Dallas StarsvsMinnesota Wild
MWYour call
Who wins? One tap, no signup.
AI predictions
4 markets · 3 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
32 models × 4 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
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Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
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First period winner
?
First period winner
First-period winner. Who is ahead at the end of the first period.
|
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
Minnesota Wild +1.5 2/5 models |
Dallas Stars 3/3 models |
Under 5.5 3/5 models |
Under 1.5 2/3 models |
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Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
61%
Minnesota Wild +1.5 |
58%
Dallas Stars |
55%
Under 6.5 |
56%
Under 1.5 |
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
61%
Minnesota Wild +1.5 While Dallas is favored to win outright, the 1.5-goal spread is overvalued in an early-season preseason game where rosters are unsettled and...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
58%
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars play at home in the American Airlines Center, which is a strong advantage in NHL parity. Minnesota Wild have shown competitive...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
Under 6.5 NHL regular season games typically trend toward lower totals in the 5.5–6.5 range, especially early season when defensive structure is tight...
First period winner
?
First period winner
First-period winner. Who is ahead at the end of the first period.
56%
Under 1.5 First-period NHL play is typically defensive and cautious, especially in early-season matchups where teams are still finding rhythm. The fir... |
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|
Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
61%
Minnesota Wild +1.5 |
58%
Dallas Stars |
55%
Under 6.5 |
56%
Under 1.5 |
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
61%
Minnesota Wild +1.5 While Dallas is favored to win outright, the 1.5-goal spread is overvalued in an early-season preseason game where rosters are unsettled and...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
58%
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars play at home in the American Airlines Center, which is a strong advantage in NHL parity. Minnesota Wild have shown competitive...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
Under 6.5 NHL regular season games typically trend toward lower totals in the 5.5–6.5 range, especially early season when defensive structure is tight...
First period winner
?
First period winner
First-period winner. Who is ahead at the end of the first period.
56%
Under 1.5 First-period NHL play is typically defensive and cautious, especially in early-season matchups where teams are still finding rhythm. The fir... |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | |
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
First period winner
?
First period winner
First-period winner. Who is ahead at the end of the first period.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | |
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
First period winner
?
First period winner
First-period winner. Who is ahead at the end of the first period.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-4o Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | |
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
First period winner
?
First period winner
First-period winner. Who is ahead at the end of the first period.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-4o Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | |
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
First period winner
?
First period winner
First-period winner. Who is ahead at the end of the first period.
No pick on this market. |
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|
o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
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o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
55%
Dallas Stars |
58%
Dallas Stars |
52%
over |
42%
Draw |
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
Dallas Stars Dallas benefits from home ice and familiar venue factors against a traveling opponent. Historical splits favor the Stars in intra-division s...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
58%
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars hold a strong home record and roster continuity advantage based on historical patterns. Minnesota Wild face typical road challe...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
52%
over Pre-season games often feature higher scoring due to experimental lineups and looser defensive play. Both clubs have shown offensive tendenc...
First period winner
?
First period winner
First-period winner. Who is ahead at the end of the first period.
42%
Draw First periods in NHL openers tend toward cautious low-event play and frequent ties. Both teams prioritize structure early before opening up... |
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
55%
Dallas Stars |
58%
Dallas Stars |
52%
over |
42%
Draw |
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
Dallas Stars Dallas benefits from home ice and familiar venue factors against a traveling opponent. Historical splits favor the Stars in intra-division s...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
58%
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars hold a strong home record and roster continuity advantage based on historical patterns. Minnesota Wild face typical road challe...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
52%
over Pre-season games often feature higher scoring due to experimental lineups and looser defensive play. Both clubs have shown offensive tendenc...
First period winner
?
First period winner
First-period winner. Who is ahead at the end of the first period.
42%
Draw First periods in NHL openers tend toward cautious low-event play and frequent ties. Both teams prioritize structure early before opening up... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
— | — | — | — | |
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
First period winner
?
First period winner
First-period winner. Who is ahead at the end of the first period.
