Cruz AzulvsAtlas
Your call
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AI predictions
8 markets · 4 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
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Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
over 2/4 models |
yes 3/4 models |
Cruz Azul 1/4 models |
Cruz Azul 3/4 models |
Cruz Azul 3/4 models |
Cruz Azul 1/4 models |
Draw / Cruz Azul 2/4 models |
1-1 3/4 models |
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Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-4o Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
53%
under |
51%
yes |
49%
Cruz Azul |
52%
Cruz Azul |
58%
Cruz Azul |
54%
Cruz Azul |
28%
Draw / Cruz Azul |
18%
1-1 |
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
53%
under Combined goals per game in recent form average under 3.0. Defensive vulnerabilities exist but matches between these sides often stay control...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
51%
yes Both teams concede regularly in recent fixtures. Cruz Azul concede 1.6 per game at home while Atlas score enough away to find the net. Expec...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
49%
Cruz Azul Home side is marginally stronger but the spread is tight given both teams' mixed form. Atlas have shown resilience on the road. The away sid...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
52%
Cruz Azul Cruz Azul hold a slight edge at home despite similar recent records to Atlas. Both sides show leaky defenses in the last five outings. Train...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
58%
Cruz Azul Cruz Azul benefit from home advantage and comparable rest. Atlas have lost three of their last five. The pick reflects modest home favoritis...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
54%
Cruz Azul Cruz Azul receive a small handicap edge at home. Historical patterns in Liga MX give the home team a modest lift. Rest parity keeps the marg...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
28%
Draw / Cruz Azul Matches often see a cautious first half followed by home pressure after the break. Cruz Azul tend to improve in the second half at home. The...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
1-1 Low-scoring outcomes dominate given the defensive records and recent form. 1-1 is the single most likely exact score. Training data through... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
55%
Over 2.5 |
58%
Yes |
38%
Cruz Azul -1 |
45%
Cruz Azul |
62%
Cruz Azul |
52%
Cruz Azul -0.75 |
28%
Draw / Cruz Azul |
16%
2-1 |
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
Over 2.5 Both teams have shown tendencies towards higher-scoring games in their last five matches; Cruz Azul's games averaged 3.0 goals and Atlas's a...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
58%
Yes Cruz Azul has scored in 4 of their last 5 and conceded in 4 of their last 5, indicating both attacking capability and defensive vulnerabilit...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
38%
Cruz Azul -1 While Cruz Azul is favored to win, their inconsistent form suggests that a comfortable multi-goal victory isn't guaranteed. A 'Home -1' pick...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
45%
Cruz Azul Cruz Azul generally holds a stronger historical record than Atlas and, despite an inconsistent recent form (2W-0D-3L), their offensive outpu...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
62%
Cruz Azul Considering Cruz Azul's slight edge in recent form and historical strength, they are favored to win outright. The Draw No Bet market removes...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
52%
Cruz Azul -0.75 Cruz Azul is the stronger side and is playing at home, giving them the edge. A -0.75 Asian Handicap implies they are expected to win by at l...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
28%
Draw / Cruz Azul A draw at halftime is a common occurrence in competitive football, especially when both teams are in inconsistent form. However, Cruz Azul's...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
16%
2-1 A 2-1 scoreline for Cruz Azul aligns well with the expectation of a home win, both teams scoring (BTTS Yes), and the total goals going over... |
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
55%
over |
58%
yes |
42%
Draw |
38%
Draw |
40%
Draw |
55%
Atlas +0.25 |
30%
Draw / Draw |
15%
1-1 |
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over While both teams have similar recent win/loss records, their goal differences suggest a moderate tendency for goals. Cruz Azul has conceded...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
58%
yes Both Cruz Azul and Atlas have conceded a notable number of goals in their last five matches (8 and 9 respectively). Their recent scoring rec...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
42%
Draw With both teams showing inconsistent form and a propensity for conceding goals, a close match is expected. Cruz Azul winning by more than on...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
38%
Draw Both teams have identical recent form (2 wins, 3 losses in last 5 matches) and goal difference, suggesting a closely contested match. Neithe...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
40%
Draw Given the even recent form and goal-scoring/conceding records of both Cruz Azul and Atlas, the draw is the most likely outcome. This predict...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Atlas +0.25 Given the very even recent form of both Cruz Azul and Atlas, with identical win-loss records in their last five games and similar defensive...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
