BenficavsCeltic
Your call
Who wins? One tap, no signup.
AI predictions
8 markets · 2 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
32 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
Benfica 2/2 models |
over 1/2 models |
yes 1/2 models |
Benfica 1/2 models |
Benfica / Benfica 2/2 models |
2-1 2/2 models |
Benfica 2/2 models |
Benfica -0.5 1/2 models |
|
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market. |
|||||||||
|
Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market. |
|||||||||
|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market. |
|||||||||
|
GPT-4o Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market. |
|||||||||
|
GPT-4o Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market. |
|||||||||
|
o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
68%
Benfica |
52%
over |
53%
yes |
51%
Benfica |
38%
Benfica / Benfica |
18%
2-1 |
55%
Benfica |
55%
Benfica -0.5 |
|
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
68%
Benfica Home side's recent results and venue edge make a Benfica win the most likely outcome. Celtic's leaky defense on the road increases the chanc...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
52%
over Benfica's attacking home form (10 goals in 5) suggests an open game despite Celtic's recent struggles. Europa League matches between these s...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
53%
yes Celtic concede heavily away while Benfica score regularly at home, pointing to both teams finding the net. Historical Europa encounters betw...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
51%
Benfica Benfica's home dominance supports a handicap cover on -1 given Celtic's away form collapse. The match is likely to be decided by set-piece o...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
38%
Benfica / Benfica Benfica likely to lead at half and close out given home strength and Celtic's poor away starts. Early goals from set pieces or open play fav...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
2-1 Benfica's home scoring and Celtic's defensive issues point to a 2-1 or similar narrow home win. Low-scoring draws remain possible but less l...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Benfica Benfica's strong home form (WLWWW) and Estádio da Luz advantage outweigh Celtic's poor away record (WLLLL). European ties often favor the ho...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Benfica -0.5 Benfica favored at home with better recent results and attacking output. Celtic's four straight away losses make covering a small handicap u... |
|||||||||
|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
68%
Benfica |
52%
over |
53%
yes |
51%
Benfica |
38%
Benfica / Benfica |
18%
2-1 |
55%
Benfica |
55%
Benfica -0.5 |
|
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
68%
Benfica Home side's recent results and venue edge make a Benfica win the most likely outcome. Celtic's leaky defense on the road increases the chanc...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
52%
over Benfica's attacking home form (10 goals in 5) suggests an open game despite Celtic's recent struggles. Europa League matches between these s...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
53%
yes Celtic concede heavily away while Benfica score regularly at home, pointing to both teams finding the net. Historical Europa encounters betw...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
51%
Benfica Benfica's home dominance supports a handicap cover on -1 given Celtic's away form collapse. The match is likely to be decided by set-piece o...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
38%
Benfica / Benfica Benfica likely to lead at half and close out given home strength and Celtic's poor away starts. Early goals from set pieces or open play fav...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
2-1 Benfica's home scoring and Celtic's defensive issues point to a 2-1 or similar narrow home win. Low-scoring draws remain possible but less l...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Benfica Benfica's strong home form (WLWWW) and Estádio da Luz advantage outweigh Celtic's poor away record (WLLLL). European ties often favor the ho...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Benfica -0.5 Benfica favored at home with better recent results and attacking output. Celtic's four straight away losses make covering a small handicap u... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
||||||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market. |
|||||||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market. |
|||||||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market. |
|||||||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market. |
|||||||||
DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
78%
Benfica |
56%
Over 2.5 |
55%
Yes |
52%
Benfica -1 |
38%
Benfica / Benfica |
11%
2-1 |
64%
Benfica |
55%
Benfica -0.75 |
|
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
78%
Benfica Removing the draw from the h2h band gives Benfica roughly a 0.64/(0.64+0.15) ≈ 0.81 share, shaved slightly to 0.78 to reflect the possibilit...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
56%
Over 2.5 Benfica have scored 10 in five (2.0 per game) while Celtic have conceded 10 in five, so the home side alone projects near the line. Celtic's...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
Yes Benfica have conceded in four of their last five, including home games, so a clean sheet is not guaranteed. Celtic have scored 4 across a ro...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
52%
Benfica -1 Benfica's 2.0 goals-per-game average makes a two-goal margin a realistic but not safe outcome. Celtic's own scoring rate means a consolation...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
