Chicago CubsvsChicago White Sox
AI predictions
4 markets · 7 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
32 models × 4 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
|
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
Chicago Cubs 12/14 models |
over 10/14 models |
Chicago Cubs -1.5 6/14 models |
Chicago Cubs 10/14 models |
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Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
58%
Chicago Cubs |
55%
Over 8.5 |
52%
Chicago Cubs -1.5 |
54%
Chicago Cubs |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
58%
Chicago Cubs The Cubs show stronger recent form (3W-2L vs 2W-3L) and a marginally better run differential over the last 5 matches (+21 scored, -33 conced...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
Over 8.5 Cubs have scored 21 runs in their last 5 matches (4.2 per game average) while conceding 33 (6.6 per game). White Sox scored 14 (2.8 per game...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
52%
Chicago Cubs -1.5 The Cubs' recent form and run differential edge support a modest spread pick at -1.5. The White Sox have lost 3 of their last 5 and are aver...
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
54%
Chicago Cubs Early-inning performance often reflects starting pitcher quality and early offensive aggression. The Cubs' 3W-2L record and higher run-scori... |
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|
Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
58%
Chicago Cubs |
55%
Over 8.5 |
52%
Chicago Cubs -1.5 |
54%
Chicago Cubs |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
58%
Chicago Cubs The Cubs show stronger recent form (3W-2L vs 2W-3L) and a marginally better run differential over the last 5 matches (+21 scored, -33 conced...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
Over 8.5 Cubs have scored 21 runs in their last 5 matches (4.2 per game average) while conceding 33 (6.6 per game). White Sox scored 14 (2.8 per game...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
52%
Chicago Cubs -1.5 The Cubs' recent form and run differential edge support a modest spread pick at -1.5. The White Sox have lost 3 of their last 5 and are aver...
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
54%
Chicago Cubs Early-inning performance often reflects starting pitcher quality and early offensive aggression. The Cubs' 3W-2L record and higher run-scori... |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
56%
Chicago Cubs |
58%
over |
54%
Chicago Cubs -1.5 |
52%
Chicago Cubs |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
56%
Chicago Cubs Cubs enter this Crosstown game with the stronger overall record and deeper top-of-rotation pieces on paper (Shota Imanaga, Colin Rea / veter...
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
58%
over Both clubs have shown above-average run-scoring this season (Cubs ~558 runs on the year per team page) and recent five-game scoring lines in...
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
54%
Chicago Cubs -1.5 Given the Cubs' stronger season record, home park edge, and deeper rotation pieces listed on the 2026 pitching-staff summary, the Cubs are s...
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
52%
Chicago Cubs Early-game advantage slightly favors the Cubs at home because of lineup familiarity and Wrigley's split (home team hitting environment) plus...
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
|
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
56%
Chicago Cubs |
58%
over |
54%
Chicago Cubs -1.5 |
52%
Chicago Cubs |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
56%
Chicago Cubs Cubs enter this Crosstown game with the stronger overall record and deeper top-of-rotation pieces on paper (Shota Imanaga, Colin Rea / veter...
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
58%
over Both clubs have shown above-average run-scoring this season (Cubs ~558 runs on the year per team page) and recent five-game scoring lines in...
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
54%
Chicago Cubs -1.5 Given the Cubs' stronger season record, home park edge, and deeper rotation pieces listed on the 2026 pitching-staff summary, the Cubs are s...
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
52%
Chicago Cubs Early-game advantage slightly favors the Cubs at home because of lineup familiarity and Wrigley's split (home team hitting environment) plus...
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
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|
GPT-4o Mini Openai |
55%
Chicago White Sox |
60%
over |
55%
Chicago White Sox |
55%
Chicago White Sox |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Chicago White Sox The White Sox have a strong record against the Cubs this season, winning two out of three games in May. Their recent form, including a 5-0 w...
🔍 researched
4 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
over Both teams have potent offenses, with the Cubs averaging 5.2 runs per game and the White Sox 4.8. The Cubs' home games have seen an average...
🔍 researched
4 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
Chicago White Sox The White Sox's recent form and head-to-head advantage suggest they can cover a -1 spread. Their strong pitching and offensive performance i...
🔍 researched
4 sources cited
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
55%
Chicago White Sox The White Sox's strong starting pitching and recent offensive performance suggest they can lead after the first five innings. Their recent g...
🔍 researched
4 sources cited
|
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|
GPT-4o Mini Openai |
55%
Chicago White Sox |
60%
over |
55%
Chicago White Sox |
55%
Chicago White Sox |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Chicago White Sox The White Sox have a strong record against the Cubs this season, winning two out of three games in May. Their recent form, including a 5-0 w...
