Austin IIvsThe Town
Your call
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AI predictions
8 markets · 4 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
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Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
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Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
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Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
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Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
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Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
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Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
Austin II 4/4 models |
Austin II 4/4 models |
under 3/4 models |
no 3/4 models |
Austin II 1/4 models |
Austin II 1/4 models |
Draw / Austin II 1/4 models |
1-1 2/4 models |
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Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-4o Mini Openai |
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Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
55%
Austin II |
72%
Austin II |
58%
under |
62%
no |
51%
Austin II |
53%
Austin II |
38%
Draw / Austin II |
22%
1-0 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Austin II Austin II are unbeaten in their last five with a strong defensive record conceding just three goals while The Town have won none of their la...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
72%
Austin II Austin II have not lost at home in five outings and average fewer goals conceded than The Town concede on the road. The away side's winless...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
58%
under Both sides show low-scoring recent matches with Austin II averaging 2.0 goals per game and The Town 2.2. Defensive home record and limited a...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
62%
no Austin II have kept three clean sheets in five home games and The Town have scored in only two of five away. Low goal tallies in the H2H als...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
51%
Austin II Austin II's home defensive record and overall points edge make them slight favorites to cover a -1 spread against a winless away side. The r...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
53%
Austin II Austin II hold the better recent form and home advantage, giving them the edge on standard Asian lines despite limited historical data. The...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
38%
Draw / Austin II Austin II tend to start cautiously at home before pulling ahead, matching their DWWDD sequence. The Town's low scoring makes an away half-ti...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
22%
1-0 Low goal trends from both teams and Austin II's defensive home record point to a narrow 1-0 or 2-0 home win as the most likely outcomes. The... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Flash |
62%
Austin II |
77%
Austin II |
58%
Under 2.5 |
60%
No |
42%
Austin II -1.0 |
42%
Austin II -1.5 |
40%
Austin II / Austin II |
18%
2-0 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
62%
Austin II Based on provided team context and training data through 2025-09, Austin II shows significantly better recent form, especially defensively,...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
77%
Austin II Considering Austin II's strong home form and robust defense, they are highly unlikely to lose this match. If the match ends in a draw, the s...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
58%
Under 2.5 Austin II has a strong defense, conceding only 0.6 goals per game, while The Town struggles to score, averaging 0.6 goals per game. The comb...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
No Austin II's robust defense has seen them keep three clean sheets in their last five outings. Conversely, The Town has failed to score in two...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
42%
Austin II -1.0 Austin II, with their superior form and home advantage, is expected to win this match convincingly. They have a good chance of winning by at...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
42%
Austin II -1.5 Austin II is in significantly better form and boasts a strong home record against a struggling The Town side. A win by a margin of two goals...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
40%
Austin II / Austin II Given Austin II's strong form, defensive solidity, and home advantage against a struggling The Town, it is most probable that Austin II will...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
2-0 Austin II possesses a solid defense (0.6 goals conceded per game) and a capable attack (1.4 goals scored per game). The Town, conversely, st... |
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Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
45%
Austin II |
50%
Austin II |
55%
under |
55%
no |
50%
The Town |
50%
Austin II -0.25 |
35%
Draw / Draw |
25%
1-1 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
45%
Austin II Austin II is in superior recent form, unbeaten in their last five matches, with three draws and two wins. The Town, conversely, has struggle...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
50%
Austin II Given Austin II's unbeaten streak and The Town's winless run, Austin II is the stronger pick. Even accounting for a potential draw where the...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
under Both teams have shown defensive solidity in their recent matches, especially Austin II who have conceded only 3 goals in their last 5. The T...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
no The Town has scored only 3 goals in their last 5 matches, indicating a weak attack. Austin II's defense has been relatively solid, conceding...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
