BahardarvsWelayta Dicha
Bahardar 0–2 Welayta Dicha
5 of 6 AIs leaned Bahardar — reality had other ideas.
- AI lean
- Bahardar 5/6
- Correct calls
- 0/6
- Final
- 0–2
Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.
AI predictions
7 markets · 6 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 7 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
book: Draw 38% |
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
Bahardar 5/6 models |
Bahardar / Bahardar 4/6 models |
Bahardar -1 2/6 models |
under 3/6 models |
Bahardar -0.5 1/6 models |
1-0 4/6 models |
no 3/6 models |
|
| Bookmaker line | Draw 38% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 7 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 7 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
58%
Bahardar
L
|
48%
Bahardar / Bahardar
L
|
49%
Bahardar -1
L
|
52%
Over 2.5
L
|
55%
Bahardar -0.5
L
|
28%
1-0
L
|
56%
No
W
|
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
58%
Bahardar Bahardar is the home team and typically enjoys a modest home advantage in Ethiopian football. Without access to current league standings, re...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
48%
Bahardar / Bahardar Half-time/full-time outcomes heavily favor the home team, particularly Bahardar-Bahardar (leading at half, winning at full-time). However, w...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
49%
Bahardar -1 Bahardar at -1 spread (i.e., winning by at least 2 goals) is a moderately aggressive bet. While home advantage is real, requiring a 2-goal m...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
52%
Over 2.5 Ethiopian Premier League matches typically feature moderate goal-scoring volume, averaging 2.4–2.7 goals per match based on historical patte...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Bahardar -0.5 A -0.5 Asian handicap for Bahardar (home win or draw) is a more conservative bet than the -1 spread. This aligns with historical home-team w...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
28%
1-0 1-0 is the most common scoreline in domestic African football, particularly when the home team prevails in a moderately contested match. 2-0...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
56%
No In Ethiopian Premier League matches, both teams scoring occurs in roughly 40–50% of games, depending on defensive strength and league attack... |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 7 markets — unlock with Pro
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GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-4o Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market. |
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o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 7 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 7 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4 Fast Xai |
55%
Bahardar
L
|
32%
Bahardar / Bahardar
L
|
48%
Bahardar -1
L
|
52%
under
W
|
53%
Bahardar -0.25
L
|
18%
1-0
L
|
53%
no
W
|
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Bahardar Bahardar play at home against Welayta Dicha in what appears to be an Ethiopian league fixture. Home advantage typically favors the side with...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
32%
Bahardar / Bahardar Home team expected to control match from start to finish given venue. Probabilities reflect typical low-scoring league patterns.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
48%
Bahardar -1 Home side given narrow edge but away side can keep games close. Spread leans slightly toward away covering +1.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
52%
under Ethiopian league matches often produce low-scoring affairs. Limited attacking data suggests under 2.5 goals is slightly more probable.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
53%
Bahardar -0.25 Home favorite status gives slight value on -0.25 line in absence of strong away form indicators.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
1-0 Low scoring profile points to 1-0 or 2-0 as most common home wins. Training knowledge cutoff prevents fresher insight.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
53%
no Both teams lack consistent scoring records in public data. Expect at least one clean sheet more often than both scoring. |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 7 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 7 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Flash |
35%
Draw
L
|
30%
Draw / Draw
L
|
45%
Welayta Dicha +1
W
|
60%
Under 2.5
W
|
55%
Welayta Dicha +0.25
W
|
20%
1-1
L
|
55%
No
W
|
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
35%
Draw Based on general knowledge of the Ethiopian Premier League, matches between mid-table teams are often closely contested. Neither team is exp...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
30%
Draw / Draw Given the expectation of a closely fought, low-scoring game with a high chance of a full-time draw, a half-time draw followed by a full-time...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
45%
Welayta Dicha +1 Given the expectation of a tight match and a potential draw or narrow victory, it's unlikely Bahardar will win by a margin of two or more go...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
Under 2.5 Matches in the Ethiopian Premier League often feature fewer goals due to tactical approaches and sometimes lower conversion rates. Both team...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Welayta Dicha +0.25 If the match is indeed tight and prone to a draw, Welayta Dicha with a +0.25 Asian Handicap offers value. This pick means a draw results in...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
20%
1-1 A 1-1 draw aligns with the prediction of a tight, low-scoring match where both teams manage to find the net. Scores like 1-0 or 0-1 are also...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
No Consistent with the expectation of a low-scoring game, it's plausible that one team might fail to score. Defensive focus or a single goal de... |
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Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
55%
Bahardar
L
|
45%
Bahardar / Bahardar
L
|
53%
Bahardar
L
|
60%
over
L
|
57%
home_ -0.5 |
15%
2-1
L
|
58%
yes
L
|
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Bahardar Bahardar is predicted to win based on general knowledge of team performance, assuming they are the historically stronger side. Without live...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
