AZ AlkmaarvsHapoel Beer Sheva
Your call
Who wins? One tap, no signup.
AI predictions
8 markets · 2 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
32 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
AZ Alkmaar -1 1/2 models |
AZ Alkmaar / AZ Alkmaar 1/2 models |
2-0 1/2 models |
under 1/2 models |
AZ Alkmaar 2/2 models |
AZ Alkmaar 2/2 models |
no 1/2 models |
AZ Alkmaar 1/2 models |
|
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Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market. |
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|
Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market. |
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|
GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market. |
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market. |
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|
GPT-4o Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market. |
|||||||||
|
GPT-4o Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market. |
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|
o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
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Grok 4 Fast Xai |
52%
AZ Alkmaar -1 |
41%
AZ Alkmaar / AZ Alkmaar |
18%
2-0 |
53%
under |
62%
AZ Alkmaar |
78%
AZ Alkmaar |
58%
no |
55%
AZ Alkmaar |
|
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
52%
AZ Alkmaar -1 AZ favored by roughly one goal on Asian handicap in this matchup. Defensive away side makes the line tight. Training data through 2023-09.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
41%
AZ Alkmaar / AZ Alkmaar AZ likely to take control early at home and see out the win. Hapoel sit deep and rarely lead. Training data through 2023-09.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
2-0 Low scoring expected with AZ controlling possession and Hapoel defending deep. 2-0 or 1-0 most probable outcomes. Training data through 2023...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
53%
under Both sides show low-scoring recent games and Hapoel conceded zero in last five. AZ home games in Europe often stay under 2.5 goals. Training...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
62%
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar hold a clear home advantage in Europa League ties against Israeli sides based on historical patterns. Hapoel Beer Sheva's recent...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
78%
AZ Alkmaar AZ are the stronger side at AFAS Stadion with superior squad depth. Hapoel have not lost recently but lack the attacking threat to win away...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
58%
no Hapoel defensive record suggests they can keep a clean sheet or at least limit AZ. AZ have struggled to score in recent home matches. Traini...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
AZ Alkmaar AZ expected to win by two or more goals given home status and quality edge. Hapoel can frustrate but unlikely to win. Training data through... |
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
52%
AZ Alkmaar -1 |
41%
AZ Alkmaar / AZ Alkmaar |
18%
2-0 |
53%
under |
62%
AZ Alkmaar |
78%
AZ Alkmaar |
58%
no |
55%
AZ Alkmaar |
|
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
52%
AZ Alkmaar -1 AZ favored by roughly one goal on Asian handicap in this matchup. Defensive away side makes the line tight. Training data through 2023-09.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
41%
AZ Alkmaar / AZ Alkmaar AZ likely to take control early at home and see out the win. Hapoel sit deep and rarely lead. Training data through 2023-09.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
2-0 Low scoring expected with AZ controlling possession and Hapoel defending deep. 2-0 or 1-0 most probable outcomes. Training data through 2023...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
53%
under Both sides show low-scoring recent games and Hapoel conceded zero in last five. AZ home games in Europe often stay under 2.5 goals. Training...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
62%
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar hold a clear home advantage in Europa League ties against Israeli sides based on historical patterns. Hapoel Beer Sheva's recent...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
78%
AZ Alkmaar AZ are the stronger side at AFAS Stadion with superior squad depth. Hapoel have not lost recently but lack the attacking threat to win away...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
58%
no Hapoel defensive record suggests they can keep a clean sheet or at least limit AZ. AZ have struggled to score in recent home matches. Traini...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
AZ Alkmaar AZ expected to win by two or more goals given home status and quality edge. Hapoel can frustrate but unlikely to win. Training data through... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market. |
|||||||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market. |
|||||||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market. |
|||||||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market. |
|||||||||
|
DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
55%
Hapoel Beer Sheva +0.5 |
19%
Draw / AZ Alkmaar |
13%
1-0 |
58%
Under 2.5 |