30%
Draw / Draw Considering the close nature of the teams' recent performances and their tendency to concede goals, a match where both halves are relatively...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
1-1 Given the recent form of both teams, which shows a balance of wins and losses and a tendency to concede, a low-scoring draw like 1-1 seems p... |
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
55%
over |
60%
yes |
28%
home_ -1 |
42%
Cruz Azul |
58%
Cruz Azul |
53%
away_ +0.25 |
20%
draw_home |
14%
1-1 |
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Both teams have conceded at least 8 goals in their last 5, suggesting defensive vulnerabilities. Historical matchups between these sides oft...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
yes Both teams have shown ability to score, and both defenses are leaky. Away team scored in 4 of 5 recent matches, home in 3. Historical head-t...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
28%
home_ -1 Home team struggling for form, and a -1 spread requires a two-goal margin which is unlikely given recent results. Away team often competitiv...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
42%
Cruz Azul Based on training data through 2025, Cruz Azul typically have a stronger squad and home advantage, but both teams show poor recent form with...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
58%
Cruz Azul With the draw removed, home win becomes the more likely outcome given Cruz Azul's home advantage and historically better squad. However, awa...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
53%
away_ +0.25 Both teams evenly matched on recent form, and away team has a slight edge in scoring consistency. The +0.25 gives insurance against a draw,...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
20%
draw_home Given the evenly matched teams and defensive issues, a halftime draw is plausible. Cruz Azul may push on second half to win, making draw_hom...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
14%
1-1 Both teams have similar attacking and defensive metrics, making 1-1 a common outcome. Strong possibility of a draw with goals. Other scores... |
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Over / Under
Consensusover 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
53%
under
Combined goals per game in recent form average under 3.0. Defensive vulnerabilities exist but matches between these sides often stay control...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
Over 2.5
Both teams have shown tendencies towards higher-scoring games in their last five matches; Cruz Azul's games averaged 3.0 goals and Atlas's a...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
over
While both teams have similar recent win/loss records, their goal differences suggest a moderate tendency for goals. Cruz Azul has conceded...
DeepSeek V3
55%
over
Both teams have conceded at least 8 goals in their last 5, suggesting defensive vulnerabilities. Historical matchups between these sides oft...
Both teams to score
Consensusyes 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
51%
yes
Both teams concede regularly in recent fixtures. Cruz Azul concede 1.6 per game at home while Atlas score enough away to find the net. Expec...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
58%
Yes
Cruz Azul has scored in 4 of their last 5 and conceded in 4 of their last 5, indicating both attacking capability and defensive vulnerabilit...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
58%
yes
Both Cruz Azul and Atlas have conceded a notable number of goals in their last five matches (8 and 9 respectively). Their recent scoring rec...
DeepSeek V3
60%
yes
Both teams have shown ability to score, and both defenses are leaky. Away team scored in 4 of 5 recent matches, home in 3. Historical head-t...
Spread
ConsensusCruz Azul 1/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
49%
Cruz Azul
Home side is marginally stronger but the spread is tight given both teams' mixed form. Atlas have shown resilience on the road. The away sid...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
38%
Cruz Azul -1
While Cruz Azul is favored to win, their inconsistent form suggests that a comfortable multi-goal victory isn't guaranteed. A 'Home -1' pick...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
42%
Draw
With both teams showing inconsistent form and a propensity for conceding goals, a close match is expected. Cruz Azul winning by more than on...
DeepSeek V3
28%
home_ -1
Home team struggling for form, and a -1 spread requires a two-goal margin which is unlikely given recent results. Away team often competitiv...
Match winner
ConsensusCruz Azul 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
52%
Cruz Azul
Cruz Azul hold a slight edge at home despite similar recent records to Atlas. Both sides show leaky defenses in the last five outings. Train...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
45%
Cruz Azul
Cruz Azul generally holds a stronger historical record than Atlas and, despite an inconsistent recent form (2W-0D-3L), their offensive outpu...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
38%
Draw
Both teams have identical recent form (2 wins, 3 losses in last 5 matches) and goal difference, suggesting a closely contested match. Neithe...