🔍 researched
4 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
over Both teams have potent offenses, with the Cubs averaging 5.2 runs per game and the White Sox 4.8. The Cubs' home games have seen an average...
🔍 researched
4 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
Chicago White Sox The White Sox's recent form and head-to-head advantage suggest they can cover a -1 spread. Their strong pitching and offensive performance i...
🔍 researched
4 sources cited
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
55%
Chicago White Sox The White Sox's strong starting pitching and recent offensive performance suggest they can lead after the first five innings. Their recent g...
🔍 researched
4 sources cited
|
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|
o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
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o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
61%
Chicago Cubs |
53%
over |
57%
Chicago Cubs |
54%
Chicago Cubs |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
61%
Chicago Cubs Cubs hold home advantage at Wrigley and historically outperform the White Sox in interleague and crosstown matchups. Both teams enter with p...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
53%
over Wrigley Field plays neutral to hitter-friendly in August with typical wind patterns. Both bullpens have been overworked recently and the Whi...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
57%
Chicago Cubs Cubs are the stronger roster on paper and receive the home edge in this matchup. White Sox road performance has been especially weak. Based...
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
54%
Chicago Cubs Starting pitcher edge and home lineup handedness favor the Cubs through the first five frames. Early game script typically stays close but l... |
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
61%
Chicago Cubs |
53%
over |
57%
Chicago Cubs |
54%
Chicago Cubs |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
61%
Chicago Cubs Cubs hold home advantage at Wrigley and historically outperform the White Sox in interleague and crosstown matchups. Both teams enter with p...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
53%
over Wrigley Field plays neutral to hitter-friendly in August with typical wind patterns. Both bullpens have been overworked recently and the Whi...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
57%
Chicago Cubs Cubs are the stronger roster on paper and receive the home edge in this matchup. White Sox road performance has been especially weak. Based...
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
54%
Chicago Cubs Starting pitcher edge and home lineup handedness favor the Cubs through the first five frames. Early game script typically stays close but l... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
57%
Chicago Cubs |
53%
Over 9.0 |
51%
Chicago Cubs -1.5 |
56%
Chicago Cubs |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
57%
Chicago Cubs The Chicago Cubs hold a slight edge in recent form (3W-2L vs 2W-3L) and are playing at home in Wrigley Field. While specific 2026 rosters ar...
2 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
53%
Over 9.0 Wrigley Field is known for being a hitter-friendly ballpark, especially in warm August weather when the ball carries well. Cross-town rivalr...
2 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
51%
Chicago Cubs -1.5 Given the Cubs' slight edge in recent form and historical roster strength, combined with home-field advantage at Wrigley, they are in a good...
2 sources cited
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
56%
Chicago Cubs The First Five Innings market heavily relies on the starting pitching matchup and initial lineup performance. Assuming the Cubs field a gene...
2 sources cited
|
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
57%
Chicago Cubs |
53%
Over 9.0 |
51%
Chicago Cubs -1.5 |
56%
Chicago Cubs |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
57%
Chicago Cubs The Chicago Cubs hold a slight edge in recent form (3W-2L vs 2W-3L) and are playing at home in Wrigley Field. While specific 2026 rosters ar...
2 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
53%
Over 9.0 Wrigley Field is known for being a hitter-friendly ballpark, especially in warm August weather when the ball carries well. Cross-town rivalr...
2 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
51%
Chicago Cubs -1.5 Given the Cubs' slight edge in recent form and historical roster strength, combined with home-field advantage at Wrigley, they are in a good...
2 sources cited
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
56%
Chicago Cubs The First Five Innings market heavily relies on the starting pitching matchup and initial lineup performance. Assuming the Cubs field a gene...
2 sources cited
|
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
55%
Chicago Cubs |
60%
over |
52%
Chicago White Sox |
58%
over |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Chicago Cubs The Cubs have a historical edge over the White Sox and are playing at home, which is a significant advantage. Although their recent form is...
4 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
over Both teams have shown a tendency to be involved in high-scoring games recently, with the Cubs scoring 21 and conceding 33 in their last 5, a...
4 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
52%
Chicago White Sox While the Cubs are favored to win outright, the White Sox have a slightly better recent form in terms of winning percentage, and their recen...
4 sources cited
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
58%
over The starting pitcher matchup is crucial here. Given the mixed recent form and potential for early offense from both sides, especially at Wri...
4 sources cited
|
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
55%
Chicago Cubs |
60%
over |
52%
Chicago White Sox |
58%
over |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Chicago Cubs The Cubs have a historical edge over the White Sox and are playing at home, which is a significant advantage. Although their recent form is...