38%
Benfica / Benfica Benfica are strong front-runners at the Luz, so leading at both intervals is the single most likely HT/FT combination. The draw-to-Benfica p...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
11%
2-1 Score distribution is anchored on a Benfica win with the visitor scoring, so 2-1 and 2-0 top the board. Celtic's transition threat and Benfi...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
64%
Benfica No live access for this 2026-10-15 fixture, so this comes from club-strength knowledge through 2025 and the supplied settled-results snapsho...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Benfica -0.75 A quarter-ball line of -0.75 splits the difference between the win-only edge and the -1 handicap. Benfica win outright roughly 64 percent of... |
|||||||||
|
DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
78%
Benfica |
56%
Over 2.5 |
55%
Yes |
52%
Benfica -1 |
38%
Benfica / Benfica |
11%
2-1 |
64%
Benfica |
55%
Benfica -0.75 |
|
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
78%
Benfica Removing the draw from the h2h band gives Benfica roughly a 0.64/(0.64+0.15) ≈ 0.81 share, shaved slightly to 0.78 to reflect the possibilit...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
56%
Over 2.5 Benfica have scored 10 in five (2.0 per game) while Celtic have conceded 10 in five, so the home side alone projects near the line. Celtic's...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
Yes Benfica have conceded in four of their last five, including home games, so a clean sheet is not guaranteed. Celtic have scored 4 across a ro...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
52%
Benfica -1 Benfica's 2.0 goals-per-game average makes a two-goal margin a realistic but not safe outcome. Celtic's own scoring rate means a consolation...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
38%
Benfica / Benfica Benfica are strong front-runners at the Luz, so leading at both intervals is the single most likely HT/FT combination. The draw-to-Benfica p...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
11%
2-1 Score distribution is anchored on a Benfica win with the visitor scoring, so 2-1 and 2-0 top the board. Celtic's transition threat and Benfi...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
64%
Benfica No live access for this 2026-10-15 fixture, so this comes from club-strength knowledge through 2025 and the supplied settled-results snapsho...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Benfica -0.75 A quarter-ball line of -0.75 splits the difference between the win-only edge and the -1 handicap. Benfica win outright roughly 64 percent of... |
|||||||||
Draw no bet
ConsensusBenfica 2/2
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
68%
Benfica
Home side's recent results and venue edge make a Benfica win the most likely outcome. Celtic's leaky defense on the road increases the chanc...
Grok 4 Fast
68%
Benfica
Home side's recent results and venue edge make a Benfica win the most likely outcome. Celtic's leaky defense on the road increases the chanc...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
DeepSeek V3
78%
Benfica
Removing the draw from the h2h band gives Benfica roughly a 0.64/(0.64+0.15) ≈ 0.81 share, shaved slightly to 0.78 to reflect the possibilit...
DeepSeek V3
78%
Benfica
Removing the draw from the h2h band gives Benfica roughly a 0.64/(0.64+0.15) ≈ 0.81 share, shaved slightly to 0.78 to reflect the possibilit...
Over / Under
Consensusover 1/2
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
52%
over
Benfica's attacking home form (10 goals in 5) suggests an open game despite Celtic's recent struggles. Europa League matches between these s...
Grok 4 Fast
52%
over
Benfica's attacking home form (10 goals in 5) suggests an open game despite Celtic's recent struggles. Europa League matches between these s...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
DeepSeek V3
56%
Over 2.5
Benfica have scored 10 in five (2.0 per game) while Celtic have conceded 10 in five, so the home side alone projects near the line. Celtic's...
DeepSeek V3
56%
Over 2.5
Benfica have scored 10 in five (2.0 per game) while Celtic have conceded 10 in five, so the home side alone projects near the line. Celtic's...
Both teams to score
Consensusyes 1/2
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
53%
yes
Celtic concede heavily away while Benfica score regularly at home, pointing to both teams finding the net. Historical Europa encounters betw...
Grok 4 Fast
53%
yes
Celtic concede heavily away while Benfica score regularly at home, pointing to both teams finding the net. Historical Europa encounters betw...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
DeepSeek V3
55%
Yes
Benfica have conceded in four of their last five, including home games, so a clean sheet is not guaranteed. Celtic have scored 4 across a ro...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Yes
Benfica have conceded in four of their last five, including home games, so a clean sheet is not guaranteed. Celtic have scored 4 across a ro...
Spread
ConsensusBenfica 1/2
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
51%
Benfica
Benfica's home dominance supports a handicap cover on -1 given Celtic's away form collapse. The match is likely to be decided by set-piece o...
Grok 4 Fast
51%
Benfica
Benfica's home dominance supports a handicap cover on -1 given Celtic's away form collapse. The match is likely to be decided by set-piece o...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
DeepSeek V3
52%
Benfica -1
Benfica's 2.0 goals-per-game average makes a two-goal margin a realistic but not safe outcome. Celtic's own scoring rate means a consolation...
