Antonio Plazibat vs Anis Bouzid
ABKickoff · Sat, Jun 13 · 19:29 GMT+0000
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
df0208784bcff080…
- Sport
- Sat, Jun 13 · 19:29 GMT+0000
- Markets
- h2h · method_finish · goes_distance · round_group
- Source
- The Odds API · live
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 4. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 4, in this order): h2h | method_finish | goes_distance | round_group
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 3586,
"sport": "mma",
"venue": null,
"league": "MMA",
"starts_at": "2026-06-13T14:30:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Sat, 13 Jun 2026 14:30:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Anis Bouzid",
"home": "Antonio Plazibat"
},
"version": "v1",
"built_at": "2026-06-12T18:52:53+00:00",
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": {
"away": 2.4,
"home": 1.5
},
"note": "Bookmaker consensus odds at the moment of the call. Frozen here so settlement grades against the same line.",
"extra_markets": {
"h2h": [
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.5,
"outcome": "Antonio Plazibat"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.4,
"outcome": "Anis Bouzid"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.5,
"outcome": "Antonio Plazibat"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.4,
"outcome": "Anis Bouzid"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.5,
"outcome": "Antonio Plazibat"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.4,
"outcome": "Anis Bouzid"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.5,
"outcome": "Antonio Plazibat"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.4,
"outcome": "Anis Bouzid"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.5,
"outcome": "Antonio Plazibat"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.4,
"outcome": "Anis Bouzid"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.5,
"outcome": "Antonio Plazibat"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.4,
"outcome": "Anis Bouzid"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.5,
"outcome": "Antonio Plazibat"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.4,
"outcome": "Anis Bouzid"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.5,
"outcome": "Antonio Plazibat"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.4,
"outcome": "Anis Bouzid"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.5,
"outcome": "Antonio Plazibat"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.4,
"outcome": "Anis Bouzid"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.5,
"outcome": "Antonio Plazibat"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.4,
"outcome": "Anis Bouzid"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.5,
"outcome": "Antonio Plazibat"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.4,
"outcome": "Anis Bouzid"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.5,
"outcome": "Antonio Plazibat"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.4,
"outcome": "Anis Bouzid"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.5,
"outcome": "Antonio Plazibat"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.4,
"outcome": "Anis Bouzid"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.5,
"outcome": "Antonio Plazibat"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.4,
"outcome": "Anis Bouzid"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.5,
"outcome": "Antonio Plazibat"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.4,
"outcome": "Anis Bouzid"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.5,
"outcome": "Antonio Plazibat"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.4,
"outcome": "Anis Bouzid"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.5,
"outcome": "Antonio Plazibat"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.4,
"outcome": "Anis Bouzid"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.5,
"outcome": "Antonio Plazibat"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.4,
"outcome": "Anis Bouzid"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.5,
"outcome": "Antonio Plazibat"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.4,
"outcome": "Anis Bouzid"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.5,
"outcome": "Antonio Plazibat"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.4,
"outcome": "Anis Bouzid"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.5,
"outcome": "Antonio Plazibat"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.4,
"outcome": "Anis Bouzid"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.5,
"outcome": "Antonio Plazibat"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.4,
"outcome": "Anis Bouzid"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.5,
"outcome": "Antonio Plazibat"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.4,
"outcome": "Anis Bouzid"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.5,
"outcome": "Antonio Plazibat"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.4,
"outcome": "Anis Bouzid"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.5,
"outcome": "Antonio Plazibat"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.4,
"outcome": "Anis Bouzid"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.5,
"outcome": "Antonio Plazibat"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.4,
"outcome": "Anis Bouzid"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.5,
"outcome": "Antonio Plazibat"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.4,
"outcome": "Anis Bouzid"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.5,
"outcome": "Antonio Plazibat"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.4,
"outcome": "Anis Bouzid"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.5,
"outcome": "Antonio Plazibat"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.4,
"outcome": "Anis Bouzid"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.5,
"outcome": "Antonio Plazibat"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.4,
"outcome": "Anis Bouzid"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.5,
"outcome": "Antonio Plazibat"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.4,
"outcome": "Anis Bouzid"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.5,
"outcome": "Antonio Plazibat"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.4,
"outcome": "Anis Bouzid"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.7,
"outcome": "Antonio Plazibat"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2,
"outcome": "Anis Bouzid"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.7,
"outcome": "Antonio Plazibat"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2,
"outcome": "Anis Bouzid"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.7,
"outcome": "Antonio Plazibat"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2,
"outcome": "Anis Bouzid"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.7,
"outcome": "Antonio Plazibat"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2,
"outcome": "Anis Bouzid"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.7,
"outcome": "Antonio Plazibat"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2,