55%
AZ Alkmaar |
70%
AZ Alkmaar |
60%
No |
62%
Hapoel Beer Sheva +1 |
|
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Hapoel Beer Sheva +0.5 Half-ball handicap means the draw lands on the visitors, and given Hapoel's 3W-2D-0L run with clean sheets this is a natural side to take. A...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
19%
Draw / AZ Alkmaar Group-stage openers frequently go in level at the break, and AZ's best route is to break a stubborn Hapoel block after half-time with home c...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
13%
1-0 Low-scoring is the dominant read given AZ's two goals in five and Hapoel's five-match clean-sheet run, so 1-0 and 0-0 sit at the top of the...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
58%
Under 2.5 The supplied form data points strongly at a low-scoring game: Hapoel have conceded zero in five and AZ have scored only two in five. Europea...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
AZ Alkmaar Training data through 2025-09 only, so this is a knowledge-based read. AZ are the stronger side by coefficient and play at the AFAS Stadion,...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
70%
AZ Alkmaar Stripping the draw out leaves a pure two-horse race, and AZ's home advantage plus higher squad quality keep them favourites on a no-bet basi...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
No Hapoel Beer Sheva have kept clean sheets in each of their last five, which is the single strongest signal against both teams scoring. AZ's o...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
62%
Hapoel Beer Sheva +1 Handing a full goal to a side unbeaten in five with zero goals conceded is heavy, especially given AZ's weak recent form. AZ can win this ma... |
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|
DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
55%
Hapoel Beer Sheva +0.5 |
19%
Draw / AZ Alkmaar |
13%
1-0 |
58%
Under 2.5 |
55%
AZ Alkmaar |
70%
AZ Alkmaar |
60%
No |
62%
Hapoel Beer Sheva +1 |
|
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Hapoel Beer Sheva +0.5 Half-ball handicap means the draw lands on the visitors, and given Hapoel's 3W-2D-0L run with clean sheets this is a natural side to take. A...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
19%
Draw / AZ Alkmaar Group-stage openers frequently go in level at the break, and AZ's best route is to break a stubborn Hapoel block after half-time with home c...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
13%
1-0 Low-scoring is the dominant read given AZ's two goals in five and Hapoel's five-match clean-sheet run, so 1-0 and 0-0 sit at the top of the...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
58%
Under 2.5 The supplied form data points strongly at a low-scoring game: Hapoel have conceded zero in five and AZ have scored only two in five. Europea...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
AZ Alkmaar Training data through 2025-09 only, so this is a knowledge-based read. AZ are the stronger side by coefficient and play at the AFAS Stadion,...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
70%
AZ Alkmaar Stripping the draw out leaves a pure two-horse race, and AZ's home advantage plus higher squad quality keep them favourites on a no-bet basi...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
No Hapoel Beer Sheva have kept clean sheets in each of their last five, which is the single strongest signal against both teams scoring. AZ's o...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
62%
Hapoel Beer Sheva +1 Handing a full goal to a side unbeaten in five with zero goals conceded is heavy, especially given AZ's weak recent form. AZ can win this ma... |
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Asian handicap
ConsensusAZ Alkmaar -1 1/2
AZ favored by roughly one goal on Asian handicap in this matchup. Defensive away side makes the line tight. Training data through 2023-09.
AZ favored by roughly one goal on Asian handicap in this matchup. Defensive away side makes the line tight. Training data through 2023-09.
Half-ball handicap means the draw lands on the visitors, and given Hapoel's 3W-2D-0L run with clean sheets this is a natural side to take. A...
Half-ball handicap means the draw lands on the visitors, and given Hapoel's 3W-2D-0L run with clean sheets this is a natural side to take. A...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusAZ Alkmaar / AZ Alkmaar 1/2
AZ likely to take control early at home and see out the win. Hapoel sit deep and rarely lead. Training data through 2023-09.
AZ likely to take control early at home and see out the win. Hapoel sit deep and rarely lead. Training data through 2023-09.
Group-stage openers frequently go in level at the break, and AZ's best route is to break a stubborn Hapoel block after half-time with home c...
Group-stage openers frequently go in level at the break, and AZ's best route is to break a stubborn Hapoel block after half-time with home c...
Correct score
Consensus2-0 1/2
Low scoring expected with AZ controlling possession and Hapoel defending deep. 2-0 or 1-0 most probable outcomes. Training data through 2023...
Low scoring expected with AZ controlling possession and Hapoel defending deep. 2-0 or 1-0 most probable outcomes. Training data through 2023...
