ColombiavsGhana
Colombia 1–0 Ghana
All 7 AIs backed Colombia — and reality agreed.
- AI lean
- Colombia 7/7
- Correct calls
- 7/7
- Final
- 1–0
Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.
AI predictions
Featured · open arena8 markets · 7 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
book: Colombia 64% |
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
1-0 6/7 models |
Colombia 3/7 models |
Colombia / Colombia 4/7 models |
Colombia -0.5 3/7 models |
under 5/7 models |
Colombia 7/7 models |
Colombia 7/7 models |
no 5/7 models |
|
| Bookmaker line | — | — | — | — | — | Colombia 64% | — | — | |
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Claude Opus 4.7 hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
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Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market. |
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Claude Opus 4.6 hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
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|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market. |
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Claude Opus 4.8 hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
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|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market. |
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Claude Sonnet 4.6 hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
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|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market. |
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
28%
1-0
W
|
59%
Colombia -1 |
52%
Colombia / Colombia |
68%
Colombia -0.5
W
|
62%
Under 2.5
W
|
68%
Colombia
W
|
71%
Colombia
W
|
66%
No
W
|
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
28%
1-0 A 1-0 Colombia victory is the modal outcome: strong home side, weak away side, disciplined defence, conservative World Cup knockout play. 2-...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
59%
Colombia -1 Colombia's form and defensive strength support a 1+ goal margin. Ghana's inconsistency and low offensive output make covering a -1 spread pl...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
52%
Colombia / Colombia Colombia leading at half-time and winning at full-time is the most likely outcome given their form and Ghana's weakness. A 1-0 half-time lea...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
68%
Colombia -0.5 The -0.5 AH removes the draw; Colombia win outright or lose and you lose the bet. Given Colombia's dominant form and Ghana's weakness, this...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
62%
Under 2.5 Colombia's defensive discipline (1 goal conceded in 5 matches) and Ghana's struggles in attack (3 goals in 5) suggest a tight, low-scoring c...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
68%
Colombia Colombia arrive in excellent form (3W-2D over last 5, 5 goals conceded in 5 matches) at home in Arrowhead Stadium, while Ghana show fragilit...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
71%
Colombia Removing the draw eliminates the hedge. Colombia's superior form (5 goals in 5, 1 conceded) and home advantage at Arrowhead make them clear...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
66%
No Ghana's poor attacking form (3 goals in 5 away matches, very likely an away weakness) and Colombia's exceptional defensive record (1 concede... |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
GPT-5 hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
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|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-5 Mini Openai |
28%
1-0
W
|
60%
Ghana
L
|
48%
HT draw / FT home
L
|
57%
Colombia -0.5
W
|
65%
under
W
|
55%
Colombia
W
|
60%
Colombia
W
|
62%
no
W
|
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
28%
1-0 Given Colombia's defensive compactness and Ghana's reduced attacking threat without Kudus, a narrow 1-0 Colombia win is the likeliest exact...
🔍 researched
7 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
60%
Ghana Colombia are the favourite but winning by two or more (covering -1) is less likely given their low scoring rate in the tournament and Ghana'...
🔍 researched
7 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
48%
HT draw / FT home Ghana are likely to set up defensively early and try to frustrate; Colombia are the better team overall and typically break teams down later...
🔍 researched
7 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
57%
Colombia -0.5 Asian -0.5 (Colombia to win) offers a balanced way to back Colombia without requiring a multi-goal margin; the team's defence and available...
🔍 researched
7 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
65%
under Multiple indicators point to a low-scoring match: Colombia have conceded very little in recent tournament matches and tend to be compact, wh...
🔍 researched
7 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Colombia Colombia enter with a strong defensive tournament profile (conceded 1 in five per match reports) and a settled backline, while Ghana are mis...
🔍 researched
7 sources cited
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
60%
Colombia Draw-no-bet favours taking Colombia because their defensive record and available talent reduce downside; Ghana's injury losses materially lo...
🔍 researched
7 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
62%
no Colombia's strong defence and Ghana's lack of their main creator make the probability that both score relatively low; Ghana have struggled t...