4 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
over Both teams have shown a tendency to be involved in high-scoring games recently, with the Cubs scoring 21 and conceding 33 in their last 5, a...
4 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
52%
Chicago White Sox While the Cubs are favored to win outright, the White Sox have a slightly better recent form in terms of winning percentage, and their recen...
4 sources cited
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
58%
over The starting pitcher matchup is crucial here. Given the mixed recent form and potential for early offense from both sides, especially at Wri...
4 sources cited
|
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
55%
Chicago Cubs |
60%
over |
52%
Chicago Cubs |
55%
Chicago Cubs |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Chicago Cubs Based on training data through 2025-09, the Cubs have a slight edge with better recent form (3-2 vs 2-3) and home advantage at Wrigley Field...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
over Given the training data through 2025-09, both teams have been scoring moderately, and Wrigley Field can play neutral to hitter-friendly depe...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
52%
Chicago Cubs The Cubs are expected to win by at least 2 runs in this matchup, with their stronger lineup and home advantage. The White Sox have been stru...
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
55%
Chicago Cubs The starting pitchers are likely evenly matched, but the Cubs' home advantage and better recent starting pitching performance give them a sl... |
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|
DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
55%
Chicago Cubs |
60%
over |
52%
Chicago Cubs |
55%
Chicago Cubs |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Chicago Cubs Based on training data through 2025-09, the Cubs have a slight edge with better recent form (3-2 vs 2-3) and home advantage at Wrigley Field...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
over Given the training data through 2025-09, both teams have been scoring moderately, and Wrigley Field can play neutral to hitter-friendly depe...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
52%
Chicago Cubs The Cubs are expected to win by at least 2 runs in this matchup, with their stronger lineup and home advantage. The White Sox have been stru...
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
55%
Chicago Cubs The starting pitchers are likely evenly matched, but the Cubs' home advantage and better recent starting pitching performance give them a sl... |
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Match winner
ConsensusChicago Cubs 12/14
Claude Haiku 4.5
58%
Chicago Cubs
The Cubs show stronger recent form (3W-2L vs 2W-3L) and a marginally better run differential over the last 5 matches (+21 scored, -33 conced...
Claude Haiku 4.5
58%
Chicago Cubs
The Cubs show stronger recent form (3W-2L vs 2W-3L) and a marginally better run differential over the last 5 matches (+21 scored, -33 conced...
GPT-5 Mini
56%
Chicago Cubs
Cubs enter this Crosstown game with the stronger overall record and deeper top-of-rotation pieces on paper (Shota Imanaga, Colin Rea / veter...
GPT-5 Mini
56%
Chicago Cubs
Cubs enter this Crosstown game with the stronger overall record and deeper top-of-rotation pieces on paper (Shota Imanaga, Colin Rea / veter...
GPT-4o Mini
55%
Chicago White Sox
The White Sox have a strong record against the Cubs this season, winning two out of three games in May. Their recent form, including a 5-0 w...
GPT-4o Mini
55%
Chicago White Sox
The White Sox have a strong record against the Cubs this season, winning two out of three games in May. Their recent form, including a 5-0 w...
Grok 4 Fast
61%
Chicago Cubs
Cubs hold home advantage at Wrigley and historically outperform the White Sox in interleague and crosstown matchups. Both teams enter with p...
Grok 4 Fast
61%
Chicago Cubs
Cubs hold home advantage at Wrigley and historically outperform the White Sox in interleague and crosstown matchups. Both teams enter with p...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
57%
Chicago Cubs
The Chicago Cubs hold a slight edge in recent form (3W-2L vs 2W-3L) and are playing at home in Wrigley Field. While specific 2026 rosters ar...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
57%
Chicago Cubs
The Chicago Cubs hold a slight edge in recent form (3W-2L vs 2W-3L) and are playing at home in Wrigley Field. While specific 2026 rosters ar...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
Chicago Cubs
The Cubs have a historical edge over the White Sox and are playing at home, which is a significant advantage. Although their recent form is...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
Chicago Cubs
The Cubs have a historical edge over the White Sox and are playing at home, which is a significant advantage. Although their recent form is...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Chicago Cubs
Based on training data through 2025-09, the Cubs have a slight edge with better recent form (3-2 vs 2-3) and home advantage at Wrigley Field...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Chicago Cubs
Based on training data through 2025-09, the Cubs have a slight edge with better recent form (3-2 vs 2-3) and home advantage at Wrigley Field...
Over / Under
Consensusover 10/14
Claude Haiku 4.5
55%
Over 8.5
Cubs have scored 21 runs in their last 5 matches (4.2 per game average) while conceding 33 (6.6 per game). White Sox scored 14 (2.8 per game...