No pick on this market. |
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
— | — | — | — | |
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
First period winner
?
First period winner
First-period winner. Who is ahead at the end of the first period.
No pick on this market. |
|||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
— | — | — | — | |
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
First period winner
?
First period winner
First-period winner. Who is ahead at the end of the first period.
No pick on this market. |
|||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
— | — | — | — | |
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
First period winner
?
First period winner
First-period winner. Who is ahead at the end of the first period.
No pick on this market. |
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
42%
Dallas Stars -1 |
54%
Dallas Stars |
55%
Under 5.5 |
55%
Under 1.5 |
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
42%
Dallas Stars -1 Puck-line bets are low-probability by nature, and Minnesota keeps games within a goal frequently. Dallas is the better side and a home favor...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
54%
Dallas Stars No live access; predicting from training data through 2025-09. Dallas has been the stronger regular-season side and holds home ice at Americ...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
Under 5.5 Both Dallas and Minnesota have historically played low-event, structure-first games, and divisional matchups between them often land on five...
First period winner
?
First period winner
First-period winner. Who is ahead at the end of the first period.
55%
Under 1.5 First periods in tight divisional matchups frequently open cautiously, and both Dallas and Minnesota have leaned toward low-event starts. Go... |
|||||
|
DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
42%
Dallas Stars -1 |
54%
Dallas Stars |
55%
Under 5.5 |
55%
Under 1.5 |
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
42%
Dallas Stars -1 Puck-line bets are low-probability by nature, and Minnesota keeps games within a goal frequently. Dallas is the better side and a home favor...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
54%
Dallas Stars No live access; predicting from training data through 2025-09. Dallas has been the stronger regular-season side and holds home ice at Americ...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
Under 5.5 Both Dallas and Minnesota have historically played low-event, structure-first games, and divisional matchups between them often land on five...
First period winner
?
First period winner
First-period winner. Who is ahead at the end of the first period.
55%
Under 1.5 First periods in tight divisional matchups frequently open cautiously, and both Dallas and Minnesota have leaned toward low-event starts. Go... |
|||||
Spread
ConsensusMinnesota Wild +1.5 2/5
Claude Haiku 4.5
61%
Minnesota Wild +1.5
While Dallas is favored to win outright, the 1.5-goal spread is overvalued in an early-season preseason game where rosters are unsettled and...
Claude Haiku 4.5
61%
Minnesota Wild +1.5
While Dallas is favored to win outright, the 1.5-goal spread is overvalued in an early-season preseason game where rosters are unsettled and...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
55%
Dallas Stars
Dallas benefits from home ice and familiar venue factors against a traveling opponent. Historical splits favor the Stars in intra-division s...
Grok 4 Fast
55%
Dallas Stars
Dallas benefits from home ice and familiar venue factors against a traveling opponent. Historical splits favor the Stars in intra-division s...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
DeepSeek V3
42%
Dallas Stars -1
Puck-line bets are low-probability by nature, and Minnesota keeps games within a goal frequently. Dallas is the better side and a home favor...
DeepSeek V3
42%
Dallas Stars -1
Puck-line bets are low-probability by nature, and Minnesota keeps games within a goal frequently. Dallas is the better side and a home favor...
Match winner
ConsensusDallas Stars 3/3
Claude Haiku 4.5
58%
Dallas Stars
Dallas Stars play at home in the American Airlines Center, which is a strong advantage in NHL parity. Minnesota Wild have shown competitive...
Claude Haiku 4.5
58%
Dallas Stars
Dallas Stars play at home in the American Airlines Center, which is a strong advantage in NHL parity. Minnesota Wild have shown competitive...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
58%
Dallas Stars
Dallas Stars hold a strong home record and roster continuity advantage based on historical patterns. Minnesota Wild face typical road challe...
Grok 4 Fast
58%
Dallas Stars
Dallas Stars hold a strong home record and roster continuity advantage based on historical patterns. Minnesota Wild face typical road challe...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
DeepSeek V3
54%
Dallas Stars
No live access; predicting from training data through 2025-09. Dallas has been the stronger regular-season side and holds home ice at Americ...
