Boston Red SoxvsArizona Diamondbacks
AI predictions
4 markets · 7 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
32 models × 4 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
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Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
over 6/14 models |
Boston Red Sox -1.5 6/14 models |
Boston Red Sox 10/14 models |
Boston Red Sox 10/14 models |
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Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
62%
Over 8.5 |
59%
Boston Red Sox -1.5 |
68%
Boston Red Sox |
64%
Boston Red Sox |
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
62%
Over 8.5 Boston's offense has averaged 6.8 runs per game over the last 5 matches while Arizona's defense has been leaky (4.0 runs conceded per game)....
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
59%
Boston Red Sox -1.5 Boston's dominant recent form and home-field advantage position them to win by 1–2 runs in a typical matchup. Arizona's weak last-5 record (...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
68%
Boston Red Sox Boston's recent form is exceptional (5W in last 5, +24 run differential) while Arizona has stumbled (2W-3L, -1 run differential). Home-field...
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
64%
Boston Red Sox Boston's early-game offensive production is reflected in their 5-game win streak and high run-scoring rate. The first five innings typically... |
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|
Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
62%
Over 8.5 |
59%
Boston Red Sox -1.5 |
68%
Boston Red Sox |
64%
Boston Red Sox |
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
62%
Over 8.5 Boston's offense has averaged 6.8 runs per game over the last 5 matches while Arizona's defense has been leaky (4.0 runs conceded per game)....
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
59%
Boston Red Sox -1.5 Boston's dominant recent form and home-field advantage position them to win by 1–2 runs in a typical matchup. Arizona's weak last-5 record (...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
68%
Boston Red Sox Boston's recent form is exceptional (5W in last 5, +24 run differential) while Arizona has stumbled (2W-3L, -1 run differential). Home-field...
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
64%
Boston Red Sox Boston's early-game offensive production is reflected in their 5-game win streak and high run-scoring rate. The first five innings typically... |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
55%
under |
58%
Boston Red Sox -1.5 |
66%
Boston Red Sox |
62%
Boston Red Sox |
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
under The presence of Ranger Suárez on the hill and the expectation of a relatively cool-to-mild evening at Fenway favor a slightly lower run tota...
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
58%
Boston Red Sox -1.5 Given the starting-pitcher edge to Boston (experienced Suárez) and Boston's stronger recent offense vs lefties, a Boston cover on the -1.5 r...
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
66%
Boston Red Sox Boston is playing at Fenway with a hotter short-term form line and a proven lefty in Ranger Suárez expected to start, while Arizona looks li...
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
62%
Boston Red Sox First-five innings favor Boston: Ranger Suárez is likely to go at least five effective innings, while Mitch Bratt's limited MLB experience a...
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
|
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
55%
under |
58%
Boston Red Sox -1.5 |
66%
Boston Red Sox |
62%
Boston Red Sox |
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
under The presence of Ranger Suárez on the hill and the expectation of a relatively cool-to-mild evening at Fenway favor a slightly lower run tota...
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
58%
Boston Red Sox -1.5 Given the starting-pitcher edge to Boston (experienced Suárez) and Boston's stronger recent offense vs lefties, a Boston cover on the -1.5 r...
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
66%
Boston Red Sox Boston is playing at Fenway with a hotter short-term form line and a proven lefty in Ranger Suárez expected to start, while Arizona looks li...
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
62%
Boston Red Sox First-five innings favor Boston: Ranger Suárez is likely to go at least five effective innings, while Mitch Bratt's limited MLB experience a...
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
|
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|
GPT-4o Mini Openai |
60%
over |
55%
Boston Red Sox |
55%
Boston Red Sox |
55%
Boston Red Sox |
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
over Both teams have been scoring runs at a moderate rate, with the Red Sox averaging 4.2 runs per game and the Diamondbacks averaging 4.3 runs p...
