BenficavsAarhus
Benfica 3–1 Aarhus
8 of 10 AIs leaned Benfica — and reality agreed.
- AI lean
- Benfica 8/10
- Correct calls
- 8/10
- Final
- 3–1
Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.
AI predictions
8 markets · 5 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
32 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
yes 6/10 models |
3-0 6/10 models |
Benfica 8/10 models |
Benfica 8/10 models |
Benfica / Benfica 8/10 models |
Benfica -1.5 6/10 models |
over 8/10 models |
Benfica 8/10 models |
|
|
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||||
|
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||||
|
Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||||
|
Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||||
|
Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||||
|
Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||||
|
Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||||
|
Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||||
|
Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market. |
|||||||||
|
Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market. |
|||||||||
|
GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||||
|
GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||||
|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market. |
|||||||||
|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market. |
|||||||||
|
GPT-4o Mini Openai |
65%
yes
W
|
60%
3-0
L
|
85%
Benfica
W
|
85%
Benfica
W
|
70%
Benfica / Benfica |
75%
Benfica |
75%
over
W
|
75%
Benfica
W
|
|
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
65%
yes While Benfica's strong attack suggests they will score multiple goals, Aarhus has shown resilience on the road, potentially contributing to...
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
60%
3-0 Benfica's strong home form and superior head-to-head record suggest a comfortable win, with 3-0 being the most likely scoreline. ([uefa.com]...
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
85%
Benfica Given Benfica's strong home form and superior head-to-head record, they are favored to win, making the draw no bet market lean towards the h...
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
85%
Benfica Benfica has a strong home advantage and a superior head-to-head record against Aarhus, winning 3 out of 4 encounters. ([uefa.com](https://ww...
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
70%
Benfica / Benfica Benfica's strong home form and superior head-to-head record suggest they are likely to lead at both halftime and fulltime. ([uefa.com](https...
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
75%
Benfica Benfica's strong home form and superior head-to-head record suggest they are likely to win by at least one goal. ([uefa.com](https://www.uef...
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
75%
over Benfica's recent home matches have seen high-scoring games, averaging over 4 goals per match, indicating a strong likelihood of over 2.5 goa...
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
75%
Benfica Benfica's strong home form and superior head-to-head record suggest they are likely to win by at least one goal. ([uefa.com](https://www.uef...
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
|
|||||||||
|
GPT-4o Mini Openai |
65%
yes
W
|
60%
3-0
L
|
85%
Benfica
W
|
85%
Benfica
W
|
70%
Benfica / Benfica |
75%
Benfica |
75%
over
W
|
75%
Benfica
W
|
|
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
65%
yes While Benfica's strong attack suggests they will score multiple goals, Aarhus has shown resilience on the road, potentially contributing to...
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
60%
3-0 Benfica's strong home form and superior head-to-head record suggest a comfortable win, with 3-0 being the most likely scoreline. ([uefa.com]...
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
85%
Benfica Given Benfica's strong home form and superior head-to-head record, they are favored to win, making the draw no bet market lean towards the h...
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
85%
Benfica Benfica has a strong home advantage and a superior head-to-head record against Aarhus, winning 3 out of 4 encounters. ([uefa.com](https://ww...
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
70%
Benfica / Benfica Benfica's strong home form and superior head-to-head record suggest they are likely to lead at both halftime and fulltime. ([uefa.com](https...
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
75%
Benfica Benfica's strong home form and superior head-to-head record suggest they are likely to win by at least one goal. ([uefa.com](https://www.uef...
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
75%
over Benfica's recent home matches have seen high-scoring games, averaging over 4 goals per match, indicating a strong likelihood of over 2.5 goa...
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
75%
Benfica Benfica's strong home form and superior head-to-head record suggest they are likely to win by at least one goal. ([uefa.com](https://www.uef...
