Detroit TigersvsNew York Yankees
Detroit Tigers 3–4 New York Yankees
All 7 AIs backed New York Yankees — and reality agreed.
- AI lean
- New York Yankees 7/7
- Correct calls
- 7/7
- Final
- 3–4
Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.
AI predictions
4 markets · 7 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 4 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
over 3/7 models |
New York Yankees 3/7 models |
New York Yankees 7/7 models |
New York Yankees 7/7 models |
|
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
54%
Over 8.5
L
|
52%
New York Yankees
L
|
55%
New York Yankees |
58%
New York Yankees
W
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
54%
Over 8.5 Both teams field offensive lineups capable of generating runs in late-June conditions. Yankees typically score above league average; Detroit...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
52%
New York Yankees Yankees' franchise-level consistency and roster depth suggest a slight edge in a single game, but -1.5 is a tight margin. Detroit's 2026 tra...
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
55%
New York Yankees Early-inning scoring often reflects quality of starting pitching and top-of-the-order hitters. Yankees maintain stronger offensive depth at...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
58%
New York Yankees The Yankees have historically maintained superior roster depth and payroll advantage over Detroit. As of my training data (September 2025),... |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
57%
under
W
|
53%
New York Yankees -1.5
L
|
60%
New York Yankees |
62%
New York Yankees
W
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
57%
under Both probable starters (Rodón and Mize) profile as pitchers who can eat innings and limit early runs and the weather forecast is clear and c...
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
53%
New York Yankees -1.5 The Yankees are the stronger team on paper and Rodón's quality increases the chance New York wins by multiple runs, but Detroit at home and...
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
60%
New York Yankees First-five outcomes are driven primarily by the starters; Rodón has been effective in early innings and projects to limit the Tigers through...
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
62%
New York Yankees Probable starters are Carlos Rodón for New York and Casey Mize for Detroit; Rodón has been the more reliable arm and the Yankees enter this...
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
|
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|
GPT-4o Mini Openai |
55%
over
L
|
60%
New York Yankees
L
|
60%
New York Yankees |
65%
New York Yankees
W
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Both teams have shown tendencies to score high in recent games, and their offensive lineups are strong. This suggests a higher probability o...
🔍 researched
2 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
60%
New York Yankees Given the Yankees' strong performance and favorable head-to-head record, they are likely to win by more than 1.5 runs against the Tigers.
🔍 researched
2 sources cited
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
60%
New York Yankees The Yankees have a strong lineup that tends to perform well early in games, suggesting they will lead after the first five innings.
🔍 researched
2 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
65%
New York Yankees The New York Yankees have a strong track record against the Detroit Tigers, with a favorable head-to-head record. Additionally, the Yankees...
🔍 researched
2 sources cited
|
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|
o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
52%
over |
51%
away_ -1.5 |
53%
New York Yankees |
55%
New York Yankees
W
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
52%
over Typical MLB scoring hovers near 9 runs with slight lean to overs in warm weather months. Both offenses capable of producing runs. Training d...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
51%
away_ -1.5 Run line outcomes split close to even but better teams cover at slightly above 50 percent. Yankees expected to be short road favorites. Limi...
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
53%
New York Yankees Early innings favor stronger lineups and Yankees depth gives slight edge. First-five results track closely to full-game results in training...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
New York Yankees Yankees historically stronger roster than Tigers in recent seasons per training data through 2024. Road favorites win slightly more than hal... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
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|
Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
55%
over_8.5
L
|
58%
New York Yankees -1.5
L
|
62%
New York Yankees |
65%
New York Yankees
W
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over_8.5 While specific pitching matchups are crucial for totals, the New York Yankees often possess a potent offense capable of contributing signifi...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
58%
New York Yankees -1.5 Historically, the New York Yankees have been the stronger team, often expected to win by more than one run against opponents like the Detroi...
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
62%
New York Yankees The outcome of the first five innings heavily depends on the starting pitchers. Assuming the New York Yankees typically field a stronger sta...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
65%
New York Yankees Based on historical team performance and general roster strength up to my training data cutoff, the New York Yankees are typically a stronge... |
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
55%
over |
58%
New York Yankees |
57%
New York Yankees |
60%
New York Yankees
W
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over MLB games, especially between teams with capable offenses and pitching staffs, tend to have a moderate number of runs scored. Without specif...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
58%
New York Yankees Given the Yankees are favored in the head-to-head, they are also more likely to cover a standard run line, especially if they are the home t...
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
57%
New York Yankees The Yankees' tendency to perform strongly suggests they are more likely to have a lead after five innings. This aligns with their projected...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
60%
New York Yankees The New York Yankees are generally a stronger team than the Detroit Tigers, based on historical performance and general baseball knowledge u... |
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
75%
Over 2.5
W
|
55%
New York Yankees -1.5
L
|
60%
New York Yankees |
65%
New York Yankees
W
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
75%
Over 2.5 MLB averages push games over 2.5 runs very frequently; even lower-scoring matchups often hit that mark. The Tigers' pitching staff is not el...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
New York Yankees -1.5 The Yankees are strong but covering a 1.5-run spread on the road is not guaranteed. Detroit can be competitive at home, and one-run games ar...
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
60%
New York Yankees Yankees' strong starting rotation typically gives them an early advantage. Tigers rely on bullpen strength, so the first five innings favor...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
65%
New York Yankees Based on training data through 2025, the Yankees generally have a stronger lineup and deeper rotations compared to the Tigers. Home field ad... |
|||||
Over / Under
Consensusover 3/7
Claude Haiku 4.5
54%
Over 8.5
L
Both teams field offensive lineups capable of generating runs in late-June conditions. Yankees typically score above league average; Detroit...
