BrazilvsNorway
Brazil 1–2 Norway
All 5 AIs backed Brazil — reality had other ideas.
- AI lean
- Brazil 5/5
- Correct calls
- 0/5
- Final
- 1–2
Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.
AI predictions
8 markets · 5 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
2-0 3/5 models |
yes 2/5 models |
Brazil 5/5 models |
Brazil 3/5 models |
Brazil / Brazil 4/5 models |
Brazil -1.5 3/5 models |
Brazil 5/5 models |
over 2/5 models |
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Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-4o Mini Openai |
25%
2-1
L
|
65%
yes
W
|
55%
Brazil
L
|
55%
Brazil
L
|
55%
Brazil / Brazil
L
|
55%
Brazil |
55%
Brazil
L
|
60%
over
W
|
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
25%
2-1 Both teams have potent attacks, with Brazil averaging over two goals per game in their last ten matches and Norway averaging 2.3 goals per m...
🔍 researched
8 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
65%
yes Both teams have been involved in matches where both teams scored, with Brazil's games averaging 1.6 goals from 10.3 attempts and Norway's ga...
🔍 researched
8 sources cited
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
55%
Brazil With Brazil's superior World Cup knockout stage record and home advantage, they are favored to advance. Norway's strong attacking play, led...
🔍 researched
8 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
Brazil Brazil's superior World Cup knockout stage record and home advantage make them favorites to win by at least one goal. Norway's strong attack...
🔍 researched
8 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
55%
Brazil / Brazil Brazil's strong record in World Cup knockout stages and home advantage make them favorites to lead at both half-time and full-time. Norway's...
🔍 researched
8 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Brazil With Brazil's superior World Cup knockout stage record and home advantage, they are favored to advance. Norway's strong attacking play, led...
🔍 researched
8 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Brazil Brazil have a strong record in World Cup knockout stages, having won each of their last eight round of 16 ties since 1990. Norway have never...
🔍 researched
8 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
over Both teams have potent attacks, with Brazil averaging over two goals per game in their last ten matches and Norway averaging 2.3 goals per m...
🔍 researched
8 sources cited
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o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
22%
2-0
L
|
65%
no
L
|
88%
Brazil
L
|
70%
Brazil
L
|
62%
Brazil / Brazil
L
|
55%
Brazil -1.5
L
|
75%
Brazil
L
|
58%
under
L
|
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
22%
2-0 Brazil's low concession rate and high scoring output point to a 2-0 or 3-0 result. Norway's defensive issues make a clean sheet for Brazil p...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
65%
no Brazil concedes just once in five home games while scoring freely. Norway's high concession rate suggests they struggle to keep clean sheets...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
88%
Brazil Brazil's home dominance and low goals conceded make a Norway win unlikely even without Raphinha. Norway's leaky defense (13 conceded in 5) p...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
70%
Brazil Brazil expected to win by more than one goal given form gap and home advantage. Norway's poor away defensive record supports covering the -1...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
62%
Brazil / Brazil Brazil's early dominance at home typically produces a first-half lead that they hold. Recent form shows they rarely drop points once ahead....