Low-scoring is the dominant read given AZ's two goals in five and Hapoel's five-match clean-sheet run, so 1-0 and 0-0 sit at the top of the...
Low-scoring is the dominant read given AZ's two goals in five and Hapoel's five-match clean-sheet run, so 1-0 and 0-0 sit at the top of the...
Over / Under
Consensusunder 1/2
Both sides show low-scoring recent games and Hapoel conceded zero in last five. AZ home games in Europe often stay under 2.5 goals. Training...
Both sides show low-scoring recent games and Hapoel conceded zero in last five. AZ home games in Europe often stay under 2.5 goals. Training...
The supplied form data points strongly at a low-scoring game: Hapoel have conceded zero in five and AZ have scored only two in five. Europea...
The supplied form data points strongly at a low-scoring game: Hapoel have conceded zero in five and AZ have scored only two in five. Europea...
Match winner
ConsensusAZ Alkmaar 2/2
AZ Alkmaar hold a clear home advantage in Europa League ties against Israeli sides based on historical patterns. Hapoel Beer Sheva's recent...
AZ Alkmaar hold a clear home advantage in Europa League ties against Israeli sides based on historical patterns. Hapoel Beer Sheva's recent...
Training data through 2025-09 only, so this is a knowledge-based read. AZ are the stronger side by coefficient and play at the AFAS Stadion,...
Training data through 2025-09 only, so this is a knowledge-based read. AZ are the stronger side by coefficient and play at the AFAS Stadion,...
Draw no bet
ConsensusAZ Alkmaar 2/2
AZ are the stronger side at AFAS Stadion with superior squad depth. Hapoel have not lost recently but lack the attacking threat to win away...
AZ are the stronger side at AFAS Stadion with superior squad depth. Hapoel have not lost recently but lack the attacking threat to win away...
Stripping the draw out leaves a pure two-horse race, and AZ's home advantage plus higher squad quality keep them favourites on a no-bet basi...
Stripping the draw out leaves a pure two-horse race, and AZ's home advantage plus higher squad quality keep them favourites on a no-bet basi...
Both teams to score
Consensusno 1/2
Hapoel defensive record suggests they can keep a clean sheet or at least limit AZ. AZ have struggled to score in recent home matches. Traini...
Hapoel defensive record suggests they can keep a clean sheet or at least limit AZ. AZ have struggled to score in recent home matches. Traini...
Hapoel Beer Sheva have kept clean sheets in each of their last five, which is the single strongest signal against both teams scoring. AZ's o...
Hapoel Beer Sheva have kept clean sheets in each of their last five, which is the single strongest signal against both teams scoring. AZ's o...
Spread
ConsensusAZ Alkmaar 1/2
AZ expected to win by two or more goals given home status and quality edge. Hapoel can frustrate but unlikely to win. Training data through...
AZ expected to win by two or more goals given home status and quality edge. Hapoel can frustrate but unlikely to win. Training data through...
Handing a full goal to a side unbeaten in five with zero goals conceded is heavy, especially given AZ's weak recent form. AZ can win this ma...
Handing a full goal to a side unbeaten in five with zero goals conceded is heavy, especially given AZ's weak recent form. AZ can win this ma...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winnerGrok 4 Fast
AZ Alkmaar
Grok 4 Fast
AZ Alkmaar
DeepSeek V3
AZ Alkmaar
DeepSeek V3
AZ Alkmaar
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
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Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
87fc0d0751887877…
- Kickoff
- Thu, Oct 15 · 16:45 GMT+0200
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 59043,
"sport": "football",
"venue": "AFAS Stadion(Alkmaar)",
"league": "UEFA Europa League",
"starts_at": "2026-10-15T16:45:00+02:00",
"starts_at_human": "Thu, 15 Oct 2026 14:45:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Hapoel Beer Sheva",
"home": "AZ Alkmaar"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "WWWDD",
"record": "3W-2D-0L",
"scored": 4,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 0
},
"home_form": {
"last": "LWLLD",
"record": "1W-1D-3L",
"scored": 2,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 5
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 5,
"home": 5
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Results settle automatically once the final score lands. Picks are permanent — no hindsight edits.
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
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