FC Viktoria Kölnvs1. FC Nürnberg
Your call
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AI predictions
8 markets · 4 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
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Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
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Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
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Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
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Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
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Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
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Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
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Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
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| Consensus |
1-2 3/4 models |
1. FC Nürnberg 4/4 models |
1. FC Nürnberg 4/4 models |
over 4/4 models |
yes 4/4 models |
1. FC Nürnberg 4/4 models |
1. FC Nürnberg 2/4 models |
1. FC Nürnberg / 1. FC Nürnberg 4/4 models |
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Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
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Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market. |
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|
GPT-4o Mini Openai |
55%
0-2 |
55%
1. FC Nürnberg |
55%
1. FC Nürnberg |
60%
over |
55%
yes |
55%
1. FC Nürnberg |
55%
1. FC Nürnberg |
55%
1. FC Nürnberg / 1. FC Nürnberg |
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
55%
0-2 Nürnberg's superior squad depth and recent form make them favorites to win against Viktoria Köln in the DFB Pokal. ([theplayoffs.news](https...
🔍 researched
3 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
1. FC Nürnberg Nürnberg's superior squad depth and recent form make them favorites to win against Viktoria Köln in the DFB Pokal. ([theplayoffs.news](https...
🔍 researched
3 sources cited
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
55%
1. FC Nürnberg Nürnberg's superior squad depth and recent form make them favorites to win against Viktoria Köln in the DFB Pokal. ([theplayoffs.news](https...
🔍 researched
3 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
over Both teams have shown a tendency for high-scoring games, with Viktoria Köln conceding 3.0 goals per game at home and Nürnberg scoring 4 goal...
🔍 researched
3 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
yes Both teams have shown a tendency to score and concede goals, with Viktoria Köln scoring in 70% of their last 10 home games and Nürnberg scor...
🔍 researched
3 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
1. FC Nürnberg Nürnberg's superior squad depth and recent form make them favorites to win against Viktoria Köln in the DFB Pokal. ([theplayoffs.news](https...
🔍 researched
3 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
1. FC Nürnberg Nürnberg's superior squad depth and recent form make them favorites to win against Viktoria Köln in the DFB Pokal. ([theplayoffs.news](https...
🔍 researched
3 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
55%
1. FC Nürnberg / 1. FC Nürnberg Nürnberg's superior squad depth and recent form make them favorites to win against Viktoria Köln in the DFB Pokal. ([theplayoffs.news](https...
🔍 researched
3 sources cited
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o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
18%
1-2 |
50%
1. FC Nürnberg |
65%
1. FC Nürnberg |
55%
over |
52%
yes |
58%
1. FC Nürnberg |
60%
1. FC Nürnberg -0.75 |
38%
1. FC Nürnberg / 1. FC Nürnberg |
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
1-2 Expected scoreline reflects Nürnberg edge tempered by cup upset possibility. Home scoring rate balanced against away defensive record points...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
50%
1. FC Nürnberg Nürnberg from 2. Bundesliga faces 3. Liga side Viktoria Köln in the cup, giving the visitors clear quality edge. Home form record shows inco...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
65%
1. FC Nürnberg Class gap favors Nürnberg to avoid defeat even on the road. Five rest days for home side is slightly better but insufficient to close the le...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Both teams average over 2.8 goals per game in recent sequences. Outdoor venue in August offers no weather suppression. Cup format encourages...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
52%
yes Viktoria Köln concede regularly at home while Nürnberg score freely on the road. Home side must attack to have any chance, raising both-team...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
58%
1. FC Nürnberg Nürnberg quality supports covering a -1 handicap in most scenarios. Home defensive record of 11 conceded in 5 games leaves room for multiple...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
60%
1. FC Nürnberg -0.75 Asian line at -0.75 captures Nürnberg superiority without overcommitting. Five rest days for home offers limited boost against superior squa...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
38%
1. FC Nürnberg / 1. FC Nürnberg Nürnberg expected to control proceedings from the start given squad quality. Away form suggests they maintain leads into second half. Home s... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market. |
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
12%
1-2 |
58%
1. FC Nürnberg |
59%
1. FC Nürnberg |
55%
over |
58%
yes |
54%
1. FC Nürnberg |
57%
1. FC Nürnberg |
42%
1. FC Nürnberg / 1. FC Nürnberg |
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
12%
1-2 Nürnberg is favored, and a narrow away win seems plausible. Given both teams' scoring and conceding records, a scoreline like 1-2 reflects N...
4 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
58%
1. FC Nürnberg Nürnberg, a 2. Bundesliga side, is generally expected to have an edge over Viktoria Köln, a 3. Liga side. While cup upsets are common, Nürnb...