🔍 researched
5 sources cited
|
|||||||||
|
o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||||
|
o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||||
|
Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||||
|
Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||||
|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
57%
no
L
|
22%
2-0
L
|
82%
Benfica
W
|
78%
Benfica
W
|
52%
Benfica / Benfica |
55%
Benfica -1.5
W
|
61%
over
W
|
69%
Benfica
W
|
|
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
57%
no Benfica concede just 4 goals in 5 home outings with multiple clean sheets. Aarhus scores but faces a defense that limits chances. Set-piece...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
22%
2-0 Benfica home scoring volume and clean-sheet tendency point to 2-0 or 3-0. Aarhus scores but rarely enough to match. Training knowledge throu...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
82%
Benfica Home side rests only 2 days but maintains strong attacking output. Aarhus has conceded 9 in last 5 and lacks European pedigree to upset at E...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
78%
Benfica Benfica's home form shows 3W-2D-0L with 21 goals scored and only 4 conceded. Aarhus recent form is mixed with more goals conceded than score...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
52%
Benfica / Benfica Benfica typically establish leads early at home and maintain control. Aarhus struggles on road against superior sides. Training data through...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Benfica -1.5 Benfica's home scoring rate supports covering -1.5. Aarhus away form allows 1.8 goals per game conceded on average. Fixture congestion for h...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
61%
over Benfica average over 4 goals per home game in recent form. Aarhus concedes frequently and pushes forward, increasing total goal expectation....
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
69%
Benfica Home side expected to win by multiple goals given attacking volume and Aarhus defensive record. Rest differential favors away but quality ga... |
|||||||||
|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
57%
no
L
|
22%
2-0
L
|
82%
Benfica
W
|
78%
Benfica
W
|
52%
Benfica / Benfica |
55%
Benfica -1.5
W
|
61%
over
W
|
69%
Benfica
W
|
|
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
57%
no Benfica concede just 4 goals in 5 home outings with multiple clean sheets. Aarhus scores but faces a defense that limits chances. Set-piece...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
22%
2-0 Benfica home scoring volume and clean-sheet tendency point to 2-0 or 3-0. Aarhus scores but rarely enough to match. Training knowledge throu...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
82%
Benfica Home side rests only 2 days but maintains strong attacking output. Aarhus has conceded 9 in last 5 and lacks European pedigree to upset at E...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
78%
Benfica Benfica's home form shows 3W-2D-0L with 21 goals scored and only 4 conceded. Aarhus recent form is mixed with more goals conceded than score...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
52%
Benfica / Benfica Benfica typically establish leads early at home and maintain control. Aarhus struggles on road against superior sides. Training data through...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Benfica -1.5 Benfica's home scoring rate supports covering -1.5. Aarhus away form allows 1.8 goals per game conceded on average. Fixture congestion for h...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
61%
over Benfica average over 4 goals per home game in recent form. Aarhus concedes frequently and pushes forward, increasing total goal expectation....