50%
The Town This market is essentially predicting if The Town can avoid losing by more than one goal. Given Austin II's strong home form and The Town's...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
50%
Austin II -0.25 Austin II's superior form and home advantage make them slight favorites. However, their recent draws suggest they might not always convert d...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
35%
Draw / Draw Austin II's recent form includes several draws, and The Town's form is poor but they have managed to draw many games. A low-scoring encounte...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
25%
1-1 The most recent head-to-head match between these two teams ended in a 1-1 draw. Considering Austin II's solid home form and The Town's strug... |
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
42%
Austin II |
58%
Austin II |
58%
under |
55%
no |
60%
away_plus_ 1 |
40%
home_ -0.25 |
16%
draw_home |
36%
1-1 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
42%
Austin II Austin II has the better recent form (2W-3D-0L vs 0W-3D-2L) and has scored more while conceding fewer. However, The Town managed a draw agai...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
58%
Austin II Eliminating the draw, Austin II is more likely to win on current form and home advantage. The Town has not won in five matches, while Austin...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
58%
under Both teams have shown low scoring in recent matches, with The Town scoring only 3 goals in 5 games and Austin II 7 but also conceding few. T...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
no Given low scoring totals and the defensive solidity of Austin II (conceding only 3 in 5), it's plausible one team fails to score. The Town's...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
60%
away_plus_ 1 Austin II's form is good, but they may not win by 2+ goals against a stubborn The Town side. The Town has drawn often and will likely keep t...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
40%
home_ -0.25 Austin II has better form but the draw is a strong possibility. A quarter-goal handicap gives home a slight edge but if the draw occurs half...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
16%
draw_home Matches in this league often see early cautious play, with many draws at halftime. Given Austin II's home advantage, they are likely to edge...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
36%
1-1 Given the draw-heavy nature of recent matches and the single head-to-head draw, a 1-1 scoreline is a plausible outcome. Austin II's strong d... |
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Match winner
ConsensusAustin II 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
55%
Austin II
Austin II are unbeaten in their last five with a strong defensive record conceding just three goals while The Town have won none of their la...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
62%
Austin II
Based on provided team context and training data through 2025-09, Austin II shows significantly better recent form, especially defensively,...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
45%
Austin II
Austin II is in superior recent form, unbeaten in their last five matches, with three draws and two wins. The Town, conversely, has struggle...
DeepSeek V3
42%
Austin II
Austin II has the better recent form (2W-3D-0L vs 0W-3D-2L) and has scored more while conceding fewer. However, The Town managed a draw agai...
Draw no bet
ConsensusAustin II 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
72%
Austin II
Austin II have not lost at home in five outings and average fewer goals conceded than The Town concede on the road. The away side's winless...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
77%
Austin II
Considering Austin II's strong home form and robust defense, they are highly unlikely to lose this match. If the match ends in a draw, the s...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
50%
Austin II
Given Austin II's unbeaten streak and The Town's winless run, Austin II is the stronger pick. Even accounting for a potential draw where the...
DeepSeek V3
58%
Austin II
Eliminating the draw, Austin II is more likely to win on current form and home advantage. The Town has not won in five matches, while Austin...
Over / Under
Consensusunder 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
58%
under
Both sides show low-scoring recent matches with Austin II averaging 2.0 goals per game and The Town 2.2. Defensive home record and limited a...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
58%
Under 2.5
Austin II has a strong defense, conceding only 0.6 goals per game, while The Town struggles to score, averaging 0.6 goals per game. The comb...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
under
Both teams have shown defensive solidity in their recent matches, especially Austin II who have conceded only 3 goals in their last 5. The T...
DeepSeek V3
58%
under
Both teams have shown low scoring in recent matches, with The Town scoring only 3 goals in 5 games and Austin II 7 but also conceding few. T...
Both teams to score
Consensusno 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
62%
no
Austin II have kept three clean sheets in five home games and The Town have scored in only two of five away. Low goal tallies in the H2H als...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
60%
No
Austin II's robust defense has seen them keep three clean sheets in their last five outings. Conversely, The Town has failed to score in two...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
no
The Town has scored only 3 goals in their last 5 matches, indicating a weak attack. Austin II's defense has been relatively solid, conceding...
