Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter
KBKickoff · Thu, Jun 11 · 13:30 GMT+0000
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
aefec3f5a0435a98…
- Sport
- Thu, Jun 11 · 13:30 GMT+0000
- Markets
- h2h · totals_sets · totals_games
- Source
- The Odds API · live
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- Pick exactly one outcome per requested market.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Markets to predict (omit any you cannot pick from the brief): h2h | totals_sets | totals_games
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"version": "v1",
"built_at": "2026-06-10T18:23:53+00:00",
"event": {
"id": 480,
"sport": "tennis",
"league": "WTA Queen's Club Championships",
"starts_at": "2026-06-11T13:30:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Thu, 11 Jun 2026 13:30:00 GMT",
"venue": null
},
"teams": {
"home": "Jaqueline Cristian",
"away": "Katie Boulter"
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": {
"home": 2.94,
"away": 1.53
},
"extra_markets": {
"totals": [
{
"point": 22.5,
"outcome": "Under",
"price": 1.79
},
{
"point": 22.5,
"outcome": "Over",
"price": 2.06
},
{
"point": 22.5,
"outcome": "Under",
"price": 1.79
},
{
"point": 22.5,
"outcome": "Over",
"price": 2.06
},
{
"point": 21.5,
"outcome": "Under",
"price": 1.92
},
{
"point": 21.5,
"outcome": "Over",
"price": 1.93
},
{
"point": 21.5,
"outcome": "Under",
"price": 1.87
},
{
"point": 21.5,
"outcome": "Over",
"price": 1.87
},
{
"point": 22.5,
"outcome": "Under",
"price": 1.79
},
{
"point": 22.5,
"outcome": "Over",
"price": 1.96
},
{
"point": 21.5,
"outcome": "Under",
"price": 1.88
},
{
"point": 21.5,
"outcome": "Over",
"price": 1.87
},
{
"point": 21.5,
"outcome": "Under",
"price": 1.86
},
{
"point": 21.5,
"outcome": "Over",
"price": 1.85
},
{
"point": 21.5,
"outcome": "Under",
"price": 1.91
},
{
"point": 21.5,
"outcome": "Over",
"price": 1.91
},
{
"point": 21.5,
"outcome": "Under",
"price": 1.88
},
{
"point": 21.5,
"outcome": "Over",
"price": 1.87
},
{
"point": 21.5,
"outcome": "Under",
"price": 1.77
},
{
"point": 21.5,
"outcome": "Over",
"price": 1.75
},
{
"point": 21.5,
"outcome": "Under",
"price": 1.88
},
{
"point": 21.5,
"outcome": "Over",
"price": 1.87
},
{
"point": 21.5,
"outcome": "Under",
"price": 1.88
},
{
"point": 21.5,
"outcome": "Over",
"price": 1.87
}
],
"spreads": [
{
"point": -3.5,
"outcome": "Katie Boulter",
"price": 1.95
},
{
"point": 3.5,
"outcome": "Jaqueline Cristian",
"price": 1.87
},
{
"point": -3.5,
"outcome": "Katie Boulter",
"price": 1.95
},
{
"point": 3.5,
"outcome": "Jaqueline Cristian",
"price": 1.87
},
{
"point": -3,
"outcome": "Katie Boulter",
"price": 1.87
},
{
"point": 3,
"outcome": "Jaqueline Cristian",
"price": 1.98
},
{
"point": -3,
"outcome": "Katie Boulter",
"price": 1.83
},
{
"point": 3,
"outcome": "Jaqueline Cristian",
"price": 1.91
},
{
"point": -3.5,
"outcome": "Katie Boulter",
"price": 1.87
},
{
"point": 3.5,
"outcome": "Jaqueline Cristian",
"price": 1.87
},
{
"point": -3.5,
"outcome": "Katie Boulter",
"price": 1.96
},
{
"point": 3.5,
"outcome": "Jaqueline Cristian",
"price": 1.8
},
{
"point": -3.5,
"outcome": "Katie Boulter",
"price": 1.98
},
{
"point": 3.5,
"outcome": "Jaqueline Cristian",
"price": 1.84
},
{
"point": -3.5,
"outcome": "Katie Boulter",
"price": 1.96
},
{
"point": 3.5,
"outcome": "Jaqueline Cristian",
"price": 1.8
},
{
"point": -3.5,
"outcome": "Katie Boulter",
"price": 1.83
},
{
"point": 3.5,
"outcome": "Jaqueline Cristian",
"price": 1.68
},
{
"point": -3.5,
"outcome": "Katie Boulter",
"price": 1.96
},
{
"point": 3.5,
"outcome": "Jaqueline Cristian",
"price": 1.8
},
{
"point": -3.5,
"outcome": "Katie Boulter",
"price": 1.96
},
{
"point": 3.5,
"outcome": "Jaqueline Cristian",
"price": 1.8
}
],
"h2h": [
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Katie Boulter",
"price": 1.53
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Jaqueline Cristian",
"price": 2.62
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Katie Boulter",
"price": 1.53
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Jaqueline Cristian",
"price": 2.62
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Katie Boulter",
"price": 1.51
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Jaqueline Cristian",
"price": 2.7
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Katie Boulter",
"price": 1.5
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Jaqueline Cristian",
"price": 2.65
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Katie Boulter",
"price": 1.48
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Jaqueline Cristian",
"price": 2.5
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Katie Boulter",
"price": 1.5
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Jaqueline Cristian",
"price": 2.54
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Katie Boulter",
"price": 1.48
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Jaqueline Cristian",
"price": 2.5
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Katie Boulter",
"price": 1.51
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Jaqueline Cristian",