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
69%
Benfica Home side expected to win by multiple goals given attacking volume and Aarhus defensive record. Rest differential favors away but quality ga... |
|||||||||
|
Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||||
|
Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
60%
No
L
|
18%
3-0
L
|
85%
Benfica win
L
|
75%
Benfica win
L
|
65%
Benfica / Benfica |
65%
Benfica -1.5
W
|
70%
Over 2.5
W
|
60%
Benfica -1
W
|
|
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
No Benfica's defense has been very strong, conceding only 4 goals in their last 5 matches (an average of 0.8 goals per game). Against a team li...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
3-0 Considering Benfica's average of 4.2 goals scored per game and strong defensive record (0.8 goals conceded per game), a 3-0 victory is a hig...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
85%
Benfica win With Benfica's superior form and strong offensive and defensive statistics (21 goals scored, 4 conceded in last 5), they are highly expected...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
75%
Benfica win Benfica enters this match with dominant form, winning 3 and drawing 2 of their last 5, scoring an impressive 21 goals. Aarhus, by contrast,...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
65%
Benfica / Benfica Benfica's dominant form and home advantage make them strong contenders to lead both at halftime and fulltime. They are accustomed to control...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
65%
Benfica -1.5 Following the rationale for spreads -1, Benfica's strong offensive output and defensive stability suggest they can secure a victory by at le...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
70%
Over 2.5 Benfica's recent form shows a high-scoring trend, with 21 goals in their last 5 matches (an average of 4.2 goals per game). Even against Aar...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
60%
Benfica -1 Given Benfica's impressive goal-scoring ability (4.2 goals per game) and solid defense, they are highly likely to win by more than one goal... |
|||||||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
60%
No
L
|
18%
3-0
L
|
85%
Benfica win
L
|
75%
Benfica win
L
|
65%
Benfica / Benfica |
65%
Benfica -1.5
W
|
70%
Over 2.5
W
|
60%
Benfica -1
W
|
|
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
No Benfica's defense has been very strong, conceding only 4 goals in their last 5 matches (an average of 0.8 goals per game). Against a team li...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
3-0 Considering Benfica's average of 4.2 goals scored per game and strong defensive record (0.8 goals conceded per game), a 3-0 victory is a hig...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
85%
Benfica win With Benfica's superior form and strong offensive and defensive statistics (21 goals scored, 4 conceded in last 5), they are highly expected...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
75%
Benfica win Benfica enters this match with dominant form, winning 3 and drawing 2 of their last 5, scoring an impressive 21 goals. Aarhus, by contrast,...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
65%
Benfica / Benfica Benfica's dominant form and home advantage make them strong contenders to lead both at halftime and fulltime. They are accustomed to control...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
65%
Benfica -1.5 Following the rationale for spreads -1, Benfica's strong offensive output and defensive stability suggest they can secure a victory by at le...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
70%
Over 2.5 Benfica's recent form shows a high-scoring trend, with 21 goals in their last 5 matches (an average of 4.2 goals per game). Even against Aar...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
60%
Benfica -1 Given Benfica's impressive goal-scoring ability (4.2 goals per game) and solid defense, they are highly likely to win by more than one goal... |
|||||||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
60%
yes
W
|
15%
3-1
W
|
80%
Benfica
W
|
75%
Benfica
W
|
60%
Benfica / Benfica |
55%
home_ -1.5 |
65%
over
W
|
60%
Benfica
W
|
|
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
yes Benfica's potent attack at home is a significant factor, but their defense has also conceded 4 goals in their last 5 home games. Aarhus, des...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
3-1 Considering Benfica's high scoring potential at home and Aarhus's ability to concede while also occasionally scoring, a 3-1 victory for Benf...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
80%
Benfica Given Benfica's dominant home record and Aarhus's struggles, Benfica is highly likely to win. Even in the event of a draw, Benfica is still...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
75%
Benfica Benfica's home form is significantly stronger than Aarhus's recent form, with Benfica unbeaten in their last five home games and scoring hea...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
60%
Benfica / Benfica Benfica's strong performance at home and tendency to start matches assertively suggests they will lead at halftime and maintain that advanta...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
home_ -1.5 Considering Benfica's significant goal-scoring prowess at home and Aarhus's recent defensive frailties, Benfica is expected to win by at lea...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
65%
over Benfica's exceptional home scoring record (21 goals in 5 games) suggests a high-scoring potential. While Aarhus's defense has been porous, t...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
60%
Benfica Benfica's strong home form and offensive capability suggest they can overcome a one-goal deficit. Their average goals scored at home is high... |