🔍 researched
4 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
Boston Red Sox Considering the Red Sox's strong home performance and the Diamondbacks' struggles on the road, the Red Sox are likely to cover the -1 spread...
🔍 researched
4 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Boston Red Sox The Boston Red Sox have been on a strong winning streak, winning their last 11 games, while the Arizona Diamondbacks have lost their last ga...
🔍 researched
4 sources cited
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
55%
Boston Red Sox The Red Sox's recent strong performances, especially at home, suggest they will have the upper hand in the first five innings of this game.
🔍 researched
4 sources cited
|
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|
GPT-4o Mini Openai |
60%
over |
55%
Boston Red Sox |
55%
Boston Red Sox |
55%
Boston Red Sox |
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
over Both teams have been scoring runs at a moderate rate, with the Red Sox averaging 4.2 runs per game and the Diamondbacks averaging 4.3 runs p...
🔍 researched
4 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
Boston Red Sox Considering the Red Sox's strong home performance and the Diamondbacks' struggles on the road, the Red Sox are likely to cover the -1 spread...
🔍 researched
4 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Boston Red Sox The Boston Red Sox have been on a strong winning streak, winning their last 11 games, while the Arizona Diamondbacks have lost their last ga...
🔍 researched
4 sources cited
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
55%
Boston Red Sox The Red Sox's recent strong performances, especially at home, suggest they will have the upper hand in the first five innings of this game.
🔍 researched
4 sources cited
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o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
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o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
53%
over |
58%
Boston Red Sox |
62%
Boston Red Sox |
55%
Boston Red Sox |
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
53%
over Red Sox offense averaging 6.8 runs per game in recent form while Arizona allows 4.0. Warm August conditions at Fenway typically boost totals...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
58%
Boston Red Sox Boston's dominant recent form and home venue edge support a spread win. Arizona's poor road results limit their ability to cover. Training d...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
62%
Boston Red Sox Boston enters on a five-game win streak while Arizona has lost three of five. Fenway Park and home rest advantage favor the Red Sox in this...
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
55%
Boston Red Sox Early-game advantage leans to Boston given stronger recent offense and home start. Limited rest disparity favors the fresher home side early... |
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
53%
over |
58%
Boston Red Sox |
62%
Boston Red Sox |
55%
Boston Red Sox |
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
53%
over Red Sox offense averaging 6.8 runs per game in recent form while Arizona allows 4.0. Warm August conditions at Fenway typically boost totals...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
58%
Boston Red Sox Boston's dominant recent form and home venue edge support a spread win. Arizona's poor road results limit their ability to cover. Training d...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
62%
Boston Red Sox Boston enters on a five-game win streak while Arizona has lost three of five. Fenway Park and home rest advantage favor the Red Sox in this...
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
55%
Boston Red Sox Early-game advantage leans to Boston given stronger recent offense and home start. Limited rest disparity favors the fresher home side early... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
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Gemini 2.5 Flash |
53%
Over 9.5 |
53%
Boston Red Sox -1.5 |
58%
Boston Red Sox |
53%
Boston Red Sox |
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
53%
Over 9.5 Fenway Park is historically a hitter-friendly stadium, often leading to higher scoring games. Boston's recent offensive output of 34 runs in...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
53%
Boston Red Sox -1.5 Given Boston's strong current form (5-0 record) and significant run production, they are well-positioned to win by more than one run at home...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
58%
Boston Red Sox Based on general team characteristics from training data up to my last update, the Boston Red Sox typically have a strong home advantage at...
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
53%
Boston Red Sox The Red Sox's strong offensive output and the inherent home-field advantage at Fenway Park should allow them to establish an early lead. Wit... |
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
53%
Over 9.5 |
53%
Boston Red Sox -1.5 |
58%
Boston Red Sox |
53%
Boston Red Sox |
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
53%
Over 9.5 Fenway Park is historically a hitter-friendly stadium, often leading to higher scoring games. Boston's recent offensive output of 34 runs in...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
53%
Boston Red Sox -1.5 Given Boston's strong current form (5-0 record) and significant run production, they are well-positioned to win by more than one run at home...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
58%
Boston Red Sox Based on general team characteristics from training data up to my last update, the Boston Red Sox typically have a strong home advantage at...
