Harriet Dart vs Belinda Bencic
BBKickoff · Thu, Jun 11 · 09:00 GMT+0000
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
70e874cf1bfbff12…
- Sport
- Thu, Jun 11 · 09:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- h2h · totals_sets · totals_games
- Source
- The Odds API · live
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- Pick exactly one outcome per requested market.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Markets to predict (omit any you cannot pick from the brief): h2h | totals_sets | totals_games
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"version": "v1",
"built_at": "2026-06-10T18:22:06+00:00",
"event": {
"id": 477,
"sport": "tennis",
"league": "WTA Queen's Club Championships",
"starts_at": "2026-06-11T09:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Thu, 11 Jun 2026 09:00:00 GMT",
"venue": null
},
"teams": {
"home": "Harriet Dart",
"away": "Belinda Bencic"
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": {
"home": 6.6,
"away": 1.17
},
"extra_markets": {
"totals": [
{
"point": 19,
"outcome": "Under",
"price": 1.95
},
{
"point": 19,
"outcome": "Over",
"price": 1.8
},
{
"point": 19,
"outcome": "Under",
"price": 1.95
},
{
"point": 19,
"outcome": "Over",
"price": 1.8
},
{
"point": 19.5,
"outcome": "Under",
"price": 1.83
},
{
"point": 19.5,
"outcome": "Over",
"price": 2
},
{
"point": 19.5,
"outcome": "Under",
"price": 1.83
},
{
"point": 19.5,
"outcome": "Over",
"price": 2
},
{
"point": 19,
"outcome": "Under",
"price": 2
},
{
"point": 19,
"outcome": "Over",
"price": 1.86
},
{
"point": 19,
"outcome": "Under",
"price": 2.01
},
{
"point": 19,
"outcome": "Over",
"price": 1.86
},
{
"point": 19,
"outcome": "Under",
"price": 1.95
},
{
"point": 19,
"outcome": "Over",
"price": 1.8
},
{
"point": 19,
"outcome": "Under",
"price": 1.95
},
{
"point": 19,
"outcome": "Over",
"price": 1.8
},
{
"point": 19.5,
"outcome": "Under",
"price": 1.83
},
{
"point": 19.5,
"outcome": "Over",
"price": 2
},
{
"point": 19.5,
"outcome": "Under",
"price": 1.83
},
{
"point": 19.5,
"outcome": "Over",
"price": 2
},
{
"point": 19,
"outcome": "Under",
"price": 2
},
{
"point": 19,
"outcome": "Over",
"price": 1.86
},
{
"point": 19,
"outcome": "Under",
"price": 2.01
},
{
"point": 19,
"outcome": "Over",
"price": 1.86
},
{
"point": 19,
"outcome": "Under",
"price": 1.95
},
{
"point": 19,
"outcome": "Over",
"price": 1.8
},
{
"point": 19,
"outcome": "Under",
"price": 1.95
},
{
"point": 19,
"outcome": "Over",
"price": 1.8
},
{
"point": 18.5,
"outcome": "Under",
"price": 2.2
},
{
"point": 18.5,
"outcome": "Over",
"price": 1.71
},
{
"point": 18.5,
"outcome": "Under",
"price": 2.2
},
{
"point": 18.5,
"outcome": "Over",
"price": 1.71
},
{
"point": 19,
"outcome": "Under",
"price": 2
},
{
"point": 19,
"outcome": "Over",
"price": 1.86
}
],
"spreads": [
{
"point": 5.5,
"outcome": "Harriet Dart",
"price": 1.91
},
{
"point": -5.5,
"outcome": "Belinda Bencic",
"price": 1.83
},
{
"point": 5.5,
"outcome": "Harriet Dart",
"price": 1.91
},
{
"point": -5.5,
"outcome": "Belinda Bencic",
"price": 1.83
},
{
"point": 5.5,
"outcome": "Harriet Dart",
"price": 1.91
},
{
"point": -5.5,
"outcome": "Belinda Bencic",
"price": 1.91
},
{
"point": 5.5,
"outcome": "Harriet Dart",
"price": 1.91
},
{
"point": -5.5,
"outcome": "Belinda Bencic",
"price": 1.91
},
{
"point": 5.5,
"outcome": "Harriet Dart",
"price": 1.99
},
{
"point": -5.5,
"outcome": "Belinda Bencic",
"price": 1.88
},
{
"point": 5.5,
"outcome": "Harriet Dart",
"price": 1.99
},
{
"point": -5.5,
"outcome": "Belinda Bencic",
"price": 1.88
},
{
"point": 5.5,
"outcome": "Harriet Dart",
"price": 1.91
},
{
"point": -5.5,
"outcome": "Belinda Bencic",
"price": 1.83
},
{
"point": 5.5,
"outcome": "Harriet Dart",
"price": 1.91
},
{
"point": -5.5,
"outcome": "Belinda Bencic",
"price": 1.83
},
{
"point": 5.5,
"outcome": "Harriet Dart",
"price": 1.91
},
{
"point": -5.5,
"outcome": "Belinda Bencic",
"price": 1.91
},
{
"point": 5.5,
"outcome": "Harriet Dart",
"price": 1.91
},
{
"point": -5.5,
"outcome": "Belinda Bencic",
"price": 1.91
},
{
"point": 5.5,
"outcome": "Harriet Dart",
"price": 1.99
},
{
"point": -5.5,
"outcome": "Belinda Bencic",
"price": 1.88
},
{
"point": 5.5,
"outcome": "Harriet Dart",
"price": 1.99
},
{
"point": -5.5,
"outcome": "Belinda Bencic",
"price": 1.88
},
{
"point": 5.5,
"outcome": "Harriet Dart",
"price": 1.91
},
{
"point": -5.5,
"outcome": "Belinda Bencic",
"price": 1.83
},
{
"point": 5.5,
"outcome": "Harriet Dart",
"price": 1.91
},
{
"point": -5.5,
"outcome": "Belinda Bencic",
"price": 1.83
},
{
"point": 5.5,
"outcome": "Harriet Dart",
"price": 1.91
},
{
"point": -5.5,
"outcome": "Belinda Bencic",
"price": 1.91
},
{
"point": 5.5,
"outcome": "Harriet Dart",
"price": 1.91
},
{
"point": -5.5,
"outcome": "Belinda Bencic",
"price": 1.91
},
{
"point": 5.5,
"outcome": "Harriet Dart",
"price": 1.99
},
{
"point": -5.5,
"outcome": "Belinda Bencic",
"price": 1.88
}
],
"h2h": [
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Harriet Dart",
"price": 5.75
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Belinda Bencic",
"price": 1.13
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Harriet Dart",
"price": 5.1
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Belinda Bencic",
"price": 1.17
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Harriet Dart",
"price": 5.1
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Belinda Bencic",
"price": 1.17
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Harriet Dart",
"price": 6.6