DeepSeek V3
42%
Cruz Azul
Based on training data through 2025, Cruz Azul typically have a stronger squad and home advantage, but both teams show poor recent form with...
Draw no bet
ConsensusCruz Azul 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
58%
Cruz Azul
Cruz Azul benefit from home advantage and comparable rest. Atlas have lost three of their last five. The pick reflects modest home favoritis...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
62%
Cruz Azul
Considering Cruz Azul's slight edge in recent form and historical strength, they are favored to win outright. The Draw No Bet market removes...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
40%
Draw
Given the even recent form and goal-scoring/conceding records of both Cruz Azul and Atlas, the draw is the most likely outcome. This predict...
DeepSeek V3
58%
Cruz Azul
With the draw removed, home win becomes the more likely outcome given Cruz Azul's home advantage and historically better squad. However, awa...
Asian handicap
ConsensusCruz Azul 1/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
54%
Cruz Azul
Cruz Azul receive a small handicap edge at home. Historical patterns in Liga MX give the home team a modest lift. Rest parity keeps the marg...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
52%
Cruz Azul -0.75
Cruz Azul is the stronger side and is playing at home, giving them the edge. A -0.75 Asian Handicap implies they are expected to win by at l...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
Atlas +0.25
Given the very even recent form of both Cruz Azul and Atlas, with identical win-loss records in their last five games and similar defensive...
DeepSeek V3
53%
away_ +0.25
Both teams evenly matched on recent form, and away team has a slight edge in scoring consistency. The +0.25 gives insurance against a draw,...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusDraw / Cruz Azul 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
28%
Draw / Cruz Azul
Matches often see a cautious first half followed by home pressure after the break. Cruz Azul tend to improve in the second half at home. The...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
28%
Draw / Cruz Azul
A draw at halftime is a common occurrence in competitive football, especially when both teams are in inconsistent form. However, Cruz Azul's...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
30%
Draw / Draw
Considering the close nature of the teams' recent performances and their tendency to concede goals, a match where both halves are relatively...
DeepSeek V3
20%
draw_home
Given the evenly matched teams and defensive issues, a halftime draw is plausible. Cruz Azul may push on second half to win, making draw_hom...
Correct score
Consensus1-1 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
18%
1-1
Low-scoring outcomes dominate given the defensive records and recent form. 1-1 is the single most likely exact score. Training data through...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
16%
2-1
A 2-1 scoreline for Cruz Azul aligns well with the expectation of a home win, both teams scoring (BTTS Yes), and the total goals going over...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
15%
1-1
Given the recent form of both teams, which shows a balance of wins and losses and a tendency to concede, a low-scoring draw like 1-1 seems p...
DeepSeek V3
14%
1-1
Both teams have similar attacking and defensive metrics, making 1-1 a common outcome. Strong possibility of a draw with goals. Other scores...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Grok 4 Fast
Cruz Azul
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Cruz Azul
DeepSeek V3
Cruz Azul
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Draw
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Refresh the read
Team newsRe-run the AIs closer to kickoff and watch the read evolve. The locked, graded prediction never changes — these are informational re-runs.
Lineups change everything — Pro re-runs the AIs after they drop.
Confirmed XIs, late injuries and line moves land in the final hour. Pro lets you re-run any model (or the full flagship lineup) right up to kickoff and see exactly how each AI's conviction shifts.
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Free account. Pick the exact final score, lock it before kickoff, beat the AI consensus across the WC and win a lifetime free plan.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
9bb350f8725ca2b8…
- Kickoff
- Sun, Aug 23 · 03:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 29823,
"sport": "football",
"venue": "Estadio Banorte",
"league": "Liga MX",
"starts_at": "2026-08-23T03:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Sun, 23 Aug 2026 03:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Atlas",
"home": "Cruz Azul"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "WWLLL",
"record": "2W-0D-3L",
"scored": 5,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 9
},
"home_form": {
"last": "LLWWL",
"record": "2W-0D-3L",
"scored": 7,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 8
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 6,
"home": 6
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Results settle automatically once the final score lands. Picks are permanent — no hindsight edits.
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