Athletics vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Kickoff · Tue, Jun 30 · 01:40 GMT+0000
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
fb65abff3b8948cb…
- Kickoff
- Tue, Jun 30 · 01:40 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Over / Under · Spread · First 5 innings
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 4. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 4, in this order): h2h | totals | spreads | first_five_innings
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 7777,
"sport": "baseball",
"venue": null,
"league": "MLB",
"starts_at": "2026-06-30T01:40:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Tue, 30 Jun 2026 01:40:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Los Angeles Dodgers",
"home": "Athletics"
},
"version": "v1",
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"totals",
"spreads",
"first_five_innings"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Your call
Who wins? One tap, no signup.
AI predictions
5 markets · 5 models picked
Who picked what
16 models × 5 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
|
First five innings h2h
?
First five innings h2h
Market explanation coming soon.
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 5 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
|||||
|
Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 5 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
|||||
|
Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 5 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
|||||
|
Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 5 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
|||||
|
Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
68%
Los Angeles Dodgers |
55%
Over 8.5 |
58%
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 |
62%
Los Angeles Dodgers |
— | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
68%
Los Angeles Dodgers The Dodgers are a perennial contender with superior roster depth and payroll, historically dominating the Athletics in interleague play. Oak...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
Over 8.5 Late-June baseball typically features good hitting conditions and reduced pitcher freshness mid-season. The Dodgers' offensive lineup usuall...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
58%
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 The Dodgers' talent advantage should manifest in a 2+ run margin more often than not against Oakland. However, a -1.5 spread is moderately s...
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
62%
Los Angeles Dodgers Early-game dominance by the Dodgers' lineup is a natural extension of their overall superiority, and starting pitchers are typically fresher...
First five innings h2h
?
First five innings h2h
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market. |
||||||
GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 5 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
|||||
|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
No pick on this market.
First five innings h2h
?
First five innings h2h
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market. |
||||||
|
GPT-4o Mini Openai |
85%
Athletics |
75%
over |
80%
Athletics |
70%
Athletics |
— | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
85%
Athletics The Los Angeles Dodgers have a superior record of 49-28, leading the National League West with a .633 winning percentage as of June 23, 2026...
🔍 researched
4 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
75%
over The Los Angeles Dodgers have demonstrated a potent offense, leading the league with an OPS of .789 as of June 12, 2026. This offensive stren...
🔍 researched
4 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
80%
Athletics Given the Dodgers' superior record and offensive capabilities, they are likely to win by at least one run, making them a strong pick against...
🔍 researched
4 sources cited
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
70%
Athletics The Dodgers' strong offense is likely to produce early runs, giving them an advantage in the first five innings.
🔍 researched
4 sources cited
First five innings h2h
?
First five innings h2h
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market. |
||||||
|
o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 5 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
|||||
Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 5 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
|||||
|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
72%
Los Angeles Dodgers |
55%
over |
68%
Los Angeles Dodgers |
65%
Los Angeles Dodgers |
— | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
72%
Los Angeles Dodgers Dodgers are a perennial contender with superior talent and pitching depth compared to the Athletics. Training data through 2025 shows consis...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Athletics home games have trended slightly higher scoring in recent years due to ballpark factors. Dodgers offense typically produces runs e...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
68%
Los Angeles Dodgers Spread aligns with moneyline expectation given Dodgers' projected edge in starting pitching and bullpen. Athletics have shown limited abilit...
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
65%
Los Angeles Dodgers Early innings often decided by starting pitchers where Dodgers hold advantage. Athletics lineup has struggled to score early against quality...
First five innings h2h
?
First five innings h2h
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market. |
||||||
Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 5 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
|||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 5 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
|||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
85%
Los Angeles Dodgers |
58%
Under 8.5 |
70%
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 |
— |
80%
Los Angeles Dodgers |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
85%
Los Angeles Dodgers Based on historical performance trends and the significant talent disparity between the Los Angeles Dodgers, consistently a top MLB contende...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
58%
Under 8.5 While the Dodgers' offense can be prolific, the Athletics typically struggle significantly to generate runs, which often keeps game totals l...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
70%
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 The Los Angeles Dodgers historically defeat weaker opponents by multiple runs, making the -1.5 run line a probable outcome. Their superior h...
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
No pick on this market.
First five innings h2h
?
First five innings h2h
Market explanation coming soon.
80%
Los Angeles Dodgers The Dodgers typically feature strong starting pitching and potent early-game offense, allowing them to establish leads in the first five inn... |
||||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
— | — | — | — | — | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
No pick on this market.
First five innings h2h
?
