Bayer LeverkusenvsCelje
Your call
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AI predictions
8 markets · 4 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Over / Under
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Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
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Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
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Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
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Asian handicap
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Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
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Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
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Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
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Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
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Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
over 3/4 models |
yes 2/4 models |
Bayer Leverkusen 3/4 models |
Bayer Leverkusen -1.75 2/4 models |
Bayer Leverkusen 4/4 models |
Bayer Leverkusen 4/4 models |
Bayer Leverkusen / Bayer Leverkusen 4/4 models |
3-0 3/4 models |
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Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
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Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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GPT-5 Mini Openai |
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Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-4o Mini Openai |
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Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4 Fast Xai |
68%
over |
61%
no |
75%
Bayer Leverkusen |
72%
Bayer Leverkusen -1.75 |
88%
Bayer Leverkusen |
82%
Bayer Leverkusen |
65%
Bayer Leverkusen / Bayer Leverkusen |
22%
3-0 |
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
68%
over Leverkusen average high goal tallies at home while Celje concede regularly. Training data points to open games when strong sides host weaker...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
61%
no Leverkusen defense is usually solid at BayArena against limited attacks. Celje lack the quality to breach consistently. Training knowledge f...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
75%
Bayer Leverkusen Leverkusen should win by more than one goal given the quality difference. Home form and attacking output support covering -1. Training data...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
72%
Bayer Leverkusen -1.75 The expected margin favors Leverkusen covering a 1.75 handicap. Celje away form is poor and they are outclassed. Training knowledge through...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
88%
Bayer Leverkusen Leverkusen expected to control the game and avoid defeat against clearly inferior opposition. Training knowledge indicates Celje struggle on...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
82%
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen are a top-tier Bundesliga side with strong home record while Celje are a mid-table Slovenian team. Training data through 20...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
65%
Bayer Leverkusen / Bayer Leverkusen Leverkusen typically lead at half-time and close out matches against weaker sides. Training data shows they control tempo from the start at...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
22%
3-0 Most likely outcome is a comfortable 3-0 or 2-0 win based on Leverkusen home scoring patterns and Celje defensive weaknesses. Training knowl... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
78%
Over 2.5 Goals |
75%
No |
72%
Bayer Leverkusen -1 |
65%
Bayer Leverkusen -1.75 |
95%
Bayer Leverkusen |
88%
Bayer Leverkusen |
70%
Bayer Leverkusen / Bayer Leverkusen |
18%
3-0 |
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
78%
Over 2.5 Goals Bayer Leverkusen's recent form shows they are prolific scorers, bagging 14 goals in their last five matches. Against a weaker opponent like...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
75%
No Bayer Leverkusen is a significantly stronger team with a solid defensive record for their caliber, having conceded 6 goals in their last fiv...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
72%
Bayer Leverkusen -1 Bayer Leverkusen's offensive strength (14 goals in 5 matches) and the overall quality difference make them strong favorites to win by at lea...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
65%
Bayer Leverkusen -1.75 Considering the large disparity in team quality and Bayer Leverkusen's strong attacking form, a handicap of -1.75 is a reasonable expectatio...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
95%
Bayer Leverkusen Considering Bayer Leverkusen's superior quality, home advantage, and strong offensive output, they are expected to win outright. The draw no...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
88%
Bayer Leverkusen Based on my training data and the provided team form, Bayer Leverkusen is a significantly stronger team playing at home in a European compet...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
70%
Bayer Leverkusen / Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen is expected to assert their dominance from the start and maintain it throughout the match. Their strong offensive capabilit...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
3-0 Given Bayer Leverkusen's strong attacking form and Celje's struggles to score and defend, a comfortable clean sheet victory for Leverkusen i... |
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Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
65%
over |
55%
yes |
70%
Bayer Leverkusen |
65%
home_ -1.5 |
88%
Bayer Leverkusen |
85%
Bayer Leverkusen |
75%
Bayer Leverkusen / Bayer Leverkusen |
20%
3-0 |
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
65%
over Bayer Leverkusen has a strong attacking record, averaging nearly 3 goals per game in their last 5 matches. While Celje's defense is weak, Le...
5 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
yes Bayer Leverkusen's strong attack is likely to score, but their defense has shown occasional lapses, conceding 6 goals in their last 5 games....
5 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
70%
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen is expected to win by at least two goals, given their superior squad quality, home advantage, and Celje's poor away form. L...