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
53%
Boston Red Sox The Red Sox's strong offensive output and the inherent home-field advantage at Fenway Park should allow them to establish an early lead. Wit... |
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
52%
over |
51%
Arizona Diamondbacks |
55%
Arizona Diamondbacks |
53%
Arizona Diamondbacks |
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
52%
over The projected total seems fair, but a combination of a moderate offshore wind at Fenway Park and the potential for early scoring against the...
2 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
51%
Arizona Diamondbacks Given the Diamondbacks are slightly favored in the moneyline, they are also given a slight edge on the spread. The Red Sox's strong recent f...
2 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Arizona Diamondbacks Despite the Red Sox's superior recent form, the Diamondbacks have a slight edge due to a more favorable starting pitcher matchup. Merrill Ke...
2 sources cited
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
53%
Arizona Diamondbacks The first five innings prediction aligns with the moneyline. The Diamondbacks' starting pitcher is expected to perform better in the early i...
2 sources cited
|
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
52%
over |
51%
Arizona Diamondbacks |
55%
Arizona Diamondbacks |
53%
Arizona Diamondbacks |
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
52%
over The projected total seems fair, but a combination of a moderate offshore wind at Fenway Park and the potential for early scoring against the...
2 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
51%
Arizona Diamondbacks Given the Diamondbacks are slightly favored in the moneyline, they are also given a slight edge on the spread. The Red Sox's strong recent f...
2 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Arizona Diamondbacks Despite the Red Sox's superior recent form, the Diamondbacks have a slight edge due to a more favorable starting pitcher matchup. Merrill Ke...
2 sources cited
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
53%
Arizona Diamondbacks The first five innings prediction aligns with the moneyline. The Diamondbacks' starting pitcher is expected to perform better in the early i...
2 sources cited
|
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
52%
Over 9.5 |
55%
Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5 |
45%
Arizona Diamondbacks |
48%
Arizona Diamondbacks |
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
52%
Over 9.5 Fenway Park is hitter-friendly, and both teams have shown offensive capability in recent games. With no knowledge of the starting pitchers o...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5 Even if the Red Sox win outright, the Diamondbacks are likely to keep the game close. With the spread at +1.5, Arizona has value as underdog...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
45%
Arizona Diamondbacks Based on training data through 2025-09, the Red Sox have strong home form and a potent lineup, but the Diamondbacks have shown resilience. T...
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
48%
Arizona Diamondbacks The first five innings often favor the visiting team if the home starter is less sharp. Without current pitching details, I rely on general... |
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|
DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
52%
Over 9.5 |
55%
Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5 |
45%
Arizona Diamondbacks |
48%
Arizona Diamondbacks |
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
52%
Over 9.5 Fenway Park is hitter-friendly, and both teams have shown offensive capability in recent games. With no knowledge of the starting pitchers o...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5 Even if the Red Sox win outright, the Diamondbacks are likely to keep the game close. With the spread at +1.5, Arizona has value as underdog...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
45%
Arizona Diamondbacks Based on training data through 2025-09, the Red Sox have strong home form and a potent lineup, but the Diamondbacks have shown resilience. T...
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
48%
Arizona Diamondbacks The first five innings often favor the visiting team if the home starter is less sharp. Without current pitching details, I rely on general... |
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Over / Under
Consensusover 6/14
Claude Haiku 4.5
62%
Over 8.5
Boston's offense has averaged 6.8 runs per game over the last 5 matches while Arizona's defense has been leaky (4.0 runs conceded per game)....
Claude Haiku 4.5
62%
Over 8.5
Boston's offense has averaged 6.8 runs per game over the last 5 matches while Arizona's defense has been leaky (4.0 runs conceded per game)....