|||||||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
60%
yes
W
|
15%
3-1
W
|
80%
Benfica
W
|
75%
Benfica
W
|
60%
Benfica / Benfica |
55%
home_ -1.5 |
65%
over
W
|
60%
Benfica
W
|
|
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
yes Benfica's potent attack at home is a significant factor, but their defense has also conceded 4 goals in their last 5 home games. Aarhus, des...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
3-1 Considering Benfica's high scoring potential at home and Aarhus's ability to concede while also occasionally scoring, a 3-1 victory for Benf...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
80%
Benfica Given Benfica's dominant home record and Aarhus's struggles, Benfica is highly likely to win. Even in the event of a draw, Benfica is still...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
75%
Benfica Benfica's home form is significantly stronger than Aarhus's recent form, with Benfica unbeaten in their last five home games and scoring hea...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
60%
Benfica / Benfica Benfica's strong performance at home and tendency to start matches assertively suggests they will lead at halftime and maintain that advanta...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
home_ -1.5 Considering Benfica's significant goal-scoring prowess at home and Aarhus's recent defensive frailties, Benfica is expected to win by at lea...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
65%
over Benfica's exceptional home scoring record (21 goals in 5 games) suggests a high-scoring potential. While Aarhus's defense has been porous, t...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
60%
Benfica Benfica's strong home form and offensive capability suggest they can overcome a one-goal deficit. Their average goals scored at home is high... |
|||||||||
|
DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
55%
yes
W
|
25%
3-0
L
|
90%
Benfica
W
|
85%
Benfica
W
|
70%
home_home |
60%
Benfica -1.5
W
|
70%
over
W
|
65%
Benfica
W
|
|
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
yes Aarhus have scored in most of their recent matches, and Benfica's attacking style may leave space. However, Benfica's defense is strong, so...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
25%
3-0 Benfica's potent attack and solid defense suggest a clean sheet and multiple goals. A 3-0 scoreline is a common outcome for a strong home fa...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
90%
Benfica Benfica's quality and home form make them clear favorites, and even with the draw removed they should win comfortably. Aarhus's travel and i...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
85%
Benfica Benfica are in outstanding form with 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5, scoring 21 goals and conceding only 4. Aarhus have been inconsisten...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
70%
home_home Benfica typically start strong and score early, especially at home. Against a weaker opponent, they are likely to lead at halftime and exten...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
60%
Benfica -1.5 Benfica's goal scoring form (4.2 per game) suggests they should win by at least two. Aarhus's defense is vulnerable, and even with rest adva...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
70%
over Benfica have scored 21 goals in 5 matches, averaging over 4 per game, and Aarhus have conceded 9, so goals are likely. While Aarhus averaged...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
65%
Benfica Benfica are expected to win by more than one goal given their firepower and Aarhus's defensive issues. Although rest is a concern, Benfica's... |
|||||||||
|
DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
55%
yes
W
|
25%
3-0
L
|
90%
Benfica
W
|
85%
Benfica
W
|
70%
home_home |
60%
Benfica -1.5
W
|
70%
over
W
|
65%
Benfica
W
|
|
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
yes Aarhus have scored in most of their recent matches, and Benfica's attacking style may leave space. However, Benfica's defense is strong, so...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
25%
3-0 Benfica's potent attack and solid defense suggest a clean sheet and multiple goals. A 3-0 scoreline is a common outcome for a strong home fa...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
90%
Benfica Benfica's quality and home form make them clear favorites, and even with the draw removed they should win comfortably. Aarhus's travel and i...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
85%
Benfica Benfica are in outstanding form with 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5, scoring 21 goals and conceding only 4. Aarhus have been inconsisten...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
70%
home_home Benfica typically start strong and score early, especially at home. Against a weaker opponent, they are likely to lead at halftime and exten...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
60%
Benfica -1.5 Benfica's goal scoring form (4.2 per game) suggests they should win by at least two. Aarhus's defense is vulnerable, and even with rest adva...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
70%
over Benfica have scored 21 goals in 5 matches, averaging over 4 per game, and Aarhus have conceded 9, so goals are likely. While Aarhus averaged...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
65%
Benfica Benfica are expected to win by more than one goal given their firepower and Aarhus's defensive issues. Although rest is a concern, Benfica's... |
|||||||||
Both teams to score
Consensusyes 6/10
While Benfica's strong attack suggests they will score multiple goals, Aarhus has shown resilience on the road, potentially contributing to...
