuador's CONMEBOL qualifying campaign produced one of the lowest goals-conceded records in the tournament and averaged under 1.1 goals scor...
Claude Opus 4.6
68%
Under 2.5
~1.84
W
This is a clash of two of the tournament's best defenses. Ecuador conceded just 5 goals in 18 CONMEBOL qualifiers while Ivory Coast didn't c...
Claude Sonnet 4.6
65%
Under 2.5
~1.84
W
Bookmaker lines at 2.5 heavily favor Under at ~1.41-1.42, implying roughly 66-67% probability for Under 2.5. World Cup group stage matches b...
Claude Haiku 4.5
58%
Under 2.5
~1.84
W
Totals odds show Under 2.5 at ~1.41-1.42 (70% implied probability) and Over at 2.90-2.95 (34-35% implied). This sharp split suggests bookmak...
GPT-5 Mini
65%
Under 2.5
~1.84
W
Previews and market prices show strong support for the under (bookmakers price Under as the favorites), and both teams are expected to set u...
GPT-4o Mini
85%
under
~1.40
W
Both teams have demonstrated strong defensive capabilities, with Ecuador conceding just five goals in 18 qualifiers and Ivory Coast winning...
Grok 4 Fast
58%
Under
~1.41
W
Consensus heavily favors under 2.5 at 1.41 implying low scoring. Both sides tend to be cautious in opening World Cup fixtures. Training data...
Gemini 2.5 Pro
70%
under
~1.40
W
Ecuador's matches are notoriously low-scoring, with only four of their last 22 games featuring over 2.5 goals. Their game plan is built on a...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
70%
Under 2.5
~1.84
W
The market consensus strongly favors Under 2.5 goals, reflecting the expected defensive solidity of both teams in a crucial World Cup fixtur...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
Over
~2.70
L
Both teams have attacking capabilities, and a World Cup match can often open up, leading to more goals. While not a high-scoring fixture on...
DeepSeek V3
65%
Under
~1.41
W
Both teams tend to play cautiously in tournament settings; Ecuador's matches average under 2.5 goals. Ivory Coast's attack can be sporadic....
Bookmaker line: 1.5 · Over 64%
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Ecuador
Claude Sonnet 4.6
Ecuador
GPT-5 Mini
Ecuador
Claude Haiku 4.5
Ivory Coast
Grok 4 Fast
Ecuador
DeepSeek V3
Ecuador
Gemini 2.5 Pro
Draw
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Draw
Claude Opus 4.7
Draw
GPT-4o Mini
Draw
Claude Opus 4.6
Draw
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
Picks closed
Match has already kicked off. Picks are permanent — no late entries.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Bookmaker odds
51 books · sharp books pinned · best price highlighted
| Book | Ivory Coast | Draw | Ecuador |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.59 | 2.83 | 2.49 |
| Draftkings | 3.50 | 2.85 | 2.45 |
| Fanduel | 3.40 | 2.90 | 2.45 |
| Betmgm | 3.40 | 2.88 | 2.35 |
| William Hill | 3.30 | 2.90 | 2.30 |
| Betfair Exchange UK | 3.60 | 2.98 | 2.56 |
| Betfair Exchange EU | 3.60 | 2.98 | 2.56 |
| Betanysports | 3.50 | 2.78 | 2.45 |
| Betclic FR | 3.50 | 2.80 | 2.43 |
| Betfair UK | 3.20 | 2.50 | 2.30 |
| Betfred | 3.40 | 2.88 | 2.38 |
| BetOnline | 3.64 | 2.84 | 2.45 |
| Betrivers | 3.70 | 2.80 | 2.38 |
| Betsson | 3.40 | 2.95 | 2.48 |
| Betus | 3.75 | 2.75 | 2.40 |
| Betvictor | 3.30 | 2.90 | 2.40 |
| Betway | 3.50 | 2.75 | 2.38 |
| Bovada | 3.50 | 2.78 | 2.45 |
| Boylesports | 3.50 | 2.75 | 2.38 |
| Casumo | 3.70 | 2.80 | 2.38 |
| Codere It | 3.60 | 2.80 | 2.39 |
| Coolbet | 3.60 | 2.88 | 2.53 |
| Coral | 3.40 | 2.90 | 2.37 |
| Everygame | 3.50 | 2.80 | 2.45 |
| Fanatics | 3.65 | 2.85 | 2.30 |
| Grosvenor | 3.60 | 2.75 | 2.35 |
| Gtbets | 3.63 | 2.85 | 2.33 |
| Ladbrokes | 3.40 | 2.87 | 2.37 |
| Leovegas | 3.70 | 2.80 | 2.38 |
| Leovegas Se | 3.70 | 2.80 | 2.38 |
| Livescorebet | 3.60 | 2.75 | 2.33 |
| LowVig | 3.64 | 2.84 | 2.45 |
| Marathonbet | 3.72 | 2.81 | 2.40 |
| Matchbook | 3.60 | 2.98 | 2.56 |
| MyBookie | 3.60 | 2.79 | 2.37 |
| Nordicbet | 3.40 | 2.95 | 2.48 |
| Onexbet | 3.65 | 2.84 | 2.50 |
| Paddy Power | 3.40 | 2.80 | 2.40 |
| Pmu | 3.60 | 2.75 | 2.33 |
| Skybet | 3.40 | 2.88 | 2.40 |
| Smarkets | 3.60 | 2.96 | 2.54 |
| Sport888 | 3.25 | 2.90 | 2.30 |
| Tipico | 3.20 | 2.85 | 2.55 |
| Unibet | 3.60 | 2.85 | 2.40 |
| Unibet Nl | 3.85 | 2.88 | 2.43 |
| Unibet Se | 3.85 | 2.88 | 2.43 |
| Unibet | 3.60 | 2.75 | 2.40 |
| Virginbet | 3.60 | 2.75 | 2.33 |
| Williamhill | 3.45 | 2.82 | 2.35 |
| Winamax | 3.55 | 2.80 | 2.30 |
| Winamax | 3.55 | 2.75 | 2.30 |
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.8 | 1.83 | 2.08 |
| Betmgm | 1.5 | 1.61 | 2.38 |
| William Hill | 2.5 | 2.70 | 1.40 |
| Betanysports | 1.8 | 1.77 | 2.00 |
| BetOnline | 2.0 | 2.28 | 1.69 |
| Betrivers | 1.5 | 1.56 | 2.35 |
| Betsson | 2.5 | 2.95 | 1.41 |
| Betus | 2.0 | 2.20 | 1.71 |
| Bovada | 1.8 | 1.80 | 2.05 |
| Casumo | 1.5 | 1.56 | 2.35 |
| Codere It | 1.5 | 1.52 | 2.32 |
| Coolbet | 2.0 | 2.23 | 1.75 |
| Grosvenor | 1.5 | 1.56 | 2.35 |
| Gtbets | 1.5 | 1.57 | 2.33 |
| Leovegas | 1.5 | 1.56 | 2.35 |
| LowVig | 2.0 | 2.28 | 1.69 |
| MyBookie | 2.0 | 2.04 | 1.79 |
| Nordicbet | 2.5 | 2.95 | 1.41 |
| Onexbet | 1.5 | 1.63 | 2.31 |
| Pmu | 1.5 | 1.54 | 2.30 |
| Unibet Nl | 1.5 | 1.56 | 2.35 |
| Unibet Se | 1.5 | 1.57 | 2.40 |