"price": 2.65
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Katie Boulter",
"price": 1.44
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Jaqueline Cristian",
"price": 2.6
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Katie Boulter",
"price": 1.45
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Jaqueline Cristian",
"price": 2.6
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Katie Boulter",
"price": 1.5
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Jaqueline Cristian",
"price": 2.62
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Katie Boulter",
"price": 1.49
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Jaqueline Cristian",
"price": 2.5
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Katie Boulter",
"price": 1.5
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Jaqueline Cristian",
"price": 2.6
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Katie Boulter",
"price": 1.44
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Jaqueline Cristian",
"price": 2.62
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Katie Boulter",
"price": 1.47
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Jaqueline Cristian",
"price": 2.72
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Katie Boulter",
"price": 1.5
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Jaqueline Cristian",
"price": 2.55
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Katie Boulter",
"price": 1.47
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Jaqueline Cristian",
"price": 2.65
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Katie Boulter",
"price": 1.48
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Jaqueline Cristian",
"price": 2.65
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Katie Boulter",
"price": 1.5
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Jaqueline Cristian",
"price": 2.63
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Katie Boulter",
"price": 1.46
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Jaqueline Cristian",
"price": 2.74
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Katie Boulter",
"price": 1.45
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Jaqueline Cristian",
"price": 2.6
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Katie Boulter",
"price": 1.5
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Jaqueline Cristian",
"price": 2.55
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Katie Boulter",
"price": 1.5
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Jaqueline Cristian",
"price": 2.6
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Katie Boulter",
"price": 1.5
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Jaqueline Cristian",
"price": 2.55
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Katie Boulter",
"price": 1.47
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Jaqueline Cristian",
"price": 2.65
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Katie Boulter",
"price": 1.48
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Jaqueline Cristian",
"price": 2.48
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Katie Boulter",
"price": 1.49
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Jaqueline Cristian",
"price": 2.5
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Katie Boulter",
"price": 1.5
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Jaqueline Cristian",
"price": 2.55
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Katie Boulter",
"price": 1.5
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Jaqueline Cristian",
"price": 2.55
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Katie Boulter",
"price": 1.5
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Jaqueline Cristian",
"price": 2.55
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Katie Boulter",
"price": 1.5
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Jaqueline Cristian",
"price": 2.92
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Katie Boulter",
"price": 1.45
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Jaqueline Cristian",
"price": 2.55
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Katie Boulter",
"price": 1.47
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Jaqueline Cristian",
"price": 2.86
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Katie Boulter",
"price": 1.5
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Jaqueline Cristian",
"price": 2.55
}
],
"h2h_lay": [
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Katie Boulter",
"price": 1.52
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Jaqueline Cristian",
"price": 3
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Katie Boulter",
"price": 1.55
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Jaqueline Cristian",
"price": 3.05
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Katie Boulter",
"price": 1.52
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Jaqueline Cristian",
"price": 3
}
]
},
"note": "Bookmaker consensus odds at the moment of the call. Frozen here so settlement grades against the same line."