While Benfica's strong attack suggests they will score multiple goals, Aarhus has shown resilience on the road, potentially contributing to...
Benfica concede just 4 goals in 5 home outings with multiple clean sheets. Aarhus scores but faces a defense that limits chances. Set-piece...
Benfica concede just 4 goals in 5 home outings with multiple clean sheets. Aarhus scores but faces a defense that limits chances. Set-piece...
Benfica's defense has been very strong, conceding only 4 goals in their last 5 matches (an average of 0.8 goals per game). Against a team li...
Benfica's defense has been very strong, conceding only 4 goals in their last 5 matches (an average of 0.8 goals per game). Against a team li...
Benfica's potent attack at home is a significant factor, but their defense has also conceded 4 goals in their last 5 home games. Aarhus, des...
Benfica's potent attack at home is a significant factor, but their defense has also conceded 4 goals in their last 5 home games. Aarhus, des...
Aarhus have scored in most of their recent matches, and Benfica's attacking style may leave space. However, Benfica's defense is strong, so...
Aarhus have scored in most of their recent matches, and Benfica's attacking style may leave space. However, Benfica's defense is strong, so...
Correct score
Consensus3-0 6/10
Benfica's strong home form and superior head-to-head record suggest a comfortable win, with 3-0 being the most likely scoreline. ([uefa.com]...
Benfica's strong home form and superior head-to-head record suggest a comfortable win, with 3-0 being the most likely scoreline. ([uefa.com]...
Benfica home scoring volume and clean-sheet tendency point to 2-0 or 3-0. Aarhus scores but rarely enough to match. Training knowledge throu...
Benfica home scoring volume and clean-sheet tendency point to 2-0 or 3-0. Aarhus scores but rarely enough to match. Training knowledge throu...
Considering Benfica's average of 4.2 goals scored per game and strong defensive record (0.8 goals conceded per game), a 3-0 victory is a hig...
Considering Benfica's average of 4.2 goals scored per game and strong defensive record (0.8 goals conceded per game), a 3-0 victory is a hig...
Considering Benfica's high scoring potential at home and Aarhus's ability to concede while also occasionally scoring, a 3-1 victory for Benf...
Considering Benfica's high scoring potential at home and Aarhus's ability to concede while also occasionally scoring, a 3-1 victory for Benf...
Benfica's potent attack and solid defense suggest a clean sheet and multiple goals. A 3-0 scoreline is a common outcome for a strong home fa...
Benfica's potent attack and solid defense suggest a clean sheet and multiple goals. A 3-0 scoreline is a common outcome for a strong home fa...
Draw no bet
ConsensusBenfica 8/10
Given Benfica's strong home form and superior head-to-head record, they are favored to win, making the draw no bet market lean towards the h...
Given Benfica's strong home form and superior head-to-head record, they are favored to win, making the draw no bet market lean towards the h...
Home side rests only 2 days but maintains strong attacking output. Aarhus has conceded 9 in last 5 and lacks European pedigree to upset at E...
Home side rests only 2 days but maintains strong attacking output. Aarhus has conceded 9 in last 5 and lacks European pedigree to upset at E...
With Benfica's superior form and strong offensive and defensive statistics (21 goals scored, 4 conceded in last 5), they are highly expected...
With Benfica's superior form and strong offensive and defensive statistics (21 goals scored, 4 conceded in last 5), they are highly expected...
Given Benfica's dominant home record and Aarhus's struggles, Benfica is highly likely to win. Even in the event of a draw, Benfica is still...
Given Benfica's dominant home record and Aarhus's struggles, Benfica is highly likely to win. Even in the event of a draw, Benfica is still...
Benfica's quality and home form make them clear favorites, and even with the draw removed they should win comfortably. Aarhus's travel and i...