| Book | Ivory Coast | Ecuador |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | +0.3 @ 1.84 | -0.3 @ 2.08 |
| Betanysports | 0.0 @ 2.40 | 0.0 @ 1.62 |
| BetOnline | +0.5 @ 1.61 | -0.5 @ 2.45 |
| Betus | +0.5 @ 1.62 | -0.5 @ 2.40 |
| Bovada | +0.3 @ 1.80 | -0.3 @ 2.05 |
| Gtbets | +0.5 @ 1.58 | -0.5 @ 2.33 |
| LowVig | +0.5 @ 1.61 | -0.5 @ 2.45 |
| Matchbook | +0.3 @ 1.86 | -0.3 @ 2.12 |
| MyBookie | +0.5 @ 1.60 | -0.5 @ 2.36 |
| Onexbet | 0.0 @ 2.35 | 0.0 @ 1.61 |
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
4b0cf96aa67b5e46…
- Kickoff
- Sun, Jun 14 · 23:03 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 7. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 7, in this order): h2h | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 361,
"sport": "football",
"venue": null,
"league": "FIFA World Cup",
"starts_at": "2026-06-14T23:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Sun, 14 Jun 2026 23:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Ecuador",
"home": "Ivory Coast"
},
"version": "v1",
"built_at": "2026-06-14T10:18:49+00:00",
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": {
"away": 2.56,
"draw": 2.98,
"home": 3.85
},
"note": "Bookmaker consensus odds at the moment of the call. Frozen here so settlement grades against the same line.",
"extra_markets": {
"h2h": [
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.5,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.2,
"outcome": "Ivory Coast"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.3,
"outcome": "Ecuador"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.84,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.64,
"outcome": "Ivory Coast"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.45,
"outcome": "Ecuador"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.75,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.75,
"outcome": "Ivory Coast"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.4,
"outcome": "Ecuador"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.85,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.65,
"outcome": "Ivory Coast"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.3,
"outcome": "Ecuador"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.85,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.2,
"outcome": "Ivory Coast"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.55,
"outcome": "Ecuador"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.8,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.55,
"outcome": "Ivory Coast"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.3,
"outcome": "Ecuador"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.82,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.45,
"outcome": "Ivory Coast"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.35,
"outcome": "Ecuador"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.8,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.6,
"outcome": "Ivory Coast"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.39,
"outcome": "Ecuador"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.78,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.5,
"outcome": "Ivory Coast"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.45,
"outcome": "Ecuador"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.98,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.6,
"outcome": "Ivory Coast"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.56,
"outcome": "Ecuador"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.84,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.65,
"outcome": "Ivory Coast"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.5,
"outcome": "Ecuador"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.9,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.3,
"outcome": "Ivory Coast"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.4,
"outcome": "Ecuador"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.88,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.4,
"outcome": "Ivory Coast"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.38,
"outcome": "Ecuador"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.8,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.5,
"outcome": "Ivory Coast"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.43,
"outcome": "Ecuador"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.95,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.4,
"outcome": "Ivory Coast"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.48,
"outcome": "Ecuador"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.85,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.63,
"outcome": "Ivory Coast"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.33,
"outcome": "Ecuador"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.95,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.4,
"outcome": "Ivory Coast"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.48,
"outcome": "Ecuador"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.8,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.7,
"outcome": "Ivory Coast"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.38,