Claude Haiku 4.5
55%
Over 8.5
Cubs have scored 21 runs in their last 5 matches (4.2 per game average) while conceding 33 (6.6 per game). White Sox scored 14 (2.8 per game...
GPT-5 Mini
58%
over
Both clubs have shown above-average run-scoring this season (Cubs ~558 runs on the year per team page) and recent five-game scoring lines in...
GPT-5 Mini
58%
over
Both clubs have shown above-average run-scoring this season (Cubs ~558 runs on the year per team page) and recent five-game scoring lines in...
GPT-4o Mini
60%
over
Both teams have potent offenses, with the Cubs averaging 5.2 runs per game and the White Sox 4.8. The Cubs' home games have seen an average...
GPT-4o Mini
60%
over
Both teams have potent offenses, with the Cubs averaging 5.2 runs per game and the White Sox 4.8. The Cubs' home games have seen an average...
Grok 4 Fast
53%
over
Wrigley Field plays neutral to hitter-friendly in August with typical wind patterns. Both bullpens have been overworked recently and the Whi...
Grok 4 Fast
53%
over
Wrigley Field plays neutral to hitter-friendly in August with typical wind patterns. Both bullpens have been overworked recently and the Whi...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
53%
Over 9.0
Wrigley Field is known for being a hitter-friendly ballpark, especially in warm August weather when the ball carries well. Cross-town rivalr...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
53%
Over 9.0
Wrigley Field is known for being a hitter-friendly ballpark, especially in warm August weather when the ball carries well. Cross-town rivalr...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
60%
over
Both teams have shown a tendency to be involved in high-scoring games recently, with the Cubs scoring 21 and conceding 33 in their last 5, a...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
60%
over
Both teams have shown a tendency to be involved in high-scoring games recently, with the Cubs scoring 21 and conceding 33 in their last 5, a...
DeepSeek V3
60%
over
Given the training data through 2025-09, both teams have been scoring moderately, and Wrigley Field can play neutral to hitter-friendly depe...
DeepSeek V3
60%
over
Given the training data through 2025-09, both teams have been scoring moderately, and Wrigley Field can play neutral to hitter-friendly depe...
Spread
ConsensusChicago Cubs -1.5 6/14
Claude Haiku 4.5
52%
Chicago Cubs -1.5
The Cubs' recent form and run differential edge support a modest spread pick at -1.5. The White Sox have lost 3 of their last 5 and are aver...
Claude Haiku 4.5
52%
Chicago Cubs -1.5
The Cubs' recent form and run differential edge support a modest spread pick at -1.5. The White Sox have lost 3 of their last 5 and are aver...
GPT-5 Mini
54%
Chicago Cubs -1.5
Given the Cubs' stronger season record, home park edge, and deeper rotation pieces listed on the 2026 pitching-staff summary, the Cubs are s...
GPT-5 Mini
54%
Chicago Cubs -1.5
Given the Cubs' stronger season record, home park edge, and deeper rotation pieces listed on the 2026 pitching-staff summary, the Cubs are s...
GPT-4o Mini
55%
Chicago White Sox
The White Sox's recent form and head-to-head advantage suggest they can cover a -1 spread. Their strong pitching and offensive performance i...
GPT-4o Mini
55%
Chicago White Sox
The White Sox's recent form and head-to-head advantage suggest they can cover a -1 spread. Their strong pitching and offensive performance i...
Grok 4 Fast
57%
Chicago Cubs
Cubs are the stronger roster on paper and receive the home edge in this matchup. White Sox road performance has been especially weak. Based...
Grok 4 Fast
57%
Chicago Cubs
Cubs are the stronger roster on paper and receive the home edge in this matchup. White Sox road performance has been especially weak. Based...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
51%
Chicago Cubs -1.5
Given the Cubs' slight edge in recent form and historical roster strength, combined with home-field advantage at Wrigley, they are in a good...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
51%
Chicago Cubs -1.5
Given the Cubs' slight edge in recent form and historical roster strength, combined with home-field advantage at Wrigley, they are in a good...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
52%
Chicago White Sox
While the Cubs are favored to win outright, the White Sox have a slightly better recent form in terms of winning percentage, and their recen...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
52%
Chicago White Sox
While the Cubs are favored to win outright, the White Sox have a slightly better recent form in terms of winning percentage, and their recen...
DeepSeek V3
52%
Chicago Cubs
The Cubs are expected to win by at least 2 runs in this matchup, with their stronger lineup and home advantage. The White Sox have been stru...
