Brandon Moore vs Don Haynesworth
DHKickoff · Sun, Jun 14 · 18:00 GMT+0000
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
229ee6d05fcc391e…
- Sport
- Sun, Jun 14 · 18:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- h2h · method_finish · goes_distance · round_group
- Source
- The Odds API · live
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 4. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 4, in this order): h2h | method_finish | goes_distance | round_group
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 3604,
"sport": "boxing",
"venue": null,
"league": "Boxing",
"starts_at": "2026-06-14T19:30:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Sun, 14 Jun 2026 19:30:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Don Haynesworth",
"home": "Brandon Moore"
},
"version": "v1",
"built_at": "2026-06-14T00:40:57+00:00",
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": {
"away": 19,
"draw": 34,
"home": 1.05
},
"note": "Bookmaker consensus odds at the moment of the call. Frozen here so settlement grades against the same line.",
"extra_markets": {
"h2h": [
{
"point": null,
"price": 10,
"outcome": "Don Haynesworth"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.04,
"outcome": "Brandon Moore"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 9.5,
"outcome": "Don Haynesworth"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.03,
"outcome": "Brandon Moore"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 9.3,
"outcome": "Don Haynesworth"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.04,
"outcome": "Brandon Moore"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 13.63,
"outcome": "Don Haynesworth"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.03,
"outcome": "Brandon Moore"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 19,
"outcome": "Don Haynesworth"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.01,
"outcome": "Brandon Moore"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 19,
"outcome": "Don Haynesworth"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.01,
"outcome": "Brandon Moore"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 11,
"outcome": "Don Haynesworth"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.01,
"outcome": "Brandon Moore"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 11,
"outcome": "Don Haynesworth"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.01,
"outcome": "Brandon Moore"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 34,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 13,
"outcome": "Don Haynesworth"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.05,
"outcome": "Brandon Moore"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 33,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 11.4,
"outcome": "Don Haynesworth"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.03,
"outcome": "Brandon Moore"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 10,
"outcome": "Don Haynesworth"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.04,
"outcome": "Brandon Moore"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 9.5,
"outcome": "Don Haynesworth"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.03,
"outcome": "Brandon Moore"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 9.3,
"outcome": "Don Haynesworth"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.04,
"outcome": "Brandon Moore"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 13.63,
"outcome": "Don Haynesworth"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.03,
"outcome": "Brandon Moore"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 19,
"outcome": "Don Haynesworth"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.01,
"outcome": "Brandon Moore"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 19,
"outcome": "Don Haynesworth"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.01,
"outcome": "Brandon Moore"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 11,
"outcome": "Don Haynesworth"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.01,
"outcome": "Brandon Moore"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 11,
"outcome": "Don Haynesworth"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.01,
"outcome": "Brandon Moore"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 34,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 13,
"outcome": "Don Haynesworth"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.05,
"outcome": "Brandon Moore"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 33,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 11.4,
"outcome": "Don Haynesworth"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.03,
"outcome": "Brandon Moore"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 10,
"outcome": "Don Haynesworth"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.04,
"outcome": "Brandon Moore"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 9.5,
"outcome": "Don Haynesworth"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.03,
"outcome": "Brandon Moore"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 9.3,
"outcome": "Don Haynesworth"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.04,
"outcome": "Brandon Moore"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 13.63,
"outcome": "Don Haynesworth"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.03,
"outcome": "Brandon Moore"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 19,
"outcome": "Don Haynesworth"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.01,
"outcome": "Brandon Moore"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 19,
"outcome": "Don Haynesworth"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.01,
"outcome": "Brandon Moore"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 11,
"outcome": "Don Haynesworth"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.01,
"outcome": "Brandon Moore"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 11,
"outcome": "Don Haynesworth"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.01,
"outcome": "Brandon Moore"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 34,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 13,
"outcome": "Don Haynesworth"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.05,
"outcome": "Brandon Moore"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 33,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 11.4,
"outcome": "Don Haynesworth"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.03,
"outcome": "Brandon Moore"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 10,
"outcome": "Don Haynesworth"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.04,
"outcome": "Brandon Moore"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 9.5,
"outcome": "Don Haynesworth"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.03,
"outcome": "Brandon Moore"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 9.3,
"outcome": "Don Haynesworth"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.04,
"outcome": "Brandon Moore"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 13.63,
"outcome": "Don Haynesworth"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.03,
"outcome": "Brandon Moore"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 19,
"outcome": "Don Haynesworth"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.01,
"outcome": "Brandon Moore"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 19,
"outcome": "Don Haynesworth"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.01,
"outcome": "Brandon Moore"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 11,