🔍 researched
7 sources cited
|
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GPT-4o Mini Openai |
50%
1-0
W
|
55%
Colombia |
60%
Colombia / Colombia |
60%
Colombia |
60%
under
W
|
65%
Colombia
W
|
70%
Colombia
W
|
65%
no
W
|
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
50%
1-0 Colombia's strong defensive record and Ghana's limited attacking output suggest a narrow win for Colombia. ([transfermarkt.com](https://www....
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
Colombia Colombia's superior form and squad depth make them likely to win by at least one goal, though Ghana's resilience could keep the margin narro...
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
60%
Colombia / Colombia Colombia's strong start in recent matches and their overall dominance suggest they will lead at both halftime and fulltime. ([transfermarkt....
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
60%
Colombia Colombia's attacking prowess and defensive solidity suggest they can overcome any handicap, even if Ghana puts up a strong defensive display...
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
under Both teams have demonstrated strong defensive capabilities, with Colombia conceding only one goal in the group stage and Ghana maintaining a...
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
65%
Colombia Colombia's strong group stage performance, including a 0-0 draw against Portugal and a 1-0 win over DR Congo, positions them as favorites. G...
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
70%
Colombia Colombia's consistent form and superior squad depth make them likely to secure a win, even if the match is closely contested. ([transfermark...
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
65%
no Colombia's defensive strength and Ghana's limited attacking output suggest a low likelihood of both teams scoring. ([forebet.com](https://ww...
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
|
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|
o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
o4-mini hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
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|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market. |
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Grok 4.3 hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
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|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market. |
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Grok 4 Fast Xai |
18%
1-0
W
|
51%
home_ -1 |
41%
Colombia / Colombia |
52%
home_ -1.0 |
53%
under
W
|
62%
Colombia
W
|
68%
Colombia
W
|
55%
no
W
|
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
1-0 Low-scoring profile points to 1-0 or 2-0 as likeliest outcomes. Defensive form and under trend support narrow home wins. Training data throu...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
51%
home_ -1 Colombia expected to win by one goal on average; spread at -1 captures that margin best. Ghana's limited counter threat keeps spread viable....
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
41%
Colombia / Colombia Colombia likely to control first half and close out; home/home most probable path. Ghana struggles to score first against organized defenses...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
52%
home_ -1.0 Asian line aligns with expected one-goal margin; home side quality edge makes -1.0 the pick. Low goal expectation reduces variance. Training...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
53%
under Both sides cautious in early World Cup matches; set-piece focus and defensive organization point to low scoring. Neutral venue and rest days...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
62%
Colombia Colombia enters with stronger recent squad depth and attacking quality than Ghana based on historical World Cup cycles. Home status at Arrow...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
68%
Colombia Colombia favored on quality gap; draw is removed so home probability rises. Ghana's poor away record in major tournaments supports backing C...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
no Colombia strong defensively in the provided home form; Ghana low scoring output limits both-teams-to-score chance. Low expected goals from h... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Gemini 3.1 Pro hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
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|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market. |
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|
Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Gemini 2.5 Pro hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
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|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market. |
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
25%
1-0
W
|
65%
Ghana +1
~2.21
|
45%
Colombia / Colombia |
40%
Colombia -0.75
~1.47
W
|
55%
Under 2.5 Goals
~1.83
W
|
65%
Colombia
~1.57
W
|
85%
Colombia
W
|
80%
No
~1.18
W
|
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
25%
1-0 Based on Colombia's excellent defense and low-scoring tendency (1 goal per game average), coupled with Ghana's struggles to score, a 1-0 win...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
65%
Ghana +1 While Colombia is favored to win, their low-scoring nature (average 1 goal per game) suggests they may not win by a margin of two goals or m...
Odds: 2.21
Edge: +19.8%
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
45%
Colombia / Colombia Given Colombia's strong form and Ghana's difficulties, Colombia is likely to assert dominance early in the game. Their defensive solidity sh...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
40%
Colombia -0.75 Colombia is expected to win this match given their superior form and defensive strength. A -0.75 Asian Handicap means a one-goal victory for...