DeepSeek V3
52%
Benfica -1
Benfica's 2.0 goals-per-game average makes a two-goal margin a realistic but not safe outcome. Celtic's own scoring rate means a consolation...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusBenfica / Benfica 2/2
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
38%
Benfica / Benfica
Benfica likely to lead at half and close out given home strength and Celtic's poor away starts. Early goals from set pieces or open play fav...
Grok 4 Fast
38%
Benfica / Benfica
Benfica likely to lead at half and close out given home strength and Celtic's poor away starts. Early goals from set pieces or open play fav...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
DeepSeek V3
38%
Benfica / Benfica
Benfica are strong front-runners at the Luz, so leading at both intervals is the single most likely HT/FT combination. The draw-to-Benfica p...
DeepSeek V3
38%
Benfica / Benfica
Benfica are strong front-runners at the Luz, so leading at both intervals is the single most likely HT/FT combination. The draw-to-Benfica p...
Correct score
Consensus2-1 2/2
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
18%
2-1
Benfica's home scoring and Celtic's defensive issues point to a 2-1 or similar narrow home win. Low-scoring draws remain possible but less l...
Grok 4 Fast
18%
2-1
Benfica's home scoring and Celtic's defensive issues point to a 2-1 or similar narrow home win. Low-scoring draws remain possible but less l...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
DeepSeek V3
11%
2-1
Score distribution is anchored on a Benfica win with the visitor scoring, so 2-1 and 2-0 top the board. Celtic's transition threat and Benfi...
DeepSeek V3
11%
2-1
Score distribution is anchored on a Benfica win with the visitor scoring, so 2-1 and 2-0 top the board. Celtic's transition threat and Benfi...
Match winner
ConsensusBenfica 2/2
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
55%
Benfica
Benfica's strong home form (WLWWW) and Estádio da Luz advantage outweigh Celtic's poor away record (WLLLL). European ties often favor the ho...
Grok 4 Fast
55%
Benfica
Benfica's strong home form (WLWWW) and Estádio da Luz advantage outweigh Celtic's poor away record (WLLLL). European ties often favor the ho...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
DeepSeek V3
64%
Benfica
No live access for this 2026-10-15 fixture, so this comes from club-strength knowledge through 2025 and the supplied settled-results snapsho...
DeepSeek V3
64%
Benfica
No live access for this 2026-10-15 fixture, so this comes from club-strength knowledge through 2025 and the supplied settled-results snapsho...
Asian handicap
ConsensusBenfica -0.5 1/2
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
55%
Benfica -0.5
Benfica favored at home with better recent results and attacking output. Celtic's four straight away losses make covering a small handicap u...
Grok 4 Fast
55%
Benfica -0.5
Benfica favored at home with better recent results and attacking output. Celtic's four straight away losses make covering a small handicap u...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
DeepSeek V3
55%
Benfica -0.75
A quarter-ball line of -0.75 splits the difference between the win-only edge and the -1 handicap. Benfica win outright roughly 64 percent of...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Benfica -0.75
A quarter-ball line of -0.75 splits the difference between the win-only edge and the -1 handicap. Benfica win outright roughly 64 percent of...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
DeepSeek V3
Benfica
DeepSeek V3
Benfica
Grok 4 Fast
Benfica
Grok 4 Fast
Benfica
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Refresh the read
Team newsRe-run the AIs closer to kickoff and watch the read evolve. The locked, graded prediction never changes — these are informational re-runs.
Lineups change everything — Pro re-runs the AIs after they drop.
Confirmed XIs, late injuries and line moves land in the final hour. Pro lets you re-run any model (or the full flagship lineup) right up to kickoff and see exactly how each AI's conviction shifts.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
Call the exact final score
Free account. Pick the exact final score, lock it before kickoff, beat the AI consensus across the WC and win a lifetime free plan.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
62ce4b990adde474…
- Kickoff
- Thu, Oct 15 · 19:00 GMT+0200
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 59075,
"sport": "football",
"venue": "Estádio da Luz",
"league": "UEFA Europa League",
"starts_at": "2026-10-15T19:00:00+02:00",
"starts_at_human": "Thu, 15 Oct 2026 17:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Celtic",
"home": "Benfica"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "WLLLL",
"record": "1W-0D-4L",
"scored": 4,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 10
},
"home_form": {
"last": "WLWWW",
"record": "4W-0D-1L",
"scored": 10,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 4
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 4,
"home": 4
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Results settle automatically once the final score lands. Picks are permanent — no hindsight edits.
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
Get the AI consensus before kickoff
Free. Pre-match alert per AI + see your picks graded as results land.