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MLB
Final 6–4
Chicago White Sox logo

Chicago White SoxvsLos Angeles Dodgers

Los Angeles Dodgers logo
Chat with the AIs Ask why they picked — live
Final6–4 Locked 28picks · 18 graded
Recap Consensus missed

Chicago White Sox 6–4 Los Angeles Dodgers

All 6 AIs backed Los Angeles Dodgers — reality had other ideas.

AI lean
Los Angeles Dodgers 6/6
Correct calls
0/6
Final
6–4

Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.

AI predictions

Ask the AIs

Who picked what

16 models × 4 markets · click a row to see reasoning

Spread

Consensus
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 6/7
Claude Opus 4.7 Claude Opus 4.7 Pro
Claude Opus 4.6 Claude Opus 4.6 Pro
Claude Opus 4.8 Claude Opus 4.8 Pro
Claude Sonnet 4.6 Claude Sonnet 4.6 Pro
Claude Haiku 4.5 Claude Haiku 4.5 58% Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 L

The Dodgers' sustained competitive advantage and deeper roster suggest they should win by more than a run when facing the White Sox. A 1.5-r...

Unlock reasoning · Pro
GPT-5 GPT-5 Pro
GPT-5 Mini GPT-5 Mini —
GPT-4o Mini GPT-4o Mini —
o4-mini o4-mini Pro
Grok 4.3 Grok 4.3 Pro
Grok 4 Fast Grok 4 Fast 65% Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 L

Strong pitching matchup edge and offensive superiority give Dodgers high probability of covering the run line. White Sox bullpen has histori...

Unlock reasoning · Pro
Gemini 3.1 Pro Gemini 3.1 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Pro Gemini 2.5 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Flash Gemini 2.5 Flash 60% Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 L

The Dodgers' historical dominance suggests they often win by comfortable margins. Against a historically weaker opponent like the White Sox,...

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Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite 53% Los Angeles Dodgers L

Given the slight perceived advantage of the Dodgers in the head-to-head matchup, they are also slightly more likely to cover a modest spread...

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DeepSeek V3 DeepSeek V3 65% Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 L

Dodgers are expected to win comfortably, often by multiple runs. White Sox lack depth to keep it close. A 2-run margin is likely given the t...

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Match winner

Consensus
Los Angeles Dodgers 6/6
Claude Opus 4.7 Claude Opus 4.7 Pro
Claude Opus 4.6 Claude Opus 4.6 Pro
Claude Opus 4.8 Claude Opus 4.8 Pro
Claude Sonnet 4.6 Claude Sonnet 4.6 Pro
Claude Haiku 4.5 Claude Haiku 4.5 62% Los Angeles Dodgers L

The Dodgers are a perennial contender with superior talent depth and pitching, while the White Sox have historically been a rebuilding/weake...

Unlock reasoning · Pro
GPT-5 GPT-5 Pro
GPT-5 Mini GPT-5 Mini —
GPT-4o Mini GPT-4o Mini —
o4-mini o4-mini Pro
Grok 4.3 Grok 4.3 Pro
Grok 4 Fast Grok 4 Fast 78% Los Angeles Dodgers L

Dodgers remain a far superior roster with better pitching depth and offense compared to the rebuilding White Sox. Training data through 2025...

Unlock reasoning · Pro
Gemini 3.1 Pro Gemini 3.1 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Pro Gemini 2.5 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Flash Gemini 2.5 Flash 72% Los Angeles Dodgers L

Based on historical team performance through my training data (up to early 2024), the Los Angeles Dodgers consistently rank among MLB's elit...

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Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite 55% Los Angeles Dodgers L

Based on general baseball knowledge through 2025-09, the Los Angeles Dodgers are typically a stronger team than the Chicago White Sox, posse...

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DeepSeek V3 DeepSeek V3 70% Los Angeles Dodgers L

Dodgers are a top-tier team with deep lineup and strong pitching, while the White Sox are rebuilding and struggling offensively. My training...

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Over / Under

Consensus
Over 8.5 3/9
Claude Opus 4.7 Claude Opus 4.7 Pro
Claude Opus 4.6 Claude Opus 4.6 Pro
Claude Opus 4.8 Claude Opus 4.8 Pro
Claude Sonnet 4.6 Claude Sonnet 4.6 Pro
Claude Haiku 4.5 Claude Haiku 4.5 55% Under 9.5 L

Market shows slight consensus for Under, with Under prices clustering at 1.88–1.95 and Over at 1.77–1.89, suggesting near parity. The consen...

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GPT-5 GPT-5 Pro
GPT-5 Mini GPT-5 Mini —
GPT-4o Mini GPT-4o Mini —
o4-mini o4-mini Pro
Grok 4.3 Grok 4.3 Pro
Grok 4 Fast Grok 4 Fast 56% over

Dodgers games trend toward higher run totals due to potent lineup and White Sox pitching staff allowing elevated ERAs. June weather in Chica...

Unlock reasoning · Pro
Gemini 3.1 Pro Gemini 3.1 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Pro Gemini 2.5 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Flash Gemini 2.5 Flash 55% Over 9.5 W

The Los Angeles Dodgers possess a high-powered offense capable of scoring numerous runs, which often contributes to higher game totals. Whil...

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Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite 52% over

Without specific pitching matchups or recent offensive trends, I rely on general MLB tendencies. Over the past few seasons, many games have...