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Brazil -1.5 Brazil favored to win by 1.5+ goals on current quality gap despite Raphinha absence. Strong home record and Norway's conceded total back the...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
75%
Brazil Brazil's perfect recent home form and defensive record (only 1 goal conceded in 5) outweigh Norway's mixed results and higher concessions. M...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
58%
under Brazil's recent matches average under 3 goals with strong defensive structure. Norway concedes frequently but Brazil limits opportunities at... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
20%
2-0
L
|
65%
No
L
|
85%
Brazil
L
|
60%
Brazil -1
L
|
55%
Brazil / Brazil
L
|
55%
Brazil -1.5
L
|
70%
Brazil
L
|
58%
Over 2.5
W
|
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
20%
2-0 Brazil's exceptional defensive record (1 goal conceded in 5 games) strongly points towards a clean sheet against Norway. Their formidable at...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
65%
No Brazil's defense has been incredibly solid, conceding only one goal in their last five matches. Despite Norway's individual attacking talent...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
85%
Brazil Brazil's exceptional recent form and historical strength make an outright loss highly improbable in this World Cup fixture. Norway's defensi...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
60%
Brazil -1 Brazil's excellent current form, characterized by high scoring and robust defense, suggests they are likely to win by more than one goal. No...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
55%
Brazil / Brazil Brazil's overall dominance and strong offensive starts suggest they are highly likely to take an early lead and maintain it throughout the m...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Brazil -1.5 Given Brazil's dominant form, including scoring 14 goals in their last five matches, they are well-positioned to secure a victory by a margi...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
70%
Brazil Based on internal training data through 2025-09 and the provided context, Brazil enters this match in stellar form, winning all of their las...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
58%
Over 2.5 Brazil's attack is highly potent, having scored 14 goals in their last five matches, while Norway has conceded 13 in the same period. While... |
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Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
15%
2-0
L
|
55%
Yes
W
|
78%
Brazil
L
|
52%
Norway |
60%
Brazil / Brazil
L
|
65%
Brazil -1.5
L
|
75%
Brazil
L
|
60%
Over
W
|
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
2-0 Brazil's strong home form and consistent scoring, combined with Norway's defensive vulnerabilities, suggest a multi-goal victory for Brazil....
3 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
Yes Brazil's strong offense is likely to score, but Norway has shown some ability to score despite their defensive issues in recent games. Given...
3 sources cited
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
78%
Brazil Brazil's superior form and historical dominance make them strong favorites. Even accounting for the draw no bet aspect, Brazil is expected t...
3 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
52%
Norway Brazil is heavily favored, making the -1 spread a challenging but potentially rewarding bet for Norway. Considering Brazil's strong attack,...
3 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
60%
Brazil / Brazil Brazil's current form and historical strength suggest they will likely start strong and maintain their dominance throughout the match, leadi...
3 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
65%
Brazil -1.5 Brazil's dominant form and attacking strength suggest they are capable of overcoming a 1.5-goal handicap. Norway's defensive record in their...
3 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
75%
Brazil Brazil has a significantly stronger historical record and current form compared to Norway. Brazil's home form is impeccable, winning their l...
3 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
Over Brazil's attacking prowess suggests they can contribute multiple goals, and Norway's recent defensive fragility indicates they may concede....
3 sources cited
|
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
30%
3-1
L
|
60%
yes
W
|
70%
Brazil
L
|
50%
Brazil
L
|
55%
home_home |
50%
Brazil -1
L
|
65%
Brazil
L
|
65%
over
W
|
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
30%
3-1 Norway's attack can score one goal against Brazil's defense, while Brazil's offense should net multiple. A 3-1 reflects Brazil's scoring ave...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
yes Norway have scored in 4 of last 5 matches and Brazil in all 5. Norway's leaky defense means Brazil will likely score, and Norway's attack (1...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
70%
Brazil After removing the draw, Brazil's win probability increases. Their form and Norway's defensive issues support a straight win. Norway only wo...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
50%
Brazil Brazil are strong but covering a -1 spread requires winning by 2+ goals. Norway have competitive moments and may keep it close. Brazil's for...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
55%
home_home Brazil often start fast and dominate early. Norway may hold for a half, but Brazil's pressure should lead to a halftime lead. Over the full...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
50%
Brazil -1 Asian handicap -1 for Brazil is similar to the -1 spread. Brazil have the quality but Norway could keep it within one goal. The handicap ref...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
65%
Brazil Brazil are in dominant form with 5 straight wins, conceding only once, while Norway have been erratic. Raphinha's absence is a blow but Braz...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
65%
over Brazil average 2.8 goals scored per game in last 5, while Norway concede 2.6 per game. Both teams have goals in them, and Brazil's attacking... |
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Correct score
Consensus2-0 3/5
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
25%
2-1
L
Both teams have potent attacks, with Brazil averaging over two goals per game in their last ten matches and Norway averaging 2.3 goals per m...