45%
Bahardar / Bahardar Bahardar is predicted to lead at halftime and maintain that lead to win the match. This 'home-home' outcome suggests an expected dominance f...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
53%
Bahardar Bahardar is expected to cover the -1 spread. This implies a belief that Bahardar will win by at least two goals, based on a general assessme...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
over Given the general offensive capabilities of teams in this league, there is a moderate expectation of over 2.5 goals. This prediction is base...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
57%
home_ -0.5 Bahardar is favored to win with a -0.5 handicap. This suggests they are expected to win the match outright, reflecting a slight perceived ad...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
2-1 A 2-1 victory for Bahardar is the most probable correct score. This scoreline reflects an expectation of a competitive match where Bahardar...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
58%
yes Both Bahardar and Welayta Dicha are expected to contribute to the scoring. This is based on the assumption that both teams have capable offe... |
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
38%
Bahardar
L
|
15%
Draw / Bahardar
L
|
30%
Bahardar
L
|
55%
under
W
|
45%
Welayta Dicha +0.0
W
|
30%
1-0
L
|
55%
no
W
|
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
38%
Bahardar Based on training data up to June 2026, Bahardar typically has a slight home advantage in the Ethiopian Premier League, but no recent form o...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
15%
Draw / Bahardar Draw at half-time is common in low-scoring matches, and Bahardar may push after the break. However, all combinations are plausible with low...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
30%
Bahardar Home -1 means Bahardar must win by at least 2. Given the tight nature of the league, such margins are rare. Away +1 covers a draw or loss by...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
under Ethiopian Premier League matches often have low scoring, averaging around 2 goals per game. Both teams are not known for high-scoring affair...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
45%
Welayta Dicha +0.0 Away +0 (draw no bet) is favored as visiting teams often can avoid defeat. Home advantage is not strong enough to justify a clear edge.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
30%
1-0 A 1-0 home win is the most likely single score given league trends. Low scoring overall, with home slight edge.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
no Both teams have modest attacking records, and clean sheets are common in this league. Around 40-50% of matches see both teams score. Slightl... |
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Match winner
ConsensusBahardar 5/6
Claude Haiku 4.5
58%
Bahardar
L
Bahardar is the home team and typically enjoys a modest home advantage in Ethiopian football. Without access to current league standings, re...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
55%
Bahardar
L
Bahardar play at home against Welayta Dicha in what appears to be an Ethiopian league fixture. Home advantage typically favors the side with...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
35%
Draw
L
Based on general knowledge of the Ethiopian Premier League, matches between mid-table teams are often closely contested. Neither team is exp...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
Bahardar
L
Bahardar is predicted to win based on general knowledge of team performance, assuming they are the historically stronger side. Without live...
DeepSeek V3
38%
Bahardar
L
Based on training data up to June 2026, Bahardar typically has a slight home advantage in the Ethiopian Premier League, but no recent form o...
Bookmaker line: Draw 38%
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusBahardar / Bahardar 4/6
Claude Haiku 4.5
48%
Bahardar / Bahardar
L
Half-time/full-time outcomes heavily favor the home team, particularly Bahardar-Bahardar (leading at half, winning at full-time). However, w...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
32%
Bahardar / Bahardar
L
Home team expected to control match from start to finish given venue. Probabilities reflect typical low-scoring league patterns.
Gemini 2.5 Flash
30%
Draw / Draw
L
Given the expectation of a closely fought, low-scoring game with a high chance of a full-time draw, a half-time draw followed by a full-time...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
45%
Bahardar / Bahardar
L
Bahardar is predicted to lead at halftime and maintain that lead to win the match. This 'home-home' outcome suggests an expected dominance f...
DeepSeek V3
15%
Draw / Bahardar
L
Draw at half-time is common in low-scoring matches, and Bahardar may push after the break. However, all combinations are plausible with low...
Spread
ConsensusBahardar -1 2/6
Claude Haiku 4.5
49%
Bahardar -1
L
Bahardar at -1 spread (i.e., winning by at least 2 goals) is a moderately aggressive bet. While home advantage is real, requiring a 2-goal m...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
48%
Bahardar -1
L
Home side given narrow edge but away side can keep games close. Spread leans slightly toward away covering +1.
Gemini 2.5 Flash
45%
Welayta Dicha +1
W
Given the expectation of a tight match and a potential draw or narrow victory, it's unlikely Bahardar will win by a margin of two or more go...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
53%
Bahardar
L
Bahardar is expected to cover the -1 spread. This implies a belief that Bahardar will win by at least two goals, based on a general assessme...
DeepSeek V3
30%
Bahardar
L
Home -1 means Bahardar must win by at least 2. Given the tight nature of the league, such margins are rare. Away +1 covers a draw or loss by...
Over / Under
Consensusunder 3/6
Claude Haiku 4.5
52%
Over 2.5
L
Ethiopian Premier League matches typically feature moderate goal-scoring volume, averaging 2.4–2.7 goals per match based on historical patte...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
52%
under
W
Ethiopian league matches often produce low-scoring affairs. Limited attacking data suggests under 2.5 goals is slightly more probable.
