Crystal PalacevsLech Poznan
Your call
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AI predictions
8 markets · 4 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
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Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
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Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
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Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
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Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
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Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
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Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
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Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
Crystal Palace 4/4 models |
Crystal Palace 4/4 models |
under 2/4 models |
no 2/4 models |
Crystal Palace 2/4 models |
Crystal Palace 2/4 models |
Draw / Crystal Palace 3/4 models |
2-1 2/4 models |
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Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-4o Mini Openai |
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Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4 Fast Xai |
48%
Crystal Palace |
65%
Crystal Palace |
52%
under |
55%
no |
42%
Crystal Palace |
52%
Crystal Palace |
28%
Draw / Crystal Palace |
12%
1-0 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
48%
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace at home hold a clear quality edge over Lech Poznan despite both sides showing mixed recent form in the supplied records. Trai...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
65%
Crystal Palace Palace are expected to avoid defeat at home against a side with only average away results. The supplied home record still shows enough attac...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
52%
under Both teams average under 3.5 combined goals in recent outings and the midweek European fixture context often produces cautious starts. Train...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
no Palace concede frequently at home but Lech have shown defensive organization on the road. Training data through 2025-09 favors no-BTTS in ea...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
42%
Crystal Palace Palace are unlikely to win by two clear goals given their inconsistent home form. Training data through 2025-09 shows European visitors ofte...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
52%
Crystal Palace A level or slight home handicap aligns with Palace's expected edge at Selhurst. Training data through 2025-09 shows they rarely lose by more...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
28%
Draw / Crystal Palace Palace often start slowly in European ties before asserting themselves after half-time. Training data through 2025-09 supports draw at half...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
12%
1-0 Low-scoring outcomes dominate the supplied stats and the tactical setup expected in an early Europa League group game. Training data through... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Flash |
50%
Crystal Palace |
69%
Crystal Palace |
55%
Under |
52%
No |
30%
Draw -1 |
70%
Lech Poznan +1.5 |
20%
Draw / Crystal Palace |
20%
1-0 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
50%
Crystal Palace Based on training data cut-off in mid-2024, Crystal Palace, as a Premier League side, generally holds a quality advantage, especially playin...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
69%
Crystal Palace Considering Crystal Palace's inherent quality advantage and home ground, their win probability is significantly higher when the draw is remo...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
Under Europa League group matches often start cautiously, especially when a stronger team faces a disciplined, lesser-known opponent. Lech Poznan...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
52%
No Given the expectation of a disciplined Lech Poznan and Crystal Palace's defensive capabilities at Selhurst Park, it is plausible one team fa...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
30%
Draw -1 This market implies Crystal Palace to win by exactly one goal ('Draw -1'). While Palace is favored, a dominant 2+ goal win ('Home -1') again...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
70%
Lech Poznan +1.5 Lech Poznan +1.5 means they can lose by one goal, draw, or win for the bet to cash. This pick reflects the expectation of a competitive game...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
20%
Draw / Crystal Palace A 'Draw/Home' outcome is plausible as Lech Poznan is expected to be defensively organized early on, leading to a tight first half. Crystal P...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
20%
1-0 A 1-0 Crystal Palace victory aligns with the prediction of an 'Under 2.5 Goals' and 'BTTS No' outcome. It reflects Crystal Palace's quality... |
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
55%
Crystal Palace |
58%
Crystal Palace |
55%
under |
58%
no |
55%
Lech Poznan |
55%
Crystal Palace -0.25 |
40%
Draw / Crystal Palace |
15%
2-1 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace, playing at home in Selhurst Park, are favored due to their slightly better historical performance at home and the general ad...
4 sources cited
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
58%
Crystal Palace Given Crystal Palace's home advantage and slightly better recent form compared to Lech Poznan's away record, backing them with the draw no b...
4 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
under Both teams have shown inconsistency in scoring and conceding. Crystal Palace has conceded 11 goals in their last 5 home games, while Lech Po...
4 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
58%
no While both teams have scored in some of their recent matches, their defensive records suggest that clean sheets are a possibility. Crystal P...
4 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
Lech Poznan Lech Poznan's recent form, despite some losses, has shown they can score goals. Crystal Palace has a porous defense at home, conceding many...
