Detroit TigersvsTampa Bay Rays
AI predictions
4 markets · 6 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
32 models × 4 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
|
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
Detroit Tigers -1.5 6/12 models |
Detroit Tigers 8/12 models |
Over 8.5 4/12 models |
Detroit Tigers 6/12 models |
|
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
55%
Detroit Tigers -1.5 |
62%
Detroit Tigers |
58%
Over 8.5 |
59%
Detroit Tigers |
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
Detroit Tigers -1.5 Detroit's strong recent form and home-field advantage support a modest spread in their favor. The Tigers' +9 run differential over 5 games a...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
62%
Detroit Tigers Detroit shows strong recent form (4W-1L over last 5 matches) with a +9 run differential, while Tampa Bay struggles at 2W-3L with a -3 run di...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
58%
Over 8.5 Detroit's recent offensive output (5.0 runs per game over last 5 matches) combined with Tampa Bay's defensive struggles (4.2 runs conceded p...
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
59%
Detroit Tigers Early-inning performance typically correlates with overall team form and starting-pitcher quality. Detroit's recent momentum and offensive c... |
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|
Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
55%
Detroit Tigers -1.5 |
62%
Detroit Tigers |
58%
Over 8.5 |
59%
Detroit Tigers |
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
Detroit Tigers -1.5 Detroit's strong recent form and home-field advantage support a modest spread in their favor. The Tigers' +9 run differential over 5 games a...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
62%
Detroit Tigers Detroit shows strong recent form (4W-1L over last 5 matches) with a +9 run differential, while Tampa Bay struggles at 2W-3L with a -3 run di...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
58%
Over 8.5 Detroit's recent offensive output (5.0 runs per game over last 5 matches) combined with Tampa Bay's defensive struggles (4.2 runs conceded p...
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
59%
Detroit Tigers Early-inning performance typically correlates with overall team form and starting-pitcher quality. Detroit's recent momentum and offensive c... |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
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GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | |
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
No pick on this market. |
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | |
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
No pick on this market. |
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|
GPT-4o Mini Openai |
50%
Tampa Bay Rays |
60%
Tampa Bay Rays |
55%
over |
55%
Tampa Bay Rays |
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
50%
Tampa Bay Rays The Rays' recent form and slight edge in the head-to-head record suggest they have a good chance of winning by at least 2 runs. However, the...
🔍 researched
2 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
60%
Tampa Bay Rays The Tampa Bay Rays have a strong recent form with 2 wins and 3 losses in their last 5 matches, scoring 18 runs and conceding 21. The Detroit...
🔍 researched
2 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Both teams have shown a tendency to score runs in recent games, with the Rays scoring 18 runs and conceding 21 in their last 5 matches, and...
🔍 researched
2 sources cited
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
55%
Tampa Bay Rays The Rays' recent form and slight edge in the head-to-head record suggest they may have a strong start in the first five innings. However, th...
🔍 researched
2 sources cited
|
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|
GPT-4o Mini Openai |
50%
Tampa Bay Rays |
60%
Tampa Bay Rays |
55%
over |
55%
Tampa Bay Rays |
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
50%
Tampa Bay Rays The Rays' recent form and slight edge in the head-to-head record suggest they have a good chance of winning by at least 2 runs. However, the...
🔍 researched
2 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
60%
Tampa Bay Rays The Tampa Bay Rays have a strong recent form with 2 wins and 3 losses in their last 5 matches, scoring 18 runs and conceding 21. The Detroit...
🔍 researched
2 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Both teams have shown a tendency to score runs in recent games, with the Rays scoring 18 runs and conceding 21 in their last 5 matches, and...
🔍 researched
2 sources cited
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
55%
Tampa Bay Rays The Rays' recent form and slight edge in the head-to-head record suggest they may have a strong start in the first five innings. However, th...
