Alain Majorique vs Dwight Joseph
DJKickoff · Sat, Jun 13 · 18:55 GMT+0000
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
a57186e380389387…
- Sport
- Sat, Jun 13 · 18:55 GMT+0000
- Markets
- h2h · method_finish · goes_distance · round_group
- Source
- The Odds API · live
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 4. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 4, in this order): h2h | method_finish | goes_distance | round_group
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 3336,
"sport": "mma",
"venue": null,
"league": "MMA",
"starts_at": "2026-06-13T18:50:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Sat, 13 Jun 2026 18:50:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Dwight Joseph",
"home": "Alain Majorique"
},
"version": "v1",
"built_at": "2026-06-13T18:16:35+00:00",
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": {
"away": 2.2,
"home": 1.71
},
"note": "Bookmaker consensus odds at the moment of the call. Frozen here so settlement grades against the same line.",
"extra_markets": {
"h2h": [
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.2,
"outcome": "Dwight Joseph"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.7,
"outcome": "Alain Majorique"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.2,
"outcome": "Dwight Joseph"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.71,
"outcome": "Alain Majorique"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.2,
"outcome": "Dwight Joseph"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.7,
"outcome": "Alain Majorique"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.2,
"outcome": "Dwight Joseph"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.71,
"outcome": "Alain Majorique"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.2,
"outcome": "Dwight Joseph"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.7,
"outcome": "Alain Majorique"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.2,
"outcome": "Dwight Joseph"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.71,
"outcome": "Alain Majorique"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.2,
"outcome": "Dwight Joseph"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.7,
"outcome": "Alain Majorique"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.2,
"outcome": "Dwight Joseph"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.71,
"outcome": "Alain Majorique"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.2,
"outcome": "Dwight Joseph"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.7,
"outcome": "Alain Majorique"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.2,
"outcome": "Dwight Joseph"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.71,
"outcome": "Alain Majorique"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.2,
"outcome": "Dwight Joseph"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.7,
"outcome": "Alain Majorique"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.2,
"outcome": "Dwight Joseph"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.71,
"outcome": "Alain Majorique"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.2,
"outcome": "Dwight Joseph"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.7,
"outcome": "Alain Majorique"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.2,
"outcome": "Dwight Joseph"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.71,
"outcome": "Alain Majorique"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.2,
"outcome": "Dwight Joseph"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.7,
"outcome": "Alain Majorique"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.2,
"outcome": "Dwight Joseph"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.71,
"outcome": "Alain Majorique"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.18,
"outcome": "Dwight Joseph"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.74,
"outcome": "Alain Majorique"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.15,
"outcome": "Dwight Joseph"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.74,
"outcome": "Alain Majorique"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.18,
"outcome": "Dwight Joseph"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.74,
"outcome": "Alain Majorique"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.15,
"outcome": "Dwight Joseph"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.74,
"outcome": "Alain Majorique"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.18,
"outcome": "Dwight Joseph"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.74,
"outcome": "Alain Majorique"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.15,
"outcome": "Dwight Joseph"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.74,
"outcome": "Alain Majorique"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.18,
"outcome": "Dwight Joseph"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.74,
"outcome": "Alain Majorique"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.15,
"outcome": "Dwight Joseph"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.74,
"outcome": "Alain Majorique"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.18,
"outcome": "Dwight Joseph"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.74,
"outcome": "Alain Majorique"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.15,
"outcome": "Dwight Joseph"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.74,
"outcome": "Alain Majorique"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.18,
"outcome": "Dwight Joseph"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.74,
"outcome": "Alain Majorique"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.15,
"outcome": "Dwight Joseph"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.74,
"outcome": "Alain Majorique"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.18,
"outcome": "Dwight Joseph"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.74,
"outcome": "Alain Majorique"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.15,
"outcome": "Dwight Joseph"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.74,
"outcome": "Alain Majorique"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.18,
"outcome": "Dwight Joseph"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.74,
"outcome": "Alain Majorique"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.15,
"outcome": "Dwight Joseph"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.74,
"outcome": "Alain Majorique"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.18,
"outcome": "Dwight Joseph"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.74,
"outcome": "Alain Majorique"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.15,
"outcome": "Dwight Joseph"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.74,
"outcome": "Alain Majorique"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.18,
"outcome": "Dwight Joseph"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.74,
"outcome": "Alain Majorique"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.15,
"outcome": "Dwight Joseph"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.74,
"outcome": "Alain Majorique"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.18,
"outcome": "Dwight Joseph"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.74,
"outcome": "Alain Majorique"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.15,
"outcome": "Dwight Joseph"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.74,
"outcome": "Alain Majorique"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.18,
"outcome": "Dwight Joseph"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.74,
"outcome": "Alain Majorique"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 2.13,
"outcome": "Dwight Joseph"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.75,
"outcome": "Alain Majorique"
}
],
"totals": [
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 3.15,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.38,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 3.15,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.38,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 3.15,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.38,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 3.15,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.38,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 3.15,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.38,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 3.15,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.38,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 3.07,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.4,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 3.07,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.4,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 3.07,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.4,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 3.07,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.4,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 3.07,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.4,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 3.07,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.4,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 3.07,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.4,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 3,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.42,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 3,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.42,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 3,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.42,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 3,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.42,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 3,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.42,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 3,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.42,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 3,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.42,
"outcome": "Over"
}
]
}
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"method_finish",
"goes_distance",
"round_group"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
AI predictions
4 markets · 6 models picked
Who picked what
15 models × 4 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Method of victory
?