4 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Crystal Palace -0.25 Crystal Palace is playing at home, which typically provides an advantage. While their recent home form is not stellar, they are expected to...
4 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
40%
Draw / Crystal Palace Crystal Palace is favored to win at home, but Lech Poznan has shown they can be competitive, especially in the first half. A scenario where...
4 sources cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
2-1 Crystal Palace is expected to win at home, but Lech Poznan has demonstrated an ability to score. A 2-1 victory for Crystal Palace reflects t...
4 sources cited
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
62%
Crystal Palace |
70%
Crystal Palace |
55%
over |
60%
yes |
42%
Crystal Palace |
58%
Crystal Palace |
32%
Crystal Palace / Crystal Palace |
16%
2-1 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
62%
Crystal Palace No live access, so this is based on training data through 2025-09 plus the brief's reference form. Crystal Palace at Selhurst Park in a Euro...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
70%
Crystal Palace Removing the draw boosts Palace's effective win probability given their home advantage and superior squad depth. Lech would need a genuinely...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Both teams' recent matches have been high-scoring: Palace 20 goals in 5, Lech 16 in 5 combined for and against. Palace's defensive fragility...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
yes Palace have conceded in multiple recent matches and Lech have shown they can score on the road (9 goals in 5). With both attacks functional...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
42%
Crystal Palace A -1 handicap requires Palace to win by two or more, which is a big ask given their defensive wobbles and the fact European group matches ar...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
58%
Crystal Palace Assuming a Palace -0.5 line, the home side should cover via a straight win given the quality gap and Selhurst Park atmosphere. Palace's rece...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
32%
Crystal Palace / Crystal Palace Palace should take the initiative early at home, making home/home the single most likely HT/FT outcome. However, Palace's recent tendency to...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
16%
2-1 The most likely single scoreline reflects a Palace win where Lech also get on the scoresheet, consistent with both teams' recent attacking a... |
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Match winner
ConsensusCrystal Palace 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
48%
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace at home hold a clear quality edge over Lech Poznan despite both sides showing mixed recent form in the supplied records. Trai...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
50%
Crystal Palace
Based on training data cut-off in mid-2024, Crystal Palace, as a Premier League side, generally holds a quality advantage, especially playin...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace, playing at home in Selhurst Park, are favored due to their slightly better historical performance at home and the general ad...
DeepSeek V3
62%
Crystal Palace
No live access, so this is based on training data through 2025-09 plus the brief's reference form. Crystal Palace at Selhurst Park in a Euro...
Draw no bet
ConsensusCrystal Palace 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
65%
Crystal Palace
Palace are expected to avoid defeat at home against a side with only average away results. The supplied home record still shows enough attac...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
69%
Crystal Palace
Considering Crystal Palace's inherent quality advantage and home ground, their win probability is significantly higher when the draw is remo...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
58%
Crystal Palace
Given Crystal Palace's home advantage and slightly better recent form compared to Lech Poznan's away record, backing them with the draw no b...
DeepSeek V3
70%
Crystal Palace
Removing the draw boosts Palace's effective win probability given their home advantage and superior squad depth. Lech would need a genuinely...
Over / Under
Consensusunder 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
52%
under
Both teams average under 3.5 combined goals in recent outings and the midweek European fixture context often produces cautious starts. Train...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
Under
Europa League group matches often start cautiously, especially when a stronger team faces a disciplined, lesser-known opponent. Lech Poznan...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
under
Both teams have shown inconsistency in scoring and conceding. Crystal Palace has conceded 11 goals in their last 5 home games, while Lech Po...
DeepSeek V3
55%
over
Both teams' recent matches have been high-scoring: Palace 20 goals in 5, Lech 16 in 5 combined for and against. Palace's defensive fragility...
Both teams to score
Consensusno 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
55%
no
Palace concede frequently at home but Lech have shown defensive organization on the road. Training data through 2025-09 favors no-BTTS in ea...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
52%
No
Given the expectation of a disciplined Lech Poznan and Crystal Palace's defensive capabilities at Selhurst Park, it is plausible one team fa...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
58%
no
While both teams have scored in some of their recent matches, their defensive records suggest that clean sheets are a possibility. Crystal P...