Grok 4 Fast
22%
2-0
L
Brazil's low concession rate and high scoring output point to a 2-0 or 3-0 result. Norway's defensive issues make a clean sheet for Brazil p...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
20%
2-0
L
Brazil's exceptional defensive record (1 goal conceded in 5 games) strongly points towards a clean sheet against Norway. Their formidable at...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
15%
2-0
L
Brazil's strong home form and consistent scoring, combined with Norway's defensive vulnerabilities, suggest a multi-goal victory for Brazil....
DeepSeek V3
30%
3-1
L
Norway's attack can score one goal against Brazil's defense, while Brazil's offense should net multiple. A 3-1 reflects Brazil's scoring ave...
Both teams to score
Consensusyes 2/5
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
65%
yes
W
Both teams have been involved in matches where both teams scored, with Brazil's games averaging 1.6 goals from 10.3 attempts and Norway's ga...
Grok 4 Fast
65%
no
L
Brazil concedes just once in five home games while scoring freely. Norway's high concession rate suggests they struggle to keep clean sheets...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
65%
No
L
Brazil's defense has been incredibly solid, conceding only one goal in their last five matches. Despite Norway's individual attacking talent...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
Yes
W
Brazil's strong offense is likely to score, but Norway has shown some ability to score despite their defensive issues in recent games. Given...
DeepSeek V3
60%
yes
W
Norway have scored in 4 of last 5 matches and Brazil in all 5. Norway's leaky defense means Brazil will likely score, and Norway's attack (1...
Draw no bet
ConsensusBrazil 5/5
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
55%
Brazil
L
With Brazil's superior World Cup knockout stage record and home advantage, they are favored to advance. Norway's strong attacking play, led...
Grok 4 Fast
88%
Brazil
L
Brazil's home dominance and low goals conceded make a Norway win unlikely even without Raphinha. Norway's leaky defense (13 conceded in 5) p...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
85%
Brazil
L
Brazil's exceptional recent form and historical strength make an outright loss highly improbable in this World Cup fixture. Norway's defensi...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
78%
Brazil
L
Brazil's superior form and historical dominance make them strong favorites. Even accounting for the draw no bet aspect, Brazil is expected t...
DeepSeek V3
70%
Brazil
L
After removing the draw, Brazil's win probability increases. Their form and Norway's defensive issues support a straight win. Norway only wo...
Spread
ConsensusBrazil 3/5
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
55%
Brazil
L
Brazil's superior World Cup knockout stage record and home advantage make them favorites to win by at least one goal. Norway's strong attack...
Grok 4 Fast
70%
Brazil
L
Brazil expected to win by more than one goal given form gap and home advantage. Norway's poor away defensive record supports covering the -1...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
60%
Brazil -1
L
Brazil's excellent current form, characterized by high scoring and robust defense, suggests they are likely to win by more than one goal. No...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
52%
Norway
Brazil is heavily favored, making the -1 spread a challenging but potentially rewarding bet for Norway. Considering Brazil's strong attack,...
DeepSeek V3
50%
Brazil
L
Brazil are strong but covering a -1 spread requires winning by 2+ goals. Norway have competitive moments and may keep it close. Brazil's for...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusBrazil / Brazil 4/5
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
55%
Brazil / Brazil
L
Brazil's strong record in World Cup knockout stages and home advantage make them favorites to lead at both half-time and full-time. Norway's...
Grok 4 Fast
62%
Brazil / Brazil
L
Brazil's early dominance at home typically produces a first-half lead that they hold. Recent form shows they rarely drop points once ahead....
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
Brazil / Brazil
L
Brazil's overall dominance and strong offensive starts suggest they are highly likely to take an early lead and maintain it throughout the m...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
60%
Brazil / Brazil
L
Brazil's current form and historical strength suggest they will likely start strong and maintain their dominance throughout the match, leadi...