DeepSeek V3
54%
Dallas Stars
No live access; predicting from training data through 2025-09. Dallas has been the stronger regular-season side and holds home ice at Americ...
Over / Under
ConsensusUnder 5.5 3/5
Claude Haiku 4.5
55%
Under 6.5
NHL regular season games typically trend toward lower totals in the 5.5–6.5 range, especially early season when defensive structure is tight...
Claude Haiku 4.5
55%
Under 6.5
NHL regular season games typically trend toward lower totals in the 5.5–6.5 range, especially early season when defensive structure is tight...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
52%
over
Pre-season games often feature higher scoring due to experimental lineups and looser defensive play. Both clubs have shown offensive tendenc...
Grok 4 Fast
52%
over
Pre-season games often feature higher scoring due to experimental lineups and looser defensive play. Both clubs have shown offensive tendenc...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
DeepSeek V3
55%
Under 5.5
Both Dallas and Minnesota have historically played low-event, structure-first games, and divisional matchups between them often land on five...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Under 5.5
Both Dallas and Minnesota have historically played low-event, structure-first games, and divisional matchups between them often land on five...
First period winner
ConsensusUnder 1.5 2/3
Claude Haiku 4.5
56%
Under 1.5
First-period NHL play is typically defensive and cautious, especially in early-season matchups where teams are still finding rhythm. The fir...
Claude Haiku 4.5
56%
Under 1.5
First-period NHL play is typically defensive and cautious, especially in early-season matchups where teams are still finding rhythm. The fir...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
42%
Draw
First periods in NHL openers tend toward cautious low-event play and frequent ties. Both teams prioritize structure early before opening up...
Grok 4 Fast
42%
Draw
First periods in NHL openers tend toward cautious low-event play and frequent ties. Both teams prioritize structure early before opening up...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
DeepSeek V3
55%
Under 1.5
First periods in tight divisional matchups frequently open cautiously, and both Dallas and Minnesota have leaned toward low-event starts. Go...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Under 1.5
First periods in tight divisional matchups frequently open cautiously, and both Dallas and Minnesota have leaned toward low-event starts. Go...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Claude Haiku 4.5
Dallas Stars
Claude Haiku 4.5
Dallas Stars
Grok 4 Fast
Dallas Stars
Grok 4 Fast
Dallas Stars
DeepSeek V3
Dallas Stars
DeepSeek V3
Dallas Stars
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Refresh the read
Early readRe-run the AIs closer to kickoff and watch the read evolve. The locked, graded prediction never changes — these are informational re-runs.
Lineups change everything — Pro re-runs the AIs after they drop.
Confirmed XIs, late injuries and line moves land in the final hour. Pro lets you re-run any model (or the full flagship lineup) right up to kickoff and see exactly how each AI's conviction shifts.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
4d621ff2d02fc257…
- Kickoff
- Thu, Sep 24 · 00:00 GMT+0200
- Markets
- Match winner · Over / Under · Spread · First period winner
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 4. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 4, in this order): h2h | totals | spreads | first_period
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 46486,
"sport": "ice-hockey",
"venue": "American Airlines Center",
"league": "NHL",
"starts_at": "2026-09-24T00:00:00+02:00",
"starts_at_human": "Wed, 23 Sep 2026 22:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Minnesota Wild",
"home": "Dallas Stars"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Confirm the starting goaltender and their recent save% — a backup or a cold starter swings the line and total.",
"Special teams decide tight games: compare power-play and penalty-kill percentages.",
"Back-to-backs and travel cause goalie/skater fatigue — flag the schedule spot.",
"Weigh recent scoring trends and home/road splits; injuries to top-six forwards or a top pairing matter most."
],
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"totals",
"spreads",
"first_period"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Results settle automatically once the final score lands. Picks are permanent — no hindsight edits.
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
Get the AI consensus before kickoff
Free. Pre-match alert per AI + see your picks graded as results land.