GPT-5 Mini
55%
under
The presence of Ranger Suárez on the hill and the expectation of a relatively cool-to-mild evening at Fenway favor a slightly lower run tota...
GPT-5 Mini
55%
under
The presence of Ranger Suárez on the hill and the expectation of a relatively cool-to-mild evening at Fenway favor a slightly lower run tota...
GPT-4o Mini
60%
over
Both teams have been scoring runs at a moderate rate, with the Red Sox averaging 4.2 runs per game and the Diamondbacks averaging 4.3 runs p...
GPT-4o Mini
60%
over
Both teams have been scoring runs at a moderate rate, with the Red Sox averaging 4.2 runs per game and the Diamondbacks averaging 4.3 runs p...
Grok 4 Fast
53%
over
Red Sox offense averaging 6.8 runs per game in recent form while Arizona allows 4.0. Warm August conditions at Fenway typically boost totals...
Grok 4 Fast
53%
over
Red Sox offense averaging 6.8 runs per game in recent form while Arizona allows 4.0. Warm August conditions at Fenway typically boost totals...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
53%
Over 9.5
Fenway Park is historically a hitter-friendly stadium, often leading to higher scoring games. Boston's recent offensive output of 34 runs in...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
53%
Over 9.5
Fenway Park is historically a hitter-friendly stadium, often leading to higher scoring games. Boston's recent offensive output of 34 runs in...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
52%
over
The projected total seems fair, but a combination of a moderate offshore wind at Fenway Park and the potential for early scoring against the...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
52%
over
The projected total seems fair, but a combination of a moderate offshore wind at Fenway Park and the potential for early scoring against the...
DeepSeek V3
52%
Over 9.5
Fenway Park is hitter-friendly, and both teams have shown offensive capability in recent games. With no knowledge of the starting pitchers o...
DeepSeek V3
52%
Over 9.5
Fenway Park is hitter-friendly, and both teams have shown offensive capability in recent games. With no knowledge of the starting pitchers o...
Spread
ConsensusBoston Red Sox -1.5 6/14
Claude Haiku 4.5
59%
Boston Red Sox -1.5
Boston's dominant recent form and home-field advantage position them to win by 1–2 runs in a typical matchup. Arizona's weak last-5 record (...
Claude Haiku 4.5
59%
Boston Red Sox -1.5
Boston's dominant recent form and home-field advantage position them to win by 1–2 runs in a typical matchup. Arizona's weak last-5 record (...
GPT-5 Mini
58%
Boston Red Sox -1.5
Given the starting-pitcher edge to Boston (experienced Suárez) and Boston's stronger recent offense vs lefties, a Boston cover on the -1.5 r...
GPT-5 Mini
58%
Boston Red Sox -1.5
Given the starting-pitcher edge to Boston (experienced Suárez) and Boston's stronger recent offense vs lefties, a Boston cover on the -1.5 r...
GPT-4o Mini
55%
Boston Red Sox
Considering the Red Sox's strong home performance and the Diamondbacks' struggles on the road, the Red Sox are likely to cover the -1 spread...
GPT-4o Mini
55%
Boston Red Sox
Considering the Red Sox's strong home performance and the Diamondbacks' struggles on the road, the Red Sox are likely to cover the -1 spread...
Grok 4 Fast
58%
Boston Red Sox
Boston's dominant recent form and home venue edge support a spread win. Arizona's poor road results limit their ability to cover. Training d...