🔍 researched
2 sources cited
|
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|
o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
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o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
51%
home_ -1.5 |
56%
Detroit Tigers |
53%
under |
54%
Detroit Tigers |
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
51%
home_ -1.5 Tigers' stronger recent record supports a narrow edge on the run line despite limited rest data. Ballpark factors and home form tilt probabi...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
56%
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers enter with superior recent form (4W-1L) compared to Tampa Bay's 2W-3L. Comerica Park favors pitchers, but home advantage and...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
53%
under Comerica Park is a pitcher-friendly venue that typically suppresses run totals. Both teams show modest recent scoring, and the 2026 date fal...
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
54%
Detroit Tigers Early-game dynamics favor the home side given Tigers' overall form advantage and venue. Starting pitcher matchups are unknown but assumed ne... |
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
51%
home_ -1.5 |
56%
Detroit Tigers |
53%
under |
54%
Detroit Tigers |
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
51%
home_ -1.5 Tigers' stronger recent record supports a narrow edge on the run line despite limited rest data. Ballpark factors and home form tilt probabi...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
56%
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers enter with superior recent form (4W-1L) compared to Tampa Bay's 2W-3L. Comerica Park favors pitchers, but home advantage and...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
53%
under Comerica Park is a pitcher-friendly venue that typically suppresses run totals. Both teams show modest recent scoring, and the 2026 date fal...
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
54%
Detroit Tigers Early-game dynamics favor the home side given Tigers' overall form advantage and venue. Starting pitcher matchups are unknown but assumed ne... |
|||||
Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
55%
Detroit Tigers -1.5 |
55%
Detroit Tigers |
52%
Under 8.5 |
50%
Detroit Tigers |
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
Detroit Tigers -1.5 The Detroit Tigers have shown strong performance lately, winning by comfortable margins in their recent victories. Their superior form and h...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Detroit Tigers The Detroit Tigers are in significantly better recent form, winning 4 of their last 5 games and demonstrating a strong offensive output. Pla...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
52%
Under 8.5 Comerica Park is historically known as a pitcher-friendly venue due to its deep outfield dimensions, which tends to suppress overall scoring...
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
50%
Detroit Tigers Considering the Detroit Tigers' recent strong overall form and the boost from playing at home, they are expected to start the game well. Whi... |
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
55%
Detroit Tigers -1.5 |
55%
Detroit Tigers |
52%
Under 8.5 |
50%
Detroit Tigers |
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
Detroit Tigers -1.5 The Detroit Tigers have shown strong performance lately, winning by comfortable margins in their recent victories. Their superior form and h...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Detroit Tigers The Detroit Tigers are in significantly better recent form, winning 4 of their last 5 games and demonstrating a strong offensive output. Pla...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
52%
Under 8.5 Comerica Park is historically known as a pitcher-friendly venue due to its deep outfield dimensions, which tends to suppress overall scoring...
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
50%
Detroit Tigers Considering the Detroit Tigers' recent strong overall form and the boost from playing at home, they are expected to start the game well. Whi... |
|||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
53%
Tampa Bay Rays |
60%
Tampa Bay Rays |
55%
over |
58%
Tampa Bay Rays |
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
53%
Tampa Bay Rays While the Tigers have a stronger recent form, the Tampa Bay Rays' historical consistency and pitching depth make them a slight favorite to c...
3 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
60%
Tampa Bay Rays The Tampa Bay Rays' recent form is slightly worse than the Detroit Tigers', but historically, the Rays have been a more consistent performer...
3 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Comerica Park is generally a pitcher-friendly park, but the combined offensive strength of both teams, as indicated by their recent scoring,...
3 sources cited
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
58%
Tampa Bay Rays The Tampa Bay Rays have shown a stronger ability to start games strong, with their pitchers often setting the tone early. While the Tigers'...
3 sources cited
|
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
53%
Tampa Bay Rays |
60%
Tampa Bay Rays |
55%
over |
58%
Tampa Bay Rays |
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
53%
Tampa Bay Rays While the Tigers have a stronger recent form, the Tampa Bay Rays' historical consistency and pitching depth make them a slight favorite to c...
3 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
60%
Tampa Bay Rays The Tampa Bay Rays' recent form is slightly worse than the Detroit Tigers', but historically, the Rays have been a more consistent performer...
3 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Comerica Park is generally a pitcher-friendly park, but the combined offensive strength of both teams, as indicated by their recent scoring,...