GPT-5 Mini
57%
under
W
Both probable starters (Rodón and Mize) profile as pitchers who can eat innings and limit early runs and the weather forecast is clear and c...
GPT-4o Mini
55%
over
L
Both teams have shown tendencies to score high in recent games, and their offensive lineups are strong. This suggests a higher probability o...
Grok 4 Fast
52%
over
Typical MLB scoring hovers near 9 runs with slight lean to overs in warm weather months. Both offenses capable of producing runs. Training d...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
over_8.5
L
While specific pitching matchups are crucial for totals, the New York Yankees often possess a potent offense capable of contributing signifi...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
over
MLB games, especially between teams with capable offenses and pitching staffs, tend to have a moderate number of runs scored. Without specif...
DeepSeek V3
75%
Over 2.5
W
MLB averages push games over 2.5 runs very frequently; even lower-scoring matchups often hit that mark. The Tigers' pitching staff is not el...
Spread
ConsensusNew York Yankees 3/7
Claude Haiku 4.5
52%
New York Yankees
L
Yankees' franchise-level consistency and roster depth suggest a slight edge in a single game, but -1.5 is a tight margin. Detroit's 2026 tra...
GPT-5 Mini
53%
New York Yankees -1.5
L
The Yankees are the stronger team on paper and Rodón's quality increases the chance New York wins by multiple runs, but Detroit at home and...
GPT-4o Mini
60%
New York Yankees
L
Given the Yankees' strong performance and favorable head-to-head record, they are likely to win by more than 1.5 runs against the Tigers.
Grok 4 Fast
51%
away_ -1.5
Run line outcomes split close to even but better teams cover at slightly above 50 percent. Yankees expected to be short road favorites. Limi...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
58%
New York Yankees -1.5
L
Historically, the New York Yankees have been the stronger team, often expected to win by more than one run against opponents like the Detroi...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
58%
New York Yankees
Given the Yankees are favored in the head-to-head, they are also more likely to cover a standard run line, especially if they are the home t...
DeepSeek V3
55%
New York Yankees -1.5
L
The Yankees are strong but covering a 1.5-run spread on the road is not guaranteed. Detroit can be competitive at home, and one-run games ar...
First 5 innings
ConsensusNew York Yankees 7/7
Claude Haiku 4.5
55%
New York Yankees
Early-inning scoring often reflects quality of starting pitching and top-of-the-order hitters. Yankees maintain stronger offensive depth at...
GPT-5 Mini
60%
New York Yankees
First-five outcomes are driven primarily by the starters; Rodón has been effective in early innings and projects to limit the Tigers through...
GPT-4o Mini
60%
New York Yankees
The Yankees have a strong lineup that tends to perform well early in games, suggesting they will lead after the first five innings.
Grok 4 Fast
53%
New York Yankees
Early innings favor stronger lineups and Yankees depth gives slight edge. First-five results track closely to full-game results in training...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
62%
New York Yankees
The outcome of the first five innings heavily depends on the starting pitchers. Assuming the New York Yankees typically field a stronger sta...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
57%
New York Yankees
The Yankees' tendency to perform strongly suggests they are more likely to have a lead after five innings. This aligns with their projected...
DeepSeek V3
60%
New York Yankees
Yankees' strong starting rotation typically gives them an early advantage. Tigers rely on bullpen strength, so the first five innings favor...
Match winner
ConsensusNew York Yankees 7/7
Claude Haiku 4.5
58%
New York Yankees
W
The Yankees have historically maintained superior roster depth and payroll advantage over Detroit. As of my training data (September 2025),...
GPT-5 Mini
62%
New York Yankees
W
Probable starters are Carlos Rodón for New York and Casey Mize for Detroit; Rodón has been the more reliable arm and the Yankees enter this...
GPT-4o Mini
65%
New York Yankees
W
The New York Yankees have a strong track record against the Detroit Tigers, with a favorable head-to-head record. Additionally, the Yankees...
Grok 4 Fast
55%
New York Yankees
W
Yankees historically stronger roster than Tigers in recent seasons per training data through 2024. Road favorites win slightly more than hal...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
65%
New York Yankees
W
Based on historical team performance and general roster strength up to my training data cutoff, the New York Yankees are typically a stronge...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
60%
New York Yankees
W
The New York Yankees are generally a stronger team than the Detroit Tigers, based on historical performance and general baseball knowledge u...
DeepSeek V3
65%
New York Yankees
W
Based on training data through 2025, the Yankees generally have a stronger lineup and deeper rotations compared to the Tigers. Home field ad...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
GPT-4o Mini
New York Yankees
Gemini 2.5 Flash
New York Yankees
DeepSeek V3
New York Yankees
GPT-5 Mini
New York Yankees
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
New York Yankees
Claude Haiku 4.5
New York Yankees
Grok 4 Fast
New York Yankees
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
d759a286d713e84b…
- Kickoff
- Tue, Jun 23 · 22:40 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Over / Under · Spread · First 5 innings
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 4. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 4, in this order): h2h | totals | spreads | first_five_innings
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 5710,
"sport": "baseball",
"venue": null,
"league": "MLB",
"starts_at": "2026-06-23T22:40:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Tue, 23 Jun 2026 22:40:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "New York Yankees",
"home": "Detroit Tigers"
},
"version": "v1",
"built_at": "2026-06-20T05:51:00+00:00",
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"totals",
"spreads",
"first_five_innings"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Research trail
What each AI looked up before picking
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
4 tool calls · 2 sources
2 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
36 tool calls · 6 sources
6 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
Get the AI consensus before kickoff
Free. Pre-match alert per AI + see your picks graded as results land.