DeepSeek V3
60%
yes
Palace have conceded in multiple recent matches and Lech have shown they can score on the road (9 goals in 5). With both attacks functional...
Spread
ConsensusCrystal Palace 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
42%
Crystal Palace
Palace are unlikely to win by two clear goals given their inconsistent home form. Training data through 2025-09 shows European visitors ofte...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
30%
Draw -1
This market implies Crystal Palace to win by exactly one goal ('Draw -1'). While Palace is favored, a dominant 2+ goal win ('Home -1') again...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
Lech Poznan
Lech Poznan's recent form, despite some losses, has shown they can score goals. Crystal Palace has a porous defense at home, conceding many...
DeepSeek V3
42%
Crystal Palace
A -1 handicap requires Palace to win by two or more, which is a big ask given their defensive wobbles and the fact European group matches ar...
Asian handicap
ConsensusCrystal Palace 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
52%
Crystal Palace
A level or slight home handicap aligns with Palace's expected edge at Selhurst. Training data through 2025-09 shows they rarely lose by more...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
70%
Lech Poznan +1.5
Lech Poznan +1.5 means they can lose by one goal, draw, or win for the bet to cash. This pick reflects the expectation of a competitive game...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
Crystal Palace -0.25
Crystal Palace is playing at home, which typically provides an advantage. While their recent home form is not stellar, they are expected to...
DeepSeek V3
58%
Crystal Palace
Assuming a Palace -0.5 line, the home side should cover via a straight win given the quality gap and Selhurst Park atmosphere. Palace's rece...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusDraw / Crystal Palace 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
28%
Draw / Crystal Palace
Palace often start slowly in European ties before asserting themselves after half-time. Training data through 2025-09 supports draw at half...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
20%
Draw / Crystal Palace
A 'Draw/Home' outcome is plausible as Lech Poznan is expected to be defensively organized early on, leading to a tight first half. Crystal P...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
40%
Draw / Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace is favored to win at home, but Lech Poznan has shown they can be competitive, especially in the first half. A scenario where...
DeepSeek V3
32%
Crystal Palace / Crystal Palace
Palace should take the initiative early at home, making home/home the single most likely HT/FT outcome. However, Palace's recent tendency to...
Correct score
Consensus2-1 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
12%
1-0
Low-scoring outcomes dominate the supplied stats and the tactical setup expected in an early Europa League group game. Training data through...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
20%
1-0
A 1-0 Crystal Palace victory aligns with the prediction of an 'Under 2.5 Goals' and 'BTTS No' outcome. It reflects Crystal Palace's quality...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
15%
2-1
Crystal Palace is expected to win at home, but Lech Poznan has demonstrated an ability to score. A 2-1 victory for Crystal Palace reflects t...
DeepSeek V3
16%
2-1
The most likely single scoreline reflects a Palace win where Lech also get on the scoresheet, consistent with both teams' recent attacking a...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
DeepSeek V3
Crystal Palace
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Crystal Palace
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Crystal Palace
Grok 4 Fast
Crystal Palace
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Refresh the read
Team newsRe-run the AIs closer to kickoff and watch the read evolve. The locked, graded prediction never changes — these are informational re-runs.
Lineups change everything — Pro re-runs the AIs after they drop.
Confirmed XIs, late injuries and line moves land in the final hour. Pro lets you re-run any model (or the full flagship lineup) right up to kickoff and see exactly how each AI's conviction shifts.
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Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
dafd300e6d45f2e2…
- Kickoff
- Thu, Sep 17 · 19:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 44334,
"sport": "football",
"venue": "Selhurst Park",
"league": "UEFA Europa League",
"starts_at": "2026-09-17T19:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Thu, 17 Sep 2026 19:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Lech Poznan",
"home": "Crystal Palace"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "LWWWD",
"record": "3W-1D-1L",
"scored": 9,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 7
},
"home_form": {
"last": "LWWLL",
"record": "2W-0D-3L",
"scored": 9,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 11
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 5,
"home": 5
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Research trail
What each AI looked up before picking
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 4 sources
4 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
Results settle automatically once the final score lands. Picks are permanent — no hindsight edits.
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
Get the AI consensus before kickoff
Free. Pre-match alert per AI + see your picks graded as results land.