"outcome": "Don Haynesworth"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.01,
"outcome": "Brandon Moore"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 11,
"outcome": "Don Haynesworth"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.01,
"outcome": "Brandon Moore"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 34,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 13,
"outcome": "Don Haynesworth"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.05,
"outcome": "Brandon Moore"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 33,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 11.4,
"outcome": "Don Haynesworth"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.03,
"outcome": "Brandon Moore"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 10,
"outcome": "Don Haynesworth"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.04,
"outcome": "Brandon Moore"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 9.5,
"outcome": "Don Haynesworth"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.03,
"outcome": "Brandon Moore"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 9.3,
"outcome": "Don Haynesworth"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.04,
"outcome": "Brandon Moore"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 13.63,
"outcome": "Don Haynesworth"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.03,
"outcome": "Brandon Moore"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 19,
"outcome": "Don Haynesworth"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.01,
"outcome": "Brandon Moore"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 19,
"outcome": "Don Haynesworth"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.01,
"outcome": "Brandon Moore"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 11,
"outcome": "Don Haynesworth"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.01,
"outcome": "Brandon Moore"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 11,
"outcome": "Don Haynesworth"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.01,
"outcome": "Brandon Moore"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 34,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 13,
"outcome": "Don Haynesworth"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.05,
"outcome": "Brandon Moore"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 33,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 11.4,
"outcome": "Don Haynesworth"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.03,
"outcome": "Brandon Moore"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 10,
"outcome": "Don Haynesworth"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.04,
"outcome": "Brandon Moore"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 9.5,
"outcome": "Don Haynesworth"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.03,
"outcome": "Brandon Moore"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 9.3,
"outcome": "Don Haynesworth"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.04,
"outcome": "Brandon Moore"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 13.63,
"outcome": "Don Haynesworth"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.03,
"outcome": "Brandon Moore"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 19,
"outcome": "Don Haynesworth"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.01,
"outcome": "Brandon Moore"
}
]
}
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"method_finish",
"goes_distance",
"round_group"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
AI predictions
4 markets · 6 models picked
Who picked what
15 models × 4 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Goes the distance
?
Goes the distance
Goes the distance. Does the fight reach the final scheduled round.
|
Round group
?
Round group
Market explanation coming soon.
|
Method of victory
?
Method of victory
How the fight ends. KO/TKO, submission, decision, etc.
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
book: Brandon Moore 95% |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic · 4-5 -1.2u |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||
|
Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic · 5-5 -0.3u |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||
|
Claude Opus 4 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||
|
Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic · 125-128 -87.1u |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||
|
Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic · 168-149 -107.9u |
62%
No |
54%
Round 1–3 |
58%
Knockout |
96%
Brandon Moore
~1.05
|
|
|
Goes the distance
?
Goes the distance
Goes the distance. Does the fight reach the final scheduled round.
62%
No Moore's extreme odds dominance (1.01–1.05) indicates a likely early or mid-fight finish rather than full distance. Haynesworth is such an un...
Round group
?
Round group
Market explanation coming soon.
54%
Round 1–3 If Moore finishes early (suggested by dominant odds), the most likely window is rounds 1–3, where a strong favourite typically demonstrates...
Method of victory
?
Method of victory
How the fight ends. KO/TKO, submission, decision, etc.
58%
Knockout In boxing (the sport here), the primary outcomes are knockout, decision, or rare submission-style finish. Given Moore is a heavy favourite a...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
96%
Brandon Moore Odds consensus shows Brandon Moore at 1.01–1.05 across all books, implying 95–99% implied probability of victory. Don Haynesworth is priced...
Odds: 1.05
Edge: +0.8%
|
|||||
GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||
|
GPT-5 Mini Openai · 30-17 +24.4u |
— | — | — | — | |
|
Goes the distance
?
Goes the distance
Goes the distance. Does the fight reach the final scheduled round.
No pick on this market.
Round group
?
Round group
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Method of victory
?
Method of victory
How the fight ends. KO/TKO, submission, decision, etc.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market. |
|||||
|
GPT-4o Mini Openai · 34-47 -25.2u |
— | — | — | — | |
|
Goes the distance
?
Goes the distance
Goes the distance. Does the fight reach the final scheduled round.
No pick on this market.
Round group
?
Round group
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Method of victory
?
Method of victory
How the fight ends. KO/TKO, submission, decision, etc.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market. |
|||||
|
o3 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||
Grok 4 Heavy FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||
|
Grok 4 Fast Xai · 112-170 -91.3u |
65%
No |
58%
Under 6.5 |
62%
KO/TKO |
94%
Brandon Moore
~1.05
|
|
|
Goes the distance
?
Goes the distance
Goes the distance. Does the fight reach the final scheduled round.
65%
No Mismatch pricing usually produces early finishes rather than 10- or 12-round decisions. With no head-to-head or recent-form data available,...
Round group
?
Round group
Market explanation coming soon.
58%
Under 6.5 Large favorite status correlates with stoppages occurring inside six rounds in the majority of similar mismatches. Limited biographical info...
Method of victory
?
Method of victory
How the fight ends. KO/TKO, submission, decision, etc.
62%
KO/TKO Heavy favorites in boxing at this price differential typically end fights inside the distance when facing clearly inferior opposition. The a...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
94%
Brandon Moore Bookmaker consensus prices Brandon Moore between 1.01-1.05 while listing Don Haynesworth between 9.3-19, indicating a massive talent or expe...
