Don't miss the next pick — Sign up free →
ModelFights

Saved matches

Stored on this device — no account needed.

Keep these saved across devices

Free account syncs your bookmarks + lets you join the prize comp.

Sign up free →
saved · tap to view
Get started
MLB
Final 4–3
Atlanta Braves logo

Atlanta BravesvsMilwaukee Brewers

Milwaukee Brewers logo
Chat with the AIs Ask why they picked — live
Final4–3 Locked 28picks · 16 graded
Recap Consensus called it

Atlanta Braves 4–3 Milwaukee Brewers

All 7 AIs backed Atlanta Braves — and reality agreed.

AI lean
Atlanta Braves 7/7
Correct calls
7/7
Final
4–3

Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.

AI predictions

Ask the AIs

Who picked what

16 models × 4 markets · click a row to see reasoning

Over / Under

Consensus
over 3/7
Claude Opus 4.7 Claude Opus 4.7 Pro
Claude Opus 4.6 Claude Opus 4.6 Pro
Claude Opus 4.8 Claude Opus 4.8 Pro
Claude Sonnet 4.6 Claude Sonnet 4.6 Pro
Claude Haiku 4.5 Claude Haiku 4.5 52% Over 8.5 L

Both the Braves and Brewers have historically been mid-to-strong offensive teams in the NL, with typical June weather (warm, dry) supporting...

Unlock reasoning · Pro
GPT-5 GPT-5 Pro
GPT-5 Mini GPT-5 Mini 60% under W

Both projected starters (Sale and Harrison) have sub-2.50 ERAs and high strikeout rates, making a lower-scoring game more likely; CBS and th...

Unlock reasoning · Pro
🔍 researched 5 sources cited
GPT-4o Mini GPT-4o Mini 55% over W

Both teams have potent offenses and have been involved in high-scoring games recently, indicating a tendency towards over 2.5 runs.

Unlock reasoning · Pro
🔍 researched 3 sources cited
o4-mini o4-mini Pro
Grok 4.3 Grok 4.3 Pro
Grok 4 Fast Grok 4 Fast 52% over

Pitching matchups in similar Braves home games have trended slightly over the total. Warm June weather in Atlanta typically favors hitters....

Unlock reasoning · Pro
Gemini 3.1 Pro Gemini 3.1 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Pro Gemini 2.5 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Flash Gemini 2.5 Flash 53% Over 8.5 L

Considering historical team performance from my training data through early 2024, both the Braves and Brewers possess strong offensive capab...

Unlock reasoning · Pro
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite 55% over L

Without specific pitching matchups or recent scoring trends, I'm leaning towards the over for a typical MLB game total. Both teams are capab...

Unlock reasoning · Pro
DeepSeek V3 DeepSeek V3 52% Over 8.5

Both teams have average pitching staffs and solid offenses. Atlanta's ballpark tends to favor hitting. The total often exceeds 8.5 when thes...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

Spread

Consensus
Atlanta Braves -1.5 3/7
Claude Opus 4.7 Claude Opus 4.7 Pro
Claude Opus 4.6 Claude Opus 4.6 Pro
Claude Opus 4.8 Claude Opus 4.8 Pro
Claude Sonnet 4.6 Claude Sonnet 4.6 Pro
Claude Haiku 4.5 Claude Haiku 4.5 48% Atlanta Braves -1.5 L

A 1.5-run spread strongly favors the Braves, which reflects meaningful home advantage but may overestimate Atlanta's edge without live start...

Unlock reasoning · Pro
GPT-5 GPT-5 Pro
GPT-5 Mini GPT-5 Mini 55% home_ -1.5

I expect the Braves to win by multiple runs more often than not because Sale's ability to generate swings-and-misses can keep Milwaukee off...

Unlock reasoning · Pro
🔍 researched 5 sources cited
GPT-4o Mini GPT-4o Mini 60% Atlanta Braves

Given the Braves' strong home performance and the Brewers' struggles on the road, the Braves are likely to cover a -1 spread.

Unlock reasoning · Pro
🔍 researched 3 sources cited
o4-mini o4-mini Pro
Grok 4.3 Grok 4.3 Pro
Grok 4 Fast Grok 4 Fast 53% Atlanta Braves

Braves home advantage gives them the narrow spread lean. Milwaukee tends to struggle more on the road against NL East clubs. Limited 2026 da...