3 sources cited
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
58%
Tampa Bay Rays The Tampa Bay Rays have shown a stronger ability to start games strong, with their pitchers often setting the tone early. While the Tigers'...
3 sources cited
|
|||||
DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
48%
Detroit Tigers -1.5 |
55%
Detroit Tigers |
52%
Over 8.5 |
51%
Tampa Bay Rays |
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
48%
Detroit Tigers -1.5 The Tigers' recent form and home advantage make them favorites, but the spread of -1.5 is a significant margin. Given the competitive nature...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Detroit Tigers Based on training data through 2025-09, the Tigers have shown stronger recent form (4 wins in last 5) compared to the Rays (2 wins in last 5...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
52%
Over 8.5 Both teams have been scoring moderately, but the Tigers' offense has produced 25 runs in their last 5 games. Comerica Park is pitcher-friend...
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
51%
Tampa Bay Rays The Rays have a traditionally strong starting rotation, and even in a down year, their early-game performance can be consistent. The Tigers'... |
|||||
|
DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
48%
Detroit Tigers -1.5 |
55%
Detroit Tigers |
52%
Over 8.5 |
51%
Tampa Bay Rays |
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
48%
Detroit Tigers -1.5 The Tigers' recent form and home advantage make them favorites, but the spread of -1.5 is a significant margin. Given the competitive nature...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Detroit Tigers Based on training data through 2025-09, the Tigers have shown stronger recent form (4 wins in last 5) compared to the Rays (2 wins in last 5...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
52%
Over 8.5 Both teams have been scoring moderately, but the Tigers' offense has produced 25 runs in their last 5 games. Comerica Park is pitcher-friend...
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
51%
Tampa Bay Rays The Rays have a traditionally strong starting rotation, and even in a down year, their early-game performance can be consistent. The Tigers'... |
|||||
Spread
ConsensusDetroit Tigers -1.5 6/12
Claude Haiku 4.5
55%
Detroit Tigers -1.5
Detroit's strong recent form and home-field advantage support a modest spread in their favor. The Tigers' +9 run differential over 5 games a...
Claude Haiku 4.5
55%
Detroit Tigers -1.5
Detroit's strong recent form and home-field advantage support a modest spread in their favor. The Tigers' +9 run differential over 5 games a...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
50%
Tampa Bay Rays
The Rays' recent form and slight edge in the head-to-head record suggest they have a good chance of winning by at least 2 runs. However, the...
GPT-4o Mini
50%
Tampa Bay Rays
The Rays' recent form and slight edge in the head-to-head record suggest they have a good chance of winning by at least 2 runs. However, the...
Grok 4 Fast
51%
home_ -1.5
Tigers' stronger recent record supports a narrow edge on the run line despite limited rest data. Ballpark factors and home form tilt probabi...
Grok 4 Fast
51%
home_ -1.5
Tigers' stronger recent record supports a narrow edge on the run line despite limited rest data. Ballpark factors and home form tilt probabi...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
Detroit Tigers -1.5
The Detroit Tigers have shown strong performance lately, winning by comfortable margins in their recent victories. Their superior form and h...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
Detroit Tigers -1.5
The Detroit Tigers have shown strong performance lately, winning by comfortable margins in their recent victories. Their superior form and h...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
53%
Tampa Bay Rays
While the Tigers have a stronger recent form, the Tampa Bay Rays' historical consistency and pitching depth make them a slight favorite to c...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
53%
Tampa Bay Rays
While the Tigers have a stronger recent form, the Tampa Bay Rays' historical consistency and pitching depth make them a slight favorite to c...
DeepSeek V3
48%
Detroit Tigers -1.5
The Tigers' recent form and home advantage make them favorites, but the spread of -1.5 is a significant margin. Given the competitive nature...
DeepSeek V3
48%
Detroit Tigers -1.5
The Tigers' recent form and home advantage make them favorites, but the spread of -1.5 is a significant margin. Given the competitive nature...
Match winner
ConsensusDetroit Tigers 8/12
Claude Haiku 4.5
62%
Detroit Tigers
Detroit shows strong recent form (4W-1L over last 5 matches) with a +9 run differential, while Tampa Bay struggles at 2W-3L with a -3 run di...