DeepSeek V3
52%
Chicago Cubs
The Cubs are expected to win by at least 2 runs in this matchup, with their stronger lineup and home advantage. The White Sox have been stru...
First 5 innings
ConsensusChicago Cubs 10/14
Claude Haiku 4.5
54%
Chicago Cubs
Early-inning performance often reflects starting pitcher quality and early offensive aggression. The Cubs' 3W-2L record and higher run-scori...
Claude Haiku 4.5
54%
Chicago Cubs
Early-inning performance often reflects starting pitcher quality and early offensive aggression. The Cubs' 3W-2L record and higher run-scori...
GPT-5 Mini
52%
Chicago Cubs
Early-game advantage slightly favors the Cubs at home because of lineup familiarity and Wrigley's split (home team hitting environment) plus...
GPT-5 Mini
52%
Chicago Cubs
Early-game advantage slightly favors the Cubs at home because of lineup familiarity and Wrigley's split (home team hitting environment) plus...
GPT-4o Mini
55%
Chicago White Sox
The White Sox's strong starting pitching and recent offensive performance suggest they can lead after the first five innings. Their recent g...
GPT-4o Mini
55%
Chicago White Sox
The White Sox's strong starting pitching and recent offensive performance suggest they can lead after the first five innings. Their recent g...
Grok 4 Fast
54%
Chicago Cubs
Starting pitcher edge and home lineup handedness favor the Cubs through the first five frames. Early game script typically stays close but l...
Grok 4 Fast
54%
Chicago Cubs
Starting pitcher edge and home lineup handedness favor the Cubs through the first five frames. Early game script typically stays close but l...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
56%
Chicago Cubs
The First Five Innings market heavily relies on the starting pitching matchup and initial lineup performance. Assuming the Cubs field a gene...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
56%
Chicago Cubs
The First Five Innings market heavily relies on the starting pitching matchup and initial lineup performance. Assuming the Cubs field a gene...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
58%
over
The starting pitcher matchup is crucial here. Given the mixed recent form and potential for early offense from both sides, especially at Wri...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
58%
over
The starting pitcher matchup is crucial here. Given the mixed recent form and potential for early offense from both sides, especially at Wri...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Chicago Cubs
The starting pitchers are likely evenly matched, but the Cubs' home advantage and better recent starting pitching performance give them a sl...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Chicago Cubs
The starting pitchers are likely evenly matched, but the Cubs' home advantage and better recent starting pitching performance give them a sl...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Grok 4 Fast
Chicago Cubs
Grok 4 Fast
Chicago Cubs
Claude Haiku 4.5
Chicago Cubs
Claude Haiku 4.5
Chicago Cubs
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Chicago Cubs
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Chicago Cubs
GPT-5 Mini
Chicago Cubs
GPT-5 Mini
Chicago Cubs
GPT-4o Mini
Chicago White Sox
GPT-4o Mini
Chicago White Sox
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Chicago Cubs
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Chicago Cubs
DeepSeek V3
Chicago Cubs
DeepSeek V3
Chicago Cubs
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
3ce8c4f5da4ad88d…
- Kickoff
- Wed, Aug 19 · 20:20 GMT+0200
- Markets
- Match winner · Over / Under · Spread · First 5 innings
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 4. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 4, in this order): h2h | totals | spreads | first_five_innings
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 27121,
"sport": "baseball",
"venue": "Wrigley Field",
"league": "MLB",
"starts_at": "2026-08-19T18:20:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Wed, 19 Aug 2026 18:20:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Chicago White Sox",
"home": "Chicago Cubs"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"The starting-pitcher matchup is the single biggest factor — compare each starter's recent form, not just season ERA.",
"Bullpen rest and usage over the last few days drives late-game and total outcomes.",
"Ballpark factors matter: dimensions, altitude (e.g. Coors), and especially wind direction (out = more runs, in = fewer).",
"Lineup handedness vs the opposing starter (L/R platoon splits) shifts the run expectation.",
"Weather (wind, temperature, humidity) measurably affects carry and totals."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "LLWWL",
"record": "2W-0D-3L",
"scored": 14,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 24
},
"home_form": {
"last": "WWWLL",
"record": "3W-0D-2L",
"scored": 21,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 33
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 41,
"home": 41
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"totals",
"spreads",
"first_five_innings"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Research trail
What each AI looked up before picking
-
0 tool calls · 2 sources
2 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 4 sources
4 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
8 tool calls · 4 sources
4 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
64 tool calls · 6 sources
6 citations captured — unlock with Pro
Results settle automatically once the final score lands. Picks are permanent — no hindsight edits.
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
Get the AI consensus before kickoff
Free. Pre-match alert per AI + see your picks graded as results land.