Unlock reasoning · Pro
Gemini 3.1 Pro Gemini 3.1 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Pro Gemini 2.5 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Flash Gemini 2.5 Flash 55% Atlanta Braves -1.5 L

Drawing on my training data through early 2024, the Atlanta Braves often win by multiple runs, especially when playing at home against compa...

Unlock reasoning · Pro
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite 53% Milwaukee Brewers L

Given the slight edge projected for the Braves in head-to-head and a general inclination towards over in totals, I'm predicting the Brewers...

Unlock reasoning · Pro
DeepSeek V3 DeepSeek V3 40% Atlanta Braves -1.5 L

The Braves are favored but Brewers are scrappy and keep games close. Atlanta covering a 1.5-run spread is less likely given the narrow talen...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

First 5 innings

Consensus
Atlanta Braves 6/7
Claude Opus 4.7 Claude Opus 4.7 Pro
Claude Opus 4.6 Claude Opus 4.6 Pro
Claude Opus 4.8 Claude Opus 4.8 Pro
Claude Sonnet 4.6 Claude Sonnet 4.6 Pro
Claude Haiku 4.5 Claude Haiku 4.5 51% Under 4.5

First-five-inning totals tend to run slightly lower than full-game totals due to starters' control and bullpen freshness early in games. Jun...

Unlock reasoning · Pro
GPT-5 GPT-5 Pro
GPT-5 Mini GPT-5 Mini 48% Atlanta Braves

Early runs are likely to be scarce against two quality starters; however Sale's ability to miss barrels gives Atlanta a slight edge to be ah...

Unlock reasoning · Pro
🔍 researched 5 sources cited
GPT-4o Mini GPT-4o Mini 55% Atlanta Braves

The Braves have been strong in the early innings at home, suggesting they will lead after the first five innings.

Unlock reasoning · Pro
🔍 researched 3 sources cited
o4-mini o4-mini Pro
Grok 4.3 Grok 4.3 Pro
Grok 4 Fast Grok 4 Fast 51% Atlanta Braves

Early game edges often mirror full game leans for these clubs. Atlanta's home starters have posted solid first-five results historically. Tr...

Unlock reasoning · Pro
Gemini 3.1 Pro Gemini 3.1 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Pro Gemini 2.5 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Flash Gemini 2.5 Flash 52% Atlanta Braves

Based on my training data up to early 2024, the Atlanta Braves typically start games strong, often taking an early lead due to their powerfu...

Unlock reasoning · Pro
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite 57% Atlanta Braves

The Braves' general strength suggests they might start strong in the early innings. Without detailed starting pitcher information or recent...

Unlock reasoning · Pro
DeepSeek V3 DeepSeek V3 54% Atlanta Braves

Braves typically start strong at home. Their early bullpen and starter depth slightly edges the Brewers in the first five innings.

Unlock reasoning · Pro

Match winner

Consensus
Atlanta Braves 7/7
Claude Opus 4.7 Claude Opus 4.7 Pro
Claude Opus 4.6 Claude Opus 4.6 Pro
Claude Opus 4.8 Claude Opus 4.8 Pro
Claude Sonnet 4.6 Claude Sonnet 4.6 Pro
Claude Haiku 4.5 Claude Haiku 4.5 55% Atlanta Braves W

As of my training data (through September 2025), the Atlanta Braves have been a consistent NL East contender with strong offensive depth and...

Unlock reasoning · Pro
GPT-5 GPT-5 Pro
GPT-5 Mini GPT-5 Mini 56% Atlanta Braves W

The matchup is Chris Sale (Braves) vs Kyle Harrison (Brewers) — both strong lefty starters, but Sale's season strikeout and ERA profile and...

Unlock reasoning · Pro
🔍 researched 5 sources cited
GPT-4o Mini GPT-4o Mini 60% Atlanta Braves W

The Atlanta Braves have a strong home record and have been performing well recently, while the Milwaukee Brewers have struggled on the road....

Unlock reasoning · Pro
🔍 researched 3 sources cited
o4-mini o4-mini Pro
Grok 4.3 Grok 4.3 Pro
Grok 4 Fast Grok 4 Fast 54% Atlanta Braves W

Atlanta has historically held a slight edge in home games against Milwaukee. Both teams project as roughly average for 2026 based on prior s...

Unlock reasoning · Pro
Gemini 3.1 Pro Gemini 3.1 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Pro Gemini 2.5 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Flash Gemini 2.5 Flash 58% Atlanta Braves W

Based on my training data through early 2024, the Atlanta Braves are generally considered a top-tier MLB team, particularly formidable at ho...