Odds: 1.47
Edge: -28.0%
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
Under 2.5 Goals Colombia's matches have been low-scoring, with only one goal conceded in their last five, suggesting strong defensive discipline. Ghana also...
Odds: 1.83
Edge: +0.4%
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
65%
Colombia Colombia boasts significantly superior recent form, remaining undefeated with a strong defensive record of conceding only one goal in five m...
Odds: 1.57
Edge: +1.3%
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
85%
Colombia With Colombia strongly favored to win and displaying excellent defensive form, the Draw No Bet market offers a safer way to back them. Their...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
80%
No Colombia's defense has been outstanding, keeping four clean sheets in their last five games and conceding only once. Ghana's attack has been...
Odds: 1.18
Edge: -4.8%
|
|||||||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
15%
2-0
L
|
52%
Colombia |
40%
home_draw |
62%
home_ 0.0 |
55%
under
W
|
58%
Colombia
W
|
65%
Colombia
W
|
58%
no
W
|
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
2-0 Considering Colombia's strong defense and Ghana's recent struggles in scoring, a 2-0 victory for Colombia seems the most probable outcome. T...
3 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
52%
Colombia While Colombia is the favorite, Ghana's defensive capabilities, albeit inconsistent, make a large margin of victory less certain. Colombia i...
3 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
40%
home_draw Colombia is expected to start strong and potentially lead, but Ghana might mount a second-half comeback or hold on for a draw. This predicti...
3 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
62%
home_ 0.0 Colombia is in better form and has a historical advantage. This handicap offers a good balance, favoring a Colombia win or a draw, which ali...
3 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
under Colombia's strong defense (1 goal conceded in last 5) and Ghana's low scoring rate (3 goals in last 5) suggest a low-scoring affair. The ven...
3 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
58%
Colombia Colombia's recent strong home form (3W-2D-0L) contrasts with Ghana's poor recent away form (1W-2D-2L). Colombia also has a historical edge w...
3 sources cited
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
65%
Colombia Colombia's superior form and home advantage make them strong favorites. Even if the match is drawn, Colombia is more likely to secure a resu...
3 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
58%
no Ghana's recent scoring struggles and Colombia's strong defensive record make it less likely for both teams to score. Colombia's consistent c...
3 sources cited
|
|||||||||
DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
35%
1-0
W
|
55%
Colombia |
50%
home_home |
65%
Colombia -0.5
W
|
60%
under
W
|
65%
Colombia
W
|
70%
Colombia
W
|
60%
no
W
|
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
35%
1-0 Colombia's strong defense and low-scoring trend point to a narrow win. 1-0 is the most likely result given both teams' recent form.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
Colombia Colombia's form and defense give them a good chance to win by more than 1 goal, but Ghana's resilience (2 draws) keeps it uncertain. Slight...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
50%
home_home Colombia likely to control from start and win both halves, but could be a slow start. Home/Home is most probable given form edge.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
65%
Colombia -0.5 Colombia are strong at home and Ghana struggle away, so Colombia should win outright. The -0.5 handicap reflects a straightforward win predi...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
under Both teams have low scoring trends: Colombia scored 5 in 5, Ghana 3 in 5. Defensive solidity suggests a low-scoring match, likely under 2.5...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
65%
Colombia Colombia have strong home form (3W-2D-0L) and solid defense, while Ghana are inconsistent away. Training data through 2025 suggests Colombia...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
70%
Colombia Colombia's strong defensive record and home advantage make them a solid pick to win with draw removed. Ghana's scoring struggles (3 goals in...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
no Colombia's defense is strong (1 goal conceded in 5) and Ghana's attack is weak (3 goals in 5). It's likely at least one team fails to score. |
|||||||||
Correct score
Consensus1-0 6/7
Claude Haiku 4.5
28%
1-0
W
A 1-0 Colombia victory is the modal outcome: strong home side, weak away side, disciplined defence, conservative World Cup knockout play. 2-...
GPT-5 Mini
28%
1-0
W
Given Colombia's defensive compactness and Ghana's reduced attacking threat without Kudus, a narrow 1-0 Colombia win is the likeliest exact...