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"totals_sets",
"totals_games"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
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Bookmaker odds
41 books · sharp books pinned · best price highlighted
| Book | Jaqueline Cristian | Draw | Katie Boulter |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.70 | — | 1.51 |
| Draftkings | 2.74 | — | 1.46 |
| Fanduel | 2.72 | — | 1.47 |
| Betmgm | 2.54 | — | 1.50 |
| William Hill | 2.60 | — | 1.50 |
| Betfair Exchange UK | 2.92 | — | 1.50 |
| Betfair Exchange EU | 2.92 | — | 1.50 |
| Betanysports | 2.65 | — | 1.51 |
| Betfair UK | 2.63 | — | 1.50 |
| Betfred | 2.62 | — | 1.50 |
| BetOnline | 2.62 | — | 1.53 |
| Betrivers | 2.55 | — | 1.50 |
| Betsson | 2.65 | — | 1.47 |
| Betvictor | 2.60 | — | 1.45 |
| Betway | 2.60 | — | 1.50 |
| Bovada | 2.65 | — | 1.50 |
| Casumo | 2.55 | — | 1.50 |
| Coral | 2.50 | — | 1.48 |
| Everygame | 2.60 | — | 1.44 |
| Fanatics | 2.65 | — | 1.48 |
| Grosvenor | 2.55 | — | 1.50 |
| Ladbrokes | 2.50 | — | 1.48 |
| Leovegas | 2.55 | — | 1.50 |
| Leovegas Se | 2.55 | — | 1.50 |
| Livescorebet | 2.50 | — | 1.49 |
| LowVig | 2.62 | — | 1.53 |
| Matchbook | 2.94 | — | 1.50 |
| Nordicbet | 2.65 | — | 1.47 |
| Onexbet | 2.63 | — | 1.50 |
| Paddy Power | 2.62 | — | 1.44 |
| Pmu | 2.48 | — | 1.48 |
| Skybet | 2.63 | — | 1.44 |
| Smarkets | 2.86 | — | 1.47 |
| Sport888 | 2.60 | — | 1.50 |
| Unibet | 2.55 | — | 1.45 |
| Unibet Nl | 2.55 | — | 1.50 |
| Unibet Se | 2.55 | — | 1.50 |
| Unibet | 2.60 | — | 1.45 |
| Virginbet | 2.50 | — | 1.49 |
| Winamax | 2.70 | — | 1.50 |
| Winamax | 2.65 | — | 1.47 |
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 21.5 | 1.93 | 1.92 |
| Betanysports | 22.5 | 1.96 | 1.79 |
| BetOnline | 22.5 | 2.06 | 1.79 |
| Betrivers | 21.5 | 1.87 | 1.88 |
| Bovada | 21.5 | 1.87 | 1.87 |
| Casumo | 21.5 | 1.87 | 1.88 |
| Grosvenor | 21.5 | 1.87 | 1.88 |
| LowVig | 22.5 | 2.06 | 1.79 |
| Matchbook | 21.5 | 1.92 | 1.91 |
| Nordicbet | 21.5 | 1.85 | 1.86 |
| Onexbet | 21.5 | 1.91 | 1.91 |
| Pmu | 21.5 | 1.75 | 1.77 |
| Unibet Nl | 21.5 | 1.87 | 1.88 |
| Book | Jaqueline Cristian | Katie Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | +3.0 @ 1.98 | -3.0 @ 1.87 |
| Betanysports | +3.5 @ 1.87 | -3.5 @ 1.87 |
| BetOnline | +3.5 @ 1.87 | -3.5 @ 1.95 |
| Betrivers | +3.5 @ 1.80 | -3.5 @ 1.96 |
| Bovada | +3.0 @ 1.91 | -3.0 @ 1.83 |
| Casumo | +3.5 @ 1.80 | -3.5 @ 1.96 |
| Grosvenor | +3.5 @ 1.80 | -3.5 @ 1.96 |
| LowVig | +3.5 @ 1.87 | -3.5 @ 1.95 |
| Matchbook | +3.0 @ 1.97 | -3.0 @ 1.86 |
| Onexbet | +3.5 @ 1.84 | -3.5 @ 1.98 |
| Pmu | +3.5 @ 1.68 | -3.5 @ 1.83 |
| Unibet Nl | +3.5 @ 1.80 | -3.5 @ 1.96 |
Line movement (h2h)
Each line = one bookmaker · sharp books pinned first
Jaqueline Cristian Katie Boulter
Results settle automatically once the final score lands. Picks are permanent — no hindsight edits.