Grok 4 Fast
58%
Boston Red Sox
Boston's dominant recent form and home venue edge support a spread win. Arizona's poor road results limit their ability to cover. Training d...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
53%
Boston Red Sox -1.5
Given Boston's strong current form (5-0 record) and significant run production, they are well-positioned to win by more than one run at home...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
53%
Boston Red Sox -1.5
Given Boston's strong current form (5-0 record) and significant run production, they are well-positioned to win by more than one run at home...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
51%
Arizona Diamondbacks
Given the Diamondbacks are slightly favored in the moneyline, they are also given a slight edge on the spread. The Red Sox's strong recent f...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
51%
Arizona Diamondbacks
Given the Diamondbacks are slightly favored in the moneyline, they are also given a slight edge on the spread. The Red Sox's strong recent f...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5
Even if the Red Sox win outright, the Diamondbacks are likely to keep the game close. With the spread at +1.5, Arizona has value as underdog...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5
Even if the Red Sox win outright, the Diamondbacks are likely to keep the game close. With the spread at +1.5, Arizona has value as underdog...
Match winner
ConsensusBoston Red Sox 10/14
Claude Haiku 4.5
68%
Boston Red Sox
Boston's recent form is exceptional (5W in last 5, +24 run differential) while Arizona has stumbled (2W-3L, -1 run differential). Home-field...
Claude Haiku 4.5
68%
Boston Red Sox
Boston's recent form is exceptional (5W in last 5, +24 run differential) while Arizona has stumbled (2W-3L, -1 run differential). Home-field...
GPT-5 Mini
66%
Boston Red Sox
Boston is playing at Fenway with a hotter short-term form line and a proven lefty in Ranger Suárez expected to start, while Arizona looks li...
GPT-5 Mini
66%
Boston Red Sox
Boston is playing at Fenway with a hotter short-term form line and a proven lefty in Ranger Suárez expected to start, while Arizona looks li...
GPT-4o Mini
55%
Boston Red Sox
The Boston Red Sox have been on a strong winning streak, winning their last 11 games, while the Arizona Diamondbacks have lost their last ga...
GPT-4o Mini
55%
Boston Red Sox
The Boston Red Sox have been on a strong winning streak, winning their last 11 games, while the Arizona Diamondbacks have lost their last ga...
Grok 4 Fast
62%
Boston Red Sox
Boston enters on a five-game win streak while Arizona has lost three of five. Fenway Park and home rest advantage favor the Red Sox in this...
Grok 4 Fast
62%
Boston Red Sox
Boston enters on a five-game win streak while Arizona has lost three of five. Fenway Park and home rest advantage favor the Red Sox in this...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
58%
Boston Red Sox
Based on general team characteristics from training data up to my last update, the Boston Red Sox typically have a strong home advantage at...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
58%
Boston Red Sox
Based on general team characteristics from training data up to my last update, the Boston Red Sox typically have a strong home advantage at...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
Arizona Diamondbacks
Despite the Red Sox's superior recent form, the Diamondbacks have a slight edge due to a more favorable starting pitcher matchup. Merrill Ke...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
Arizona Diamondbacks
Despite the Red Sox's superior recent form, the Diamondbacks have a slight edge due to a more favorable starting pitcher matchup. Merrill Ke...
DeepSeek V3
45%
Arizona Diamondbacks
Based on training data through 2025-09, the Red Sox have strong home form and a potent lineup, but the Diamondbacks have shown resilience. T...
DeepSeek V3
45%
Arizona Diamondbacks
Based on training data through 2025-09, the Red Sox have strong home form and a potent lineup, but the Diamondbacks have shown resilience. T...
First 5 innings
ConsensusBoston Red Sox 10/14
Claude Haiku 4.5
64%
Boston Red Sox
Boston's early-game offensive production is reflected in their 5-game win streak and high run-scoring rate. The first five innings typically...
Claude Haiku 4.5
64%
Boston Red Sox
Boston's early-game offensive production is reflected in their 5-game win streak and high run-scoring rate. The first five innings typically...
GPT-5 Mini
62%
Boston Red Sox
First-five innings favor Boston: Ranger Suárez is likely to go at least five effective innings, while Mitch Bratt's limited MLB experience a...
GPT-5 Mini
62%
Boston Red Sox
First-five innings favor Boston: Ranger Suárez is likely to go at least five effective innings, while Mitch Bratt's limited MLB experience a...