Odds: 1.05
Edge: -1.2%
|
|||||
Gemini 2.5 Pro FlagshipGoogle · 4-7 -1.8u |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash Google · 135-151 -121.4u |
73%
No |
30%
Brandon Moore Rounds 4-6 |
70%
Brandon Moore by KO/TKO/DQ |
92%
Brandon Moore
~1.05
|
|
|
Goes the distance
?
Goes the distance
Goes the distance. Does the fight reach the final scheduled round.
73%
No With Brandon Moore heavily favored to win, and likely by stoppage, the probability of the fight not going the full distance is significantly...
Round group
?
Round group
Market explanation coming soon.
30%
Brandon Moore Rounds 4-6 Given Brandon Moore's status as a heavy favorite and the high likelihood of a stoppage victory, an early to mid-fight finish is expected. Ro...
Method of victory
?
Method of victory
How the fight ends. KO/TKO, submission, decision, etc.
70%
Brandon Moore by KO/TKO/DQ Given Brandon Moore is a substantial favorite, a stoppage victory via KO/TKO is the most probable outcome against an outmatched opponent. He...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
92%
Brandon Moore Brandon Moore is an overwhelming favorite according to the bookmaker consensus, indicating a significant skill disparity or a mismatch in ex...
Odds: 1.05
Edge: -3.2%
|
|||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Google · 65-141 -96.1u |
65%
Yes |
40%
4-6 |
60%
Decision |
98%
Brandon Moore
~1.05
|
|
|
Goes the distance
?
Goes the distance
Goes the distance. Does the fight reach the final scheduled round.
65%
Yes While Brandon Moore is a strong favorite, the odds for the fight to go the distance are often influenced by the perceived defensive capabili...
Round group
?
Round group
Market explanation coming soon.
40%
4-6 Considering the fight is likely to go the distance, and that Brandon Moore is the favorite, a middle-round finish or control seems plausible...
Method of victory
?
Method of victory
How the fight ends. KO/TKO, submission, decision, etc.
60%
Decision Given Brandon Moore's significant favoritism, it's likely he has the skill set to control the fight. However, Don Haynesworth is not a compl...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
98%
Brandon Moore Based on the provided bookmaker odds, Brandon Moore is heavily favored to win this boxing match against Don Haynesworth. The odds suggest a...
Odds: 1.05
Edge: +2.8%
|
|||||
DeepSeek V3 Deepseek · 136-147 -106.2u |
75%
No |
55%
Rounds 1-3 |
70%
KO/TKO |
95%
Brandon Moore
~1.05
|
|
|
Goes the distance
?
Goes the distance
Goes the distance. Does the fight reach the final scheduled round.
75%
No Given Moore's power and the sizable skill gap, the fight is unlikely to go the full distance. Moore's aggressive style and Haynesworth's def...
Round group
?
Round group
Market explanation coming soon.
55%
Rounds 1-3 Moore tends to start fast and overwhelm overmatched opponents early. While a finish in the first three rounds is the most likely scenario, t...
Method of victory
?
Method of victory
How the fight ends. KO/TKO, submission, decision, etc.
70%
KO/TKO Moore is a heavy-handed puncher with a high knockout rate, while Haynesworth has shown vulnerability in previous fights. The odds imply Moor...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
95%
Brandon Moore Brandon Moore is an extremely heavy favorite with consensus odds around 1.04, indicating a dominant skill gap over Don Haynesworth, who has...
Odds: 1.05
Edge: -0.2%
|
|||||
|
Consensus |
No 5/6 |
Rounds 1-4 1/6 |
KO/TKO 2/6 |
Brandon Moore 6/6 |
|
|
Bookmaker line |
— |
— |
— |
Brandon Moore 95% |
|
Ask the AIs · Post-match analysis
Reverse-engineer the match
Ask any AI to explain what happened or grade the consensus call.
Sign in to ask the AIs about this match. Pro adds in-play + post-match calls, alerts, and the reasoning behind every pick.
Bookmaker odds
11 books · sharp books pinned · best price highlighted
| Book | Brandon Moore | Draw | Don Haynesworth |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | 1.03 | — | 13.63 |
| Fanduel ↗ | 1.04 | — | 9.30 |
| Betfair UK | 1.05 | 34.00 | 13.00 |
| BetOnline | 1.01 | — | 19.00 |
| Betsson | 1.01 | — | 11.00 |
| Betus | 1.04 | — | 10.00 |
| LowVig | 1.01 | — | 19.00 |
| Nordicbet | 1.01 | — | 11.00 |
| Onexbet | 1.03 | 33.00 | 11.40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.05 | 34.00 | 13.00 |
| Unibet | 1.03 | — | 9.50 |
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|
| Book | Brandon Moore | Don Haynesworth |
|---|
Line movement (h2h)
Each line = one bookmaker · sharp books pinned first
Brandon Moore Don Haynesworth
Results settle automatically once the final score lands. Picks are permanent — no hindsight edits.
Get the AI consensus before kickoff
Free. Pre-match alert per AI + see your picks graded as results land.