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Belinda Bencic",
"price": 1.14
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Harriet Dart",
"price": 6
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Belinda Bencic",
"price": 1.12
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Harriet Dart",
"price": 6.27
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Belinda Bencic",
"price": 1.13
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Harriet Dart",
"price": 5
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Belinda Bencic",
"price": 1.13
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Harriet Dart",
"price": 6.45
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Belinda Bencic",
"price": 1.14
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Harriet Dart",
"price": 5.75
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Belinda Bencic",
"price": 1.13
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Harriet Dart",
"price": 5.1
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Belinda Bencic",
"price": 1.17
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Harriet Dart",
"price": 5.1
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Belinda Bencic",
"price": 1.17
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Harriet Dart",
"price": 6.6
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Belinda Bencic",
"price": 1.14
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Harriet Dart",
"price": 6
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Belinda Bencic",
"price": 1.12
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Harriet Dart",
"price": 6.27
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Belinda Bencic",
"price": 1.13
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Harriet Dart",
"price": 5
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Belinda Bencic",
"price": 1.13
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Harriet Dart",
"price": 6.45
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Belinda Bencic",
"price": 1.14
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Harriet Dart",
"price": 5.75
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Belinda Bencic",
"price": 1.13
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Harriet Dart",
"price": 5.67
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Belinda Bencic",
"price": 1.15
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Harriet Dart",
"price": 5.67
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Belinda Bencic",
"price": 1.15
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Harriet Dart",
"price": 6.6
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Belinda Bencic",
"price": 1.14
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Harriet Dart",
"price": 5.8
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Belinda Bencic",
"price": 1.13
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Harriet Dart",
"price": 6
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Belinda Bencic",
"price": 1.13
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Harriet Dart",
"price": 6
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Belinda Bencic",
"price": 1.12
}
],
"h2h_lay": [
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Harriet Dart",
"price": 8
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Belinda Bencic",
"price": 1.18
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Harriet Dart",
"price": 8
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Belinda Bencic",
"price": 1.18
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Harriet Dart",
"price": 8
},
{
"point": null,
"outcome": "Belinda Bencic",
"price": 1.18
}
]
},
"note": "Bookmaker consensus odds at the moment of the call. Frozen here so settlement grades against the same line."
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"totals_sets",
"totals_games"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
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Bookmaker odds
17 books · sharp books pinned · best price highlighted
| Book | Harriet Dart | Draw | Belinda Bencic |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 6.45 | — | 1.14 |
| Draftkings | 6.27 | — | 1.13 |
| Betanysports | 5.75 | — | 1.13 |
| Betfred | 5.50 | — | 1.14 |
| BetOnline | 5.10 | — | 1.17 |
| Betsson | 5.80 | — | 1.13 |
| Betvictor | 5.00 | — | 1.13 |
| Betway | 6.00 | — | 1.12 |
| Bovada | 6.00 | — | 1.13 |
| Fanatics | 5.70 | — | 1.14 |
| LowVig | 5.10 | — | 1.17 |
| Matchbook | 6.60 | — | 1.14 |
| Nordicbet | 5.80 | — | 1.13 |
| Smarkets | 5.80 | — | 1.15 |
| Unibet | 5.75 | — | 1.12 |
| Winamax | 6.25 | — | 1.14 |
| Winamax | 6.00 | — | 1.13 |
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 19.0 | 1.86 | 2.01 |
| Betanysports | 19.0 | 1.80 | 1.95 |
| BetOnline | 19.5 | 2.00 | 1.83 |
| Bovada | 19.0 | 1.80 | 1.95 |
| LowVig | 19.5 | 2.00 | 1.83 |
| Matchbook | 19.0 | 1.86 | 2.00 |
| Nordicbet | 19.5 | 1.91 | 1.80 |
| Book | Harriet Dart | Belinda Bencic |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | +5.5 @ 1.99 | -5.5 @ 1.88 |
| Betanysports | +5.5 @ 1.91 | -5.5 @ 1.83 |
| BetOnline | +5.5 @ 1.91 | -5.5 @ 1.91 |
| Bovada | +5.5 @ 1.91 | -5.5 @ 1.83 |
| LowVig | +5.5 @ 1.91 | -5.5 @ 1.91 |
| Matchbook | +5.5 @ 1.99 | -5.5 @ 1.88 |
Line movement (h2h)
Each line = one bookmaker · sharp books pinned first
Harriet Dart Belinda Bencic
Results settle automatically once the final score lands. Picks are permanent — no hindsight edits.