5 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
65%
home_ -1.5 Bayer Leverkusen's superior quality and home advantage against a weaker Celje side suggest they can win by at least two goals. Leverkusen's...
5 sources cited
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
88%
Bayer Leverkusen Given Bayer Leverkusen's clear superiority and home advantage, they are highly expected to win. Even if a draw occurs, Leverkusen's strength...
5 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
85%
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen, playing at home in the BayArena, are significant favorites against NK Celje. Leverkusen has a much stronger squad and rece...
5 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
75%
Bayer Leverkusen / Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen is expected to dominate this match from start to finish. Their strong home form and offensive capabilities suggest they wil...
5 sources cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
20%
3-0 Considering Bayer Leverkusen's strong home attack and Celje's weak defense, a comfortable win for the home side is anticipated. A 3-0 scorel...
5 sources cited
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
68%
over |
55%
yes |
58%
Bayer Leverkusen |
52%
Bayer Leverkusen -1.5 |
84%
Bayer Leverkusen |
78%
Bayer Leverkusen |
52%
Bayer Leverkusen / Bayer Leverkusen |
16%
3-1 |
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
68%
over Leverkusen have been a high-scoring team at home, netting 14 in their last 5, and Celje concede regularly (9 in 5). Even a controlled perfor...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
yes Celje have shown they can score (5 in their last 5) and Leverkusen are not a defensive-lockout side, conceding 6 in their last 5. However, t...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
58%
Bayer Leverkusen Leverkusen winning by two or more goals is the most likely outcome given the mismatch, but it is not overwhelming — cup games can finish 2-1...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
52%
Bayer Leverkusen -1.5 This is essentially the same question as the -1 spread: can Leverkusen win by two or more? Their goal output at home supports it, but the li...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
84%
Bayer Leverkusen Even allowing for a possible rotated Leverkusen lineup, the quality gap at the BayArena makes a Celje win unlikely. Celje's away form is poo...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
78%
Bayer Leverkusen Leverkusen are by far the stronger side, at home where they have scored 14 goals in their last 5, while Celje arrive with 1 win in 5 and a l...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
52%
Bayer Leverkusen / Bayer Leverkusen Leverkusen are expected to dominate from the start at home against a struggling Celje side. Half-time leads are common for strong home favou...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
16%
3-1 Leverkusen at home against a weak Celje side points to a multi-goal home win. 3-1 captures both Leverkusen's attacking output and Celje's te... |
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Over / Under
Consensusover 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
68%
over
Leverkusen average high goal tallies at home while Celje concede regularly. Training data points to open games when strong sides host weaker...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
78%
Over 2.5 Goals
Bayer Leverkusen's recent form shows they are prolific scorers, bagging 14 goals in their last five matches. Against a weaker opponent like...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
65%
over
Bayer Leverkusen has a strong attacking record, averaging nearly 3 goals per game in their last 5 matches. While Celje's defense is weak, Le...
DeepSeek V3
68%
over
Leverkusen have been a high-scoring team at home, netting 14 in their last 5, and Celje concede regularly (9 in 5). Even a controlled perfor...
Both teams to score
Consensusyes 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
61%
no
Leverkusen defense is usually solid at BayArena against limited attacks. Celje lack the quality to breach consistently. Training knowledge f...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
75%
No
Bayer Leverkusen is a significantly stronger team with a solid defensive record for their caliber, having conceded 6 goals in their last fiv...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
yes
Bayer Leverkusen's strong attack is likely to score, but their defense has shown occasional lapses, conceding 6 goals in their last 5 games....
DeepSeek V3
55%
yes
Celje have shown they can score (5 in their last 5) and Leverkusen are not a defensive-lockout side, conceding 6 in their last 5. However, t...
Spread
ConsensusBayer Leverkusen 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
75%
Bayer Leverkusen
Leverkusen should win by more than one goal given the quality difference. Home form and attacking output support covering -1. Training data...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
72%
Bayer Leverkusen -1
Bayer Leverkusen's offensive strength (14 goals in 5 matches) and the overall quality difference make them strong favorites to win by at lea...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
70%
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen is expected to win by at least two goals, given their superior squad quality, home advantage, and Celje's poor away form. L...
DeepSeek V3
58%
Bayer Leverkusen
Leverkusen winning by two or more goals is the most likely outcome given the mismatch, but it is not overwhelming — cup games can finish 2-1...