Benfica's quality and home form make them clear favorites, and even with the draw removed they should win comfortably. Aarhus's travel and i...
Match winner
ConsensusBenfica 8/10
Benfica has a strong home advantage and a superior head-to-head record against Aarhus, winning 3 out of 4 encounters. ([uefa.com](https://ww...
Benfica has a strong home advantage and a superior head-to-head record against Aarhus, winning 3 out of 4 encounters. ([uefa.com](https://ww...
Benfica's home form shows 3W-2D-0L with 21 goals scored and only 4 conceded. Aarhus recent form is mixed with more goals conceded than score...
Benfica's home form shows 3W-2D-0L with 21 goals scored and only 4 conceded. Aarhus recent form is mixed with more goals conceded than score...
Benfica enters this match with dominant form, winning 3 and drawing 2 of their last 5, scoring an impressive 21 goals. Aarhus, by contrast,...
Benfica enters this match with dominant form, winning 3 and drawing 2 of their last 5, scoring an impressive 21 goals. Aarhus, by contrast,...
Benfica's home form is significantly stronger than Aarhus's recent form, with Benfica unbeaten in their last five home games and scoring hea...
Benfica's home form is significantly stronger than Aarhus's recent form, with Benfica unbeaten in their last five home games and scoring hea...
Benfica are in outstanding form with 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5, scoring 21 goals and conceding only 4. Aarhus have been inconsisten...
Benfica are in outstanding form with 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5, scoring 21 goals and conceding only 4. Aarhus have been inconsisten...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusBenfica / Benfica 8/10
Benfica's strong home form and superior head-to-head record suggest they are likely to lead at both halftime and fulltime. ([uefa.com](https...
Benfica's strong home form and superior head-to-head record suggest they are likely to lead at both halftime and fulltime. ([uefa.com](https...
Benfica typically establish leads early at home and maintain control. Aarhus struggles on road against superior sides. Training data through...
Benfica typically establish leads early at home and maintain control. Aarhus struggles on road against superior sides. Training data through...
Benfica's dominant form and home advantage make them strong contenders to lead both at halftime and fulltime. They are accustomed to control...
Benfica's dominant form and home advantage make them strong contenders to lead both at halftime and fulltime. They are accustomed to control...
Benfica's strong performance at home and tendency to start matches assertively suggests they will lead at halftime and maintain that advanta...
Benfica's strong performance at home and tendency to start matches assertively suggests they will lead at halftime and maintain that advanta...
Benfica typically start strong and score early, especially at home. Against a weaker opponent, they are likely to lead at halftime and exten...
Benfica typically start strong and score early, especially at home. Against a weaker opponent, they are likely to lead at halftime and exten...
Asian handicap
ConsensusBenfica -1.5 6/10
Benfica's strong home form and superior head-to-head record suggest they are likely to win by at least one goal. ([uefa.com](https://www.uef...
Benfica's strong home form and superior head-to-head record suggest they are likely to win by at least one goal. ([uefa.com](https://www.uef...
Benfica's home scoring rate supports covering -1.5. Aarhus away form allows 1.8 goals per game conceded on average. Fixture congestion for h...
Benfica's home scoring rate supports covering -1.5. Aarhus away form allows 1.8 goals per game conceded on average. Fixture congestion for h...
Following the rationale for spreads -1, Benfica's strong offensive output and defensive stability suggest they can secure a victory by at le...
Following the rationale for spreads -1, Benfica's strong offensive output and defensive stability suggest they can secure a victory by at le...
Considering Benfica's significant goal-scoring prowess at home and Aarhus's recent defensive frailties, Benfica is expected to win by at lea...
Considering Benfica's significant goal-scoring prowess at home and Aarhus's recent defensive frailties, Benfica is expected to win by at lea...
Benfica's goal scoring form (4.2 per game) suggests they should win by at least two. Aarhus's defense is vulnerable, and even with rest adva...