GPT-4o Mini
50%
1-0
W
Colombia's strong defensive record and Ghana's limited attacking output suggest a narrow win for Colombia. ([transfermarkt.com](https://www....
Grok 4 Fast
18%
1-0
W
Low-scoring profile points to 1-0 or 2-0 as likeliest outcomes. Defensive form and under trend support narrow home wins. Training data throu...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
25%
1-0
W
Based on Colombia's excellent defense and low-scoring tendency (1 goal per game average), coupled with Ghana's struggles to score, a 1-0 win...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
15%
2-0
L
Considering Colombia's strong defense and Ghana's recent struggles in scoring, a 2-0 victory for Colombia seems the most probable outcome. T...
DeepSeek V3
35%
1-0
W
Colombia's strong defense and low-scoring trend point to a narrow win. 1-0 is the most likely result given both teams' recent form.
Spread
ConsensusColombia 3/7
Claude Haiku 4.5
59%
Colombia -1
Colombia's form and defensive strength support a 1+ goal margin. Ghana's inconsistency and low offensive output make covering a -1 spread pl...
GPT-5 Mini
60%
Ghana
L
Colombia are the favourite but winning by two or more (covering -1) is less likely given their low scoring rate in the tournament and Ghana'...
GPT-4o Mini
55%
Colombia
Colombia's superior form and squad depth make them likely to win by at least one goal, though Ghana's resilience could keep the margin narro...
Grok 4 Fast
51%
home_ -1
Colombia expected to win by one goal on average; spread at -1 captures that margin best. Ghana's limited counter threat keeps spread viable....
Gemini 2.5 Flash
65%
Ghana +1
~2.21
While Colombia is favored to win, their low-scoring nature (average 1 goal per game) suggests they may not win by a margin of two goals or m...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
52%
Colombia
While Colombia is the favorite, Ghana's defensive capabilities, albeit inconsistent, make a large margin of victory less certain. Colombia i...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Colombia
Colombia's form and defense give them a good chance to win by more than 1 goal, but Ghana's resilience (2 draws) keeps it uncertain. Slight...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusColombia / Colombia 4/7
Claude Haiku 4.5
52%
Colombia / Colombia
Colombia leading at half-time and winning at full-time is the most likely outcome given their form and Ghana's weakness. A 1-0 half-time lea...
GPT-5 Mini
48%
HT draw / FT home
L
Ghana are likely to set up defensively early and try to frustrate; Colombia are the better team overall and typically break teams down later...
GPT-4o Mini
60%
Colombia / Colombia
Colombia's strong start in recent matches and their overall dominance suggest they will lead at both halftime and fulltime. ([transfermarkt....
Grok 4 Fast
41%
Colombia / Colombia
Colombia likely to control first half and close out; home/home most probable path. Ghana struggles to score first against organized defenses...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
45%
Colombia / Colombia
Given Colombia's strong form and Ghana's difficulties, Colombia is likely to assert dominance early in the game. Their defensive solidity sh...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
40%
home_draw
Colombia is expected to start strong and potentially lead, but Ghana might mount a second-half comeback or hold on for a draw. This predicti...
DeepSeek V3
50%
home_home
Colombia likely to control from start and win both halves, but could be a slow start. Home/Home is most probable given form edge.
Asian handicap
ConsensusColombia -0.5 3/7
Claude Haiku 4.5
68%
Colombia -0.5
W
The -0.5 AH removes the draw; Colombia win outright or lose and you lose the bet. Given Colombia's dominant form and Ghana's weakness, this...
GPT-5 Mini
57%
Colombia -0.5
W
Asian -0.5 (Colombia to win) offers a balanced way to back Colombia without requiring a multi-goal margin; the team's defence and available...
GPT-4o Mini
60%
Colombia
Colombia's attacking prowess and defensive solidity suggest they can overcome any handicap, even if Ghana puts up a strong defensive display...
Grok 4 Fast
52%
home_ -1.0
Asian line aligns with expected one-goal margin; home side quality edge makes -1.0 the pick. Low goal expectation reduces variance. Training...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
40%
Colombia -0.75
~1.47
W
Colombia is expected to win this match given their superior form and defensive strength. A -0.75 Asian Handicap means a one-goal victory for...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
62%
home_ 0.0
Colombia is in better form and has a historical advantage. This handicap offers a good balance, favoring a Colombia win or a draw, which ali...