GPT-4o Mini
55%
Boston Red Sox
The Red Sox's recent strong performances, especially at home, suggest they will have the upper hand in the first five innings of this game.
GPT-4o Mini
55%
Boston Red Sox
The Red Sox's recent strong performances, especially at home, suggest they will have the upper hand in the first five innings of this game.
Grok 4 Fast
55%
Boston Red Sox
Early-game advantage leans to Boston given stronger recent offense and home start. Limited rest disparity favors the fresher home side early...
Grok 4 Fast
55%
Boston Red Sox
Early-game advantage leans to Boston given stronger recent offense and home start. Limited rest disparity favors the fresher home side early...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
53%
Boston Red Sox
The Red Sox's strong offensive output and the inherent home-field advantage at Fenway Park should allow them to establish an early lead. Wit...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
53%
Boston Red Sox
The Red Sox's strong offensive output and the inherent home-field advantage at Fenway Park should allow them to establish an early lead. Wit...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
53%
Arizona Diamondbacks
The first five innings prediction aligns with the moneyline. The Diamondbacks' starting pitcher is expected to perform better in the early i...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
53%
Arizona Diamondbacks
The first five innings prediction aligns with the moneyline. The Diamondbacks' starting pitcher is expected to perform better in the early i...
DeepSeek V3
48%
Arizona Diamondbacks
The first five innings often favor the visiting team if the home starter is less sharp. Without current pitching details, I rely on general...
DeepSeek V3
48%
Arizona Diamondbacks
The first five innings often favor the visiting team if the home starter is less sharp. Without current pitching details, I rely on general...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Claude Haiku 4.5
Boston Red Sox
Claude Haiku 4.5
Boston Red Sox
GPT-5 Mini
Boston Red Sox
GPT-5 Mini
Boston Red Sox
Grok 4 Fast
Boston Red Sox
Grok 4 Fast
Boston Red Sox
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Boston Red Sox
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Boston Red Sox
GPT-4o Mini
Boston Red Sox
GPT-4o Mini
Boston Red Sox
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Arizona Diamondbacks
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Arizona Diamondbacks
DeepSeek V3
Arizona Diamondbacks
DeepSeek V3
Arizona Diamondbacks
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
0e644a67bfa54069…
- Kickoff
- Tue, Aug 18 · 01:10 GMT+0200
- Markets
- Match winner · Over / Under · Spread · First 5 innings
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 4. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 4, in this order): h2h | totals | spreads | first_five_innings
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 24728,
"sport": "baseball",
"venue": "Fenway Park",
"league": "MLB",
"starts_at": "2026-08-17T23:10:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Mon, 17 Aug 2026 23:10:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Arizona Diamondbacks",
"home": "Boston Red Sox"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"The starting-pitcher matchup is the single biggest factor — compare each starter's recent form, not just season ERA.",
"Bullpen rest and usage over the last few days drives late-game and total outcomes.",
"Ballpark factors matter: dimensions, altitude (e.g. Coors), and especially wind direction (out = more runs, in = fewer).",
"Lineup handedness vs the opposing starter (L/R platoon splits) shifts the run expectation.",
"Weather (wind, temperature, humidity) measurably affects carry and totals."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "LLWLW",
"record": "2W-0D-3L",
"scored": 19,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 20
},
"home_form": {
"last": "WWWWW",
"record": "5W-0D-0L",
"scored": 34,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 10
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 39,
"home": 26
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"totals",
"spreads",
"first_five_innings"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Research trail
What each AI looked up before picking
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
8 tool calls · 4 sources
4 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 2 sources
2 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
104 tool calls · 6 sources
6 citations captured — unlock with Pro
Results settle automatically once the final score lands. Picks are permanent — no hindsight edits.
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
Get the AI consensus before kickoff
Free. Pre-match alert per AI + see your picks graded as results land.