Asian handicap
ConsensusBayer Leverkusen -1.75 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
72%
Bayer Leverkusen -1.75
The expected margin favors Leverkusen covering a 1.75 handicap. Celje away form is poor and they are outclassed. Training knowledge through...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
65%
Bayer Leverkusen -1.75
Considering the large disparity in team quality and Bayer Leverkusen's strong attacking form, a handicap of -1.75 is a reasonable expectatio...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
65%
home_ -1.5
Bayer Leverkusen's superior quality and home advantage against a weaker Celje side suggest they can win by at least two goals. Leverkusen's...
DeepSeek V3
52%
Bayer Leverkusen -1.5
This is essentially the same question as the -1 spread: can Leverkusen win by two or more? Their goal output at home supports it, but the li...
Draw no bet
ConsensusBayer Leverkusen 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
88%
Bayer Leverkusen
Leverkusen expected to control the game and avoid defeat against clearly inferior opposition. Training knowledge indicates Celje struggle on...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
95%
Bayer Leverkusen
Considering Bayer Leverkusen's superior quality, home advantage, and strong offensive output, they are expected to win outright. The draw no...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
88%
Bayer Leverkusen
Given Bayer Leverkusen's clear superiority and home advantage, they are highly expected to win. Even if a draw occurs, Leverkusen's strength...
DeepSeek V3
84%
Bayer Leverkusen
Even allowing for a possible rotated Leverkusen lineup, the quality gap at the BayArena makes a Celje win unlikely. Celje's away form is poo...
Match winner
ConsensusBayer Leverkusen 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
82%
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen are a top-tier Bundesliga side with strong home record while Celje are a mid-table Slovenian team. Training data through 20...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
88%
Bayer Leverkusen
Based on my training data and the provided team form, Bayer Leverkusen is a significantly stronger team playing at home in a European compet...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
85%
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen, playing at home in the BayArena, are significant favorites against NK Celje. Leverkusen has a much stronger squad and rece...
DeepSeek V3
78%
Bayer Leverkusen
Leverkusen are by far the stronger side, at home where they have scored 14 goals in their last 5, while Celje arrive with 1 win in 5 and a l...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusBayer Leverkusen / Bayer Leverkusen 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
65%
Bayer Leverkusen / Bayer Leverkusen
Leverkusen typically lead at half-time and close out matches against weaker sides. Training data shows they control tempo from the start at...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
70%
Bayer Leverkusen / Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen is expected to assert their dominance from the start and maintain it throughout the match. Their strong offensive capabilit...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
75%
Bayer Leverkusen / Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen is expected to dominate this match from start to finish. Their strong home form and offensive capabilities suggest they wil...
DeepSeek V3
52%
Bayer Leverkusen / Bayer Leverkusen
Leverkusen are expected to dominate from the start at home against a struggling Celje side. Half-time leads are common for strong home favou...
Correct score
Consensus3-0 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
22%
3-0
Most likely outcome is a comfortable 3-0 or 2-0 win based on Leverkusen home scoring patterns and Celje defensive weaknesses. Training knowl...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
18%
3-0
Given Bayer Leverkusen's strong attacking form and Celje's struggles to score and defend, a comfortable clean sheet victory for Leverkusen i...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
20%
3-0
Considering Bayer Leverkusen's strong home attack and Celje's weak defense, a comfortable win for the home side is anticipated. A 3-0 scorel...
DeepSeek V3
16%
3-1
Leverkusen at home against a weak Celje side points to a multi-goal home win. 3-1 captures both Leverkusen's attacking output and Celje's te...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Bayer Leverkusen
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Bayer Leverkusen
Grok 4 Fast
Bayer Leverkusen
DeepSeek V3
Bayer Leverkusen
Model track records
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Verifiable brief
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- Kickoff
- Wed, Sep 16 · 19:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
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- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 44121,
"sport": "football",
"venue": "BayArena",
"league": "UEFA Europa League",
"starts_at": "2026-09-16T19:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Wed, 16 Sep 2026 19:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Celje",
"home": "Bayer Leverkusen"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "LLWLL",
"record": "1W-0D-4L",
"scored": 5,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 9
},
"home_form": {
"last": "DWLWW",
"record": "3W-1D-1L",
"scored": 14,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 6
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 4,
"home": 4
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Research trail
What each AI looked up before picking
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 5 sources
5 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
Results settle automatically once the final score lands. Picks are permanent — no hindsight edits.
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
Get the AI consensus before kickoff
Free. Pre-match alert per AI + see your picks graded as results land.