Benfica's goal scoring form (4.2 per game) suggests they should win by at least two. Aarhus's defense is vulnerable, and even with rest adva...
Over / Under
Consensusover 8/10
Benfica's recent home matches have seen high-scoring games, averaging over 4 goals per match, indicating a strong likelihood of over 2.5 goa...
Benfica's recent home matches have seen high-scoring games, averaging over 4 goals per match, indicating a strong likelihood of over 2.5 goa...
Benfica average over 4 goals per home game in recent form. Aarhus concedes frequently and pushes forward, increasing total goal expectation....
Benfica average over 4 goals per home game in recent form. Aarhus concedes frequently and pushes forward, increasing total goal expectation....
Benfica's recent form shows a high-scoring trend, with 21 goals in their last 5 matches (an average of 4.2 goals per game). Even against Aar...
Benfica's recent form shows a high-scoring trend, with 21 goals in their last 5 matches (an average of 4.2 goals per game). Even against Aar...
Benfica's exceptional home scoring record (21 goals in 5 games) suggests a high-scoring potential. While Aarhus's defense has been porous, t...
Benfica's exceptional home scoring record (21 goals in 5 games) suggests a high-scoring potential. While Aarhus's defense has been porous, t...
Benfica have scored 21 goals in 5 matches, averaging over 4 per game, and Aarhus have conceded 9, so goals are likely. While Aarhus averaged...
Benfica have scored 21 goals in 5 matches, averaging over 4 per game, and Aarhus have conceded 9, so goals are likely. While Aarhus averaged...
Spread
ConsensusBenfica 8/10
Benfica's strong home form and superior head-to-head record suggest they are likely to win by at least one goal. ([uefa.com](https://www.uef...
Benfica's strong home form and superior head-to-head record suggest they are likely to win by at least one goal. ([uefa.com](https://www.uef...
Home side expected to win by multiple goals given attacking volume and Aarhus defensive record. Rest differential favors away but quality ga...
Home side expected to win by multiple goals given attacking volume and Aarhus defensive record. Rest differential favors away but quality ga...
Given Benfica's impressive goal-scoring ability (4.2 goals per game) and solid defense, they are highly likely to win by more than one goal...
Given Benfica's impressive goal-scoring ability (4.2 goals per game) and solid defense, they are highly likely to win by more than one goal...
Benfica's strong home form and offensive capability suggest they can overcome a one-goal deficit. Their average goals scored at home is high...
Benfica's strong home form and offensive capability suggest they can overcome a one-goal deficit. Their average goals scored at home is high...
Benfica are expected to win by more than one goal given their firepower and Aarhus's defensive issues. Although rest is a concern, Benfica's...
Benfica are expected to win by more than one goal given their firepower and Aarhus's defensive issues. Although rest is a concern, Benfica's...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winnerGPT-4o Mini
Benfica
GPT-4o Mini
Benfica
DeepSeek V3
Benfica
DeepSeek V3
Benfica
Grok 4 Fast
Benfica
Grok 4 Fast
Benfica
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Benfica win
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Benfica win
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Benfica
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Benfica
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
Picks closed
Match has already kicked off. Picks are permanent — no late entries.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
fa9fa18e8d77b866…
- Kickoff
- Thu, Aug 20 · 21:00 GMT+0200
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 27995,
"sport": "football",
"venue": null,
"league": "UEFA Europa League",
"starts_at": "2026-08-20T19:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Thu, 20 Aug 2026 19:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Aarhus",
"home": "Benfica"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "LLWDW",
"record": "2W-1D-2L",
"scored": 8,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 9
},
"home_form": {
"last": "WDDWW",
"record": "3W-2D-0L",
"scored": 21,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 4
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 6,
"home": 2
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Research trail
What each AI looked up before picking
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
16 tool calls · 5 sources
5 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
Get the AI consensus before kickoff
Free. Pre-match alert per AI + see your picks graded as results land.