DeepSeek V3
55%
no
Given low scoring totals and the defensive solidity of Austin II (conceding only 3 in 5), it's plausible one team fails to score. The Town's...
Spread
ConsensusAustin II 1/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
51%
Austin II
Austin II's home defensive record and overall points edge make them slight favorites to cover a -1 spread against a winless away side. The r...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
42%
Austin II -1.0
Austin II, with their superior form and home advantage, is expected to win this match convincingly. They have a good chance of winning by at...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
50%
The Town
This market is essentially predicting if The Town can avoid losing by more than one goal. Given Austin II's strong home form and The Town's...
DeepSeek V3
60%
away_plus_ 1
Austin II's form is good, but they may not win by 2+ goals against a stubborn The Town side. The Town has drawn often and will likely keep t...
Asian handicap
ConsensusAustin II 1/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
53%
Austin II
Austin II hold the better recent form and home advantage, giving them the edge on standard Asian lines despite limited historical data. The...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
42%
Austin II -1.5
Austin II is in significantly better form and boasts a strong home record against a struggling The Town side. A win by a margin of two goals...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
50%
Austin II -0.25
Austin II's superior form and home advantage make them slight favorites. However, their recent draws suggest they might not always convert d...
DeepSeek V3
40%
home_ -0.25
Austin II has better form but the draw is a strong possibility. A quarter-goal handicap gives home a slight edge but if the draw occurs half...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusDraw / Austin II 1/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
38%
Draw / Austin II
Austin II tend to start cautiously at home before pulling ahead, matching their DWWDD sequence. The Town's low scoring makes an away half-ti...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
40%
Austin II / Austin II
Given Austin II's strong form, defensive solidity, and home advantage against a struggling The Town, it is most probable that Austin II will...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
35%
Draw / Draw
Austin II's recent form includes several draws, and The Town's form is poor but they have managed to draw many games. A low-scoring encounte...
DeepSeek V3
16%
draw_home
Matches in this league often see early cautious play, with many draws at halftime. Given Austin II's home advantage, they are likely to edge...
Correct score
Consensus1-1 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
22%
1-0
Low goal trends from both teams and Austin II's defensive home record point to a narrow 1-0 or 2-0 home win as the most likely outcomes. The...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
18%
2-0
Austin II possesses a solid defense (0.6 goals conceded per game) and a capable attack (1.4 goals scored per game). The Town, conversely, st...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
25%
1-1
The most recent head-to-head match between these two teams ended in a 1-1 draw. Considering Austin II's solid home form and The Town's strug...
DeepSeek V3
36%
1-1
Given the draw-heavy nature of recent matches and the single head-to-head draw, a 1-1 scoreline is a plausible outcome. Austin II's strong d...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Austin II
Grok 4 Fast
Austin II
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Austin II
DeepSeek V3
Austin II
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Refresh the read
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Lineups change everything — Pro re-runs the AIs after they drop.
Confirmed XIs, late injuries and line moves land in the final hour. Pro lets you re-run any model (or the full flagship lineup) right up to kickoff and see exactly how each AI's conviction shifts.
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Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
0cfe684b743736e2…
- Kickoff
- Mon, Aug 24 · 00:30 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 30582,
"sport": "football",
"venue": "Parmer Filed",
"league": "MLS Next Pro",
"starts_at": "2026-08-24T00:30:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Mon, 24 Aug 2026 00:30:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "The Town",
"home": "Austin II"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "DLDDL",
"record": "0W-3D-2L",
"scored": 3,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 8
},
"home_form": {
"last": "DWWDD",
"record": "2W-3D-0L",
"scored": 7,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 3
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 4,
"home": 3
},
"head_to_head": {
"recent": [
"2026-08-03: The Town 1–1 Austin II"
],
"matches": 1
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Results settle automatically once the final score lands. Picks are permanent — no hindsight edits.
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How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
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