DeepSeek V3
65%
Colombia -0.5
W
Colombia are strong at home and Ghana struggle away, so Colombia should win outright. The -0.5 handicap reflects a straightforward win predi...
Over / Under
Consensusunder 5/7
Claude Haiku 4.5
62%
Under 2.5
W
Colombia's defensive discipline (1 goal conceded in 5 matches) and Ghana's struggles in attack (3 goals in 5) suggest a tight, low-scoring c...
GPT-5 Mini
65%
under
W
Multiple indicators point to a low-scoring match: Colombia have conceded very little in recent tournament matches and tend to be compact, wh...
GPT-4o Mini
60%
under
W
Both teams have demonstrated strong defensive capabilities, with Colombia conceding only one goal in the group stage and Ghana maintaining a...
Grok 4 Fast
53%
under
W
Both sides cautious in early World Cup matches; set-piece focus and defensive organization point to low scoring. Neutral venue and rest days...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
Under 2.5 Goals
~1.83
W
Colombia's matches have been low-scoring, with only one goal conceded in their last five, suggesting strong defensive discipline. Ghana also...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
under
W
Colombia's strong defense (1 goal conceded in last 5) and Ghana's low scoring rate (3 goals in last 5) suggest a low-scoring affair. The ven...
DeepSeek V3
60%
under
W
Both teams have low scoring trends: Colombia scored 5 in 5, Ghana 3 in 5. Defensive solidity suggests a low-scoring match, likely under 2.5...
Match winner
ConsensusColombia 7/7
Claude Haiku 4.5
68%
Colombia
W
Colombia arrive in excellent form (3W-2D over last 5, 5 goals conceded in 5 matches) at home in Arrowhead Stadium, while Ghana show fragilit...
GPT-5 Mini
55%
Colombia
W
Colombia enter with a strong defensive tournament profile (conceded 1 in five per match reports) and a settled backline, while Ghana are mis...
GPT-4o Mini
65%
Colombia
W
Colombia's strong group stage performance, including a 0-0 draw against Portugal and a 1-0 win over DR Congo, positions them as favorites. G...
Grok 4 Fast
62%
Colombia
W
Colombia enters with stronger recent squad depth and attacking quality than Ghana based on historical World Cup cycles. Home status at Arrow...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
65%
Colombia
~1.57
W
Colombia boasts significantly superior recent form, remaining undefeated with a strong defensive record of conceding only one goal in five m...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
58%
Colombia
W
Colombia's recent strong home form (3W-2D-0L) contrasts with Ghana's poor recent away form (1W-2D-2L). Colombia also has a historical edge w...
DeepSeek V3
65%
Colombia
W
Colombia have strong home form (3W-2D-0L) and solid defense, while Ghana are inconsistent away. Training data through 2025 suggests Colombia...
Bookmaker line: Colombia 64%
Draw no bet
ConsensusColombia 7/7
Claude Haiku 4.5
71%
Colombia
W
Removing the draw eliminates the hedge. Colombia's superior form (5 goals in 5, 1 conceded) and home advantage at Arrowhead make them clear...
GPT-5 Mini
60%
Colombia
W
Draw-no-bet favours taking Colombia because their defensive record and available talent reduce downside; Ghana's injury losses materially lo...
GPT-4o Mini
70%
Colombia
W
Colombia's consistent form and superior squad depth make them likely to secure a win, even if the match is closely contested. ([transfermark...
Grok 4 Fast
68%
Colombia
W
Colombia favored on quality gap; draw is removed so home probability rises. Ghana's poor away record in major tournaments supports backing C...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
85%
Colombia
W
With Colombia strongly favored to win and displaying excellent defensive form, the Draw No Bet market offers a safer way to back them. Their...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
65%
Colombia
W
Colombia's superior form and home advantage make them strong favorites. Even if the match is drawn, Colombia is more likely to secure a resu...