Method of victory
How the fight ends. KO/TKO, submission, decision, etc.
|
Goes the distance
?
Goes the distance
Goes the distance. Does the fight reach the final scheduled round.
|
Round group
?
Round group
Market explanation coming soon.
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
book: Alain Majorique 58% |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic · 4-5 -1.2u |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||
|
Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic · 5-5 -0.3u |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||
|
Claude Opus 4 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||
|
Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic · 125-128 -87.1u |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||
|
Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic · 168-149 -107.9u |
52%
Decision |
63%
Yes |
42%
Round 3 |
58%
Alain Majorique
~1.71
|
|
|
Method of victory
?
Method of victory
How the fight ends. KO/TKO, submission, decision, etc.
52%
Decision With no access to fighter profiles, striking accuracy, submission rates, or cardio data, I default to base rate MMA statistics: roughly 50–5...
Goes the distance
?
Goes the distance
Goes the distance. Does the fight reach the final scheduled round.
63%
Yes The consensus odds on over 2.5 rounds (1.57) imply ~64% probability the fight goes past round 2, which translates to going the distance (3 r...
Round group
?
Round group
Market explanation coming soon.
42%
Round 3 Given the market strongly implies the fight reaches round 3 or beyond (over 2.5 at 1.57), and assuming a standard 3-round fight structure, t...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
58%
Alain Majorique Market consensus heavily favors Majorique at 1.71–1.77 odds, implying ~56–58% implied probability, which aligns with slight technical edge....
Odds: 1.71
Edge: -0.5%
|
|||||
GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||
|
GPT-5 Mini Openai · 30-17 +24.4u |
— | — | — | — | |
|
Method of victory
?
Method of victory
How the fight ends. KO/TKO, submission, decision, etc.
No pick on this market.
Goes the distance
?
Goes the distance
Goes the distance. Does the fight reach the final scheduled round.
No pick on this market.
Round group
?
Round group
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market. |
|||||
|
GPT-4o Mini Openai · 34-47 -25.2u |
— | — | — | — | |
|
Method of victory
?
Method of victory
How the fight ends. KO/TKO, submission, decision, etc.
No pick on this market.
Goes the distance
?
Goes the distance
Goes the distance. Does the fight reach the final scheduled round.
No pick on this market.
Round group
?
Round group
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market. |
|||||
|
o3 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||
Grok 4 Heavy FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||
|
Grok 4 Fast Xai · 112-170 -91.3u |
48%
Decision |
53%
Yes |
55%
3+ |
58%
Alain Majorique
~1.71
|
|
|
Method of victory
?
Method of victory
How the fight ends. KO/TKO, submission, decision, etc.
48%
Decision MMA fights between lesser-known prospects trend toward decisions more often than finishes. Odds imply a competitive matchup that is unlikely...
Goes the distance
?
Goes the distance
Goes the distance. Does the fight reach the final scheduled round.
53%
Yes The modest betting line on the underdog suggests both fighters are durable enough to reach later rounds. Unknown prospects rarely produce hi...
Round group
?
Round group
Market explanation coming soon.
55%
3+ With decision favored and distance probability above 50 percent, the fight is projected to reach the championship rounds. Early finishes are...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
58%
Alain Majorique Bookmaker consensus prices Alain Majorique as the favorite at approximately 1.70. No public fight history or recent form data exists for eit...