Gemini 2.5 Flash
60%
Under 2.5
W
Matches in the Ethiopian Premier League often feature fewer goals due to tactical approaches and sometimes lower conversion rates. Both team...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
60%
over
L
Given the general offensive capabilities of teams in this league, there is a moderate expectation of over 2.5 goals. This prediction is base...
DeepSeek V3
55%
under
W
Ethiopian Premier League matches often have low scoring, averaging around 2 goals per game. Both teams are not known for high-scoring affair...
Asian handicap
ConsensusBahardar -0.5 1/6
Claude Haiku 4.5
55%
Bahardar -0.5
L
A -0.5 Asian handicap for Bahardar (home win or draw) is a more conservative bet than the -1 spread. This aligns with historical home-team w...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
53%
Bahardar -0.25
L
Home favorite status gives slight value on -0.25 line in absence of strong away form indicators.
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
Welayta Dicha +0.25
W
If the match is indeed tight and prone to a draw, Welayta Dicha with a +0.25 Asian Handicap offers value. This pick means a draw results in...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
57%
home_ -0.5
Bahardar is favored to win with a -0.5 handicap. This suggests they are expected to win the match outright, reflecting a slight perceived ad...
DeepSeek V3
45%
Welayta Dicha +0.0
W
Away +0 (draw no bet) is favored as visiting teams often can avoid defeat. Home advantage is not strong enough to justify a clear edge.
Correct score
Consensus1-0 4/6
Claude Haiku 4.5
28%
1-0
L
1-0 is the most common scoreline in domestic African football, particularly when the home team prevails in a moderately contested match. 2-0...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
18%
1-0
L
Low scoring profile points to 1-0 or 2-0 as most common home wins. Training knowledge cutoff prevents fresher insight.
Gemini 2.5 Flash
20%
1-1
L
A 1-1 draw aligns with the prediction of a tight, low-scoring match where both teams manage to find the net. Scores like 1-0 or 0-1 are also...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
15%
2-1
L
A 2-1 victory for Bahardar is the most probable correct score. This scoreline reflects an expectation of a competitive match where Bahardar...
DeepSeek V3
30%
1-0
L
A 1-0 home win is the most likely single score given league trends. Low scoring overall, with home slight edge.
Both teams to score
Consensusno 3/6
Claude Haiku 4.5
56%
No
W
In Ethiopian Premier League matches, both teams scoring occurs in roughly 40–50% of games, depending on defensive strength and league attack...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
53%
no
W
Both teams lack consistent scoring records in public data. Expect at least one clean sheet more often than both scoring.
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
No
W
Consistent with the expectation of a low-scoring game, it's plausible that one team might fail to score. Defensive focus or a single goal de...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
58%
yes
L
Both Bahardar and Welayta Dicha are expected to contribute to the scoring. This is based on the assumption that both teams have capable offe...
DeepSeek V3
55%
no
W
Both teams have modest attacking records, and clean sheets are common in this league. Around 40-50% of matches see both teams score. Slightl...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Claude Haiku 4.5
Bahardar
Grok 4 Fast
Bahardar
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Bahardar
Claude Sonnet 4.6
Bahardar
DeepSeek V3
Bahardar
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Draw
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
Picks closed
Match has already kicked off. Picks are permanent — no late entries.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Bookmaker odds
12 books · sharp books pinned · best price highlighted
| Book | Bahardar | Draw | Welayta Dicha |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | — | 2.13 | — |
| Bet365 | — | 2.20 | — |
| Unibet | — | 2.50 | — |
| 10bet | — | 2.40 | — |
| 1xbet | — | 2.27 | — |
| Betano | — | 2.42 | — |
| Betfair | — | 2.55 | — |
| Betvictor | — | 2.63 | — |
| Dafabet | — | 2.41 | — |
| Marathonbet | — | 2.27 | — |
| Superbet | — | 2.12 | — |
| William-hill | — | 2.45 | — |
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | — | — | — |
| Bet365 | — | — | — |
| Unibet | — | — | — |
| 10bet | — | — | — |
| 1xbet | — | — | — |
| Betano | — | — | — |
| Betfair | — | — | — |
| Betvictor | — | — | — |
| Marathonbet | — | — | — |
| Superbet | — | — | — |
| William-hill | — | — | — |
| Book | Bahardar | Welayta Dicha |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | — | — |
| Bet365 | — | — |
| Unibet | — | — |
| 10bet | — | — |
| 1xbet | — | — |
| Betfair | — | — |
| Betvictor | — | — |
| Marathonbet | — | — |
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
968d23ded74f422c…
- Kickoff
- Tue, Jun 16 · 13:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 7. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 7, in this order): h2h | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 1905,
"sport": "football",
"venue": null,
"league": "Premier League",
"starts_at": "2026-06-16T13:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Tue, 16 Jun 2026 13:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Welayta Dicha",
"home": "Bahardar"
},
"version": "v1",
"built_at": "2026-06-14T07:52:46+00:00",
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
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