Claude Haiku 4.5
62%
Detroit Tigers
Detroit shows strong recent form (4W-1L over last 5 matches) with a +9 run differential, while Tampa Bay struggles at 2W-3L with a -3 run di...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
60%
Tampa Bay Rays
The Tampa Bay Rays have a strong recent form with 2 wins and 3 losses in their last 5 matches, scoring 18 runs and conceding 21. The Detroit...
GPT-4o Mini
60%
Tampa Bay Rays
The Tampa Bay Rays have a strong recent form with 2 wins and 3 losses in their last 5 matches, scoring 18 runs and conceding 21. The Detroit...
Grok 4 Fast
56%
Detroit Tigers
Detroit Tigers enter with superior recent form (4W-1L) compared to Tampa Bay's 2W-3L. Comerica Park favors pitchers, but home advantage and...
Grok 4 Fast
56%
Detroit Tigers
Detroit Tigers enter with superior recent form (4W-1L) compared to Tampa Bay's 2W-3L. Comerica Park favors pitchers, but home advantage and...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
Detroit Tigers
The Detroit Tigers are in significantly better recent form, winning 4 of their last 5 games and demonstrating a strong offensive output. Pla...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
Detroit Tigers
The Detroit Tigers are in significantly better recent form, winning 4 of their last 5 games and demonstrating a strong offensive output. Pla...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
60%
Tampa Bay Rays
The Tampa Bay Rays' recent form is slightly worse than the Detroit Tigers', but historically, the Rays have been a more consistent performer...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
60%
Tampa Bay Rays
The Tampa Bay Rays' recent form is slightly worse than the Detroit Tigers', but historically, the Rays have been a more consistent performer...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Detroit Tigers
Based on training data through 2025-09, the Tigers have shown stronger recent form (4 wins in last 5) compared to the Rays (2 wins in last 5...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Detroit Tigers
Based on training data through 2025-09, the Tigers have shown stronger recent form (4 wins in last 5) compared to the Rays (2 wins in last 5...
Over / Under
ConsensusOver 8.5 4/12
Claude Haiku 4.5
58%
Over 8.5
Detroit's recent offensive output (5.0 runs per game over last 5 matches) combined with Tampa Bay's defensive struggles (4.2 runs conceded p...
Claude Haiku 4.5
58%
Over 8.5
Detroit's recent offensive output (5.0 runs per game over last 5 matches) combined with Tampa Bay's defensive struggles (4.2 runs conceded p...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
55%
over
Both teams have shown a tendency to score runs in recent games, with the Rays scoring 18 runs and conceding 21 in their last 5 matches, and...
GPT-4o Mini
55%
over
Both teams have shown a tendency to score runs in recent games, with the Rays scoring 18 runs and conceding 21 in their last 5 matches, and...
Grok 4 Fast
53%
under
Comerica Park is a pitcher-friendly venue that typically suppresses run totals. Both teams show modest recent scoring, and the 2026 date fal...
Grok 4 Fast
53%
under
Comerica Park is a pitcher-friendly venue that typically suppresses run totals. Both teams show modest recent scoring, and the 2026 date fal...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
52%
Under 8.5
Comerica Park is historically known as a pitcher-friendly venue due to its deep outfield dimensions, which tends to suppress overall scoring...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
52%
Under 8.5
Comerica Park is historically known as a pitcher-friendly venue due to its deep outfield dimensions, which tends to suppress overall scoring...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
over
Comerica Park is generally a pitcher-friendly park, but the combined offensive strength of both teams, as indicated by their recent scoring,...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
over
Comerica Park is generally a pitcher-friendly park, but the combined offensive strength of both teams, as indicated by their recent scoring,...
DeepSeek V3
52%
Over 8.5
Both teams have been scoring moderately, but the Tigers' offense has produced 25 runs in their last 5 games. Comerica Park is pitcher-friend...
DeepSeek V3
52%
Over 8.5
Both teams have been scoring moderately, but the Tigers' offense has produced 25 runs in their last 5 games. Comerica Park is pitcher-friend...