First five innings h2h
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market. |
||||||
DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
65%
Los Angeles Dodgers |
55%
Over 8.5 |
50%
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 |
60%
Los Angeles Dodgers |
— | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
65%
Los Angeles Dodgers The Dodgers are a perennial powerhouse with deep playoff experience and a strong roster, while the Athletics are in a rebuilding phase with...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
Over 8.5 The Dodgers boast one of the highest-scoring lineups in MLB, and the Athletics' pitching staff is below average, suggesting a high-scoring g...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
50%
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 The Dodgers are heavily favored, but covering a 1.5-run spread in baseball is never guaranteed. Given the talent gap, it's plausible but not...
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
60%
Los Angeles Dodgers The Dodgers' starting rotation is typically strong, giving them an edge in the first five innings. The Athletics lack comparable pitching de...
First five innings h2h
?
First five innings h2h
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market. |
||||||
|
Consensus |
Los Angeles Dodgers 4/5 |
Over 8.5 2/5 |
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 3/5 |
Los Angeles Dodgers 3/4 |
Los Angeles Dodgers 1/1 |
|
Match winner
ConsensusLos Angeles Dodgers 4/5
Claude Haiku 4.5
68%
Los Angeles Dodgers
The Dodgers are a perennial contender with superior roster depth and payroll, historically dominating the Athletics in interleague play. Oak...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
85%
Athletics
The Los Angeles Dodgers have a superior record of 49-28, leading the National League West with a .633 winning percentage as of June 23, 2026...
Grok 4 Fast
72%
Los Angeles Dodgers
Dodgers are a perennial contender with superior talent and pitching depth compared to the Athletics. Training data through 2025 shows consis...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
85%
Los Angeles Dodgers
Based on historical performance trends and the significant talent disparity between the Los Angeles Dodgers, consistently a top MLB contende...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
DeepSeek V3
65%
Los Angeles Dodgers
The Dodgers are a perennial powerhouse with deep playoff experience and a strong roster, while the Athletics are in a rebuilding phase with...
Over / Under
ConsensusOver 8.5 2/5
Claude Haiku 4.5
55%
Over 8.5
Late-June baseball typically features good hitting conditions and reduced pitcher freshness mid-season. The Dodgers' offensive lineup usuall...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
75%
over
The Los Angeles Dodgers have demonstrated a potent offense, leading the league with an OPS of .789 as of June 12, 2026. This offensive stren...
Grok 4 Fast
55%
over
Athletics home games have trended slightly higher scoring in recent years due to ballpark factors. Dodgers offense typically produces runs e...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
58%
Under 8.5
While the Dodgers' offense can be prolific, the Athletics typically struggle significantly to generate runs, which often keeps game totals l...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
DeepSeek V3
55%
Over 8.5
The Dodgers boast one of the highest-scoring lineups in MLB, and the Athletics' pitching staff is below average, suggesting a high-scoring g...
Spread
ConsensusLos Angeles Dodgers -1.5 3/5
Claude Haiku 4.5
58%
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5
The Dodgers' talent advantage should manifest in a 2+ run margin more often than not against Oakland. However, a -1.5 spread is moderately s...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
80%
Athletics
Given the Dodgers' superior record and offensive capabilities, they are likely to win by at least one run, making them a strong pick against...
Grok 4 Fast
68%
Los Angeles Dodgers
Spread aligns with moneyline expectation given Dodgers' projected edge in starting pitching and bullpen. Athletics have shown limited abilit...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
70%
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5
The Los Angeles Dodgers historically defeat weaker opponents by multiple runs, making the -1.5 run line a probable outcome. Their superior h...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
DeepSeek V3
50%
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5
The Dodgers are heavily favored, but covering a 1.5-run spread in baseball is never guaranteed. Given the talent gap, it's plausible but not...
First 5 innings
ConsensusLos Angeles Dodgers 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
62%
Los Angeles Dodgers
Early-game dominance by the Dodgers' lineup is a natural extension of their overall superiority, and starting pitchers are typically fresher...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
70%
Athletics
The Dodgers' strong offense is likely to produce early runs, giving them an advantage in the first five innings.
Grok 4 Fast
65%
Los Angeles Dodgers
Early innings often decided by starting pitchers where Dodgers hold advantage. Athletics lineup has struggled to score early against quality...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
DeepSeek V3
60%
Los Angeles Dodgers
The Dodgers' starting rotation is typically strong, giving them an edge in the first five innings. The Athletics lack comparable pitching de...
First five innings h2h
ConsensusLos Angeles Dodgers 1/1
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
—
Gemini 2.5 Flash
80%
Los Angeles Dodgers
The Dodgers typically feature strong starting pitching and potent early-game offense, allowing them to establish leads in the first five inn...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
DeepSeek V3
—
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Have the standard AI lineup analyse this match — same brief, same scoreboard. Predictions appear publicly once the run finishes.
Research trail
What each AI looked up before picking
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
4 tool calls · 4 sources
4 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
Results settle automatically once the final score lands. Picks are permanent — no hindsight edits.
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
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