BrazilvsJapan
Your call
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AI predictions
Featured · open arena8 markets · 5 models picked
Who picked what
16 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
book: Brazil 57% |
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
|
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Claude Opus 4.7 hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
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|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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|
Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Claude Opus 4.6 hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
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|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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|
Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Claude Opus 4.8 hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
||||||||
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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|
Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Claude Sonnet 4.6 hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
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|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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|
Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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|
GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
GPT-5 hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
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|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
66%
Brazil |
78%
Brazil |
58%
over |
60%
yes |
55%
Japan |
65%
Brazil -0.5 |
52%
Brazil / Brazil |
24%
2-1 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
66%
Brazil Brazil enter as favorites thanks to superior attacking firepower and depth (Vinicius Jr, Matheus Cunha, Bruno Guimarães) while Japan have ke...
🔍 researched
7 sources cited
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
78%
Brazil Draw no bet favours Brazil because the most likely non-loss outcome for them is a win; removing the draw downside increases value on Brazil...
🔍 researched
7 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
58%
over Both sides carry clear goal threats: Brazil have high-quality finishers and Japan scored 4-0 vs Tunisia and drew 2-2 with the Netherlands, s...
🔍 researched
7 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
yes Japan have been dangerous on transitions and likely will create chances against Brazil's occasional structural defensive lapses; Brazil conc...
🔍 researched
7 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
Japan Brazil to cover -1 (i.e., win by 2+) is possible but not the modal outcome because Japan are organized and have shown they can keep matches...
🔍 researched
7 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
65%
Brazil -0.5 A simple AH -0.5 (Brazil to win) balances upside and risk: Brazil are the stronger side and should win in 90 minutes more often than not, bu...
🔍 researched
7 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
52%
Brazil / Brazil The most plausible HT/FT sequence is Brazil leading at halftime and winning full-time: Brazil create early pressure and have higher individu...
🔍 researched
7 sources cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
24%
2-1 A 2-1 Brazil win balances Brazil's higher scorer likelihood with Japan's counter-attack ability to get on the scoresheet; Rotowire and match...
🔍 researched
7 sources cited
|
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|
GPT-4o Mini Openai |
75%
Brazil |
75%
Brazil |
65%
over |
60%
yes |
70%
Brazil |
70%
Brazil |
65%
Brazil / Brazil |
25%
2-1 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
75%
Brazil Brazil's superior squad depth and attacking prowess, highlighted by Vinícius Júnior's form, make them favorites against Japan. Despite Japan...
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
75%
Brazil With Brazil's attacking strength and Japan's defensive vulnerabilities, Brazil is favored to win, making the draw no bet market favorable fo...
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
65%
over Both teams have shown offensive capabilities, with Brazil averaging 2.4 goals per game in their last ten matches and Japan scoring seven goa...
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
yes Both teams have demonstrated offensive capabilities, with Brazil averaging 2.4 goals per game in their last ten matches and Japan scoring se...
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
70%
Brazil Brazil's superior squad depth and attacking prowess, highlighted by Vinícius Júnior's form, make them favorites to win by at least two goals...
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
70%
Brazil Brazil's attacking strength and Japan's defensive vulnerabilities suggest Brazil is likely to win by at least one goal, making the home hand...
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
65%
Brazil / Brazil Brazil's attacking prowess and Japan's defensive vulnerabilities suggest Brazil is likely to lead at both halftime and fulltime.
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
25%
2-1 Brazil's offensive strength and Japan's defensive vulnerabilities suggest a 2-1 victory for Brazil is a likely outcome.