"outcome": "Ecuador"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.75,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.55,
"outcome": "Ivory Coast"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.3,
"outcome": "Ecuador"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.85,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.5,
"outcome": "Ivory Coast"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.45,
"outcome": "Ecuador"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.79,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.6,
"outcome": "Ivory Coast"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.37,
"outcome": "Ecuador"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.75,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.5,
"outcome": "Ivory Coast"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.38,
"outcome": "Ecuador"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.75,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.6,
"outcome": "Ivory Coast"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.33,
"outcome": "Ecuador"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.84,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.64,
"outcome": "Ivory Coast"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.45,
"outcome": "Ecuador"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.88,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.85,
"outcome": "Ivory Coast"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.43,
"outcome": "Ecuador"
}
],
"totals": [
{
"point": 2,
"price": 1.69,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2,
"price": 2.28,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2,
"price": 1.71,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2,
"price": 2.2,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 1.5,
"price": 2.32,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 1.5,
"price": 1.52,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.42,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 2.9,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 1.5,
"price": 2.31,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 1.5,
"price": 1.63,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.41,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 2.95,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 1.5,
"price": 2.33,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 1.5,
"price": 1.57,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.41,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 2.95,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 1.5,
"price": 2.35,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 1.5,
"price": 1.56,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2,
"price": 1.79,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2,
"price": 2.04,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 1.5,
"price": 2.3,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 1.5,
"price": 1.54,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2,
"price": 1.69,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2,
"price": 2.28,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 1.5,
"price": 2.4,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 1.5,
"price": 1.57,
"outcome": "Over"
}
],
"h2h_lay": [
{
"point": null,
"price": 3,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.7,
"outcome": "Ivory Coast"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.58,
"outcome": "Ecuador"
}
],
"spreads": [
{
"point": 0.5,
"price": 1.61,
"outcome": "Ivory Coast"
},
{
"point": -0.5,
"price": 2.45,
"outcome": "Ecuador"
},
{
"point": 0.5,
"price": 1.62,
"outcome": "Ivory Coast"
},
{
"point": -0.5,
"price": 2.4,
"outcome": "Ecuador"
},
{
"point": 0,
"price": 2.4,
"outcome": "Ivory Coast"
},
{
"point": 0,
"price": 1.62,
"outcome": "Ecuador"
},
{
"point": 0.25,
"price": 1.86,
"outcome": "Ivory Coast"
},
{
"point": -0.25,
"price": 2.12,
"outcome": "Ecuador"
},
{
"point": 0,
"price": 2.35,
"outcome": "Ivory Coast"
},
{
"point": 0,
"price": 1.61,
"outcome": "Ecuador"
},
{
"point": 0.5,
"price": 1.58,
"outcome": "Ivory Coast"
},
{
"point": -0.5,
"price": 2.33,
"outcome": "Ecuador"
},
{
"point": 0.5,
"price": 1.6,
"outcome": "Ivory Coast"
},
{
"point": -0.5,
"price": 2.36,
"outcome": "Ecuador"
},
{
"point": 0.5,
"price": 1.61,
"outcome": "Ivory Coast"
},
{
"point": -0.5,
"price": 2.45,
"outcome": "Ecuador"
}
]
}
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Research trail
What each AI looked up before picking
-
0 tool calls · 6 sources
6 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
21 tool calls · 8 sources
8 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
0 tool calls · 3 sources
3 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
7 tool calls · 4 sources
4 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
42 tool calls · 7 sources
7 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
7 tool calls · 4 sources
4 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
Get the AI consensus before kickoff
Free. Pre-match alert per AI + see your picks graded as results land.