DeepSeek V3
70%
Colombia
W
Colombia's strong defensive record and home advantage make them a solid pick to win with draw removed. Ghana's scoring struggles (3 goals in...
Both teams to score
Consensusno 5/7
Claude Haiku 4.5
66%
No
W
Ghana's poor attacking form (3 goals in 5 away matches, very likely an away weakness) and Colombia's exceptional defensive record (1 concede...
GPT-5 Mini
62%
no
W
Colombia's strong defence and Ghana's lack of their main creator make the probability that both score relatively low; Ghana have struggled t...
GPT-4o Mini
65%
no
W
Colombia's defensive strength and Ghana's limited attacking output suggest a low likelihood of both teams scoring. ([forebet.com](https://ww...
Grok 4 Fast
55%
no
W
Colombia strong defensively in the provided home form; Ghana low scoring output limits both-teams-to-score chance. Low expected goals from h...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
80%
No
~1.18
W
Colombia's defense has been outstanding, keeping four clean sheets in their last five games and conceding only once. Ghana's attack has been...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
58%
no
W
Ghana's recent scoring struggles and Colombia's strong defensive record make it less likely for both teams to score. Colombia's consistent c...
DeepSeek V3
60%
no
W
Colombia's defense is strong (1 goal conceded in 5) and Ghana's attack is weak (3 goals in 5). It's likely at least one team fails to score.
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Claude Haiku 4.5
Colombia
GPT-4o Mini
Colombia
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Colombia
DeepSeek V3
Colombia
Grok 4 Fast
Colombia
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Colombia
GPT-5 Mini
Colombia
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
Picks closed
Match has already kicked off. Picks are permanent — no late entries.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
confirmed starting lineups — see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Bookmaker odds
13 books · sharp books pinned · best price highlighted
| Book | Colombia | Draw | Ghana |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.45 | 4.40 | 9.25 |
| Bet365 | 1.11 | 4.33 | 6.50 |
| Unibet | 1.10 | 4.40 | 5.50 |
| 10bet | 1.10 | 4.33 | 5.75 |
| 1xbet | 1.47 | 4.61 | 8.45 |
| 888sport | 1.11 | 4.00 | 7.50 |
| Betano | 1.13 | 4.35 | 8.75 |
| Betfair | 1.07 | 4.40 | 9.00 |
| Betvictor | 1.36 | 4.33 | 7.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.57 | 3.85 | 6.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.42 | 4.45 | 8.20 |
| Sbo | 1.41 | 4.30 | 8.40 |
| William-hill | 1.12 | 4.20 | 5.50 |
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | — | — | — |
| Bet365 | — | 10.00 | 1.06 |
| Unibet | — | — | — |
| 10bet | — | — | — |
| 1xbet | — | — | — |
| 888sport | — | — | — |
| Betano | — | — | — |
| Betfair | — | — | — |
| Betvictor | — | — | — |
| Marathonbet | — | — | — |
| Sbo | — | — | — |
| William-hill | — | — | — |
| Book | Colombia | Ghana |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | — | — |
| Bet365 | — | — |
| Unibet | — | — |
| 10bet | — | — |
| 1xbet | — | — |
| Betano | — | — |
| Betfair | — | — |
| Betvictor | — | — |
| Marathonbet | — | — |
| Sbo | — | — |
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
92ae0814b609f436…
- Kickoff
- Sat, Jul 4 · 01:30 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 8500,
"sport": "football",
"venue": "Arrowhead Stadium",
"league": "World Cup",
"starts_at": "2026-07-04T01:30:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Sat, 04 Jul 2026 01:30:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Ghana",
"home": "Colombia"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "LLDDW",
"record": "1W-2D-2L",
"scored": 3,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 4
},
"home_form": {
"last": "DDWWW",
"record": "3W-2D-0L",
"scored": 5,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 1
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 6,
"home": 6
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Research trail
What each AI looked up before picking
-
0 tool calls · 3 sources
3 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
96 tool calls · 7 sources
7 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
8 tool calls · 6 sources
6 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
Get the AI consensus before kickoff
Free. Pre-match alert per AI + see your picks graded as results land.