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
|
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|
o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
o4-mini hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
||||||||
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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|
Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Grok 4.3 hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
||||||||
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
78%
Brazil |
85%
Brazil |
61%
over |
62%
no |
71%
Brazil |
58%
Brazil -1.5 |
55%
Brazil / Brazil |
22%
2-0 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
78%
Brazil Brazil enters with dominant recent form (WWWWD) and elite defensive record conceding just once in five matches. Japan has shown inconsistenc...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
85%
Brazil Brazil's superior squad depth and attacking output make a win the most probable outcome. Japan rarely wins away against top-tier opposition...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
61%
over Brazil averages over 2.6 goals per game in recent outings while Japan concedes at a moderate rate. Set-piece threat and Brazil's creative mi...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
62%
no Brazil's clean-sheet rate remains high (4 of last 5) and Japan has managed only 12 goals across its last five. Missing Raphinha slightly red...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
71%
Brazil Brazil is expected to win by multiple goals given the quality differential. Home form and rest advantage support covering a -1 spread comfor...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
58%
Brazil -1.5 Brazil should prevail by two goals or more in most simulations. Japan's recent results include several low-scoring draws that rarely threate...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
55%
Brazil / Brazil Brazil typically establishes control early and maintains leads. Their strong home record and Japan's cautious away style point to a home win...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
22%
2-0 Brazil's defensive record and Japan's limited away firepower make low-scoring wins likely. 2-0 and 3-0 align with expected goal margins give... |
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|
Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Gemini 3.1 Pro hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
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|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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|
Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Gemini 2.5 Pro hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
||||||||
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
70%
Brazil |
80%
Brazil |
55%
under |
65%
no |
60%
Brazil -1 |
55%
home (-1.5) |
55%
Brazil / Brazil |
18%
2-0 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
70%
Brazil Brazil are historically one of the strongest footballing nations and their recent form (4W-1D-0L, 13 goals scored, 1 conceded) is exceptiona...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
80%
Brazil Building on the H2H prediction, Brazil is highly unlikely to lose this match given their dominant form and superior squad quality. Their for...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
under Brazil boasts an incredibly stingy defense, conceding only one goal in their last five matches. While they score freely, World Cup knockout...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
65%
no Brazil's defense has been outstanding, demonstrated by conceding only one goal in their last five matches. Facing such a top-tier defense in...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
60%
Brazil -1 Brazil's recent form includes scoring an average of 2.6 goals per game, while conceding very little. Given their attacking prowess and Japan...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
home (-1.5) Assuming a Brazil -1.5 Asian Handicap, Brazil has the offensive capability to secure a multi-goal victory against Japan. Despite Raphinha's...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
55%
Brazil / Brazil Brazil are strong starters and are expected to assert their dominance early in the match, aiming to control the game from the outset. Given...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
2-0 A 2-0 victory aligns with Brazil's strong defense and potent attack. It allows for multiple goals from Brazil while reflecting Japan's expec... |
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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|
DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
70%
Brazil |
75%
Brazil |
55%
Under 2.5 |
55%
No |
55%
Brazil -1 |
55%
Brazil -1 |
45%
Brazil / Brazil |
18%
2-0 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
70%
Brazil Brazil have won 4 of their last 5 with a dominant conceded record (1 goal), while Japan have drawn 3 of their last 5; despite missing Raphin...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
75%
Brazil Brazil's form and defensive solidity make them very likely to win in regulation; Japan have not lost in 5 but draws are common. Removing the...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
Under 2.5 Brazil are strong defensively and Japan are solid but not prolific (2.4 goals scored per game); in a knockout match both sides may be cautio...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
No Brazil have kept clean sheets in 4 of last 5; Japan's attack is modest. Both teams scoring is possible but less likely given Brazil's defens...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
Brazil -1 Brazil have been winning by margins; Japan have drawn 3 of 5 but rarely lose by more than one. Brazil -1 is a narrow favorite given the qual...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Brazil -1 Similar to spread -1; Brazil are expected to win by at least one but Japan's resilience suggests a close game.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
45%
Brazil / Brazil Brazil are strong starters and likely lead at half-time; Japan may hold out for a draw at half but Brazil's superiority should prevail.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
2-0 Brazil's defense is strong and Japan's attack is modest; 2-0 is a common winning margin for Brazil in matches they control. Other scores lik... |
|||||||||
|
Consensus |
Brazil 5/5 |
Brazil 5/5 |
over 3/5 |
yes 2/5 |
Brazil 2/5 |
Brazil 1/5 |
Brazil / Brazil 5/5 |
2-0 3/5 |
|
|
Bookmaker line |
Brazil 57% |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
|
Match winner
ConsensusBrazil 5/5
Brazil enter as favorites thanks to superior attacking firepower and depth (Vinicius Jr, Matheus Cunha, Bruno Guimarães) while Japan have ke...