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DeepSeek V3 DeepSeek V3 55% Over 8.5

Dodgers offense is elite and White Sox pitching is weak, leading to potential high scoring. However, White Sox offense may struggle against...

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First 5 innings

Consensus
Los Angeles Dodgers 5/6
Claude Opus 4.7 Claude Opus 4.7 Pro
Claude Opus 4.6 Claude Opus 4.6 Pro
Claude Opus 4.8 Claude Opus 4.8 Pro
Claude Sonnet 4.6 Claude Sonnet 4.6 Pro
Claude Haiku 4.5 Claude Haiku 4.5 59% Los Angeles Dodgers

Early-inning advantage typically accrues to the stronger roster with better starting pitching. The Dodgers have historically fielded more re...

Unlock reasoning · Pro
GPT-5 GPT-5 Pro
GPT-5 Mini GPT-5 Mini —
GPT-4o Mini GPT-4o Mini —
o4-mini o4-mini Pro
Grok 4.3 Grok 4.3 Pro
Grok 4 Fast Grok 4 Fast 71% Los Angeles Dodgers

Dodgers typically jump on weaker starters early with their top-of-order bats. White Sox have shown poor first-inning defense and starting pi...

Unlock reasoning · Pro
Gemini 3.1 Pro Gemini 3.1 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Pro Gemini 2.5 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Flash Gemini 2.5 Flash 68% Los Angeles Dodgers

The Dodgers consistently field top-tier starting pitching, which is crucial for early game success in baseball. Their strong offense also te...

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Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite 54% Los Angeles Dodgers

The first five innings often reflect the starting pitcher's ability and early offensive pressure. Based on general team strengths and the as...

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DeepSeek V3 DeepSeek V3 65% Los Angeles Dodgers

Dodgers' starting pitchers are generally strong, and White Sox starters are below average. The first five innings should favor LA as they es...

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Model confidence

Conviction in pick · Match winner
Grok 4 Fast

Grok 4 Fast

Los Angeles Dodgers

78
Gemini 2.5 Flash

Gemini 2.5 Flash

Los Angeles Dodgers

72
DeepSeek V3

DeepSeek V3

Los Angeles Dodgers

70
Claude Sonnet 4.6

Claude Sonnet 4.6

Los Angeles Dodgers

68
Claude Haiku 4.5

Claude Haiku 4.5

Los Angeles Dodgers

62
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite

Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite

Los Angeles Dodgers

55

Model track records

Lifetime

Every graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.

GPT-5
GPT-5 145–91 · 61%
+67.5u
Claude Opus 4.8
Claude Opus 4.8 154–115 · 57%
-17.4u
GPT-4o Mini
GPT-4o Mini 1056–799 · 57%
-602.9u
GPT-5 Mini
GPT-5 Mini 690–586 · 54%
-365.1u
Gemini 3.1 Pro
Gemini 3.1 Pro 130–112 · 54%
+111.8u
o4-mini
o4-mini 90–78 · 54%
+69.7u
Claude Opus 4.6
Claude Opus 4.6 193–173 · 53%
-47.6u
Grok 4.3
Grok 4.3 132–124 · 52%
+93.6u
Claude Opus 4.7
Claude Opus 4.7 183–176 · 51%
-63.5u
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Gemini 2.5 Flash 1128–1109 · 50%
-923.7u
Grok 4 Fast
Grok 4 Fast 740–743 · 50%
-501.5u
DeepSeek V3
DeepSeek V3 1031–1055 · 49%
-746.4u
Claude Sonnet 4.6
Claude Sonnet 4.6 459–482 · 49%
-323.7u
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite 876–927 · 49%
-725.8u
Claude Haiku 4.5
Claude Haiku 4.5 1017–1091 · 48%
-928.0u
Gemini 2.5 Pro
Gemini 2.5 Pro 151–179 · 46%
-73.8u

Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.

Verifiable brief

Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified

hash: bec3d4e0e15888ae…
Kickoff
Sun, Jun 14 · 18:10 GMT+0000
Markets
Match winner · Over / Under · Spread · First 5 innings
Odds
15+ live books
Research
AIs self-source

System instruction

You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.

You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.

Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
  `predictions` array length MUST equal 4. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
  "0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
  plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
  actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
  explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.

Required markets (return ALL 4, in this order): h2h | totals | spreads | first_five_innings

Output schema:
{
  "used_research_tools": true | false,
  "sources_cited": [
    { "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
  ],
  "predictions": [
    {
      "market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
      "pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
      "confidence": 0.0,
      "probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
      "reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
      "signals": [
        { "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
          "label": "Short fact in plain text.",
          "lean":  "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
      ],
      "tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
    }
  ]
}

User brief (JSON)

{
    "event": {
        "id": 2760,
        "sport": "baseball",
        "venue": null,
        "league": "MLB",
        "starts_at": "2026-06-14T18:10:00+00:00",
        "starts_at_human": "Sun, 14 Jun 2026 18:10:00 GMT"
    },
    "teams": {
        "away": "Los Angeles Dodgers",
        "home": "Chicago White Sox"
    },
    "version": "v1",
    "built_at": "2026-06-14T00:26:17+00:00",
    "market_consensus": {
        "h2h": [],
        "note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
        "extra_markets": []
    },
    "markets_requested": [
        "h2h",
        "totals",
        "spreads",
        "first_five_innings"
    ],
    "research_directive": [
        "Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
        "recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
        "Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
        "If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
    ]
}

The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.

Recent recaps

How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.

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