DeepSeek V3
55%
home_home
Brazil often start fast and dominate early. Norway may hold for a half, but Brazil's pressure should lead to a halftime lead. Over the full...
Asian handicap
ConsensusBrazil -1.5 3/5
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
55%
Brazil
With Brazil's superior World Cup knockout stage record and home advantage, they are favored to advance. Norway's strong attacking play, led...
Grok 4 Fast
55%
Brazil -1.5
L
Brazil favored to win by 1.5+ goals on current quality gap despite Raphinha absence. Strong home record and Norway's conceded total back the...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
Brazil -1.5
L
Given Brazil's dominant form, including scoring 14 goals in their last five matches, they are well-positioned to secure a victory by a margi...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
65%
Brazil -1.5
L
Brazil's dominant form and attacking strength suggest they are capable of overcoming a 1.5-goal handicap. Norway's defensive record in their...
DeepSeek V3
50%
Brazil -1
L
Asian handicap -1 for Brazil is similar to the -1 spread. Brazil have the quality but Norway could keep it within one goal. The handicap ref...
Match winner
ConsensusBrazil 5/5
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
55%
Brazil
L
Brazil have a strong record in World Cup knockout stages, having won each of their last eight round of 16 ties since 1990. Norway have never...
Grok 4 Fast
75%
Brazil
L
Brazil's perfect recent home form and defensive record (only 1 goal conceded in 5) outweigh Norway's mixed results and higher concessions. M...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
70%
Brazil
L
Based on internal training data through 2025-09 and the provided context, Brazil enters this match in stellar form, winning all of their las...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
75%
Brazil
L
Brazil has a significantly stronger historical record and current form compared to Norway. Brazil's home form is impeccable, winning their l...
DeepSeek V3
65%
Brazil
L
Brazil are in dominant form with 5 straight wins, conceding only once, while Norway have been erratic. Raphinha's absence is a blow but Braz...
Over / Under
Consensusover 2/5
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
60%
over
W
Both teams have potent attacks, with Brazil averaging over two goals per game in their last ten matches and Norway averaging 2.3 goals per m...
Grok 4 Fast
58%
under
L
Brazil's recent matches average under 3 goals with strong defensive structure. Norway concedes frequently but Brazil limits opportunities at...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
58%
Over 2.5
W
Brazil's attack is highly potent, having scored 14 goals in their last five matches, while Norway has conceded 13 in the same period. While...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
60%
Over
W
Brazil's attacking prowess suggests they can contribute multiple goals, and Norway's recent defensive fragility indicates they may concede....
DeepSeek V3
65%
over
W
Brazil average 2.8 goals scored per game in last 5, while Norway concede 2.6 per game. Both teams have goals in them, and Brazil's attacking...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Grok 4 Fast
Brazil
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Brazil
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Brazil
DeepSeek V3
Brazil
GPT-4o Mini
Brazil
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
Picks closed
Match has already kicked off. Picks are permanent — no late entries.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
2 absences reported · confirmed starting lineups — see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Team news via api-sports · updated
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
2c3a38ffac72e7f4…
- Kickoff
- Sun, Jul 5 · 20:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
- Odds
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- Research
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System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 9743,
"sport": "football",
"venue": "MetLife Stadium",
"league": "World Cup",
"starts_at": "2026-07-05T20:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Sun, 05 Jul 2026 20:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Norway",
"home": "Brazil"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"injuries": {
"home": [
{
"team": "Brazil",
"type": "Missing Fixture",
"player": "Raphinha",
"reason": "Hamstring Muscle Injury"
}
]
},
"away_form": {
"last": "WLLWW",
"record": "3W-0D-2L",
"scored": 10,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 13
},
"home_form": {
"last": "WWWWW",
"record": "5W-0D-0L",
"scored": 14,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 1
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 5,
"home": 6
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Research trail
What each AI looked up before picking
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
8 tool calls · 8 sources
8 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
0 tool calls · 3 sources
3 citations captured — unlock with Pro
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
Get the AI consensus before kickoff
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