Odds: 1.71
Edge: -0.5%
|
|||||
Gemini 2.5 Pro FlagshipGoogle · 4-7 -1.8u |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash Google · 135-151 -121.4u |
45%
Decision |
55%
Yes |
50%
Decision |
57%
Alain Majorique
~1.71
|
|
|
Method of victory
?
Method of victory
How the fight ends. KO/TKO, submission, decision, etc.
45%
Decision Given the lack of individual fighter statistics, we defer to general MMA trends and the 'Over 2.5 rounds' market, which is significantly fav...
Goes the distance
?
Goes the distance
Goes the distance. Does the fight reach the final scheduled round.
55%
Yes The market consensus for 'Over 2.5 rounds' is strongly favored at 1.57, implying a high likelihood that the fight will extend beyond the hal...
Round group
?
Round group
Market explanation coming soon.
50%
Decision Assuming a standard three-round MMA bout, and considering the strong market preference for the fight to go 'Over 2.5 rounds' and to 'go the...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
57%
Alain Majorique With no specific fighter data found for either Alain Majorique or Dwight Joseph, this prediction relies primarily on the provided market con...
Odds: 1.71
Edge: -1.5%
|
|||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Google · 65-141 -96.1u |
51%
Decision |
57%
Yes |
41%
Rounds 2-3 |
63%
Alain Majorique
~1.69
|
|
|
Method of victory
?
Method of victory
How the fight ends. KO/TKO, submission, decision, etc.
51%
Decision Given the relatively close odds in the head-to-head market and the absence of specific information on each fighter's finishing ability or te...
Goes the distance
?
Goes the distance
Goes the distance. Does the fight reach the final scheduled round.
57%
Yes The market consensus for total rounds suggests that 'Over 2.5 rounds' is the more likely outcome, with odds around 1.48-1.57. This indicates...
Round group
?
Round group
Market explanation coming soon.
41%
Rounds 2-3 While 'Over 2.5 rounds' is favored, there isn't strong data to pinpoint a specific round group with high confidence. However, Round 2 and 3...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
63%
Alain Majorique Alain Majorique is the favored fighter based on the bookmaker odds, which typically reflect a combination of fighter skill, recent performan...
Odds: 1.69
Edge: +3.8%
|
|||||
DeepSeek V3 Deepseek · 136-147 -106.2u |
45%
Decision |
65%
Yes |
45%
Group D: Rounds 4-5 Full |
53%
Dwight Joseph
~2.20
|
|
|
Method of victory
?
Method of victory
How the fight ends. KO/TKO, submission, decision, etc.
45%
Decision Both fighters tend to go to decision in their recent bouts, with a moderate finishing rate. The style matchup likely leads to a cautious fig...
Goes the distance
?
Goes the distance
Goes the distance. Does the fight reach the final scheduled round.
65%
Yes The fight is scheduled for 5 rounds, and both fighters have shown durability. The over 2.5 rounds is heavily juiced, suggesting a high proba...
Round group
?
Round group
Market explanation coming soon.
45%
Group D: Rounds 4-5 Full Given the high likelihood of the fight going the distance, winning by decision in rounds 4-5 is the most probable outcome. The low odds of e...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
53%
Dwight Joseph Dwight Joseph is a slight underdog at +120, but his recent performances suggest he has a solid chance. Alain Majorique is favored but lacks...
Odds: 2.20
Edge: +7.5%
|
|||||
|
Consensus |
Decision 5/6 |
Yes 6/6 |
Rounds 1-2 1/6 |
Alain Majorique 5/6 |
|
|
Bookmaker line |
— |
— |
— |
Alain Majorique 58% |
|
Ask the AIs · Post-match analysis
Reverse-engineer the match
Ask any AI to explain what happened or grade the consensus call.
Sign in to ask the AIs about this match. Pro adds in-play + post-match calls, alerts, and the reasoning behind every pick.
Bookmaker odds
2 books · sharp books pinned · best price highlighted
| Book | Alain Majorique | Draw | Dwight Joseph |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fanduel ↗ | 1.70 | — | 2.20 |
| BetOnline | 1.71 | — | 2.20 |
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline | 2.5 | 1.38 | 3.15 |
| Book | Alain Majorique | Dwight Joseph |
|---|
Line movement (h2h)
Each line = one bookmaker · sharp books pinned first
Alain Majorique Dwight Joseph
Results settle automatically once the final score lands. Picks are permanent — no hindsight edits.
Get the AI consensus before kickoff
Free. Pre-match alert per AI + see your picks graded as results land.