Brazil's superior squad depth and attacking prowess, highlighted by Vinícius Júnior's form, make them favorites against Japan. Despite Japan...
Brazil enters with dominant recent form (WWWWD) and elite defensive record conceding just once in five matches. Japan has shown inconsistenc...
Brazil are historically one of the strongest footballing nations and their recent form (4W-1D-0L, 13 goals scored, 1 conceded) is exceptiona...
Brazil have won 4 of their last 5 with a dominant conceded record (1 goal), while Japan have drawn 3 of their last 5; despite missing Raphin...
Bookmaker line: Brazil 57%
Draw no bet
ConsensusBrazil 5/5
Draw no bet favours Brazil because the most likely non-loss outcome for them is a win; removing the draw downside increases value on Brazil...
With Brazil's attacking strength and Japan's defensive vulnerabilities, Brazil is favored to win, making the draw no bet market favorable fo...
Brazil's superior squad depth and attacking output make a win the most probable outcome. Japan rarely wins away against top-tier opposition...
Building on the H2H prediction, Brazil is highly unlikely to lose this match given their dominant form and superior squad quality. Their for...
Brazil's form and defensive solidity make them very likely to win in regulation; Japan have not lost in 5 but draws are common. Removing the...
Over / Under
Consensusover 3/5
Both sides carry clear goal threats: Brazil have high-quality finishers and Japan scored 4-0 vs Tunisia and drew 2-2 with the Netherlands, s...
Both teams have shown offensive capabilities, with Brazil averaging 2.4 goals per game in their last ten matches and Japan scoring seven goa...
Brazil averages over 2.6 goals per game in recent outings while Japan concedes at a moderate rate. Set-piece threat and Brazil's creative mi...
Brazil boasts an incredibly stingy defense, conceding only one goal in their last five matches. While they score freely, World Cup knockout...
Brazil are strong defensively and Japan are solid but not prolific (2.4 goals scored per game); in a knockout match both sides may be cautio...
Both teams to score
Consensusyes 2/5
Japan have been dangerous on transitions and likely will create chances against Brazil's occasional structural defensive lapses; Brazil conc...
Both teams have demonstrated offensive capabilities, with Brazil averaging 2.4 goals per game in their last ten matches and Japan scoring se...
Brazil's clean-sheet rate remains high (4 of last 5) and Japan has managed only 12 goals across its last five. Missing Raphinha slightly red...
Brazil's defense has been outstanding, demonstrated by conceding only one goal in their last five matches. Facing such a top-tier defense in...
Brazil have kept clean sheets in 4 of last 5; Japan's attack is modest. Both teams scoring is possible but less likely given Brazil's defens...
Spread
ConsensusBrazil 2/5
Brazil to cover -1 (i.e., win by 2+) is possible but not the modal outcome because Japan are organized and have shown they can keep matches...
Brazil's superior squad depth and attacking prowess, highlighted by Vinícius Júnior's form, make them favorites to win by at least two goals...
Brazil is expected to win by multiple goals given the quality differential. Home form and rest advantage support covering a -1 spread comfor...
Brazil's recent form includes scoring an average of 2.6 goals per game, while conceding very little. Given their attacking prowess and Japan...
Brazil have been winning by margins; Japan have drawn 3 of 5 but rarely lose by more than one. Brazil -1 is a narrow favorite given the qual...
Asian handicap
ConsensusBrazil 1/5
A simple AH -0.5 (Brazil to win) balances upside and risk: Brazil are the stronger side and should win in 90 minutes more often than not, bu...
Brazil's attacking strength and Japan's defensive vulnerabilities suggest Brazil is likely to win by at least one goal, making the home hand...
Brazil should prevail by two goals or more in most simulations. Japan's recent results include several low-scoring draws that rarely threate...
Assuming a Brazil -1.5 Asian Handicap, Brazil has the offensive capability to secure a multi-goal victory against Japan. Despite Raphinha's...
Similar to spread -1; Brazil are expected to win by at least one but Japan's resilience suggests a close game.