First 5 innings
ConsensusDetroit Tigers 6/12
Claude Haiku 4.5
59%
Detroit Tigers
Early-inning performance typically correlates with overall team form and starting-pitcher quality. Detroit's recent momentum and offensive c...
Claude Haiku 4.5
59%
Detroit Tigers
Early-inning performance typically correlates with overall team form and starting-pitcher quality. Detroit's recent momentum and offensive c...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
55%
Tampa Bay Rays
The Rays' recent form and slight edge in the head-to-head record suggest they may have a strong start in the first five innings. However, th...
GPT-4o Mini
55%
Tampa Bay Rays
The Rays' recent form and slight edge in the head-to-head record suggest they may have a strong start in the first five innings. However, th...
Grok 4 Fast
54%
Detroit Tigers
Early-game dynamics favor the home side given Tigers' overall form advantage and venue. Starting pitcher matchups are unknown but assumed ne...
Grok 4 Fast
54%
Detroit Tigers
Early-game dynamics favor the home side given Tigers' overall form advantage and venue. Starting pitcher matchups are unknown but assumed ne...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
50%
Detroit Tigers
Considering the Detroit Tigers' recent strong overall form and the boost from playing at home, they are expected to start the game well. Whi...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
50%
Detroit Tigers
Considering the Detroit Tigers' recent strong overall form and the boost from playing at home, they are expected to start the game well. Whi...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
58%
Tampa Bay Rays
The Tampa Bay Rays have shown a stronger ability to start games strong, with their pitchers often setting the tone early. While the Tigers'...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
58%
Tampa Bay Rays
The Tampa Bay Rays have shown a stronger ability to start games strong, with their pitchers often setting the tone early. While the Tigers'...
DeepSeek V3
51%
Tampa Bay Rays
The Rays have a traditionally strong starting rotation, and even in a down year, their early-game performance can be consistent. The Tigers'...
DeepSeek V3
51%
Tampa Bay Rays
The Rays have a traditionally strong starting rotation, and even in a down year, their early-game performance can be consistent. The Tigers'...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Claude Haiku 4.5
Detroit Tigers
Claude Haiku 4.5
Detroit Tigers
GPT-4o Mini
Tampa Bay Rays
GPT-4o Mini
Tampa Bay Rays
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Tampa Bay Rays
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Tampa Bay Rays
Grok 4 Fast
Detroit Tigers
Grok 4 Fast
Detroit Tigers
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Detroit Tigers
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Detroit Tigers
DeepSeek V3
Detroit Tigers
DeepSeek V3
Detroit Tigers
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
b29661b6d7482eab…
- Kickoff
- Tue, Aug 25 · 00:40 GMT+0200
- Markets
- Match winner · Over / Under · Spread · First 5 innings
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 4. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 4, in this order): h2h | totals | spreads | first_five_innings
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 28392,
"sport": "baseball",
"venue": "Comerica Park",
"league": "MLB",
"starts_at": "2026-08-24T22:40:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Mon, 24 Aug 2026 22:40:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"home": "Detroit Tigers"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"The starting-pitcher matchup is the single biggest factor — compare each starter's recent form, not just season ERA.",
"Bullpen rest and usage over the last few days drives late-game and total outcomes.",
"Ballpark factors matter: dimensions, altitude (e.g. Coors), and especially wind direction (out = more runs, in = fewer).",
"Lineup handedness vs the opposing starter (L/R platoon splits) shifts the run expectation.",
"Weather (wind, temperature, humidity) measurably affects carry and totals."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "WWLLL",
"record": "2W-0D-3L",
"scored": 18,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 21
},
"home_form": {
"last": "WWWWL",
"record": "4W-0D-1L",
"scored": 25,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 16
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 47,
"home": 47
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"totals",
"spreads",
"first_five_innings"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Research trail
What each AI looked up before picking
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 3 sources
3 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
8 tool calls · 2 sources
2 citations captured — unlock with Pro
Results settle automatically once the final score lands. Picks are permanent — no hindsight edits.
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
Get the AI consensus before kickoff
Free. Pre-match alert per AI + see your picks graded as results land.