"outcome": "Anis Bouzid"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.7,
"outcome": "Antonio Plazibat"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2,
"outcome": "Anis Bouzid"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.7,
"outcome": "Antonio Plazibat"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2,
"outcome": "Anis Bouzid"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.7,
"outcome": "Antonio Plazibat"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2,
"outcome": "Anis Bouzid"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.7,
"outcome": "Antonio Plazibat"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2,
"outcome": "Anis Bouzid"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.7,
"outcome": "Antonio Plazibat"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2,
"outcome": "Anis Bouzid"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.7,
"outcome": "Antonio Plazibat"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2,
"outcome": "Anis Bouzid"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.7,
"outcome": "Antonio Plazibat"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2,
"outcome": "Anis Bouzid"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.7,
"outcome": "Antonio Plazibat"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2,
"outcome": "Anis Bouzid"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.7,
"outcome": "Antonio Plazibat"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2,
"outcome": "Anis Bouzid"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.7,
"outcome": "Antonio Plazibat"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2,
"outcome": "Anis Bouzid"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.7,
"outcome": "Antonio Plazibat"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2,
"outcome": "Anis Bouzid"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.7,
"outcome": "Antonio Plazibat"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2,
"outcome": "Anis Bouzid"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.7,
"outcome": "Antonio Plazibat"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2,
"outcome": "Anis Bouzid"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.7,
"outcome": "Antonio Plazibat"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2,
"outcome": "Anis Bouzid"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.7,
"outcome": "Antonio Plazibat"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2,
"outcome": "Anis Bouzid"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.7,
"outcome": "Antonio Plazibat"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2,
"outcome": "Anis Bouzid"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.7,
"outcome": "Antonio Plazibat"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2,
"outcome": "Anis Bouzid"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.7,
"outcome": "Antonio Plazibat"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2,
"outcome": "Anis Bouzid"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.7,
"outcome": "Antonio Plazibat"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2,
"outcome": "Anis Bouzid"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.7,
"outcome": "Antonio Plazibat"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2,
"outcome": "Anis Bouzid"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.7,
"outcome": "Antonio Plazibat"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2,
"outcome": "Anis Bouzid"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.7,
"outcome": "Antonio Plazibat"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2,
"outcome": "Anis Bouzid"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.7,
"outcome": "Antonio Plazibat"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2,
"outcome": "Anis Bouzid"
}
]
}
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"method_finish",
"goes_distance",
"round_group"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
AI predictions
4 markets · 6 models picked
Who picked what
15 models × 4 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Method of victory
?
Method of victory
How the fight ends. KO/TKO, submission, decision, etc.
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
book: Anis Bouzid 74% |
Goes the distance
?
Goes the distance
Goes the distance. Does the fight reach the final scheduled round.
|
Round group
?
Round group
Market explanation coming soon.
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic · 4-5 -1.2u |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||
|
Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic · 5-5 -0.3u |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||
|
Claude Opus 4 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||
|
Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic · 125-128 -87.1u |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||
|
Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic · 168-149 -107.9u |
55%
Decision |
68%
Antonio Plazibat
~1.50
|
62%
Yes |
50%
Round 3 / Decision |
|
|
Method of victory
?
Method of victory
How the fight ends. KO/TKO, submission, decision, etc.
55%
Decision Without access to recent fight tapes or camp profiles, I assign moderate confidence to Decision based on typical middleweight bouts in moder...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
68%
Antonio Plazibat Market consensus heavily favors Plazibat at 1.5–1.7 odds, implying ~59–67% implied probability. Without live fighter data, I rely on trainin...
Odds: 1.50
Edge: +1.3%
Goes the distance
?
Goes the distance
Goes the distance. Does the fight reach the final scheduled round.
62%
Yes Aligns with the Decision prediction. Plazibat's perceived technical skill and Bouzid's lack of elite finishing pedigree suggest the fight wi...
Round group
?
Round group
Market explanation coming soon.
50%
Round 3 / Decision Assuming a standard three-round middleweight fight, Round 3 is the most likely container for a finish or the decision itself, given the mode... |
|||||
GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||
|
GPT-5 Mini Openai · 30-17 +24.4u |
— | — | — | — | |
|
Method of victory
?
Method of victory
How the fight ends. KO/TKO, submission, decision, etc.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Goes the distance
?
Goes the distance
Goes the distance. Does the fight reach the final scheduled round.
No pick on this market.
Round group
?
Round group
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market. |
|||||
|
GPT-4o Mini Openai · 34-47 -25.2u |
— | — | — | — | |
|
Method of victory
?
Method of victory
How the fight ends. KO/TKO, submission, decision, etc.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Goes the distance
?
Goes the distance
Goes the distance. Does the fight reach the final scheduled round.
No pick on this market.
Round group
?
Round group
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market. |
|||||
|
o3 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||
Grok 4 Heavy FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||
|
Grok 4 Fast Xai · 112-170 -91.3u |
55%
KO/TKO |
62%
Antonio Plazibat
~1.50
|
58%
No |
48%
Rounds 1-2 |
|
|
Method of victory
?