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusBrazil / Brazil 5/5
The most plausible HT/FT sequence is Brazil leading at halftime and winning full-time: Brazil create early pressure and have higher individu...
Brazil's attacking prowess and Japan's defensive vulnerabilities suggest Brazil is likely to lead at both halftime and fulltime.
Brazil typically establishes control early and maintains leads. Their strong home record and Japan's cautious away style point to a home win...
Brazil are strong starters and are expected to assert their dominance early in the match, aiming to control the game from the outset. Given...
Brazil are strong starters and likely lead at half-time; Japan may hold out for a draw at half but Brazil's superiority should prevail.
Correct score
Consensus2-0 3/5
A 2-1 Brazil win balances Brazil's higher scorer likelihood with Japan's counter-attack ability to get on the scoresheet; Rotowire and match...
Brazil's offensive strength and Japan's defensive vulnerabilities suggest a 2-1 victory for Brazil is a likely outcome.
Brazil's defensive record and Japan's limited away firepower make low-scoring wins likely. 2-0 and 3-0 align with expected goal margins give...
A 2-0 victory aligns with Brazil's strong defense and potent attack. It allows for multiple goals from Brazil while reflecting Japan's expec...
Brazil's defense is strong and Japan's attack is modest; 2-0 is a common winning margin for Brazil in matches they control. Other scores lik...
Refresh the read
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Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
1 absence reported — see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Team news via api-sports · updated
Polymarket: tournament odds
What real money is betting on each team to lift the 2026 FIFA World Cup trophy.
Brazil
to win World Cup
Japan
to win World Cup
Bookmaker odds
12 books · sharp books pinned · best price highlighted
| Book | Brazil | Draw | Japan |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.70 | 3.88 | 5.23 |
| Bet365 | 1.25 | 3.75 | 3.75 |
| Unibet | 1.23 | 3.75 | 5.30 |
| 10bet | 1.25 | 3.75 | 5.00 |
| 1xbet | 1.74 | 3.90 | 5.43 |
| Betano | 1.75 | 3.90 | 3.40 |
| Betfair | 1.70 | 3.90 | 5.00 |
| Betvictor | 1.25 | 3.70 | 4.60 |
| Dafabet | 1.70 | 3.85 | 5.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.71 | 3.84 | 5.35 |
| Sbo | 1.65 | 3.76 | 5.20 |
| William-hill | 1.70 | 3.60 | 3.50 |
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | — | — | — |
| Bet365 | — | 9.00 | 1.07 |
| Unibet | — | — | — |
| 10bet | — | — | — |
| 1xbet | — | — | — |
| Betano | — | — | — |
| Betfair | — | — | — |
| Betvictor | — | — | — |
| Marathonbet | — | — | — |
| Sbo | — | — | — |
| William-hill | — | — | — |
| Book | Brazil | Japan |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | — | — |
| Bet365 | — | — |
| Unibet | — | — |
| 10bet | — | — |
| 1xbet | — | — |
| Betano | — | — |
| Betfair | — | — |
| Betvictor | — | — |
| Marathonbet | — | — |
| Sbo | — | — |
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
e52e2886deeaf23a…
- Kickoff
- Mon, Jun 29 · 17:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 7813,
"sport": "football",
"venue": "NRG Stadium",
"league": "World Cup",
"starts_at": "2026-06-29T17:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Mon, 29 Jun 2026 17:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Japan",
"home": "Brazil"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"injuries": {
"home": [
{
"team": "Brazil",
"type": "Missing Fixture",
"player": "Raphinha",
"reason": "Hamstring Muscle Injury"
}
]
},
"away_form": {
"last": "DDWWD",
"record": "2W-3D-0L",
"scored": 12,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 4
},
"home_form": {
"last": "WWWWD",
"record": "4W-1D-0L",
"scored": 13,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 1
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 3,
"home": 4
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Research trail
What each AI looked up before picking
-
8 tool calls · 6 sources
6 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
80 tool calls · 7 sources
7 citations captured — unlock with Pro
Results settle automatically once the final score lands. Picks are permanent — no hindsight edits.
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
Get the AI consensus before kickoff
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