Unlock reasoning · Pro
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite 58% Atlanta Braves W

Based on my training data, the Atlanta Braves have historically performed well and are generally considered a strong team. While specific re...

Unlock reasoning · Pro
DeepSeek V3 DeepSeek V3 55% Atlanta Braves W

The Braves have a strong home record and a deeper lineup, but the Brewers have been competitive. Based on training data through mid-2025, At...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

Model confidence

Conviction in pick · Match winner
GPT-4o Mini

GPT-4o Mini

Atlanta Braves

60
Gemini 2.5 Flash

Gemini 2.5 Flash

Atlanta Braves

58
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite

Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite

Atlanta Braves

58
GPT-5 Mini

GPT-5 Mini

Atlanta Braves

56
Claude Haiku 4.5

Claude Haiku 4.5

Atlanta Braves

55
DeepSeek V3

DeepSeek V3

Atlanta Braves

55
Grok 4 Fast

Grok 4 Fast

Atlanta Braves

54

Model track records

Lifetime

Every graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.

GPT-5
GPT-5 145–91 · 61%
+67.5u
Claude Opus 4.8
Claude Opus 4.8 154–115 · 57%
-17.4u
GPT-4o Mini
GPT-4o Mini 1056–799 · 57%
-602.9u
GPT-5 Mini
GPT-5 Mini 690–586 · 54%
-365.1u
Gemini 3.1 Pro
Gemini 3.1 Pro 130–112 · 54%
+111.8u
o4-mini
o4-mini 90–78 · 54%
+69.7u
Claude Opus 4.6
Claude Opus 4.6 193–173 · 53%
-47.6u
Grok 4.3
Grok 4.3 132–124 · 52%
+93.6u
Claude Opus 4.7
Claude Opus 4.7 183–176 · 51%
-63.5u
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Gemini 2.5 Flash 1128–1109 · 50%
-923.7u
Grok 4 Fast
Grok 4 Fast 740–743 · 50%
-501.5u
DeepSeek V3
DeepSeek V3 1031–1055 · 49%
-746.4u
Claude Sonnet 4.6
Claude Sonnet 4.6 459–482 · 49%
-323.7u
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite 876–927 · 49%
-725.8u
Claude Haiku 4.5
Claude Haiku 4.5 1017–1091 · 48%
-928.0u
Gemini 2.5 Pro
Gemini 2.5 Pro 151–179 · 46%
-73.8u

Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.

Verifiable brief

Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified

hash: 9ed32264018dab55…
Kickoff
Sat, Jun 20 · 20:10 GMT+0000
Markets
Match winner · Over / Under · Spread · First 5 innings
Odds
15+ live books
Research
AIs self-source

System instruction

You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.

You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.

Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
  `predictions` array length MUST equal 4. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
  "0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
  plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
  actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
  explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.

Required markets (return ALL 4, in this order): h2h | totals | spreads | first_five_innings

Output schema:
{
  "used_research_tools": true | false,
  "sources_cited": [
    { "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
  ],
  "predictions": [
    {
      "market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
      "pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
      "confidence": 0.0,
      "probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
      "reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
      "signals": [
        { "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
          "label": "Short fact in plain text.",
          "lean":  "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
      ],
      "tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
    }
  ]
}

User brief (JSON)

{
    "event": {
        "id": 4416,
        "sport": "baseball",
        "venue": null,
        "league": "MLB",
        "starts_at": "2026-06-20T20:10:00+00:00",
        "starts_at_human": "Sat, 20 Jun 2026 20:10:00 GMT"
    },
    "teams": {
        "away": "Milwaukee Brewers",
        "home": "Atlanta Braves"
    },
    "version": "v1",
    "built_at": "2026-06-17T05:51:07+00:00",
    "market_consensus": {
        "h2h": [],
        "note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
        "extra_markets": []
    },
    "markets_requested": [
        "h2h",
        "totals",
        "spreads",
        "first_five_innings"
    ],
    "research_directive": [
        "Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
        "recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
        "Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
        "If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
    ]
}

The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.

Research trail

What each AI looked up before picking

Unlock sources · Pro

Recent recaps

How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.

Share
Share X Reddit WhatsApp Telegram Facebook

Get the AI consensus before kickoff

Free. Pre-match alert per AI + see your picks graded as results land.

Sign up free →