Method of victory
How the fight ends. KO/TKO, submission, decision, etc.
55%
KO/TKO Plazibat's kickboxing background points to a finish via strikes rather than grappling. Training data indicates he has finished several oppon...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
62%
Antonio Plazibat Plazibat is the clear betting favorite at 1.5 implying ~67% implied probability and his experience edge should carry the day. Training data...
Odds: 1.50
Edge: -4.7%
Goes the distance
?
Goes the distance
Goes the distance. Does the fight reach the final scheduled round.
58%
No With Plazibat favored to win via finish the fight is projected to end before the final bell. His power advantage makes a decision less likel...
Round group
?
Round group
Market explanation coming soon.
48%
Rounds 1-2 Plazibat tends to impose his striking early which raises the chance of a finish inside two rounds. Training knowledge shows most of his wins... |
|||||
Gemini 2.5 Pro FlagshipGoogle · 4-7 -1.8u |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash Google · 135-151 -121.4u |
60%
KO/TKO |
68%
Antonio Plazibat
~1.50
|
72%
No |
35%
Round 1 |
|
|
Method of victory
?
Method of victory
How the fight ends. KO/TKO, submission, decision, etc.
60%
KO/TKO Given Antonio Plazibat's renowned kickboxing prowess and knockout power, a KO/TKO victory is the most probable outcome. He typically looks t...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
68%
Antonio Plazibat Antonio Plazibat is widely recognized for his elite-level kickboxing and powerful striking, making him a formidable opponent. The market con...
Odds: 1.50
Edge: +1.3%
Goes the distance
?
Goes the distance
Goes the distance. Does the fight reach the final scheduled round.
72%
No Due to Antonio Plazibat's high likelihood of winning by KO/TKO, it is expected that the fight will not go the full distance. His powerful st...
Round group
?
Round group
Market explanation coming soon.
35%
Round 1 Considering Antonio Plazibat's reputation for devastating striking power and early finishes, the first round is a strong candidate for the f... |
|||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Google · 65-141 -96.1u |
55%
KO/TKO |
65%
Antonio Plazibat
~1.50
|
55%
No |
50%
1-2 |
|
|
Method of victory
?
Method of victory
How the fight ends. KO/TKO, submission, decision, etc.
55%
KO/TKO Both fighters possess knockout power, but Plazibat's aggressive style and consistent finishing ability via strikes make this the most probab...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
65%
Antonio Plazibat Antonio Plazibat is a highly regarded heavyweight with significant knockout power, demonstrated by his professional record. Anis Bouzid is a...
Odds: 1.50
Edge: -1.7%
Goes the distance
?
Goes the distance
Goes the distance. Does the fight reach the final scheduled round.
55%
No Given Plazibat's significant power and aggressive approach, and the general nature of heavyweight MMA fights, it is more likely that this bo...
Round group
?
Round group
Market explanation coming soon.
50%
1-2 Antonio Plazibat's ability to finish fights early, combined with his power, suggests a strong possibility of a stoppage within the first two... |
|||||
DeepSeek V3 Deepseek · 136-147 -106.2u |
50%
KO/TKO |
65%
Antonio Plazibat
~1.50
|
55%
No |
45%
Round 1-2 |
|
|
Method of victory
?
Method of victory
How the fight ends. KO/TKO, submission, decision, etc.
50%
KO/TKO Plazibat is a heavy-handed striker with 14 of his 20 wins by KO/TKO, while Bouzid has a lower knockout rate. Given both fighters' striking b...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
65%
Antonio Plazibat Antonio Plazibat is a Croatian kickboxer with extensive experience in Glory, while Anis Bouzid is less known on the major stage. Plazibat's...
Odds: 1.50
Edge: -1.7%
Goes the distance
?
Goes the distance
Goes the distance. Does the fight reach the final scheduled round.
55%
No Plazibat's high knockout power and aggressive style often lead to early finishes. However, Bouzid has gone the distance in multiple fights,...
Round group
?
Round group
Market explanation coming soon.
45%
Round 1-2 Plazibat typically finishes early when he wins, with many KOs in the first two rounds. Bouzid may weather the storm early, but round 1-2 is... |
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Consensus |
KO/TKO 5/6 |
Antonio Plazibat 6/6 |
No 5/6 |
Rounds 1-2 2/6 |
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Bookmaker line |
— |
Anis Bouzid 74% |
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Bookmaker odds
2 books · sharp books pinned · best price highlighted
| Book | Antonio Plazibat | Draw | Anis Bouzid |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grosvenor | 3.00 | — | 1.35 |
| Leovegas | 3.00 | — | 1.35 |
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|
| Book | Antonio Plazibat | Anis Bouzid |
|---|
Line movement (h2h)
Each line = one bookmaker · sharp books pinned first
Antonio Plazibat Anis Bouzid
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