4 sources cited
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
59%
1. FC Nürnberg Given Nürnberg's higher league status and better recent form, they are the favored side. The draw-no-bet market slightly increases confidenc...
4 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Both teams have shown a tendency to score and concede in their recent matches. Viktoria Köln has conceded 11 goals in their last 5 games, wh...
4 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
58%
yes Both Viktoria Köln and Nürnberg have demonstrated an ability to score goals in their recent fixtures, but also a tendency to concede. Viktor...
4 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
54%
1. FC Nürnberg Nürnberg is the favorite due to being in a higher league. They are expected to win by at least one goal. While Viktoria Köln can score, Nürn...
4 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
57%
1. FC Nürnberg Nürnberg's status as a 2. Bundesliga side gives them a significant advantage over 3. Liga side Viktoria Köln. Their recent form also support...
4 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
42%
1. FC Nürnberg / 1. FC Nürnberg Nürnberg, being the stronger team, is expected to lead at halftime and maintain that lead to win the match. Their higher league status and b...
4 sources cited
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
12%
1-2 |
50%
1. FC Nürnberg |
60%
1. FC Nürnberg |
55%
over |
55%
yes |
40%
1. FC Nürnberg |
45%
1. FC Nürnberg -1.0 |
35%
1. FC Nürnberg / 1. FC Nürnberg |
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
12%
1-2 Given Nürnberg's form and Viktoria Köln's scoring ability, a 2-1 away win is a common scoreline. I also considered 0-2 and 0-1 as clean shee...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
50%
1. FC Nürnberg Based on training data through early 2025, Nürnberg are a solid 2. Bundesliga side with recent strong form (WWWDW, 14 goals in 5 matches), w...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
60%
1. FC Nürnberg With the draw removed, the probabilities adjust. Nürnberg's superior league and recent form make them the stronger side; even if the match g...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Both teams have scored frequently recently: Nürnberg averaged 2.8 goals per match and Viktoria Köln 2.8 as well in their last 5. Defenses ha...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
yes Both teams have been scoring regularly; Nürnberg scored in all of their last 5, and Viktoria Köln scored in 4 of 5 (only blanked in one). Th...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
40%
1. FC Nürnberg A -1 spread for Nürnberg means they must win by 2+ goals. Given the league difference and Nürnberg's good form, a two-goal margin is plausib...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
45%
1. FC Nürnberg -1.0 With a one-goal handicap, the probabilities are adjusted from the -1 spread market. I lean towards Nürnberg covering the handicap due to the...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
35%
1. FC Nürnberg / 1. FC Nürnberg Nürnberg are likely to lead at halftime given their attacking quality, and they should maintain the lead to win. The most probable outcome i... |
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Correct score
Consensus1-2 3/4
Nürnberg's superior squad depth and recent form make them favorites to win against Viktoria Köln in the DFB Pokal. ([theplayoffs.news](https...
Expected scoreline reflects Nürnberg edge tempered by cup upset possibility. Home scoring rate balanced against away defensive record points...
Nürnberg is favored, and a narrow away win seems plausible. Given both teams' scoring and conceding records, a scoreline like 1-2 reflects N...
Given Nürnberg's form and Viktoria Köln's scoring ability, a 2-1 away win is a common scoreline. I also considered 0-2 and 0-1 as clean shee...
Match winner
Consensus1. FC Nürnberg 4/4
Nürnberg's superior squad depth and recent form make them favorites to win against Viktoria Köln in the DFB Pokal. ([theplayoffs.news](https...
Nürnberg from 2. Bundesliga faces 3. Liga side Viktoria Köln in the cup, giving the visitors clear quality edge. Home form record shows inco...
Nürnberg, a 2. Bundesliga side, is generally expected to have an edge over Viktoria Köln, a 3. Liga side. While cup upsets are common, Nürnb...
Based on training data through early 2025, Nürnberg are a solid 2. Bundesliga side with recent strong form (WWWDW, 14 goals in 5 matches), w...
Draw no bet
Consensus1. FC Nürnberg 4/4
Nürnberg's superior squad depth and recent form make them favorites to win against Viktoria Köln in the DFB Pokal. ([theplayoffs.news](https...
Class gap favors Nürnberg to avoid defeat even on the road. Five rest days for home side is slightly better but insufficient to close the le...
Given Nürnberg's higher league status and better recent form, they are the favored side. The draw-no-bet market slightly increases confidenc...
With the draw removed, the probabilities adjust. Nürnberg's superior league and recent form make them the stronger side; even if the match g...
Over / Under
Consensusover 4/4
Both teams have shown a tendency for high-scoring games, with Viktoria Köln conceding 3.0 goals per game at home and Nürnberg scoring 4 goal...
Both teams average over 2.8 goals per game in recent sequences. Outdoor venue in August offers no weather suppression. Cup format encourages...
Both teams have shown a tendency to score and concede in their recent matches. Viktoria Köln has conceded 11 goals in their last 5 games, wh...
Both teams have scored frequently recently: Nürnberg averaged 2.8 goals per match and Viktoria Köln 2.8 as well in their last 5. Defenses ha...
Both teams to score
Consensusyes 4/4
Both teams have shown a tendency to score and concede goals, with Viktoria Köln scoring in 70% of their last 10 home games and Nürnberg scor...
Viktoria Köln concede regularly at home while Nürnberg score freely on the road. Home side must attack to have any chance, raising both-team...
Both Viktoria Köln and Nürnberg have demonstrated an ability to score goals in their recent fixtures, but also a tendency to concede. Viktor...
Both teams have been scoring regularly; Nürnberg scored in all of their last 5, and Viktoria Köln scored in 4 of 5 (only blanked in one). Th...
Spread
Consensus1. FC Nürnberg 4/4
Nürnberg's superior squad depth and recent form make them favorites to win against Viktoria Köln in the DFB Pokal. ([theplayoffs.news](https...
Nürnberg quality supports covering a -1 handicap in most scenarios. Home defensive record of 11 conceded in 5 games leaves room for multiple...
Nürnberg is the favorite due to being in a higher league. They are expected to win by at least one goal. While Viktoria Köln can score, Nürn...
A -1 spread for Nürnberg means they must win by 2+ goals. Given the league difference and Nürnberg's good form, a two-goal margin is plausib...
Asian handicap
Consensus1. FC Nürnberg 2/4
Nürnberg's superior squad depth and recent form make them favorites to win against Viktoria Köln in the DFB Pokal. ([theplayoffs.news](https...
Asian line at -0.75 captures Nürnberg superiority without overcommitting. Five rest days for home offers limited boost against superior squa...
Nürnberg's status as a 2. Bundesliga side gives them a significant advantage over 3. Liga side Viktoria Köln. Their recent form also support...
With a one-goal handicap, the probabilities are adjusted from the -1 spread market. I lean towards Nürnberg covering the handicap due to the...
Half-time / Full-time
Consensus1. FC Nürnberg / 1. FC Nürnberg 4/4
Nürnberg's superior squad depth and recent form make them favorites to win against Viktoria Köln in the DFB Pokal. ([theplayoffs.news](https...
Nürnberg expected to control proceedings from the start given squad quality. Away form suggests they maintain leads into second half. Home s...
Nürnberg, being the stronger team, is expected to lead at halftime and maintain that lead to win the match. Their higher league status and b...
Nürnberg are likely to lead at halftime given their attacking quality, and they should maintain the lead to win. The most probable outcome i...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winnerGemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
1. FC Nürnberg
GPT-4o Mini
1. FC Nürnberg
Grok 4 Fast
1. FC Nürnberg
DeepSeek V3
1. FC Nürnberg
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Refresh the read
Team newsRe-run the AIs closer to kickoff and watch the read evolve. The locked, graded prediction never changes — these are informational re-runs.
Lineups change everything — Pro re-runs the AIs after they drop.
Confirmed XIs, late injuries and line moves land in the final hour. Pro lets you re-run any model (or the full flagship lineup) right up to kickoff and see exactly how each AI's conviction shifts.
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Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
69102996cc5731aa…
- Kickoff
- Sat, Aug 22 · 13:30 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 28894,
"sport": "football",
"venue": "Sportpark Hohenberg",
"league": "DFB Pokal",
"starts_at": "2026-08-22T13:30:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Sat, 22 Aug 2026 13:30:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "1. FC Nürnberg",
"home": "FC Viktoria Köln"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "WWWDW",
"record": "4W-1D-0L",
"scored": 14,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 7
},
"home_form": {
"last": "WLLWW",
"record": "3W-0D-2L",
"scored": 14,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 11
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 7,
"home": 5
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Research trail
What each AI looked up before picking
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
8 tool calls · 3 sources
3 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 4 sources
4 citations captured — unlock with Pro
Results settle automatically once the final score lands. Picks are permanent — no hindsight edits.
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
Get the AI consensus before kickoff
Free. Pre-match alert per AI + see your picks graded as results land.